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(Atlanta Journal Constitution)   Like that time you went to a Deliverance-themed swingers party, everything is all tied up in Georgia   (ajc.com) divider line
    More: Giggity, Election, Democratic Party, Supreme Court of the United States, United States Senate, Vice President of the United States, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, President of the United States, United States presidential election, 2008  
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1850 clicks; posted to Politics » on 22 Sep 2020 at 5:10 PM (5 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



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2020-09-22 9:52:46 AM  
Bet subby's gotta purty mouth.
 
2020-09-22 10:29:00 AM  
Well, that's a pleasant surprise (the Loeffler/Collins/Warnock race).
 
2020-09-22 2:21:14 PM  
media0.giphy.comView Full Size
 
2020-09-22 5:11:51 PM  
Wasn't this an episode of Black Mirror?
 
2020-09-22 5:13:57 PM  
"OK, so the orgy isn't what I expected either, but hey, they have a good buffet."
 
2020-09-22 5:14:51 PM  
Figures the Libertarians will f* this up again.
 
2020-09-22 5:16:31 PM  
538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.
 
2020-09-22 5:17:30 PM  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-09-22 5:18:34 PM  
This being Georgia, best keep one thing in mind...

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-09-22 5:18:47 PM  
Its not as fun as it sounds
 
2020-09-22 5:19:30 PM  
Good thing the government of Georgia is committed to fair elections and would never fark with polling places to lower turnout in Democratic-leaning districts.
 
2020-09-22 5:19:55 PM  
Couple of things:

For statewide seats, GA requires 50% +1 to win outright.

We have two Senate elections, the "regular" one, which is Perdue vs. Ossoff, and the special one, which is being conducted like a jungle primary. There will almost certainly be a runoff for the special election, but that is independent of party - hypothetically, Loeffler and Collins could be 1 and 2, and the runoff will be between them alone.

Perdue and Ossoff might also go to a runoff if the Libertarian draws about 3%, leaving both at slightly less than 50%. This last happened in 2008, when Chambliss got barely less than 50%.
 
2020-09-22 5:19:59 PM  
Maybe Biden can use his Alabama strategy there.
preview.redd.itView Full Size
 
2020-09-22 5:20:12 PM  

Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.


Probably because they are taking Georgian rat-farkery into account.
 
2020-09-22 5:22:31 PM  

Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.


That's about right. Polling isn't the same as odds. If GA is leaning +2 R, then it makes sense that the odds would slightly be in Trump's favor here.
 
2020-09-22 5:22:54 PM  
I really am baffled by anyone undecided in this race.

Has there ever been a race so obviously Lady or the Tiger?
 
2020-09-22 5:26:31 PM  
Good. Georgia used to be a safe state. The more money the GOP has to waste in formerly red states, the less money thry have in battleground states.
 
2020-09-22 5:26:34 PM  

Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.


They may be accounting for things like voter suppression which is something like +2 for the GOP and other similar systematic factors.
 
2020-09-22 5:26:58 PM  

Unobtanium: Well, that's a pleasant surprise (the Loeffler/Collins/Warnock race).


It's been pretty clear from the get-go to me that the Collins/Loeffler "feud" was an RNC concoction to make sure there were two high-profile Republican names in the mix, so that they could try to ensure they grab both spots in the top-2 runoff.

RBG's death caused the Democrats here to push HARD for the other 3,017 contenders in that race to drop out, to guarantee Warnock makes it to the runoff. Main obstacle to that so far is Joe Lieberman's kid. If he drops out, Warnock's pretty golden to make it to the runoff.
 
2020-09-22 5:29:09 PM  

madgonad: I really am baffled by anyone undecided in this race.

Has there ever been a race so obviously Lady or the Tiger?


"But the Lady's not my DREAM girl..." - undecided voters, petting the tiger
 
2020-09-22 5:30:23 PM  
This just tells me that if not for GOP skullduggery, Biden would farking annihilate the Tangerine Turkey Turd nationwide.  Most of the country hates him.
 
2020-09-22 5:31:10 PM  

firesign: madgonad: I really am baffled by anyone undecided in this race.

Has there ever been a race so obviously Lady or the Tiger?

"But the Lady's not my DREAM girl..." - undecided voters, petting the tiger


yeah, that sounds about right
 
2020-09-22 5:33:09 PM  

firesign: Unobtanium: Well, that's a pleasant surprise (the Loeffler/Collins/Warnock race).

It's been pretty clear from the get-go to me that the Collins/Loeffler "feud" was an RNC concoction to make sure there were two high-profile Republican names in the mix, so that they could try to ensure they grab both spots in the top-2 runoff.

RBG's death caused the Democrats here to push HARD for the other 3,017 contenders in that race to drop out, to guarantee Warnock makes it to the runoff. Main obstacle to that so far is Joe Lieberman's kid. If he drops out, Warnock's pretty golden to make it to the runoff.


If he's anything like his worthless dad politically, he'll stick around and campaign for Loeffler after the main election. Don't know how he's racking up 11% of the vote, it's not like his family are fixtures in GA politics or anything.
 
