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(Some Guy)   Ohio, Nevada, Arizona, Nebraska, Georgia, Iowa, Utah, Arkansas, Texas   (270towin.com) divider line
    More: Obvious, Voting, presidential election, Election, electoral vote count, election margin, Poll, timeline feature, final update  
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3665 clicks; posted to Politics » on 03 Jul 2020 at 1:18 PM (5 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



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2020-07-03 10:45:42 AM  
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Let's not start suc-AND MICHIGAN! AND THENWE'REGOINTTOWASHINGTONDCTOTAKEBA​CKTHEWHITEHOUSE! YEAAAAAAAAAAAAaaaaaaaaaaah!
 
2020-07-03 11:52:56 AM  
I've seen polling with OH showing deep blue, and AZ coming in light blue. Were those made up? Are PA, MI, and WI as blue as we think?

Also, if we look at this map and decide that FL and NC aren't the sure things it says they are, that takes Biden down to 272. This isn't the landslide rebuke we need to see.

Maybe it's a worrying kinda day that needs more day drinking and less freaking out about Nov 3.
 
2020-07-03 1:02:06 PM  
nofilmschool.comView Full Size
 
TWX [TotalFark]
2020-07-03 1:06:04 PM  

Boondock3806: I've seen polling with OH showing deep blue, and AZ coming in light blue. Were those made up? Are PA, MI, and WI as blue as we think?

Also, if we look at this map and decide that FL and NC aren't the sure things it says they are, that takes Biden down to 272. This isn't the landslide rebuke we need to see.

Maybe it's a worrying kinda day that needs more day drinking and less freaking out about Nov 3.


I've been following electoral-vote.com predominately.

This is their map today:

electoral-vote.comView Full Size


In the last couple of weeks most of the daily variation has been Arizona going between barely-Democratic and likely-Democratic, Texas vacillating between barely-Republican and tossup, and Georgia alternating between barely-Democratic and tossup.

I suspect that McSally is actually hurting Trump in Arizona.  Everyone knows she lost to an openly bisexual community organizer that had a penchant for silly clothing and Ducey's appointing the loser to fill the seat Flake abandoned seems to have been poorly received.  She is possibly the worst person that could've been appointed if they wanted to hold the seat, even before considering that her challenger is not only a military aviator himself but a literal freakin' astronaut.
 
2020-07-03 1:07:36 PM  
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2020-07-03 1:20:43 PM  
Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.
 
2020-07-03 1:21:40 PM  

TWX: Boondock3806: I've seen polling with OH showing deep blue, and AZ coming in light blue. Were those made up? Are PA, MI, and WI as blue as we think?

Also, if we look at this map and decide that FL and NC aren't the sure things it says they are, that takes Biden down to 272. This isn't the landslide rebuke we need to see.

Maybe it's a worrying kinda day that needs more day drinking and less freaking out about Nov 3.

I've been following electoral-vote.com predominately.

This is their map today:

[electoral-vote.com image 580x359]

In the last couple of weeks most of the daily variation has been Arizona going between barely-Democratic and likely-Democratic, Texas vacillating between barely-Republican and tossup, and Georgia alternating between barely-Democratic and tossup.

I suspect that McSally is actually hurting Trump in Arizona.  Everyone knows she lost to an openly bisexual community organizer that had a penchant for silly clothing and Ducey's appointing the loser to fill the seat Flake abandoned seems to have been poorly received.  She is possibly the worst person that could've been appointed if they wanted to hold the seat, even before considering that her challenger is not only a military aviator himself but a literal freakin' astronaut.


I actually think Arizona is darker blue than the poll summaries show. Many of these sites take the average of the latest polls. The latest Arizona poll has Trump +4. I did some digging. The funder of the poll: OANN.
 
2020-07-03 1:23:04 PM  

FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.


It's always that Column of Dumbshaits north of Texas.
 
2020-07-03 1:23:48 PM  
I don't see Ohio going blue EVER.
 
2020-07-03 1:24:05 PM  

evilsofa: [Fark user image 850x23]
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The sad thing is people had to start dying to get people to wake up to the GOP's malice and idiocy. I wonder how many of the people polled are those that didnt vote last election. And I hope they really will get out for this one.
 
