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(MSN)   Nobody will want to hear this new warning from Dr. Fauci, unlike all his other warnings   (msn.com) divider line
    More: Obvious, Public health, Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins, wild news headlines, past couple of days, President Trump, latest coronavirus update, urgent COVID news  
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7541 clicks; posted to Main » and Discussion » on 15 Jan 2021 at 11:35 AM (6 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



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2021-01-15 11:33:54 AM  
We're going to break 400,000 today.
 
2021-01-15 11:36:54 AM  
I wish the Chinese would invent a disease that only kills people who wear their sunglasses on the back of their neck.
 
2021-01-15 11:38:54 AM  

dothemath: I wish the Chinese would invent a disease that only kills people who wear their sunglasses on the back of their neck.


Punisher-vid-21
 
2021-01-15 11:39:52 AM  

edmo: We're going to break 400,000 today.


We already have.

And I saw him on the news this morning. Not surprised at all.

I assume we'll get plentiful illness from Stupidpalooza, it'll just take another week to start showing up.
 
2021-01-15 11:40:42 AM  

dothemath: I wish the Chinese would invent a disease that only kills people who wear their sunglasses on the back of their neck.


o_O
 
2021-01-15 11:41:21 AM  
This is Biden's fault?

Too soon?
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THIS IS BIDEN'S FAULT!
 
2021-01-15 11:41:37 AM  

west.la.lawyer: dothemath: I wish the Chinese would invent a disease that only kills people who wear their sunglasses on the back of their neck.

Punisher-vid-21


It spreads every time a Natty Light gets put in a golf bag.
 
2021-01-15 11:41:47 AM  
Like many others, we've essentially been on lock down since March & while it's been hard on my liver, hopefully we can hold out until the vaccine rollout gets done properly.

We survived 4 years of trump, so another 8-9 months should be doable.
 
2021-01-15 11:42:26 AM  

dothemath: I wish the Chinese would invent a disease that only kills people who wear their sunglasses on the back of their neck.


Hey! Guy Fieri does nothing but bring small eateries the nationwide exposure they so desp ...

Yeah, ok.
 
2021-01-15 11:42:27 AM  
Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.
 
2021-01-15 11:42:57 AM  
Dr. Osterholm (U of M) was on the local radio yesterday, describing where we are in the pandemic. He likes baseball analogies, saying we are about in the 4th inning. Long way to go.

/We refer to him as "Dr. Doom," but we need to hear the message.
 
2021-01-15 11:45:38 AM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


Yeah!
Fu*k that doctor!
 
2021-01-15 11:46:00 AM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


But he sciences well, and holds no executive power.
 
2021-01-15 11:47:28 AM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


I wish I had a witty reply, but I'm fresh out. Just STFU. Stop being a bioterrorist. if you can't stop then for everyone else's sake don't go to the hospital when you get sick. An innocent person needs the bed.
 
2021-01-15 11:47:29 AM  

edmo: We're going to break 400,000 today.


Going back ~100,000 deaths takes you to early December (1mo back).  Going back an additional ~100,000 takes you to end of August/early Sept (3 more months back).  Another ~100,000 step back is early May (another 4 month step).  And before that you're at the start of the Pandemic.

So, from the beginning we've taken 100,000 death steps sized: 4 months, 3, months, 1 month...what's next? 2-3 weeks per 100k?  I know it won't continue increasing like that *forever*, bet we definitely have more rope left to use to hang ourselves.  Even if the rate capped out at that, that's 200k per month.  Seeing 1M dead from this by sometime in April seems within the realm of possibility.  We don't have another "holiday spike" coming up, so maybe that'll keep it from getting worse for a while.
 
2021-01-15 11:47:54 AM  
What is the delay for people getting vaccinated?
 
2021-01-15 11:51:26 AM  
IHME model predictions in late December and actual numbers so far:

Predicted: Daily death totals will peak around January 11 at 3,888.
Actual: Total deaths on January 14 were 4142.

Predicted: total deaths by January 20: 420,094.
Actual: total deaths as of January 15: 398,865.