2020-09-22 5:36:53 PM  
Well, I've requested my absentee ballot, which I intend to drop off in the box in front of my local library rather than trying to mail back.  So I'm gonna do my bit.

But I sure as hell ain't holding my breath in this state.
 
2020-09-22 5:45:36 PM  

Rev. Skarekroe: Well, I've requested my absentee ballot, which I intend to drop off in the box in front of my local library rather than trying to mail back.  So I'm gonna do my bit.

But I sure as hell ain't holding my breath in this state.


I genuinely half expected an upset in 2016 because some polling showed Hillary only down 5 points in the state.

Yeah; not a fun night.
 
2020-09-22 5:46:03 PM  
Canoe trips come with paddles. The theme is built right in!
 
2020-09-22 5:47:17 PM  

Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.


My observation is that most of the analysts/modelers are giving trump a 1 to 2 percent bump to account for the embarrassment of the 2016 election. I suspect some of the pollsters are doing the same.

If that's the case Biden is doing really well.

Something I saw on Twitter this morning. https://twitter.com/gelliott​morris/sta​tus/1308413645114793988?s=20

Fark user imageView Full Size


Look at all that blue.
 
2020-09-22 5:55:30 PM  

Saiga410: Its not as fun as it sounds


No shiat!  Seriously, no shiat, no water sports please.
 
2020-09-22 6:01:31 PM  

Bazolar: This just tells me that if not for GOP skullduggery, Biden would farking annihilate the Tangerine Turkey Turd nationwide.  Most of the country hates him.


Yes, even without all the mail in voters getting counted on election night, we should have an overwhelming Biden lead by Nov 4th
 
2020-09-22 6:06:50 PM  

Mr. Eugenides: Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.

My observation is that most of the analysts/modelers are giving trump a 1 to 2 percent bump to account for the embarrassment of the 2016 election. I suspect some of the pollsters are doing the same.

If that's the case Biden is doing really well.

Something I saw on Twitter this morning. https://twitter.com/gelliottm​orris/status/1308413645114793988?s=20

[Fark user image image 850x670]

Look at all that blue.


If Biden picks up MI, VA, NC, (and the traditional blue strongholds) it's over. Doesn't matter if Trump grabs FL or TX.

Toss in AZ, OH, WI and this is a goddamn shellacking. Toss in TX and FL and you're looking at the best damn Republican beat down since LBJ told Goldwater to f*ck off
 
2020-09-22 6:10:07 PM  
Walked my Georgia ballot down to the US Embassy yesterday. Filling out that ballot was way more cathartic than civic duties should be.
 
2020-09-22 6:19:14 PM  

Bazolar: This just tells me that if not for GOP skullduggery, Biden would farking annihilate the Tangerine Turkey Turd nationwide.  Most of the country hates him.


I don't think most of Trump's supporters actually like him, like, as a person.  He's just a placeholder for power.  They vote for him not because they love him, but because they hate us.
 
2020-09-22 6:24:35 PM  
Never stick it in Georgia
 
2020-09-22 6:29:03 PM  

austerity101: Bazolar: This just tells me that if not for GOP skullduggery, Biden would farking annihilate the Tangerine Turkey Turd nationwide.  Most of the country hates him.

I don't think most of Trump's supporters actually like him, like, as a person.  He's just a placeholder for power.  They vote for him not because they love him, but because they hate us.


A whole bushel of THIS.

I was talking to my wife - we live in GA with a lot of other out of state transplants in the neighborhood, so it's a fairly good mix of red and blue. And for the most part civil.

I was asking her - what else do these people have beyond stigin'it?  I'm talking about people I know are not racist, are educated, and generally really nice.

I guess it's Fox News inspired Stockholm Syndrome, but they really think he's taking the country in the right direction.

SMDH
 
2020-09-22 6:34:34 PM  

Halfabee64: Saiga410: Its not as fun as it sounds

No shiat!  Seriously, no shiat, no water sports please.


You have disappointed pee Trump.

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-09-22 6:35:35 PM  

swankywanky: austerity101: Bazolar: This just tells me that if not for GOP skullduggery, Biden would farking annihilate the Tangerine Turkey Turd nationwide.  Most of the country hates him.

I don't think most of Trump's supporters actually like him, like, as a person.  He's just a placeholder for power.  They vote for him not because they love him, but because they hate us.

A whole bushel of THIS.

I was talking to my wife - we live in GA with a lot of other out of state transplants in the neighborhood, so it's a fairly good mix of red and blue. And for the most part civil.

I was asking her - what else do these people have beyond stigin'it?  I'm talking about people I know are not racist, are educated, and generally really nice.

I guess it's Fox News inspired Stockholm Syndrome, but they really think he's taking the country in the right direction.

SMDH


Everything seems to come down to them either avoiding admitting they're just straight-up racist, or going for some BS argument like, "I mean, I don't like the cops murdering people, but one time someone yelled at me for misgendering them on Facebook and that's way worse to me, so Trump it is."
 
