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(NYPost)   Who had 182,000 by late August in the pool?   (nypost.com) divider line
    More: Scary, Death, total number of coronavirus deaths, Mortality rate, CDC's weekly projection model, Forecasting, Demography, Future, Prediction  
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2962 clicks; posted to Main » and Politics » on 01 Aug 2020 at 12:05 AM (2 days ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



109 Comments     (+0 »)
 
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest


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2 days ago  
That's a conservative estimate.  More like 200,000 by the end of August.  Followed by another spike as 45's voter base refuses to stay home and self-distance over Labor Day weekend.
 
2 days ago  
And remember...

Republicans threw a shiat fit that two Americans were infected with Ebola during Obama's Presidency.

Republicans wasted millions in investigations because 4 Americans died in Benghazi.

Republicans started two decades-long wars because of 3,000 deaths on 9/11.

But they still back Trump and don't care about this ridiculously high death count.

Don't vote for any Republicans ever again.
 
2 days ago  
That sounds like a lot of people to put in 1 pool, especially during a pandemic.
 
2 days ago  
Wow. People can catch diseases. Who knew?
 
2 days ago  

Miss Stein: That's a conservative estimate.  More like 200,000 by the end of August.  Followed by another spike as 45's voter base refuses to stay home and self-distance over Labor Day weekend.


*something something* Returning to school.
 
2 days ago  

Unright: And remember...

Republicans threw a shiat fit that two Americans were infected with Ebola during Obama's Presidency.

Republicans wasted millions in investigations because 4 Americans died in Benghazi.

Republicans started two decades-long wars because of 3,000 deaths on 9/11.

But they still back Trump and don't care about this ridiculously high death count.

Don't vote for any Republicans ever again.


I think we know better now as a society than to vote for change. Your overlords may disagree but they would like implicit consent.
 
2 days ago  
I had 150k for tomorrow, made it 2 months ago. Nope, low.
 
2 days ago  
A million are now in play. Place your bets.
 
2 days ago  

Doctor Poop: Wow. People can catch diseases. Who knew?


username shiats out.
 
2 days ago  
Any bet without citing which source is the official count for the bet is a bogus bet.
 
2 days ago  
So...much.......winning
 
2 days ago  

Miss Stein: That's a conservative estimate.  More like 200,000 by the end of August.  Followed by another spike as 45's voter base refuses to stay home and self-distance over Labor Day weekend.


Is that just because parties, or because some states resume school before labor day?
 
2 days ago  
Breaking news subby, if we count today's number (156 747 dead) and we apply the 28% undercounting we had so far.. we just crossed 200 000 dead from covid today.
 
2 days ago  

Mister Buttons: That sounds like a lot of people to put in 1 pool, especially during a pandemic.


It's a Brazilian pool.
 
2 days ago  
not i.

but as of march 15th 2020 (my birthday, so i remember) i started telling my family -and every other human i could make listen here in SW FL- that it was time to treat this seriously, because IF we "made it to the other side of this thing (assuming there IS one, with a real and safe vaccine)" with "only" half a million american dead it would mean this country had been DAMN lucky....

and they all looked at me like i was a mad and hysterical paranoid raving imbecil. until about mid may.......

this is one of the most memorable times in my life i would trade nearly anything to have been wrong, to have just been the hysterical paranoid imbecil in the room, and soon shown the errors of my worried mind.....
 
2 days ago  
since trump switch the data from the CDC it's highly suspect imo. so you might be there already.
 
2 days ago  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2 days ago  

Cerebral Infarktion: A million are now in play. Place your bets.


"now in play"?

Gimme the over.

In fact, gimme the over on the headline, and parlay it on the million total.

Easy money.

Some of us have been warning about it since March if people didn't start giving a real shiat real fast.  But no.  I'm sure the "you were right, I'm sorry"s will start flooding in now. Any minute.  Annnyyyy minute now.
 
2 days ago  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2 days ago  
Deaths are a meaningless number. If all of them had a year's worth of live expectancy, it would be less tragic than if deaths were only 10% of that, but it affected only children.

Before you start disagreeing, think of how differently we all react when an elderly person dies compared to someone who is middle aged or in early adulthood.

This analysis looks at life-years lost:  https://www.aei.org/op-eds/embracing​-f​acts-over-fear-coronavirus-in-life-yea​rs/

Would be good to get updated numbers, but the point still stands.
 
2 days ago  
The number of people I've seen moving... if they're consolidating housing, 200k might be low. Isn't it refreshing not to have a new worry for August, just a rerun.
 
2 days ago  

AppleOptionEsc: Miss Stein: That's a conservative estimate.  More like 200,000 by the end of August.  Followed by another spike as 45's voter base refuses to stay home and self-distance over Labor Day weekend.

