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(Fox 43 Pennsylvania)   Winning the lottery or getting struck by lightning: which has better odds?   (fox43.com) divider line
    More: Interesting, Mega Millions, United States, Lightning strike, Lottery, Lightning, National Weather Service, National Lightning Safety Council, Whale Bone Mag  
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160 clicks; posted to Discussion » on 15 Jan 2021 at 10:20 AM (6 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



23 Comments     (+0 »)
 
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest
 
2021-01-15 10:06:05 AM  
Considering I've experienced the second, I'll go with Zeus pelting me from the heavens.
 
2021-01-15 10:12:28 AM  
Do you have a lightening storm on wed and fri every week you stand in?
 
2021-01-15 10:22:01 AM  
It's kind of stupid to weigh probabilities of events that aren't random.  (Ignoring that you have to obtain a ticket to win...)

If you don't live / go where there are electrical storms, your odds are not the same as other folks.  My odds of being struck are less than those of someone who lives in central Africa.

/of course, I've now jinxed myself and increased the probability ten-fold
 
2021-01-15 10:22:27 AM  
You're also more likely to get killed by a vending machine.

If the unhealthy food doesn't get to you first... that is...
 
2021-01-15 10:44:36 AM  
The other day, when lottery fever kicked back into full swing, I posted my Lottery Simulator.

Why am i posting it again?  Because now it supports MegaMillions too!!

That was an upgrade I had been planning on making for a while.  And now that that lottery is in the news, it seemed like the perfect time.

Note:  I am aware that the design needs some help for mobile devices.  It was built so long ago that designing for mobile wasn't a thing.  So I am piece by piece updating the design to accommodate devices accordingly.
 
2021-01-15 10:53:14 AM  
Either one seems pretty good right now.
 
2021-01-15 10:59:19 AM  
90% of lottery tickets are sold to people in the bottom 10 percentile of household income in the US.

I once explained to my grandfather how much money he'd have if he had taken all the money he's spent on lottery tickets over the years and invested it into a low-cost index fund.  It was mid-7 figures.  What does he actually have?  Total winnings over 40 years of about $30,000, most of which was spent... on... lottery tickets...

And now I'm not invited to family dinners.  So at least I have that.
 
2021-01-15 11:04:28 AM  

MoriartyLives: 90% of lottery tickets are sold to people in the bottom 10 percentile of household income in the US.

I once explained to my grandfather how much money he'd have if he had taken all the money he's spent on lottery tickets over the years and invested it into a low-cost index fund.  It was mid-7 figures.  What does he actually have?  Total winnings over 40 years of about $30,000, most of which was spent... on... lottery tickets...

And now I'm not invited to family dinners.  So at least I have that.


Is you grandfather poor? If not, what are allowed forms of entertainment?
 
2021-01-15 11:07:31 AM  
Death by vending machine:1 in 112 million


For whatever reason, this seems as if it happens more often than that.

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2021-01-15 11:07:49 AM  
I bought 3 tickets, suck on that Thor!
 
2021-01-15 11:32:14 AM  
 
2021-01-15 11:46:35 AM  

Dr.Fey: If you don't live / go where there are electrical storms, your odds are not the same as other folks.  My odds of being struck are less than those of someone who lives in central Africa.


I love the stats that men are many times more likely to be struck by lightning than women. There's more outdoor work done by men, but a shiatload more "ah, don't be a baby" too.
 
2021-01-15 12:12:37 PM  
I've always thought it odd that people compare horrible things like being struck by lightning or bitten by a shark to being given a huge amount of money.

I do not want to be struck by lightning or bitten by a shark. I want to be given a huge amount of money.
 
2021-01-15 12:25:21 PM  

Dr.Fey: It's kind of stupid to weigh probabilities of events that aren't random.  (Ignoring that you have to obtain a ticket to win...)

If you don't live / go where there are electrical storms, your odds are not the same as other folks.  My odds of being struck are less than those of someone who lives in central Africa.

/of course, I've now jinxed myself and increased the probability ten-fold


Exactly. If you're not hanging out in places where lightning strikes occur, the odds are pretty slim. But if you, for example, hang out on the viewpoints at the Grand Canyon during monsoon season, your odds go waaaaay up.
 
2021-01-15 12:38:28 PM  
Here's a math exercise, to maybe convey exactly how futile your odds are.

Choose the lottery numbers 10, 20, 30, 40, and 50, choose 60 for the powerball number.  Your first reaction might be 'that's absolutely stupid, there's no chance that's every going to happen, the odds of that happening are insane!"

... and you'd be right.  ... and they'd be the exact same insanely low odds if you picked any other specific group of numbers, such as the ones on your ticket.
 
2021-01-15 12:42:34 PM  

durbnpoisn: The other day, when lottery fever kicked back into full swing, I posted my Lottery Simulator.

Why am i posting it again?  Because now it supports MegaMillions too!!

That was an upgrade I had been planning on making for a while.  And now that that lottery is in the news, it seemed like the perfect time.

Note:  I am aware that the design needs some help for mobile devices.  It was built so long ago that designing for mobile wasn't a thing.  So I am piece by piece updating the design to accommodate devices accordingly.


Ah ha!  I tried this out, and while I did not win the jackpot in the simulation, I did hit the $1 Million prize, and many smaller ones!

I'd be an idiot not to play the actual lottery now!

/I ran the simulation in sets of 1 Million attempts
//I ran it multiple times before I hit the "big" prize
///Yes, I realize that puts me in the hole by several million simulated dollars....
 