2020-09-22 6:40:28 PM  
 
2020-09-22 6:55:13 PM  

somedude210: Mr. Eugenides: Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.

My observation is that most of the analysts/modelers are giving trump a 1 to 2 percent bump to account for the embarrassment of the 2016 election. I suspect some of the pollsters are doing the same.

If that's the case Biden is doing really well.

Something I saw on Twitter this morning. https://twitter.com/gelliottm​orris/status/1308413645114793988?s=20

[Fark user image image 850x670]

Look at all that blue.

If Biden picks up MI, VA, NC, (and the traditional blue strongholds) it's over. Doesn't matter if Trump grabs FL or TX.

Toss in AZ, OH, WI and this is a goddamn shellacking. Toss in TX and FL and you're looking at the best damn Republican beat down since LBJ told Goldwater to f*ck off


McCain's widow is set to endorse Biden. Between that and Mark Kelly's lead in the Senate Race, it's looking very good for Biden in AZ.
 
2020-09-22 6:58:17 PM  
Whole bunch of weird polling in the South this week, such as Trump only up 6 in both Louisiana and South Carolina

He won those states by 20 and 14 points, respectfully, last time.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/​p​olls/20200921_LA.pdf

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22​/​majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-​harrison-graham/
 
2020-09-22 7:04:51 PM  
That TIME ? As in once ?
 
2020-09-22 7:10:08 PM  

dumbobruni: Whole bunch of weird polling in the South this week, such as Trump only up 6 in both Louisiana and South Carolina

He won those states by 20 and 14 points, respectfully, last time.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/p​olls/20200921_LA.pdf

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/​majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-​harrison-graham/


Louisiana just got the shiat kicked out of it by a hurricane. Several Trump-heavy districts may not even have power for a couple of more weeks.
 
2020-09-22 7:15:34 PM  

Urmuf Hamer: Bet subby's gotta purty mouth.


The Night That The Lights Went Out In Georgia - Reba McEntire With Lyrics!
Youtube 3zEo4JI11_w
 
2020-09-22 7:23:32 PM  

Mr. Eugenides: Fireproof: 538 has their chances of winning at 62 to 38 in favor of Trump, and yet the polls for there are just about split.

My observation is that most of the analysts/modelers are giving trump a 1 to 2 percent bump to account for the embarrassment of the 2016 election. I suspect some of the pollsters are doing the same.

If that's the case Biden is doing really well.

Something I saw on Twitter this morning. https://twitter.com/gelliottm​orris/status/1308413645114793988?s=20

[Fark user image 850x670]

Look at all that blue.



Suthners still can't figure it out......
 
2020-09-22 7:35:39 PM  

HempHead: Figures the Libertarians will f* this up again.


Libertarians like being libertarian until you threaten to take the parts of the government away they like.
 
2020-09-22 7:44:05 PM  
If it's a fair election, Democrats sweep. That's a mighty big if, though.
 
2020-09-22 7:44:53 PM  

Walker: [media0.giphy.com image 221x200]


GA sixth here ever since RBG Biden signs have popped up everywhere.
 
2020-09-22 8:11:28 PM  

LL316: If it's a fair election, Democrats sweep. That's a mighty big if, though.


The way Republican election stealing works is if we don't show up. If we show up in the largest f*cking turnout we've ever had for a presidential election, it will be a landslide, they cannot hide/alter/ignore that many votes. It will be a bloodbath. So get everyone you know and their neighbor to get to the f*cking polls, either in-person on Nov 3rd, during early voting, or with mail-in ballots.

If we want Trump and the GOP out, we need to f*cking show up. That means everyone....that is not voting Trump
 
2020-09-22 10:02:01 PM  

somedude210: Bazolar: This just tells me that if not for GOP skullduggery, Biden would farking annihilate the Tangerine Turkey Turd nationwide.  Most of the country hates him.

Yes, even without all the mail in voters getting counted on election night, we should have an overwhelming Biden lead by Nov 4th


Misogyny is not on the ballot this year. Ok? Seriously, how and why would any woman vote for Trump?

Only racism and greed.

The women's vote will carry the result. They carry us all.
 
2020-09-22 10:11:28 PM  

Kalyco Jack: Palined Parenthood: Never stick it in Georgia

Meanwhile, in Tbilisi:

https://amp.theguardian.com/music/2019​/jan/22/bassiani-tbilisi-techno-nightc​lub-georgia

[Fark user image image 425x255]


Huh...I was going to go with a John Meyer thing (since he has most definitely stuck it in Georgia), but I'll yield.
 
2020-09-22 10:12:06 PM  

dumbobruni: Whole bunch of weird polling in the South this week, such as Trump only up 6 in both Louisiana and South Carolina

He won those states by 20 and 14 points, respectfully, last time.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/p​olls/20200921_LA.pdf

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/​majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-​harrison-graham/


Misogyny is not on he ballot. Only racism.
 
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