grinding_journalist: fragMasterFlash: 70% of the time bullshiat statistics are clickbait every time.

I really don't get this one. I understand that the economy as a whole responds slowly to macro-effect adjustment, but all this recession talk seems so...forced? Businesses are desperate for employees, manufacturers have full order books plus a backlog, and seemingly ever-stagnant wages are finally rising, so of course all I've heard for the past three months is the specter of looming recession.

Who benefits short term (and it's always short term) from a sudden turnaround of all of these trends?

I agree, it feels very clickbaity. But I can say that our orders are half what they were last year in Covid. They went up 30% in Covid. So I think there's a lot happening. Inflation. People had extra money from working from home or moving during covid and spent, now they don't. Plus Ukraine and gas prices and all that. But trust me when I say anyone newly hired is watching their back for last hire first fired. The only thing that may stave that off is a lot of people that know everything are 2-3 years from retirement and they'd be gutted if they left. They NEED a couple years to retrain and they know it.