2021-01-15 12:58:08 PM  

eKonk: durbnpoisn: The other day, when lottery fever kicked back into full swing, I posted my Lottery Simulator.

Why am i posting it again?  Because now it supports MegaMillions too!!

That was an upgrade I had been planning on making for a while.  And now that that lottery is in the news, it seemed like the perfect time.

Note:  I am aware that the design needs some help for mobile devices.  It was built so long ago that designing for mobile wasn't a thing.  So I am piece by piece updating the design to accommodate devices accordingly.

Ah ha!  I tried this out, and while I did not win the jackpot in the simulation, I did hit the $1 Million prize, and many smaller ones!

I'd be an idiot not to play the actual lottery now!

/I ran the simulation in sets of 1 Million attempts
//I ran it multiple times before I hit the "big" prize
///Yes, I realize that puts me in the hole by several million simulated dollars....


I literally wrote that thing specifically to test how accurate the odds really are in a real-world setting.
As it turns out, the odds really ARE that colossally bad.
 
2021-01-15 1:05:44 PM  
I worked for a company for 25 years where the shop would buy tickets twice a week. In all that time they only paid out once for $44. They would win get or a hundred dollars but that would only be a dollar or two each so it got rolled into the next pool.

I offered to collect a dollar twice a week and I guaranteed that once a year everyone would win $50. They didn't take me up on it.
 
2021-01-15 1:21:35 PM  

CJEmsley19: You're also more likely to get killed by a vending machine.

If the unhealthy food doesn't get to you first... that is...


Wrong again. Approximately 2 'muricans die every year by pulling vending machines over onto themselves. Way more people hit the lottery. FARK is fact base. Please don't piss in the tea and call it lemon.

PS: Unhealthy foods? People are more likely to die by having no access to food at all.
 
2021-01-15 1:22:24 PM  

Dr.Fey: It's kind of stupid to weigh probabilities of events that aren't random.  (Ignoring that you have to obtain a ticket to win...)

If you don't live / go where there are electrical storms, your odds are not the same as other folks.  My odds of being struck are less than those of someone who lives in central Africa.

/of course, I've now jinxed myself and increased the probability ten-fold


When we took our son down to his 1st big job in Florida, we saw this huge thunderhead that followed us down the highway. It crackled with lightning like a plasma ball. And it had a funny dome like the projected head of the Wizard of Oz, So, we hurried to our restaurant down by the beach. There, we ate our meal on the patio and watched as that thunderhead simply stalled about 2 miles away from us. If you were underneath that thunderhead you were living on borrowed time. I've never seen such concentrated lightning. That storm went on for the hour that we ate, but by the time we were about to drive underneath it, it had worn itself out. You almost expected to see smoldering houses, crisped livestock, and burned out cars. Instead, it was just ordinary Florida.
 
2021-01-15 1:42:17 PM  

DerAppie: MoriartyLives: 90% of lottery tickets are sold to people in the bottom 10 percentile of household income in the US.

I once explained to my grandfather how much money he'd have if he had taken all the money he's spent on lottery tickets over the years and invested it into a low-cost index fund.  It was mid-7 figures.  What does he actually have?  Total winnings over 40 years of about $30,000, most of which was spent... on... lottery tickets...

And now I'm not invited to family dinners.  So at least I have that.

Is you grandfather poor? If not, what are allowed forms of entertainment?



No, he's a retired teacher and county commissioner whose pension is about $80,000 per year.  He's an avid mall-walker and does jigsaw puzzles and crosswords.  Watches a lot of sports on TV, and soap opears (is that even still a thing?).  Sharp guy, still.  He's not a good example of the 90/10 thing but the anecdote is nevertheless accurate except the humorous fictional bit about family dinners.

...I just no-show those because I want to.  :)

I enjoyed the inaccurate connotations of the word "allowed", as if I make any effort whatsoever to control him.  Sometimes I forget that just because I don't look for every conceivable way to nitpick other people's posts, that isn't the universally accepted way to go.
 
2021-01-15 4:04:29 PM  

MoriartyLives: DerAppie: MoriartyLives: 90% of lottery tickets are sold to people in the bottom 10 percentile of household income in the US.

I once explained to my grandfather how much money he'd have if he had taken all the money he's spent on lottery tickets over the years and invested it into a low-cost index fund.  It was mid-7 figures.  What does he actually have?  Total winnings over 40 years of about $30,000, most of which was spent... on... lottery tickets...

And now I'm not invited to family dinners.  So at least I have that.

Is you grandfather poor? If not, what are allowed forms of entertainment?


No, he's a retired teacher and county commissioner whose pension is about $80,000 per year.  He's an avid mall-walker and does jigsaw puzzles and crosswords.  Watches a lot of sports on TV, and soap opears (is that even still a thing?).  Sharp guy, still.  He's not a good example of the 90/10 thing but the anecdote is nevertheless accurate except the humorous fictional bit about family dinners.

...I just no-show those because I want to.  :)

I enjoyed the inaccurate connotations of the word "allowed", as if I make any effort whatsoever to control him.  Sometimes I forget that just because I don't look for every conceivable way to nitpick other people's posts, that isn't the universally accepted way to go.


You obviously disapprove of the way he spends his money, so next time I'll use the word "acceptable" or "approved" if that makes you happy. Deal?
 
2021-01-15 7:38:58 PM  
Hit by lightning once  . Hit the lottery several times . Won about a hundred bucks total .
 
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