Is that just because parties, or because some states resume school before labor day?


Yes.
 
2 days ago  

Lumber Jack Off: Doctor Poop: Wow. People can catch diseases. Who knew?

username shiats out.


I take a tragic approach to politics. The people cant win.
 
2 days ago  
Probably a conservative estimate but I'm thinking a quarter million by Election Tuesday.
 
2 days ago  

Unright: And remember...

Republicans threw a shiat fit that two Americans were infected with Ebola during Obama's Presidency.

Republicans wasted millions in investigations because 4 Americans died in Benghazi.

Republicans started two decades-long wars because of 3,000 deaths on 9/11.

But they still back Trump and don't care about this ridiculously high death count.

Don't vote for any Republicans ever again.


Sadly, they will just blame the Democrats (all the initial hot spots were in Democratic cities) and all the Republican flunkies will get onboard with this agenda.
 
2 days ago  

luna1580: not i.

but as of march 15th 2020 (my birthday, so i remember) i started telling my family -and every other human i could make listen here in SW FL- that it was time to treat this seriously, because IF we "made it to the other side of this thing (assuming there IS one, with a real and safe vaccine)" with "only" half a million american dead it would mean this country had been DAMN lucky....

and they all looked at me like i was a mad and hysterical paranoid raving imbecil. until about mid may.......

this is one of the most memorable times in my life i would trade nearly anything to have been wrong, to have just been the hysterical paranoid imbecil in the room, and soon shown the errors of my worried mind.....


Congrats on the incoming hurricane. Wondering if it will affect the 'Rona.
 
2 days ago  
And my wife's place of employment is quickly becoming the county hot spot (probably the state hot spot soon). I work in a pharmacy, which is just farking ducky. If I don't get it from her (she's now on quarantine after close contact with two positive coworkers) I'll probably get it from a customer.
 
2 days ago  

Unright: And remember...

Republicans threw a shiat fit that two Americans were infected with Ebola during Obama's Presidency.

Republicans wasted millions in investigations because 4 Americans died in Benghazi.

Republicans started two decades-long wars because of 3,000 deaths on 9/11.

But they still back Trump and don't care about this ridiculously high death count.

Don't vote for any Republicans ever again.


Never play cards with a man called Doc.
Never eat at a place called Mom's.
Never sleep with a woman whose troubles are worse than your own.
Never vote for a Republican.
 
2 days ago  

Gordon Bennett: Unright: And remember...

Republicans threw a shiat fit that two Americans were infected with Ebola during Obama's Presidency.

Republicans wasted millions in investigations because 4 Americans died in Benghazi.

Republicans started two decades-long wars because of 3,000 deaths on 9/11.

But they still back Trump and don't care about this ridiculously high death count.

Don't vote for any Republicans ever again.

Never play cards with a man called Doc.
Never eat at a place called Mom's.
Never sleep with a woman whose troubles are worse than your own.
Never vote for a Republican.


Or just don't vote. They all want the same thing.
 
2 days ago  

kyleaugustus: Miss Stein: That's a conservative estimate.  More like 200,000 by the end of August.  Followed by another spike as 45's voter base refuses to stay home and self-distance over Labor Day weekend.

*something something* Returning to school.


The surge in people buying child sized coffins will stimulate the economy.
 
2 days ago  

gar1013: Deaths are a meaningless number. If all of them had a year's worth of live expectancy, it would be less tragic than if deaths were only 10% of that, but it affected only children.

Before you start disagreeing, think of how differently we all react when an elderly person dies compared to someone who is middle aged or in early adulthood.

This analysis looks at life-years lost:  https://www.aei.org/op-eds/embracing-​facts-over-fear-coronavirus-in-life-ye​ars/

Would be good to get updated numbers, but the point still stands.


Found Dan Patrick's Fark handle
 
2 days ago  

Miss Stein: That's a conservative estimate.  More like 200,000 by the end of August.  Followed by another spike as 45's voter base refuses to stay home and self-distance over Labor Day weekend.


Bingo.

It will only be 182K if it plateaus. We have no reason to expect it will do so.
 
2 days ago  
They'll fix it right after the election.  It would be political suicide to begin funding measures and publically supporting CDC guidelines that would be effective to slow the spread. Even moreso to lockdown where it's bad, or try to trace where Covid has spread.  Fixing everything now, responsibly, would make the Administration look like real clowns for not getting things in shape earlier.
 
2 days ago  
Twenty seven states now with at least 1000 deaths ..
 
2 days ago  
I'm betting on 240,000 by the end of September. That's roughly 1,420 people per day. That would bring us to about 730 deaths per million residents, third in the world only to San Marino, a city-starts with no active cases, and Belgium, a country which currently has 400 new cases per day. God help us if I'm underestimating the crest because the hospitals and morgues won't be able to anymore.
 
