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(Twitter)   Texas is on pace to surpass total 2016 turnout. Fark: Before Election Day even arrives   (twitter.com) divider line
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1064 clicks; posted to Politics » on 29 Oct 2020 at 1:40 PM (3 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



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2020-10-29 10:48:54 AM  
Original Tweet:

 
2020-10-29 12:09:01 PM  
scontent.ffcm1-2.fna.fbcdn.netView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 12:11:50 PM  
Can't wait for the hand wringing when the exit polling massively conflicts with the reported results in favor of Trump.
 
2020-10-29 12:50:08 PM  
It's all about motivations:

Democrat Texans: "We need to get blatant corruption, nepotism, cronyism, and disregard for laws out of office.  Our politicians should represent all of us regardless of party affiliation, wealth or ethnicity."

Republican Texans: "We can't let Democrats beat us!"


/That's about the nicest and/or least stupid reason I could think of for Texan Republicans motivations.
 
2020-10-29 1:21:29 PM  
when the president is up for reelection, people aren't this eager to vote because they are happy with what's been going on
 
2020-10-29 1:41:19 PM  
Still ain't going blue.
 
2020-10-29 1:42:31 PM  
And it was done all in one single drop box.
 
2020-10-29 1:42:59 PM  

snocone: [scontent.ffcm1-2.fna.fbcdn.net image 720x743]


Moscow's Asset Gets Annihilated.
 
2020-10-29 1:43:29 PM  
Even with them doing everything they can to stop people from voting?

Guess they'll resort to not counting the votes then.
 
2020-10-29 1:43:50 PM  
This is, of course, a contributing factor to the increasingly obvious and odious voter supression tactics we are seeing this time out from a GOP terrified of losing power and possibly facing accountability for some of their crimes.
 
2020-10-29 1:45:17 PM  

Norquist Vagprobe: Still ain't going blue.


honestly, the fact that the GOP is having to pour money into a state they're supposed to easily carry so they can barely squeak out a win is enough this go around. they're pulling money from other battleground states to maintain their lead in what's usually a GOP stronghold. that Democratic momentum will absolutely matter in the midterms two years from now.
 
2020-10-29 1:46:04 PM  
Let's hope all of them actually get counted.
 
2020-10-29 1:48:08 PM  

Lackofname: Even with them doing everything they can to stop people from voting?

Guess they'll resort to not counting the votes then.


Future headline: "15,000 'lost' ballots found in poll worker's trunk in predominately democratic leaning district. Poll worker to be punished with 1 month paid leave of absence."
 
2020-10-29 1:48:41 PM  
It's looking like Texas will go blue and Ohio will go red. It's a good trade.

Though I'm not putting money on either one.
 
2020-10-29 1:48:49 PM  
media.tenor.comView Full Size


Turn Texas purple, and scare the shiat out of Rethuglicans:

media1.tenor.comView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:50:49 PM  

Norquist Vagprobe: Still ain't going blue.


If there is an honest count it will
 
2020-10-29 1:52:15 PM  
i'm looking forward to the show where joe rogan discovers he's living in the new liberal frontier...

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-10-29 1:52:18 PM  
Pro-tip for the Texas GOP: Blatant voter suppression makes the people you're trying to suppress even more angry and wanting to vote.
 
2020-10-29 1:52:31 PM  
And to think they were all bragging about how many Californians were fleeing deep-blue Californa to Texas because freedom.

They didn't realize they were bringing the blue plague with them.
 
2020-10-29 1:52:52 PM  

Magorn: Norquist Vagprobe: Still ain't going blue.

If there is an honest count it will


So, red it is.
 
2020-10-29 1:53:08 PM  

The Irresponsible Captain: It's looking like Texas will go blue and Ohio will go red. It's a good trade.

Though I'm not putting money on either one.


We have better chili.
 
2020-10-29 1:53:45 PM  
With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.
 
2020-10-29 1:56:38 PM  

Dead for Tax Reasons: when the president is up for reelection, people aren't this eager to vote because they are happy with what's been going on


Every once in a while there's a statement like this that is so smart it really should have been a headline, not a comment in a thread. I almost wish you would have saved this for the inevitable (regardless of who wins) Trump or Biden being declared victor thread.
 
