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7215 clicks; posted to Politics » on 29 Oct 2020 at 1:07 PM (5 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



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2020-10-29 11:41:37 AM  
56-44
 
2020-10-29 11:43:16 AM  
Sup with Montana on that site? Barely Dem senate, but looking pretty Trumpy?

Who is splitting their votes in 2020?
 
2020-10-29 11:44:14 AM  
I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.
 
2020-10-29 11:44:49 AM  
It's a good start.

Pity my shiatty senators don't even have an election this year.
 
2020-10-29 11:47:59 AM  

Markoff_Cheney: I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.


I was hoping we can start sucking each other's dick, but I guess we should wait a bit longer. See you next week???
 
2020-10-29 11:48:18 AM  
I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.
 
2020-10-29 11:51:11 AM  

thehobbes: I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.


I hate to say it, but I don't see Greenfield beating Ernst in Iowa.
Western Iowa is too full of evangelicals. And I don't see Biden winning the state.
I hope I am wrong.
 
2020-10-29 11:52:29 AM  
I think the Dems take at least 2 of SC, KS and TX seats as well, putting it at 56-44 (or possibly 57-43).

In 2022 there are *11* GOP seats (by my count) that the Democrats can realistically take - the potential for a generational supermajority is 2 years away.  It also warms my hackles that even if Trump crimes his way to electoral victory he will be facing an extremely hostile congress that will make his life a living hell for two years and then have 60+ votes to impeach & convict his crooked ass.
 
2020-10-29 11:54:19 AM  

freddyV: thehobbes: I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.

I hate to say it, but I don't see Greenfield beating Ernst in Iowa.
Western Iowa is too full of evangelicals. And I don't see Biden winning the state.
I hope I am wrong.


538 has Biden (very) slightly ahead in Iowa and the more recent polls are showing Biden with a substantial lead
 
2020-10-29 11:56:39 AM  

OptionC: freddyV: thehobbes: I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.

I hate to say it, but I don't see Greenfield beating Ernst in Iowa.
Western Iowa is too full of evangelicals. And I don't see Biden winning the state.
I hope I am wrong.

538 has Biden (very) slightly ahead in Iowa and the more recent polls are showing Biden with a substantial lead


I know. I'm a pessimist.
Heck, one poll in early Oct had Ernst down by 12.
After 2016, I distrust polling.
 
2020-10-29 11:57:49 AM  
That's very optimistic.
 
2020-10-29 11:58:04 AM  

thehobbes: I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.


McConnel needs to be stripped of any powers not given to him by the dumb farkery of KY.
 
2020-10-29 12:05:56 PM  

OptionC: I think the Dems take at least 2 of SC, KS and TX seats as well, putting it at 56-44 (or possibly 57-43).

In 2022 there are *11* GOP seats (by my count) that the Democrats can realistically take - the potential for a generational supermajority is 2 years away.  It also warms my hackles that even if Trump crimes his way to electoral victory he will be facing an extremely hostile congress that will make his life a living hell for two years and then have 60+ votes to impeach & convict his crooked ass.


67 for impeachment. 60 is for the filibuster which is probably dead anyway.
 
2020-10-29 12:08:08 PM  
Look for Manchin to take lots of $ (or rubles) to flip to R
 
2020-10-29 12:49:24 PM  
This should make me happier than seeing Biden winning, but I hate, loathe, despise, detest Trump so much that getting rid of him is paramount.  I never want to hear him speak again. EVER.

Flipping the Senate is more important in actuality.

Doing both might result in me being so drained of ejaculate that I look like a sun-dried golden raisin.
 
2020-10-29 12:57:23 PM  
Oblig

54-46 Was My Number
Youtube wNxNwvjzGM0
 
2020-10-29 1:10:20 PM  

SVC_conservative: Sup with Montana on that site? Barely Dem senate, but looking pretty Trumpy?

Who is splitting their votes in 2020?


They split in 2016 too, and actually for the exact same people (Trump and Bullock)
 
2020-10-29 1:11:10 PM  
GO BULLDOGS!
 
2020-10-29 1:11:27 PM  

Jack Sabbath: This should make me happier than seeing Biden winning, but I hate, loathe, despise, detest Trump so much that getting rid of him is paramount.  I never want to hear him speak again. EVER.

Flipping the Senate is more important in actuality.

Doing both might result in me being so drained of ejaculate that I look like a sun-dried golden raisin.


There is no metric by which winning the Senate is more important than winning the Presidency
 
2020-10-29 1:12:09 PM  
Come on SC, you know Blanche hasn't done jack for you in years.
 
2020-10-29 1:13:10 PM  
Fark user imageView Full Size

My only concern is how high the red line is
 
2020-10-29 1:13:27 PM  

thehobbes: I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.


it doesn't help that there are two other Dems in that senate race (including former Senator Joe Lieberman's son)
 
2020-10-29 1:13:51 PM  
AOC was right the other day though. If we don't make some major changes during a (God willing) Biden Administration, we're just going to get Trump 2.0 in 2024 or 2028.

