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(MSN)   There's less than a 1% chance of catching the virus while flying says American Airlines VP. Won't say if that's per minute   (msn.com) divider line
    More: Interesting, Delta Air Lines, US Airways, Southwest Airlines, Airline, Continental Airlines, Avianca, Northwest Airlines, Oneworld  
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153 clicks; posted to Business » on 28 Sep 2020 at 10:03 AM (4 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



16 Comments     (+0 »)
 
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2020-09-28 8:21:28 AM  
...according to an airline executive who flies in a private jet...

If they're serious, let's see them all start flying coach. Hey, let's require that anyone who says it's safe fly in coach class, including the politicians (think of the taxpayer savings there.)
 
2020-09-28 10:10:26 AM  
img-s-msn-com.akamaized.netView Full Size


That's an awfully big carry-on bag.

i0.wp.comView Full Size
 
2020-09-28 10:12:17 AM  
That's at least 1 passenger per flight, folks.
 
2020-09-28 10:15:38 AM  
If they say so.
 
2020-09-28 10:16:18 AM  
static.boredpanda.comView Full Size
 
2020-09-28 10:20:15 AM  
Those are terrible, terrible odds.  200+ people per flight means 2 infected on average per flight.  Want to roll those dice?
 
2020-09-28 10:25:26 AM  
So they will accept the liability if their passengers get sick?  Pay their medical bills and wages for missed work?  I mean, it's only 1% chance right?
 
2020-09-28 10:46:23 AM  

MrSplifferton: So they will accept the liability if their passengers get sick?  Pay their medical bills and wages for missed work?  I mean, it's only 1% chance right?


Didnt Congress give them immunity already?
 
2020-09-28 11:15:05 AM  

dionysusaur: That's at least 1 passenger per flight, folks.


Whenever I see the number 1% or 99% I know that most people are going to misinterpret the numbers to mean 'practically zero' or 'practically a hundred'.
 
2020-09-28 11:19:29 AM  
1% per flight? 1% per hour? 1% if you fly once a week for a year?

It's like the old "Condoms are only 97% effective" talk -- that's based on regular usage over a year. So the failure rate at each sexual encounter is like 0.00000000001% based on the amount of sex I have.

JK.

It's 3%.
 
2020-09-28 11:21:21 AM  
And the sales guy at the new bike store says he'd never consider a dangerous, used bike.
 
2020-09-28 11:29:28 AM  
Let's take the most favorable interpretation: less than 1 in 100 flights will involve anyone catching the virus.

Pre-pandemic, AA had something like 6700 flights per day. I'm imagining it's substantially less now... call it 50%.  So 3350 flights per day. If 1% of those flights involve the spread of the virus, that's 33 flights. Round down (he said "less than"), so 30 flights per day involve virus transmission to at least one person.

Is that supposed to be good?
 
2020-09-28 11:30:24 AM  
Per breath.

1% chance? (kip voice) Like there's any way you could possibly know that
 
2020-09-28 11:39:21 AM  
A timely thread. My wife is considering flying X-country to attend a teacher's convention in November. I have found little or no data about infection rates aboard planes other than early studies that predate the implementation of airline safety measures. I think it's reasonable to conclude that the risk is proportionate to the positivity rate, which will be soaring again by November. But like most Americans right now, it seems most of the pertinent information with which to make a go/no-go decision is clouded, muddied, vague or outright wrong.

If any fellow Farkers know of any independent (current) studies I would be most grateful for that knowledge. Thank you.
 
2020-09-28 12:06:50 PM  
research by Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health could do a great deal for consumer confidence

With all these filthy animals not wearing masks running around outside of their cages?  I don't think so.
 
2020-09-28 12:21:22 PM  
Roughly two per cent of the U.S. population has been infected with Covid-19 so far. That's infections, not deaths. So, at one percent, you're safer on a plane than some idiot walking around without a mask, but less safe than if you stay the f**k home.
 
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