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(CNBC)   Elon Musk promised billionaire investor Ron Baron 2-300% returns on his Twitter investment. That kind of thing is pretty much exactly how Bernie Madoff wound up dying in prison   (cnbc.com) divider line
    More: Amusing, CNBC, Rebecca Quick, San Francisco, Business, Twitter, Chief executive officer, Squawk Box, Expert  
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805 clicks; posted to Business » on 07 Feb 2023 at 12:22 PM (6 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



31 Comments     (+0 »)
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2023-02-07 11:36:16 AM  
"He's the best-known man in the world, I guess," Baron said. "Everyone else spends $1,000 to market a car, he spends nothing, because everyone knows Twitter."

He's now well known as being the fool that took out two birds as his own stone.
 
2023-02-07 12:13:15 PM  
Billionaire investor Ron Baron said Elon Musk told him he'd make "two to three times" his money when he invested $100 million in Musk's take-private Twitter deal.

Hope you got that in writing, pal.
 
2023-02-07 12:25:40 PM  
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2023-02-07 12:26:36 PM  
Oh no, a billionaire lost money. Has the GoFundMe been set up yet?
 
2023-02-07 12:28:29 PM  
i mean 2% seems like it was not entirely unreasonable a thing to suggest.
not sure about the whole two more zeros on that though.
 
2023-02-07 12:36:52 PM  
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2023-02-07 12:39:02 PM  

koder: "He's the best-known man in the world, I guess," Baron said. "Everyone else spends $1,000 to market a car, he spends nothing, because everyone knows Twitter."

He's now well known as being the fool that took out two birds as his own stone.


And now Baron is a well-known idiot. So Musk didn't spend any money on marketing for the ten years he ran Tesla before he owned Twitter? And after he bought Twitter, he had to cut prices on his cars by $10K because of market perception that he was slacking at Tesla. But I guess a billionaire can come up with any kind of rationalization for being an idiot.
 
2023-02-07 12:59:51 PM  
Fark user imageView Full Size


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WTF is up with his smarmy farking mouth?
 
2023-02-07 1:01:47 PM  
That's 1000% not why Madoff ended up in prison. Not even remotely close.

Madoff didn't invest the money. And he didn't even promise ridiculous returns. What he gave was unfathomably reliable returns.

He also operated his business illegally and without oversight.

And, most importantly, because he didn't actually invest the money, and because he elaborately created reports of fake trades that never happened, he used the money of people entering his fund to pay out the returns to other investors (and to keep his other more legit business afloat). The literal definition of both fraud and a Ponzi scheme.

People promising huge returns aren't remotely close to what Madoff did.
 
2023-02-07 1:05:21 PM  
 
2023-02-07 1:08:18 PM  

drewsfarkthrowaway: [Fark user image 663x754]

Fark user imageView Full Size



WTF is up with his smarmy farking mouth?


Full on Musk cum?
 
2023-02-07 1:10:34 PM  
I am sure he will be able to keep the lights on at home. But the next time Elon has one of his genius ideas he probably wont have a lot of people lining up to throw money at it unless they need a tax break for the loss.
 
2023-02-07 1:18:28 PM  
Bernie went to prison because he ripped off other rich people. White-collar criminals can do whatever they want to us plebes and get away with it even if caught, but thou shalt not rip off thy fellow rich people.
 
2023-02-07 1:21:09 PM  
Oh No! Billionaire didn't get 300% return in only three months!

That's not making an investment, that's gambling.

I've got investments I've made over 1000% on, by holding for over two decades.
 
2023-02-07 1:52:54 PM  
And....and you believed him?


Why?
 
2023-02-07 1:56:46 PM  

Fark_Guy_Rob: That's 1000% not why Madoff ended up in prison. Not even remotely close.

Madoff didn't invest the money. And he didn't even promise ridiculous returns. What he gave was unfathomably reliable returns.

He also operated his business illegally and without oversight.

And, most importantly, because he didn't actually invest the money, and because he elaborately created reports of fake trades that never happened, he used the money of people entering his fund to pay out the returns to other investors (and to keep his other more legit business afloat). The literal definition of both fraud and a Ponzi scheme.

People promising huge returns aren't remotely close to what Madoff did.


So Bernie didn't promise people big pay outs and they were like oh let's give this guy money because ??
 
2023-02-07 2:01:26 PM  

Fark_Guy_Rob: That's 1000% not why Madoff ended up in prison. Not even remotely close.

Madoff didn't invest the money. And he didn't even promise ridiculous returns. What he gave was unfathomably reliable returns.

He also operated his business illegally and without oversight.

And, most importantly, because he didn't actually invest the money, and because he elaborately created reports of fake trades that never happened, he used the money of people entering his fund to pay out the returns to other investors (and to keep his other more legit business afloat). The literal definition of both fraud and a Ponzi scheme.

People promising huge returns aren't remotely close to what Madoff did.


s3.amazonaws.comView Full Size

Promising unfathomably reliable returns you say?!?!?!
 
2023-02-07 2:08:20 PM  
Actually, Bernie Madoff's promise was 12 percent annually, year after year.
Which is still too good to be true given that the market returns 7-8 percent over the long run.
 
2023-02-07 2:19:26 PM  
There ought to be a stupidity exclusion to fraud laws. If you fall for a ridiculous scam, it ought to be on you. You deserve to lose sometimes.
Never give a sucker an even break.
 
2023-02-07 2:22:53 PM  
I'd give it a while longer than 4 months before passing judgment on how far off this prediction was. Twitter was a mess, and there's value to be realized if Musk can turn it into a non-mess.
 
