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(YardBarker)   "The Packers play the Bears 4 times in two seasons. The Packers, being a much better team have an 80% chance of winning each game. What is the probability that the Bears win all four games?"   ( divider line
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2512 clicks; posted to Sports » on 16 Jun 2012 at 7:24 PM (5 years ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»

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2012-06-16 06:24:27 PM  
2 votes:
Chance of winning the first game times chance of winning the second times chance of winning the third times chance of winning the fourth game.

Chance of Bears winning any game = 20% or .2

Chance of Bears winning all four = .2 x .2 x .2 x .2 = .0016 or .16% of winning all four

Chance of Packers winning all four = .8 x .8 x .8 x .8 = .4096 or 40.96% of wining all four.
2012-06-16 11:39:28 PM  
1 vote:
I like how Tillman reacts like the problem was making fun of kids with cancer or something. It is just a freakin' football team.
2012-06-16 11:07:26 PM  
1 vote:

Lando Lincoln: jaytkay: Do Bears fans really hate the Packers?

I've always thought of it as a favorite enemy thing, not hatred.

/ At least we all hate Dallas

No. But the Packers fans are pretty goddamn smug for being a bunch of perpetual alcoholics.

We are not smug, just alcoholics. I am not a huge sports fan, but I can say out of the Vikings, Packers, and Bears fans, the Vikings fans are worse. They are really big assholes, and honestly wish players to get hurt. Packers and Bear fans can go either way, they are either really considerate and just love the game of football, and respect other fans or they are just asses.
2012-06-16 10:27:54 PM  
1 vote:
1.bp.blogspot.comView Full Size
2012-06-16 10:21:54 PM  
1 vote:

MAYORBOB: "It's a bullshiat question, it's impossible to answer."


No, My Cousin Vinny is not obscure.
2012-06-16 09:55:00 PM  
1 vote:

usernameguy: No one got it right. The problem is unanswerable as written because ties are allowed in regular season games.

We've eliminated one Fark handle as Donovan McNabb's.
2012-06-16 08:14:36 PM  
1 vote:
The good old binomial formula from any statistics textbook oughta help us with this one.

P(k out of N) = ( N! / k!(N-k)!) * (pk)(qN-k)

where N and K are 4, P is .2 and Q is .8, says that the probability of the Bears winning all four games when they have a 20% chance of winning any single game is only .0016%

The Bears aren't bad, but I'd say that's about right.
2012-06-16 07:44:57 PM  
1 vote: Full Size
2012-06-16 07:27:52 PM  
1 vote:
with emo boy as their QB?
2012-06-16 04:37:17 PM  
1 vote:
Packers and Bears sounds like a gay bar.
2012-06-16 02:48:37 PM  
1 vote:
Oh, that's an easy one!

ZERO. >:-)
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