2020-07-03 1:24:55 PM  
Deja vu.
 
2020-07-03 1:25:18 PM  
None of this matters.  Republicans will steal this election.

Make them work for it, at least:  VOTE.
 
2020-07-03 1:25:29 PM  

Boondock3806: I've seen polling with OH showing deep blue, and AZ coming in light blue. Were those made up? Are PA, MI, and WI as blue as we think?

Also, if we look at this map and decide that FL and NC aren't the sure things it says they are, that takes Biden down to 272. This isn't the landslide rebuke we need to see.

Maybe it's a worrying kinda day that needs more day drinking and less freaking out about Nov 3.


A whole lotta sh*t can happen between now and November 3rd. It's too early to start losing sleep over the election. Not to mention, the polls will tighten up as we hit October. I'm fully expecting a nail biter and no sleep come election night.
 
2020-07-03 1:25:37 PM  
*sees Georgia....winces....clicks*

Whew.

/We'll still wind up going Trump.
 
2020-07-03 1:25:45 PM  

Boondock3806: I've seen polling with OH showing deep blue, and AZ coming in light blue. Were those made up? Are PA, MI, and WI as blue as we think?

Also, if we look at this map and decide that FL and NC aren't the sure things it says they are, that takes Biden down to 272. This isn't the landslide rebuke we need to see.

Maybe it's a worrying kinda day that needs more day drinking and less freaking out about Nov 3.


The point is that most of these states shouldn't even be in play
 
2020-07-03 1:25:49 PM  

Vhale: evilsofa: [Fark user image 850x23]
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The sad thing is people had to start dying to get people to wake up to the GOP's malice and idiocy. I wonder how many of the people polled are those that didnt vote last election. And I hope they really will get out for this one.


A lot of these people DO vote. It's the old whites. And guess who is predominantly dying? The old whites.

If Trump slips even a little bit with the old whites, he's finished.
 
2020-07-03 1:25:55 PM  
The toss up for Nebraska is strictly limited to one electoral vote in the Omaha district (of which I am about 30 miles out of)  the fact that it even remains a toss up and not a lock is farking pathetic.
 
2020-07-03 1:27:05 PM  

Pants full of macaroni!!: I don't see Ohio going blue EVER.


Obama carried Ohio. Twice.
 
2020-07-03 1:27:55 PM  

SpectroBoy: [nofilmschool.com image 850x478]


This; nothing's set in stone until Election Day, perhaps even after with many absentee ballots in play.

Personally, I'd risk going to the polling place on Election Day to make damn sure that the announcement of Trump losing happens on Election Night.
 
2020-07-03 1:27:59 PM  

mudesi: The point is that most of these states shouldn't even be in play


So much THIS.

The longer Texas remains at risk of going blue, the better it is. If Trump has to actually spend money to hold onto Texas (easily the biggest haul in electoral votes for states that typically go red), he can't spend it elsewhere. So... if Texas stays competitive, Biden can make gains in places like Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. Even if Texas goes red in the end, it's going to cost.
 
2020-07-03 1:28:08 PM  
Oh good, then I don't have to vote.
 
2020-07-03 1:28:10 PM  
Texas being a pick-em... it's wishful thinking, but just at the edge of belief.

Arkansas not being deep red?  Be serious here.

I thought the Nevada was already in the "GOP doesn't even bother" category.
 
2020-07-03 1:28:32 PM  
Strange.. I wonder what could possibly be fueling this trend


Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-07-03 1:29:01 PM  
PA may be deep blue in these maps but I'm not going to trust that until November 4th.  If I go out biking no matter what direction I go I'm passing Trump2020 signs everywhere.  And it's not just a small yard sign- it's half a dozen, or the side of a barn, or a truck covered in bumper stickers.

The deplorables are going to be out in force.  And there will *no* lines at polling places here.
 
2020-07-03 1:30:07 PM  

TWX: Boondock3806: I've seen polling with OH showing deep blue, and AZ coming in light blue. Were those made up? Are PA, MI, and WI as blue as we think?