2 days ago  

Curt Blizzah: They'll fix it right after the election.  It would be political suicide to begin funding measures and publically supporting CDC guidelines that would be effective to slow the spread. Even moreso to lockdown where it's bad, or try to trace where Covid has spread.  Fixing everything now, responsibly, would make the Administration look like real clowns for not getting things in shape earlier.


I'd like to believe that, but a reelection would be seen as "what we [haven't] done is perfectly fine with voters."
 
2 days ago  

Miss Stein: That's a conservative estimate.


Somacandra: Probably a conservative estimate


Fark, a hotbed of conservatives.
 
2 days ago  
I had 4 mil (US) by the time the dust settles.
 
2 days ago  
I expect a quarter million by election day. I want to be wrong, somebody come back and tell me if I am. But I won't be.
 
2 days ago  

Somacandra: luna1580: not i.

but as of march 15th 2020 (my birthday, so i remember) i started telling my family -and every other human i could make listen here in SW FL- that it was time to treat this seriously, because IF we "made it to the other side of this thing (assuming there IS one, with a real and safe vaccine)" with "only" half a million american dead it would mean this country had been DAMN lucky....

and they all looked at me like i was a mad and hysterical paranoid raving imbecil. until about mid may.......

this is one of the most memorable times in my life i would trade nearly anything to have been wrong, to have just been the hysterical paranoid imbecil in the room, and soon shown the errors of my worried mind.....

Congrats on the incoming hurricane. Wondering if it will affect the 'Rona.


only in THIS special way:

https://www.abcactionnews.com/news/st​a​te/all-state-supported-covid-19-testin​g-sites-temporarily-closing-ahead-of-p​otential-tropical-cyclone-nine?utm_sou​rce=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_conten​t=link&ICID=ref_fark

expect deSuckass to grandly annouce at the end of next week that FL confirmed new covid cases are way, WAY down!

because ALL state-sponsored free testing sites statewide have been 100% closed for at least 6 days.....

"When you test, you have a case. When you test, you find something is wrong with people. If we didn't do any testing, we would have very few cases."

-President Donald J. Trump
 
2 days ago  

luna1580: not i.

but as of march 15th 2020 (my birthday, so i remember) i started telling my family -and every other human i could make listen here in SW FL- that it was time to treat this seriously, because IF we "made it to the other side of this thing (assuming there IS one, with a real and safe vaccine)" with "only" half a million american dead it would mean this country had been DAMN lucky....

and they all looked at me like i was a mad and hysterical paranoid raving imbecil. until about mid may.......

this is one of the most memorable times in my life i would trade nearly anything to have been wrong, to have just been the hysterical paranoid imbecil in the room, and soon shown the errors of my worried mind.....


Yeah, a few days before, in a hotel bar with other managers who had already called me out for overreacting, we watched as the Jazz stepped off the court. One asked about my scenario/plan, and I said it's worst case. We surpassed that in six weeks. Even now, there are more than a few who swear I was/am overreacting.
 
2 days ago  

SFSailor: Cerebral Infarktion: A million are now in play. Place your bets.

"now in play"?

Gimme the over.

In fact, gimme the over on the headline, and parlay it on the million total.

Easy money.

Some of us have been warning about it since March if people didn't start giving a real shiat real fast.  But no.  I'm sure the "you were right, I'm sorry"s will start flooding in now. Any minute.  Annnyyyy minute now.


I fold.
 
2 days ago  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2 days ago  

orderandchaos: [Fark user image 600x597]


They do seem to be doing things...right...in Sweden.

/ripoffthebandaid
//beforefluseason
///3islucky
 
2 days ago  
That 182k estimate is just for covid deaths. Don't forget the excess deaths due to a shortage of hospital beds. There are currently at least 50 Florida hospital ICUs that have hit capacity. People are going to needlessly die from other causes because there's a shortage of critical care.
 
2 days ago  

orderandchaos: orderandchaos: [Fark user image 600x597]

They do seem to be doing things...right...in Sweden.

/ripoffthebandaid
//beforefluseason
///3islucky


Never let your drunk wife comment on yourself.  Teach me.
 
2 days ago  
It's just a statistic until you are personally harmed, unfortunately.

I live in Florida and I am terrified.
 
2 days ago  
Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2 days ago  
Guess this proves you can't trust the CDC.  My estimates show 182 in 2 weeks or so, over 200k by end of the month.
 
2 days ago  
I think that if we could have another, just guesstimating here, 400 threads like this one we would probably start seeing a decrease in the number of new covid cases.  So, why are you sitting around here?  Let's get out there and start submitting more articles.  We're counting on you!
 
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