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(Daily Mail)   Geneticists say that there is a 52% chance that Kate Middleton's baby will be red-heired   ( dailymail.co.uk) divider line
    More: Interesting, Kate Middleton, honor guards, Elizabeth I, body cavity, DNA profiling, Henry VIII, geneticists, Alabama Man  
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1019 clicks; posted to Geek » on 20 Dec 2012 at 11:12 AM (5 years ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»

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2012-12-20 01:58:24 PM  
1 vote:
The writer made some mistakes here. The odds are not 52% or 50% - they are 25% at best.

Red hair is recessive - which means that in order to exhibit the hair color you need to receive the red hair gene from BOTH of your parents. Because Harry is a ginger and Charles, William, and Diana are NOT it can be concluded that Charles and Diana are carriers and that William has even odds of being either a carrier or devoid of the red hair gene. So there is only a 25% chance of the kid getting the ginger gene from dad.

Now for Kate's side.- she is either a carrier or not. That means she has a 0 or 50% chance of passing a ginger gene on to her kid. Since being a ginger requires getting the red haired gene from BOTH parents the best possible odds of the kid being a ginger is 12.5% - and that is assuming that Kate is a carrier. If you assume that she has the same odds as the rest of Britain (38%) - there is ~9.5% chance of the baby being a ginger.
2012-12-20 11:39:37 AM  
1 vote:
Ling live the ginger King of En-ga-land!
2012-12-20 11:33:01 AM  
1 vote:
A possible red heirling then?
2012-12-20 09:55:37 AM  
1 vote:
It's just a red hairing
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