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(Anchorage Daily News)   How fast does the COVID-19 variant first detected in the UK spread? It's already in Alaska   (adn.com) divider line
    More: Scary, Alaska, University of Alaska Fairbanks, U.S. state, different states, Washington, strain of the virus, virus variant, Washington state  
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1056 clicks; posted to Main » on 27 Jan 2021 at 4:30 AM (4 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



28 Comments     (+0 »)
 
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest
 
2021-01-27 4:33:38 AM  
jeffreydebris.files.wordpress.comView Full Size
 
2021-01-27 4:35:34 AM  
subby doesn't live here.
 
2021-01-27 4:41:07 AM  
Yeah but its a dry cold.
 
2021-01-27 4:53:00 AM  

lolmao500: Yeah but its a dry cold.


I'm testing it.  It fell off.
 
2021-01-27 4:58:20 AM  
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2021-01-27 5:03:50 AM  
One of the stupider headlines for the week.
 
2021-01-27 5:17:35 AM  

pup.socket: One of the stupider headlines for the week.



I see you have taken it as a challenge.
 
2021-01-27 5:42:50 AM  

Greymalkin: pup.socket: One of the stupider headlines for the week.


I see you have taken it as a challenge.

Don't judge everything by your life goals.
 
2021-01-27 5:56:10 AM  
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I don't even know why...I don't want to go to work, it's cold and there's two feet of snow. ARGH.
 
2021-01-27 6:16:31 AM  
How fast do jets fly?
 
2021-01-27 6:34:01 AM  
This is surprising, as Alaska has a five day quarantine rule that is not enforced in any way.
 
2021-01-27 6:35:35 AM  
The international travel ban was probably one of the better ideas. Unfortunately for nearly everyone else, it disproportionately affected people with a lot of money...so...can't have that.
 
2021-01-27 6:41:22 AM  
Is there a way to know that someone brought the new virus with them as opposed to the existing virus mutating in the same way just a different location?
 
2021-01-27 7:16:58 AM  
The UK variant was in Alaska over a month ago.

That's kind of burying the lede, subby.
 
2021-01-27 7:21:29 AM  

pup.socket: One of the stupider headlines for the week.


I would have answered the headline question with "I don't know, Alaska."
 
2021-01-27 7:26:43 AM  

rightClick: Is there a way to know that someone brought the new virus with them as opposed to the existing virus mutating in the same way just a different location?


"an Anchorage resident became infected with a strain of the virus after the person was recently in a state where the virus variant had previously been detected"

Well, sure, it's possible that this patient who was in the same state as other people with that variant just coincidentally replicated the same mutation independently, just like it's possible that I won the billion dollar lottery. But, you know, Occam's Razor and all that.
 
2021-01-27 7:32:57 AM  
This has become increasingly inevitable the more we figure out how to efficiently move about the planet.
 
2021-01-27 7:57:39 AM  
Well, that doesn't really answer the question without a time frame, does it?
 
2021-01-27 7:58:32 AM  

CarnySaur: pup.socket: One of the stupider headlines for the week.

I would have answered the headline question with "I don't know, Alaska."


*pun-sized fist*
 
2021-01-27 8:12:57 AM  
If they sequenced a person's virus swab, they got a positive result from them about half a week ago.

If someone's PCR test came back positive, that means they were tested about half a week ago.

If someone got tested, unless they were tested as part of a dragnet to include a random sample of the population, they were probably showing symptoms, and that means they caught the virus anywhere from half a week to two weeks ago.

The United States only genetically sequences roughly 1 of every 200 positive swabs. That makes it unlikely this person was the very first person in Alaska to catch this new variant. More likely than not they caught it from someone else. That adds another half week to two weeks.

Add it all up, and Alaska probably had their first case of this variant a minimum of two weeks ago to a maximum of five weeks ago.
 
2021-01-27 8:16:57 AM  

Greymalkin: pup.socket: One of the stupider headlines for the week.


I see you have taken it as a challenge.


If you correct my grammar, I will think fewer of you.
 
2021-01-27 8:25:37 AM  

Serious Black: If they sequenced a person's virus swab, they got a positive result from them about half a week ago.

If someone's PCR test came back positive, that means they were tested about half a week ago.

If someone got tested, unless they were tested as part of a dragnet to include a random sample of the population, they were probably showing symptoms, and that means they caught the virus anywhere from half a week to two weeks ago.