I would argue that the changes have to be more extensive than what she was asking for though. She said we needed to materially improve people's lives, and that's true...but we also need to have structural changes to our country. 40+% of the people in this country will lie to themselves about any improvement they receive from the Left and claim that they either didn't get any benefit or are actually worse.

We need to abolish the Electoral College, ban gerrymandering, guarantee voting rights, and do something about propaganda. For that last one I don't really know what we could do. A German-style "Office for the Protection of the Constitution" or something?
 
2020-10-29 1:13:56 PM  
....I ain't fittin' to jinx it - I'll believe it when it happens
 
2020-10-29 1:14:03 PM  

HallsOfMandos: Oblig

[iFrame https://www.youtube.com/embed/wNxNwvjz​GM0?autoplay=1&widget_referrer=https%3​A%2F%2Fwww.fark.com&start=0&enablejsap​i=1&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fark.com&​widgetid=1]


I thought that those lyrics sounded familiar.
 
2020-10-29 1:14:56 PM  
I'm not buying it. No way. I hope I'm wrong.
 
2020-10-29 1:15:21 PM  
Don't count your chickens before they're hatched.
acegif.comView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:15:25 PM  

Opacity: [Fark user image 850x240]
My only concern is how high the red line is


As goes Maine, so goes ... well, nowadays, nobody. But we can hold our breath and hope for the Nation.
 
2020-10-29 1:15:25 PM  

hugram: Markoff_Cheney: I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.

I was hoping we can start sucking each other's dick, but I guess we should wait a bit longer. See you next week???


You guys know that you always suck them again later down the line, right?  It's not like you're peeling the banana off a Velvet Underground or something.  Yeesh.
 
2020-10-29 1:16:03 PM  

carkiller: hugram: Markoff_Cheney: I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.

I was hoping we can start sucking each other's dick, but I guess we should wait a bit longer. See you next week???

You guys know that you can always suck them again later down the line, right?  It's not like you're peeling the banana off a Velvet Underground or something.  Yeesh.

 
2020-10-29 1:16:20 PM  
Winning the presidency is good and necessary but the GOP's actions since winning the Senate in the total eff up race of 2010 make D's taking the Senate almost as important and necessary.

I am not as hopeful as Subby but things look good in this regards.

Decent sum up article, btw.

fta: "Susan Collins belongs to a vanishing breed that once roamed New England like the buffalo in South Dakota: a somewhat moderate Northeastern Republican. She is personally popular in the state, but Democrats hate her with a white-hot passion because she talks like a moderate all the time but votes like a conservative Republican nearly always..."

Reading MN made me have a sad because I freaking miss Franken.

The GOP are still giggling like school girls and shaking their heads over how that BS actually worked.

Not me.

I know how and why it worked way too well.
 
2020-10-29 1:16:36 PM  
Delaware (Coons):

"The Republicans nominated Lauren Witzke. Her Web page helpfully points out that she was formerly addicted to opioids and worked for drug cartels and organized crime. Now she is Trumpier than Trump and is a supporter of QAnon. You can't make this stuff up. Note to Lauren: Delaware is not Alabama."    LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:17:59 PM  

freddyV: I hate to say it, but I don't see Greenfield beating Ernst in Iowa.


She's been polling ahead for months
 
2020-10-29 1:18:00 PM  

OptionC: I think the Dems take at least 2 of SC, KS and TX seats as well, putting it at 56-44 (or possibly 57-43).

In 2022 there are *11* GOP seats (by my count)



I definitely think you are being too optimistic on the 3 races you mentioned. I'd be really happy with that senate battleground in 2022 if you are right, but i have not looked into whether it was that high.
 
2020-10-29 1:18:37 PM  
People good with math are suggesting the amount of people that vote is going to hover around 150 million people this election. Now this does all depend on where those votes are at, but that would be over 20 million more than the last Presidential election.

Mainly this is because voting by mail is more public and makes voting easier, but there's also a substantial amount of passion from the center and left. Like my friend thinks, I'm doubting Trump gets more votes than he did in 2016. He might gain a bit more with mail in ballots, but anyone who was passionate about him already voted for him 4 years ago. I don't foresee Trump gaining more votes in the current setting.

We don't know yet, but if the projections are correct, that's what I'm leaning towards. Which would be... well, unheard of in a century, so I want to see it in reality first.

Trump got roughly 63 million votes last election, and I'm betting he doesn't reach that with everyone that's turned away. If 150 million vote... 87 million would vote Biden, he'd win the popular vote by 25 million. If he gets even close to that, no amount of suppression will help him or the GOP.
 
2020-10-29 1:18:39 PM  

Opacity: [Fark user image 850x240]
My only concern is how high the red line is


Susan Collins knows a thing or two about concern.
 
2020-10-29 1:18:47 PM  
Goddamn bumpkins, hicks and rednecks, want to drag everyone back to the 1950s.