Also, if we look at this map and decide that FL and NC aren't the sure things it says they are, that takes Biden down to 272. This isn't the landslide rebuke we need to see.

Maybe it's a worrying kinda day that needs more day drinking and less freaking out about Nov 3.

I've been following electoral-vote.com predominately.

This is their map today:

[electoral-vote.com image 580x359]

In the last couple of weeks most of the daily variation has been Arizona going between barely-Democratic and likely-Democratic, Texas vacillating between barely-Republican and tossup, and Georgia alternating between barely-Democratic and tossup.

I suspect that McSally is actually hurting Trump in Arizona.  Everyone knows she lost to an openly bisexual community organizer that had a penchant for silly clothing and Ducey's appointing the loser to fill the seat Flake abandoned seems to have been poorly received.  She is possibly the worst person that could've been appointed if they wanted to hold the seat, even before considering that her challenger is not only a military aviator himself but a literal freakin' astronaut.


Would love to see all those barelys into blue; want Trump to suffer the worst defeat by a Republican since Goldwater.  Worst loss by a Republican incumbent since Hoover.
 
2020-07-03 1:30:12 PM  

Norquist Vagprobe: Oh good, then I don't have to vote.


Fark user image
 
2020-07-03 1:30:31 PM  

Glockenspiel Hero: PA may be deep blue in these maps but I'm not going to trust that until November 4th.  If I go out biking no matter what direction I go I'm passing Trump2020 signs everywhere.  And it's not just a small yard sign- it's half a dozen, or the side of a barn, or a truck covered in bumper stickers.

The deplorables are going to be out in force.  And there will *no* lines at polling places here.


Did my doctorate at Penn State. Can confirm.

State College is deep blue, as you'd expect a college town to be. Drive out of town literally 2 miles, and it's rusted out tractors in front yards, Confederate flags, and Trump2020 stickers.
 
2020-07-03 1:30:40 PM  

evilsofa: [Fark user image 850x23]
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And while shiat for brains is out playing golf today , we reached another level .. Half of the states in mainland U S have over 1,000 deaths ..
 
2020-07-03 1:31:34 PM  
Has Trump seen his reflection in a snow covered hill yet?
 
2020-07-03 1:32:43 PM  
What's sort of baffling is how Indiana went from Obama in '08 to (probably) Trump twice
 
2020-07-03 1:33:10 PM  
Also

Oh no! Good news! We're doomed for sure!
 
2020-07-03 1:34:14 PM  

Fear the Clam: FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.

It's always that Column of Dumbshaits north of Texas.


The correct term is "Common Clay of the New West".

/you know - morons
 
2020-07-03 1:38:37 PM  
Everybody talk about pop muzik.


/Wrong thread?
 
2020-07-03 1:39:57 PM  
Can we please have the election this week?  I'm tired of trying to figure out if we need to suck dicks or not.
 
2020-07-03 1:41:24 PM  
can't find the right pic, so

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2020-07-03 1:42:47 PM  

EbonyCat: Can we please have the election this week?  I'm tired of trying to figure out if we need to suck dicks or not.


I mean, the answer is always yes.

It's just a matter of figuring out whether it's because Trump has been removed from Office.
 
2020-07-03 1:48:41 PM  
538 has Trump pretty safely ahead in Utah although there is the wild card of Mormons disliking him more than most white conservatives.
 
2020-07-03 1:49:51 PM  
We're trying in Ohio. This just happened here close to me, deep in Wenstrup territory, so there are a few bright spots.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/keepers-​v​s-changers-an-ohio-town-divided-over-t​he-redskins-nickname-11593691201
 
2020-07-03 1:50:45 PM  
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2020-07-03 1:58:20 PM  
I think FL is a little darker blue than previously thought.

DeSantis is losing popularity points by the day because he is just farking the COVID response like he's doing it deliberately.  The Felon vote that FL voters approved and is now in limbo is pissing people off.  And There are now Puerto Rican's here because Maria wiped out their island and had no where else to live but they are not loving Trump or the GOP because of that.