Predicted: total deaths by April 1: 567,195.
 
2021-01-15 11:51:32 AM  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2021-01-15 11:52:09 AM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


Oh look, the gout wanter formed words.  Not words that have any truth, or fact behind them, but they are words.

One day, he'll find a point to make that isn't completely stupid.
 
2021-01-15 11:52:46 AM  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2021-01-15 11:53:42 AM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


Fark user image
 
2021-01-15 11:54:45 AM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


Actually, he's quite soft spoken, and preferred to avoid the spotlight his entire career.

Whereas you...

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2021-01-15 11:54:59 AM  

dothemath: I wish the Chinese would invent a disease that only kills people who wear their sunglasses on the back of their neck.


But Guy Fieri is a good guy!
 
2021-01-15 11:56:40 AM  
However, Dr. Fauci adds that this scenario can be avoided if more people adhere to coronavirus protection measures like social distancing and wearing face masks

More indoor maskless cough parties is the best I can do.
 
2021-01-15 11:57:08 AM  
Fauci's "dire" warning is "It could get worse. We hope not."

He's offering sensible advice not to become complacent, because although vaccines are slowly starting to be distributed, we're not out of the woods yet. Headlining that message with DOOM! GLOOM! WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE! works against it by encouraging an apathetic response that we're all f*cked no matter what, so why even try. The news is just being its usual unhelpful, asine, criminally irresponsible self again.
 
2021-01-15 12:00:17 PM  
 
2021-01-15 12:02:34 PM  
He has been saying it was going to be a bad winter, getting worse before it gets beet for months now.
 
2021-01-15 12:03:18 PM  
sigh

s/beet/bette/
 
2021-01-15 12:03:36 PM  

fiddlehead: Predicted: total deaths by April 1: 567,195.


Is that assuming a successful, widespread vaccine rollout between now and then?  Because it seems like that collection of predictions suggests not only that the rate peaks and then falls off significantly.  I think a more likely scenario for the near term is that the rate will plateau or only slightly "peak" with only a very gradual drop off.
 
2021-01-15 12:04:44 PM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.


Where did you study medicine?
 
2021-01-15 12:10:02 PM  

dumbobruni: And the US vaccine stockpile doesn't exist

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/​2021/01/15/trump-vaccine-reserve-used-​up/


At the same time that Pfizer told Canada they aren't going to meet the promised deliveries due to "production issues". Interesting. Nice to know who your friends really are in a crisis.
 
2021-01-15 12:12:16 PM  

wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice. is absolutely fine with giving people the cold, hard facts -- even if they're dire -- since lying done by people way above his pay grade is how we got to where we are in the first place.


FTFY
 
2021-01-15 12:12:34 PM  

Autoerotic Defenestration: wantingout: Fauci is an egotistical blowhard who likes his newfound fame and the sound of his own voice.

[Fark user image image 375x49]


That baton is going to be so smooth and shiny by the time you're done polishing it. At least that is what I see happening there.
 
2021-01-15 12:13:59 PM  
The "good" news is that we might have peaked in new cases per day last weekend.

The bad news is that deaths have consistently peaked 21 days later, so we're looking at the end of the month before they peak.

The worse news is that everybody wants schools open and bars open and doesn't get that the reason this is still a problem is that they've been farking around and half-assing it for the LAST FARKING YEAR and that's why it's still an uncontrolled problem, so we're likely to jump right back into another peak because far too many Americans are stupid enough to believe Donald Farking Trump.

God, I just want to cock/coont punch every single one of them.

FORM AN ORDERLY QUEUE!
 
2021-01-15 12:20:08 PM  

CommonName2: dumbobruni: And the US vaccine stockpile doesn't exist

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/​2021/01/15/trump-vaccine-reserve-used-​up/

At the same time that Pfizer told Canada they aren't going to meet the promised deliveries due to "production issues". Interesting. Nice to know who your friends really are in a crisis.


European shipments are delayed too. They're upgrading the capacity of their factory.
 
2021-01-15 12:22:13 PM  
Come on 2022!!!
 