2020-10-29 1:58:40 PM  
Wow, all those Trump voters showing up early.

We're farked.
 
2020-10-29 2:01:50 PM  
Neat.
 
2020-10-29 2:02:37 PM  
 
2020-10-29 2:03:02 PM  

AkaDad: With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.


It seems impossible to be that any ethnic group could close their eyes, cover their ears, and pinch their nose to vote for Trump.

Sure, I get people hate abortion (making it illegal will not stop abortions just drive it underground where it isn't safe again) and want to keep as much of their money as possible (ignoring the fact that the Republican tax cuts mostly went to the top 1 and 0.1% and many of us 'peasants' and poors had increases  all while increasing the deficit by billions <gasp>).

But he is a literal threat to the republic of America. How any individual could be so mindlessly indoctrinated regardless of race is beyond me.

And still Trump panders to his throngs of maskless assholes that a Biden presidency will be all doom and gloom. All evidence of Democratic leadership points to the contrary you dumb farks.
 
2020-10-29 2:04:24 PM  

born_yesterday: Can't wait for the hand wringing when the exit polling massively conflicts with the reported results in favor of Trump.


While I like a good conspiracy theory, the primary reason that exit polls were off in 2016 is that exit polls involve a lot of demographic modeling: you have to go into it with an idea of what the composition of the electorate will be and then apply the responses you get to that model. What they didn't expect was that turnout with non-college white people would be through the roof, and overwhelmingly in favour of Trump. Even in areas where such voters are traditionally Democrats.

The good news is that, because so much of the vote is already in, we have a much better idea of what turnout will be in 2020. The yokel parade that (narrowly) swung 2016 isn't going to take anyone by surprise this time.
 
2020-10-29 2:06:12 PM  

AkaDad: With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.


it seems like there's alomst a deep state that is keeping track of these things.
 
2020-10-29 2:06:39 PM  
All I did was do like Trump suggested... you know, vote. Then go out to my car, change my shirt, put on a hat and go vote again.

I have been doing that since 13 October, and I am really not that tired yet.
 
2020-10-29 2:07:29 PM  

redonkulon: AkaDad: With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.

It seems impossible to be that any ethnic group could close their eyes, cover their ears, and pinch their nose to vote for Trump.

Sure, I get people hate abortion (making it illegal will not stop abortions just drive it underground where it isn't safe again) and want to keep as much of their money as possible (ignoring the fact that the Republican tax cuts mostly went to the top 1 and 0.1% and many of us 'peasants' and poors had increases  all while increasing the deficit by billions <gasp>).

But he is a literal threat to the republic of America. How any individual could be so mindlessly indoctrinated regardless of race is beyond me.

And still Trump panders to his throngs of maskless assholes that a Biden presidency will be all doom and gloom. All evidence of Democratic leadership points to the contrary you dumb farks.


I know plenty.  The common thread, and I wish I was making this up as I'm including blood relatives in this, seems to be "I'm voting for Trump because he's not a Democrat."

Going off track here a little but this is my main issue with the two party system.  You get way too many people "voting x cuz they ain't y" as opposed to "voting z because they actually like z."
 
2020-10-29 2:10:20 PM  
Which Occam's Razor is more likely when it comes to people who have been sitting out elections suddenly now voting in this one:

(A) "So this is why voting matters. It does make a difference who is in office. I've been a fool, but not any longer. This has to stop."
(B) "I've got MAGA fever, baby, and the prescription is four more years of Trump!"
 
2020-10-29 2:14:11 PM  

Skleenar: And to think they were all bragging about how many Californians were fleeing deep-blue Californa to Texas because freedom.

They didn't realize they were bringing the blue plague with them.


My boss moved his family and business to Austin and is a reliable Democratic voter. He's also a veteran and gun owner who didn't like being called a sucker (he considered it being called "a biatch".) Even though the Biden tax hikes would impact him he's cool with it because as he said there are a few other 1000 loopholes he can use. Plus it would get the crazies in his neighborhood to move to Alabama or Mississippi if Texas goes blue.
 