The United States only genetically sequences roughly 1 of every 200 positive swabs. That makes it unlikely this person was the very first person in Alaska to catch this new variant. More likely than not they caught it from someone else. That adds another half week to two weeks.

Add it all up, and Alaska probably had their first case of this variant a minimum of two weeks ago to a maximum of five weeks ago.


FTA: "In December, an Anchorage resident became infected with a strain of the virus after the person was recently in a state where the virus variant had previously been detected, according to the Alaska Department of Health and Social Services. The individual began showing symptoms of the virus Dec. 17, got tested on Dec. 20 and received positive results on Dec. 22."

Make that a minimum of six weeks ago.
 
2021-01-27 8:36:32 AM  

evilsofa: Serious Black: If they sequenced a person's virus swab, they got a positive result from them about half a week ago.

If someone's PCR test came back positive, that means they were tested about half a week ago.

If someone got tested, unless they were tested as part of a dragnet to include a random sample of the population, they were probably showing symptoms, and that means they caught the virus anywhere from half a week to two weeks ago.

The United States only genetically sequences roughly 1 of every 200 positive swabs. That makes it unlikely this person was the very first person in Alaska to catch this new variant. More likely than not they caught it from someone else. That adds another half week to two weeks.

Add it all up, and Alaska probably had their first case of this variant a minimum of two weeks ago to a maximum of five weeks ago.

FTA: "In December, an Anchorage resident became infected with a strain of the virus after the person was recently in a state where the virus variant had previously been detected, according to the Alaska Department of Health and Social Services. The individual began showing symptoms of the virus Dec. 17, got tested on Dec. 20 and received positive results on Dec. 22."

Make that a minimum of six weeks ago.


That'll teach me to not RTFA.

Frankly, we might as well assume it's already here and already spreading in our communities.
 
2021-01-27 9:02:31 AM  
We live in a world where any city on any continent, except Antarctica, can be reached from anywhere else on the earth in less than 24 hours. During the 1918 Flu pandemic you probably couldn't make it 200 miles in 24 hours even with people taking turns driving your Ford Model T.

I don't know why anyone is surprised that these mutations are spreading so quickly. Modern transportation makes it impossible to stop without completely cutting off all travel, non-essential and essential travel. Anyone who does travel should be made to quarantine for 10 days even with a negative covid test.

None of the US states has taken any real meaningful steps to stop the spread of the virus. No state has entered a total lockdown like many countries all over the world did. The nations who did lock down had better results than countries who didn't. The US response was one of the worst in the world. All the conservative nations in Europe and the Americas had horrible responses to the virus. We mostly ignored or denied it was dangerous at the government level. No leadership and no response because the conservative way is to worry about money first and then think of the people after you and your buddies have made money off of the situation.
 
2021-01-27 9:13:10 AM  

CarnySaur: pup.socket: One of the stupider headlines for the week.

I would have answered the headline question with "I don't know, Alaska."


I approve :)
 
2021-01-27 9:29:30 AM  
gamersdecide.comView Full Size

Greenland still disease free. Damn Greenland.
 
2021-01-27 12:36:15 PM  

Wesdog: We live in a world where any city on any continent, except Antarctica, can be reached from anywhere else on the earth in less than 24 hours. During the 1918 Flu pandemic you probably couldn't make it 200 miles in 24 hours even with people taking turns driving your Ford Model T.

I don't know why anyone is surprised that these mutations are spreading so quickly. Modern transportation makes it impossible to stop without completely cutting off all travel, non-essential and essential travel. Anyone who does travel should be made to quarantine for 10 days even with a negative covid test.

None of the US states has taken any real meaningful steps to stop the spread of the virus. No state has entered a total lockdown like many countries all over the world did. The nations who did lock down had better results than countries who didn't. The US response was one of the worst in the world. All the conservative nations in Europe and the Americas had horrible responses to the virus. We mostly ignored or denied it was dangerous at the government level. No leadership and no response because the conservative way is to worry about money first and then think of the people after you and your buddies have made money off of the situation.



This is the most succinct explanation I've read about this. A failure of leadership - but equally important, a failure of culture. Money first, then "I do what I wanna, fark you!" 

"You expect me to NOT go out? I have to wear a mask? This is BULLSHIAT!"   

Meanwhile I know of a person who was stockpiling hundreds of covid test kits in their garage.

Americans are farking pricks.
 
2021-01-27 4:00:44 PM  
After three months?  Gee
 
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