2021-01-15 12:22:28 PM  

edmo: We're going to break 400,000 today.


Most likely 450,000 by inauguration.  And all the maskless, close quarter "gatherings" around state capitals are going to give us another spike.

Our peak will probably be around 700,000.

/I'm not an epidemiologist
//I can spell it though
///cough
 
2021-01-15 12:22:46 PM  

TheGreatGazoo: What is the delay for people getting vaccinated?


We are out of vaccine and won't get more until at least July
 
2021-01-15 12:23:18 PM  

EBN-OZN: Dr. Osterholm (U of M) was on the local radio yesterday, describing where we are in the pandemic. He likes baseball analogies, saying we are about in the 4th inning. Long way to go.

/We refer to him as "Dr. Doom," but we need to hear the message.


Listen to him. Osterholm knows what he is talking about, and has for decades.
 
2021-01-15 12:31:46 PM  
Look, a couple more years of lockdowns, social distancing, masks, and shutting down businesses for good, and this will be all over. 5 at the most.
 
2021-01-15 12:32:59 PM  
Dr. Anthony "Cassandra" Fauci, ladies and gentlemen.
 
2021-01-15 12:39:39 PM  

dumbobruni: And the US vaccine stockpile doesn't exist

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/​2021/01/15/trump-vaccine-reserve-used-​up/


It doesn't seem like a supply problem: https://www.nytimes.com/inte​ractive/20​20/us/covid-19-vaccine-doses.html
 
2021-01-15 12:42:43 PM  
Is it possible for Fark to give us a "stupid" button in addition to the smart and funny ones we already have?  Asking for a friend
 
2021-01-15 12:47:45 PM  

EBN-OZN: Dr. Osterholm (U of M) was on the local radio yesterday, describing where we are in the pandemic. He likes baseball analogies, saying we are about in the 4th inning. Long way to go.
/We refer to him as "Dr. Doom," but we need to hear the message.


I generally totally agree with Osterholm's assessments but there is something about the guys face I find unnerving. He's got a perpetual resting smug expression. I know it's very superficial but it irks me.
encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.comView Full Size
 
2021-01-15 1:00:12 PM  

Myk-House of El: Dr. Anthony "Cassandra" Fauci, ladies and gentlemen.


Fitting, because the tragedy of Cassandra was that she was cursed to always be right but to always be ignored.
 
2021-01-15 1:07:28 PM  

New Rising Sun: fiddlehead: Predicted: total deaths by April 1: 567,195.

Is that assuming a successful, widespread vaccine rollout between now and then?  Because it seems like that collection of predictions suggests not only that the rate peaks and then falls off significantly.  I think a more likely scenario for the near term is that the rate will plateau or only slightly "peak" with only a very gradual drop off.


That model was assuming that 72 million would be vaccinated by April 1.
 
2021-01-15 1:12:42 PM  

edmo: We're going to break 400,000 today.


That's totals from an arbitrary point in time. Totals of anything will ALWAYS go up. The only reasonable stats that gives us something we can use is daily new cases and WHERE these are. Deaths by the day would, at least, tell us how poorly we are doing as a group, so that would help. But totals are for the end game... the score really doesn't count until the end of the game... and for statisticians, not those fighting the enemy .
 
2021-01-15 1:31:20 PM  
You'd think we could get a weather map of New Cases and loci on TV news, showing color bands of infections traveling across the U.S. It may make a point to those who aren't believing the reality of this. Take this map down to the state and city levels could help people not travel blindly into high contagion areas. We new info that helps, not stats on the scoreboard
 
2021-01-15 1:37:37 PM  

Mikeyworld: You'd think we could get a weather map of New Cases and loci on TV news, showing color bands of infections traveling across the U.S. It may make a point to those who aren't believing the reality of this. Take this map down to the state and city levels could help people not travel blindly into high contagion areas. We new info that helps, not stats on the scoreboard


https://covidtracking.com/data/charts​ has some of that.
 
2021-01-15 1:51:45 PM  

wantingout: hurr


take your meds
 
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