2020-10-29 2:15:17 PM  

bainsguy: Norquist Vagprobe: Still ain't going blue.

honestly, the fact that the GOP is having to pour money into a state they're supposed to easily carry so they can barely squeak out a win is enough this go around. they're pulling money from other battleground states to maintain their lead in what's usually a GOP stronghold. that Democratic momentum will absolutely matter in the midterms two years from now.


You're making the dangerous assumption that there will be a midterm election two years from now.
 
2020-10-29 2:15:26 PM  

freakdiablo: redonkulon: AkaDad: With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.

It seems impossible to be that any ethnic group could close their eyes, cover their ears, and pinch their nose to vote for Trump.

Sure, I get people hate abortion (making it illegal will not stop abortions just drive it underground where it isn't safe again) and want to keep as much of their money as possible (ignoring the fact that the Republican tax cuts mostly went to the top 1 and 0.1% and many of us 'peasants' and poors had increases  all while increasing the deficit by billions <gasp>).

But he is a literal threat to the republic of America. How any individual could be so mindlessly indoctrinated regardless of race is beyond me.

And still Trump panders to his throngs of maskless assholes that a Biden presidency will be all doom and gloom. All evidence of Democratic leadership points to the contrary you dumb farks.

I know plenty.  The common thread, and I wish I was making this up as I'm including blood relatives in this, seems to be "I'm voting for Trump because he's not a Democrat."

Going off track here a little but this is my main issue with the two party system.  You get way too many people "voting x cuz they ain't y" as opposed to "voting z because they actually like z."


Yeah, well when you live in a country that has multiples of different parties, it's just as frustrating when your 'z' party only ever has a minority in whatever form of government going on.  The folks voting for Trump's America though? They only want ONE party... they'd really love to see the Democrats get locked up, deported, killed, and so forth - they call us 'socialists' like we're the ones being the fascists or something. So sure, don't bother pointing it out to anyone who votes for Trump that they are voting to make sure America only has a one party system.
 
2020-10-29 2:17:42 PM  

freakdiablo: redonkulon: AkaDad: With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.

It seems impossible to be that any ethnic group could close their eyes, cover their ears, and pinch their nose to vote for Trump.

Sure, I get people hate abortion (making it illegal will not stop abortions just drive it underground where it isn't safe again) and want to keep as much of their money as possible (ignoring the fact that the Republican tax cuts mostly went to the top 1 and 0.1% and many of us 'peasants' and poors had increases  all while increasing the deficit by billions <gasp>).

But he is a literal threat to the republic of America. How any individual could be so mindlessly indoctrinated regardless of race is beyond me.

And still Trump panders to his throngs of maskless assholes that a Biden presidency will be all doom and gloom. All evidence of Democratic leadership points to the contrary you dumb farks.

I know plenty.  The common thread, and I wish I was making this up as I'm including blood relatives in this, seems to be "I'm voting for Trump because he's not a Democrat."

Going off track here a little but this is my main issue with the two party system.  You get way too many people "voting x cuz they ain't y" as opposed to "voting z because they actually like z."


Something to think of if you're ever accused of voting for Biden simply because "he's not Trump."
 
2020-10-29 2:18:23 PM  
Governor Asshole is in for a surprise. In the short time I have been here I have seen one thing is true - when you tell the locals that they can't do something you had better GTFO of the way because they will try and stomp you on their way to doing it.

Like the meme of the kid with the butter knife about to stick it in the electric outlet, republicans didn't think their plan all the way through. And a shatload of these are new young minority and college educated white voters that have always been put off voting by Texas "red state" reputation, which is why the state may just turn blue this go around.
 
2020-10-29 2:18:48 PM  
Here's the big question in Texas:  Is there actually some large population of voters out there in Texas who didn't vote for Trump in 2016 (when he was running against HRC, who was evil incarnate) that have decided to vote this time?  It's pretty hard for me to believe that there are large numbers of Trump voters who sat on the sidelines in '16 and are energized now.
 