I
 
2020-10-29 1:20:06 PM  

Kazan: freddyV: I hate to say it, but I don't see Greenfield beating Ernst in Iowa.

She's been polling ahead for months


and the RABA poll has her up by 6.
Early October the same poll had her up by 12.
 
2020-10-29 1:20:38 PM  
[unlikely]
 
2020-10-29 1:20:50 PM  

ArkPanda: OptionC: I think the Dems take at least 2 of SC, KS and TX seats as well, putting it at 56-44 (or possibly 57-43).

In 2022 there are *11* GOP seats (by my count) that the Democrats can realistically take - the potential for a generational supermajority is 2 years away.  It also warms my hackles that even if Trump crimes his way to electoral victory he will be facing an extremely hostile congress that will make his life a living hell for two years and then have 60+ votes to impeach & convict his crooked ass.

67 for impeachment. 60 is for the filibuster which is probably dead anyway.


Ds can pick up a few more in 2022, 3 or 4 more seats seems likely. More than that could be possible, given sufficient election un-farking and decent organizing effort.
 
2020-10-29 1:20:55 PM  

carkiller: carkiller: hugram: Markoff_Cheney: I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.

I was hoping we can start sucking each other's dick, but I guess we should wait a bit longer. See you next week???

You guys know that you can always suck them again later on down the line, right?  It's not like you're peeling the banana off a Velvet Underground record or something.  Yeesh.


For the love of Christ, girl, get your shiat together.
 
2020-10-29 1:22:39 PM  

freddyV: thehobbes: I don't see 54. 52 is probably more realistic but hoping I'm wrong. Thinking Warnock doesn't break 50 and the momentum subsides during the runoff.

I hate to say it, but I don't see Greenfield beating Ernst in Iowa.
Western Iowa is too full of evangelicals. And I don't see Biden winning the state.
I hope I am wrong.


Dems have a lead in early voting in IA, but that's been the trend in prior elections as well:

Fark user imageView Full Size


Pretty impressed by the return rate.
 
2020-10-29 1:23:23 PM  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:24:13 PM  

wooden_badger: Look for Manchin to take lots of $ (or rubles) to flip to R


Why would Manchin flip if the split is 54-46?

50-50, he might.
 
2020-10-29 1:26:57 PM  

hugram: Markoff_Cheney: I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.

I was hoping we can start sucking each other's dick, but I guess we should wait a bit longer. See you next week???


if someone doesn't do some sucking soon, when they all eventually get sucked its gonna look like


briff.meView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:29:25 PM  

qorkfiend: Jack Sabbath: This should make me happier than seeing Biden winning, but I hate, loathe, despise, detest Trump so much that getting rid of him is paramount.  I never want to hear him speak again. EVER.

Flipping the Senate is more important in actuality.

Doing both might result in me being so drained of ejaculate that I look like a sun-dried golden raisin.

There is no metric by which winning the Senate is more important than winning the Presidency


So you want no positions filled by biden and the agencies crippled cause they dont have leadership...  all legislation dead on arrival at the senate (like McConell has been doing)?
 
2020-10-29 1:29:33 PM  

qorkfiend: Jack Sabbath: This should make me happier than seeing Biden winning, but I hate, loathe, despise, detest Trump so much that getting rid of him is paramount.  I never want to hear him speak again. EVER.

Flipping the Senate is more important in actuality.

Doing both might result in me being so drained of ejaculate that I look like a sun-dried golden raisin.

There is no metric by which winning the Senate is more important than winning the Presidency


lol wut

couldn't seat Merrick Garland because of the GOP controlled Senate

Kavanaugh got rammed through because of the GOP controlled Senate

couldn't impeach Trump because of the GOP controlled Senate

minimal COVID relief because of the GOP controlled Senate

Barrett rammed through because of...wait or it...the GOP controlled Senate

so to sum up:

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:32:17 PM  

Markoff_Cheney: I've been avoiding this statistic until this week for a reason.
I am still not going to dance around like a farking idiot, but those numbers sure do make me want to.


Don't dance until the fat lady sings which is more or less Wednesday morning
 
2020-10-29 1:33:03 PM  

swankywanky: Delaware (Coons):

"The Republicans nominated Lauren Witzke. Her Web page helpfully points out that she was formerly addicted to opioids and worked for drug cartels and organized crime. Now she is Trumpier than Trump and is a supporter of QAnon. You can't make this stuff up. Note to Lauren: Delaware is not Alabama."    LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

[Fark user image image 259x194]


I mean I'm all for giving people a second chance. By that, I mean don't lock them up and throw away the key except for a handful of crimes.  I do not mean elect them to high office.
 
2020-10-29 1:34:05 PM  
Pat Roberts has decided to call it quits at 82 after four terms. He is an old-style, decent, hardworking conservative and not very Trumpy.

Excuse me, I am going to go laugh for 9 straight hours.
 
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