2023-02-07 2:24:28 PM  
Joke's on him, don't believe anything Musk says. He testified to that in court.
 
2023-02-07 3:08:30 PM  
Musk is a blatant stock manipulator, who obviously has the SEC on his payroll. It's also extremely likely he is guilty of jury tampering in the trial he won. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-64520157

Musk's most recent pump and dump scheme has made him tens of billions of dollars richer as Tesla stock has climbed 50%. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/27/tesla-just-notched-its-best-week-in-a-decade-as-stock-soars-33percent.html
 
2023-02-07 3:11:53 PM  

jjorsett: I'd give it a while longer than 4 months before passing judgment on how far off this prediction was. Twitter was a mess, and there's value to be realized if Musk can turn it into a non-mess.


If Musk gets lucky again and Twitter becomes profitable, then I am moving to a country where Twitter is banned.
 
2023-02-07 3:21:32 PM  

spongeboob: Fark_Guy_Rob: That's 1000% not why Madoff ended up in prison. Not even remotely close.

Madoff didn't invest the money. And he didn't even promise ridiculous returns. What he gave was unfathomably reliable returns.

He also operated his business illegally and without oversight.

And, most importantly, because he didn't actually invest the money, and because he elaborately created reports of fake trades that never happened, he used the money of people entering his fund to pay out the returns to other investors (and to keep his other more legit business afloat). The literal definition of both fraud and a Ponzi scheme.

People promising huge returns aren't remotely close to what Madoff did.

So Bernie didn't promise people big pay outs and they were like oh let's give this guy money because ??


'huge' is subjective, so is 'big payouts'. But, essentially, yes.

Madoff's "unusually consistent" annual returns of around 10% were a key factor in perpetuating the fraud.

Dependingon which source you want to use and how you define it, that's about what the stock market returns. Clearly the guy was a liar and could have promised different things at different times, but most people who got scammed weren't looking for quick money or huge returns.

What really got people was the consistency. I mean, in addition to Bernie being a gifted salesman/conman.

In the beginning, he was the son-in-law of a successful accountant. People gave him money because they trusted the Father-in-law who was a legit businessman.

Aside from the ponzi, Bernie had lots of genuine success. He had a successful trading firm, one of the largest participants in the NASDAQ, a thing he largely created. It was the first electronic stock exchange.

He was an industry recognized figure, with decades of rock solid returns. For decades, every person who wanted to pull their money out, got their money. For many many years, it was largely word of mouth too. So someone you already know and trust tells you about it. Tells you they've been using it for years. Shows you returns that, at a glance, aren't unreasonable...but are ridiculously consistent.

That's why people invested with him. Well, individual investors anyway. Later on, he was waiving commissions for institutional investors. And depending on who it was, and when it was, they may or may not have known it was run by Madoff, but the tl;Dr is that he didn't promise insane returns. He demonstrated many years of consistency that shouldn't have been possible.

In his own words:

The returns were really nothing special, given that the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index generated an average annual return of 16.3% between November 1982 and November 1992. 'I would be surprised if anybody thought that matching the S&P over 10 years was anything outstanding,' he says.
 
2023-02-07 3:35:29 PM  
But more importantly, general claims about huge returns don't meet the bar for fraud.

"Invest in my new company! It will be the next Google! We could make BILLIONS" is fine to say. And companies project future earnings targets, and fail to hit them all the time.

So whether he did or didn't make big claims is mostly irrelevant. Because that's not why he was arrested.
 
2023-02-07 5:10:18 PM  

jjorsett: I'd give it a while longer than 4 months before passing judgment on how far off this prediction was. Twitter was a mess, and there's value to be realized if Musk can turn it into a non-mess.


How, exactly, was this a mess?

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2023-02-07 5:38:45 PM  

iaazathot: jjorsett: I'd give it a while longer than 4 months before passing judgment on how far off this prediction was. Twitter was a mess, and there's value to be realized if Musk can turn it into a non-mess.

How, exactly, was this a mess?

[Fark user image 609x580]


Are you asking if there was a problem with Twitter because its 5 years stock performance looks good?

That could turn into a long answer, but the bottom line is that, although it had 5 Billion in revenue, it was not consistently profitable. Also, it was in a declining market and the young people are once again leaving  the old-school and joining the new hotness (mainly TikTok.) It's why the stockholders were overjoyed that he offered to overpay billions to take it off their hands.
 
2023-02-07 6:43:56 PM  

drewsfarkthrowaway: [Fark user image image 663x754]

[Fark user image image 214x124]


WTF is up with his smarmy farking mouth?


Partial cleft lip. A not uncommon developmental abnormality sometimes associated with cleft palate and nerve tube abnormality
 
2023-02-07 7:39:26 PM  
Billionaire investor Red Ron Baron said Elon Musk

Article has a helpful picture of said Red Ron Baron
media-amazon.comView Full Size
 
2023-02-07 8:17:15 PM  

anuran: drewsfarkthrowaway: [Fark user image image 663x754]

[Fark user image image 214x124]


WTF is up with his smarmy farking mouth?

Partial cleft lip. A not uncommon developmental abnormality sometimes associated with cleft palate and nerve tube abnormality


WHAT'S WRONG WITH YOUR FACE??
Youtube 62UzLgdb1GQ
 
2023-02-07 9:52:57 PM  

PvtStash: i mean 2% seems like it was not entirely unreasonable a thing to suggest.
not sure about the whole two more zeros on that though.


It seems entirely unreasonable to believe Twitter would have positive returns at all at the price he paid, and that's even if a competent person was running it.
 
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