2020-10-29 2:19:37 PM  
This is how the first 12 months of a Harris/Biden administration will go:

Biden implement's the gun plan on his website
The Supreme Court strikes it down
Biden begins to pack the court

At this point, 20 something states will decide to leave the Union or the shooting part of CW2 will start
 
2020-10-29 2:22:33 PM  

redonkulon: It seems impossible to be that any ethnic group could close their eyes, cover their ears, and pinch their nose to vote for Trump.


Well then hold onto your ass, because Donald Trump is doing -better- with Make African americans and Hispanics than he did in 2016. They saw four years of this and decided "I want more racist dogwhistles and full on stereotyping."
 
2020-10-29 2:23:39 PM  

desertratt: t this point, 20 something states will decide to leave the Union or the shooting part of CW2 will start


Oh no, there goes 5% of our population.
/And 3% of the GDP!
//How will we survive!?
 
2020-10-29 2:27:40 PM  

TXprof: Here's the big question in Texas:  Is there actually some large population of voters out there in Texas who didn't vote for Trump in 2016 (when he was running against HRC, who was evil incarnate) that have decided to vote this time?  It's pretty hard for me to believe that there are large numbers of Trump voters who sat on the sidelines in '16 and are energized now.


The problem wasn't that there were a lot of trump voters, it was that a lot of people simply didn't vote. Turnout over the past 20 years has hovered in the low 40s, with the core of republicans making up the majority of those showing up. Democrats basically gave up on Texas the way republicans gave up on California. That started to turn in 2018 when democrats crashed the state house here and finally figured out that voting does work here. Now they are aiming to take the house and possibly turn Texas blue.

Governor Asshole and the republicans are scared shatless.
 
2020-10-29 2:28:03 PM  

desertratt: This is how the first 12 months of a Harris/Biden administration will go:

Biden implement's the gun plan on his website
The Supreme Court strikes it down
Biden begins to pack the court

At this point, 20 something states will decide to leave the Union or the shooting part of CW2 will start


Will Biden use the same FEMA death camps as Obama? Or will he use the Antifa organization to be his muscle?  I hear there will be no police to stop them from coming into the suburbs
 
2020-10-29 2:29:00 PM  

redonkulon: AkaDad: With 5 days remaining, Asian voters have already cast more ballots than they did in the entirety of the 2016 general election in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.

They clearly are responding to Trump's kind words towards this demographic group.

It seems impossible to be that any ethnic group could close their eyes, cover their ears, and pinch their nose to vote for Trump.

Sure, I get people hate abortion (making it illegal will not stop abortions just drive it underground where it isn't safe again) and want to keep as much of their money as possible (ignoring the fact that the Republican tax cuts mostly went to the top 1 and 0.1% and many of us 'peasants' and poors had increases  all while increasing the deficit by billions <gasp>).

But he is a literal threat to the republic of America. How any individual could be so mindlessly indoctrinated regardless of race is beyond me.

And still Trump panders to his throngs of maskless assholes that a Biden presidency will be all doom and gloom. All evidence of Democratic leadership points to the contrary you dumb farks.


Trillions.

They've been redistributing income since St. Reagan.
 
2020-10-29 2:31:58 PM  

desertratt: This is how the first 12 months of a Harris/Biden administration will go:

Biden implement's the gun plan on his website
The Supreme Court strikes it down
Biden begins to pack the court

At this point, 20 something states will decide to leave the Union or the shooting part of CW2 will start


Your side always threatens violence, doesn't it?
 
2020-10-29 2:52:41 PM  
There is no universe where "record high voter turnout" is a happy story for an incumbent, which is why he's planting the voter fraud meme as deep as he can get it. Either he wins outright (unlikely), wins by cheating (likely but not a safe bet), or tosses a grenade and burns it all down by trying to argue the results are illegitimate.

Things are gonna get really fackakta over the next few weeks.
 
2020-10-29 2:53:51 PM  
Okay, okay. Honest question here.

