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(Vox)   760 more years of this crap   (vox.com) divider line
    More: Fail, Doomsday argument, J. Richard Gott, J. Richard Gott III, Copernican principle, doomsday argument, percent chance, human race, Berlin Wall  
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1610 clicks; posted to Fandom » and STEM » on 24 Sep 2020 at 12:39 PM (9 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



Voting Results (Funniest)
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest

 
2020-09-24 1:09:57 PM  
5 votes:

Anenu: Within 700 years we should have fusion


Clean Fusion,
Clean Fusion,
I love ya,
Clean Fusion,
You're always a decade away!
 
2020-09-24 1:02:09 PM  
5 votes:

SansNeural: nmrsnr: so we have between 132,000 years and 600,000 at 50% confidence.

...and whoever may be around 600,000 years from now will have that same 1/3 or 3x probability, right?


And whosoever shall be found
Without the soul for getting down
Must stand and face the hounds of hell
And rot inside a corpse's shell
 
2020-09-24 2:52:51 PM  
2 votes:

el_pilgrim: Seldon did it first?


Damnit, you did it first, but less than a minute
 
2020-09-24 1:44:14 PM  
2 votes:

Linux_Yes: dittybopper: SansNeural: nmrsnr: so we have between 132,000 years and 600,000 at 50% confidence.

...and whoever may be around 600,000 years from now will have that same 1/3 or 3x probability, right?

And whosoever shall be found
Without the soul for getting down
Must stand and face the hounds of hell
And rot inside a corpse's shell

Ur a thriller


thumbs.gfycat.comView Full Size
 
2020-09-24 3:55:15 PM  
1 vote:
I'll put this article with the ones that claim it's possible that our reality is a holographic simulation in a system built by an incredibly advanced species.
 
2020-09-24 2:52:12 PM  
1 vote:
Is that enough time to complete the Encyclopedia Galactica?
 
2020-09-24 2:06:13 PM  
1 vote:
I'll take the over. Pay it to my decedents
 
2020-09-24 1:20:12 PM  
1 vote:

nmrsnr: That's dumb, and believing in it is dumb.

By the same argument as the wall, you could say that the timespan of humanity is 200,000 years, so we have between 132,000 years and 600,000 at 50% confidence.

On the flip side, for people, at every point in history you'd claim you're more likely to be in the second half of all people ever. So 10,000 years ago you'd say there's a fifty percent chance of humanity dying in 1500 years. Then 5,000 years ago you'd say 1200 years. Then 2,000 years ago you'd say 1000 years. And so forth. You'd be very wrong each and every time, but the argument would be the same each and every time.


U r forgetting that the earth is 6000yrs old.
 
2020-09-24 1:03:23 PM  
1 vote:
If humanity survives another 700 years i see no reason why it wouldn't survive far past that. Within 700 years we should have fusion and the ability to build O'Neil cylinders if not outright upload brains. The only way humanity dies out then is through artificial evolution making it so the humans at the time are to genetically or cybernetically different to be classified as homo sapiens.
 
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