I'll preface it by pointing out I'm not American (I'm your neighbor up north), and am left of even most Canadians. I'm for legalizing all drugs, socialized care, universal income, all that stuff. So I'm not here to gaslight anyone or pretend anyone's vote wouldn't matter...

But, having expressed my "credentials" if you will, I can't help but wonder, could there be something nefarious going on? *Could* the votes be manipulated or packed?

I realize and am well aware that no voter fraud on any serious reasonable scale has ever been credibly demonstrated. And I understand (and am thankful for) the great desire of many to oust the orange plague rat  currently in the White House. But these numbers are just out of this world.

More people voting before the 3rd than voted all together in 2016? That's more than impressive, it's almost suspect. I mean, if the numbers (including those on November 3rd) bear this out (meaning total rallies are such that more than 65% of Texas voted), I'll be reassured... but for the moment, I'm kinda worried.

I want this to be real. I want Texas to go blue, the Senate to have a Super Majority of Dems, the numbers to be so overwhelming that Republicans everywhere see no other out other than denouncing Trumpism, and all who coddled it.

I want all of that. I'm even for a reform of your SC to mitigate the current bad faith packing of the courts.

But current polls, both at a state level (in Texas and other states) and nationally, although they give Biden a comfortable lead, don't seem to correspond to what is being seen at voting places (in terms of lines, and enthusiasm).

Anyway. Just wanted people in Texas (and other tossup states) to reassure me, I suppose.

/VOTE. All of you. I'm not sure what's going on but that's not meant to play on fears that you shouldn't vote. Do it.
//only if you're voting blue, though (otherwise you're a bad human and you should feel bad)
 
2020-10-29 3:00:08 PM  

demaL-demaL-yeH: redonkulon: AkaDad: With 5 days remaining....

Sure, I get people hate abortion (making it illegal will not stop abortions just drive it underground where it isn't safe again) and want to keep as much of their money as possible (ignoring the fact that the Republican tax cuts mostly went to the top 1 and 0.1% and many of us 'peasants' and poors had increases  all while increasing the deficit by billions <gasp>).

But he is a literal threat to the republic..

Trillions.

They've been redistributing income since St. Reagan.


Yes many trillions. I meant to type trillions. Maybe it was autocorrect. Frankly that I had so few errors in that long post was a surprise to me.
 
2020-10-29 3:05:46 PM  

Original: Original Tweet:

Redistrict: It's a good bet Texas will cast more votes *before* Election Day than it cast in the entire 2016 election. Right now, it's at over 93% of its 2016 total - the highest in the nation - with two days of early voting left.


Good.

Still not enough with the voter suppression and intimidation happening across the US. Get out and vote!
 
2020-10-29 3:07:03 PM  

TXprof: Here's the big question in Texas:  Is there actually some large population of voters out there in Texas who didn't vote for Trump in 2016 (when he was running against HRC, who was evil incarnate) that have decided to vote this time?  It's pretty hard for me to believe that there are large numbers of Trump voters who sat on the sidelines in '16 and are energized now.


YES! Texas actually is a very very low turnout state. Especially among latinos. The perception of it being deep red tends to make it not feel urgent to vote, and there is a heaping of voter suppression too, Texas is I believe the hardest state to vote in. You have to register well ahead of time to be eligible. The furor around this years election made a lot of people that wouldn't otherwise have been following closely enough to know when to get their paperwork in get off their asses and register. In 2016 less than 50% of the voting age pop voted, only 60% of registered voters cast a ballot. 8.5m total in 2016.

2020 with a week to go has recorded the same number. That's real real farking interesting when you consider the stats from other states saying that early voters have skewed really heavily Dem. If Texan Republicans are waiting for Nov 3 in significant numbers then our vote total is going to blow 2016 out of the water which is going to have a lot of Republicans sweating. They know those extra votes aren't mostly coming from old white people. Now there are plenty of young country kids who are voting this year for trump that probably didn't bother to cast a ballot in 2016 but there are also a shiatload of latino, black, and urban white texans that didn't vote in 2016 but are hoping to stick it to the man by voting blue this year.
 
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