Biden picks Val Demings as his running mate -- game over for GOP's hopes in FL.
 
2020-07-03 2:05:18 PM  

FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.


Holy crap... maybe Mr. Obama _does_ have that time machine, and the "57 states" misspeak was a slip of his future knowledge?

One can hope.

Although, yeah, in a just timeline, that'd be zero safe votes.  But as we know, this ain't a just timeline.
 
2020-07-03 2:07:35 PM  
until the election, can we all plan to vote as if the current maps looks something like this please 

Fark user imageView Full Size
 
2020-07-03 2:09:26 PM  

SFSailor: FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.

Holy crap... maybe Mr. Obama _does_ have that time machine, and the "57 states" misspeak was a slip of his future knowledge?

One can hope.

Although, yeah, in a just timeline, that'd be zero safe votes.  But as we know, this ain't a just timeline.


This whole EC map shiat really does have to end. Popular vote is the only legitimate way to select a president.
 
2020-07-03 2:13:51 PM  

FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.


White supremacist enclaves are going to white supremacist. and there is nothing anyone can do about it.
 
2020-07-03 2:14:55 PM  

blastoh: until the election, can we all plan to vote as if the current maps looks something like this please 

[Fark user image 850x581]


No, stop that. All you're doing is crushing people's hopeful feelings. and THAT is an actual danger to voting participation, not the mythological "oh polls show we're up, don't have to go to vote" that people push.
 
2020-07-03 2:16:27 PM  

Kubo: mudesi: The point is that most of these states shouldn't even be in play

So much THIS.

The longer Texas remains at risk of going blue, the better it is. If Trump has to actually spend money to hold onto Texas (easily the biggest haul in electoral votes for states that typically go red), he can't spend it elsewhere. So... if Texas stays competitive, Biden can make gains in places like Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. Even if Texas goes red in the end, it's going to cost.


On top of texas: Trump hasn't lead in a poll in Florida since early march.  He cannot win without florida.
 
2020-07-03 2:19:52 PM  
REGISTER TO VOTE.

GO VOTE

 
2020-07-03 2:21:29 PM  

Donkey Dude: SFSailor: FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.

Holy crap... maybe Mr. Obama _does_ have that time machine, and the "57 states" misspeak was a slip of his future knowledge?

One can hope.

Although, yeah, in a just timeline, that'd be zero safe votes.  But as we know, this ain't a just timeline.

This whole EC map shiat really does have to end. Popular vote is the only legitimate way to select a president.


If the EC isn't allowed to do its job, which was EXPLICITLY to PREVENT Trump, it might as well be abolished.  But even if it is, we need to rebalance the states to eliminate the influence of concessions to assholes who wanted to own and trade human beings as industrial equipment.

I'm not a huge fan of popular vote deciding things (people are hate-filled selfish assholes, as we can see from Trump's victory* and that of some propositions in CA and elsewhere), but the presidency (and governorships) might be the one place that makes sense... if we pull the last-ditch failsafe of the EC from the equation, as has been done over time already.  Hrrrm.
 
2020-07-03 2:22:31 PM  

SFSailor: Donkey Dude: SFSailor: FarkingChas: Trump has 57 safe votes according to the map/ that is 57 too many, dammit.

Holy crap... maybe Mr. Obama _does_ have that time machine, and the "57 states" misspeak was a slip of his future knowledge?

One can hope.

Although, yeah, in a just timeline, that'd be zero safe votes.  But as we know, this ain't a just timeline.

This whole EC map shiat really does have to end. Popular vote is the only legitimate way to select a president.

If the EC isn't allowed to do its job, which was EXPLICITLY to PREVENT Trump, it might as well be abolished.  But even if it is, we need to rebalance the states to eliminate the influence of concessions to assholes who wanted to own and trade human beings as industrial equipment.

I'm not a huge fan of popular vote deciding things (people are hate-filled selfish assholes, as we can see from Trump's victory* and that of some propositions in CA and elsewhere), but the presidency (and governorships) might be the one place that makes sense... if we pull the last-ditch failsafe of the EC from the equation, as has been done over time already.  Hrrrm.


actually it's a myth that was the EC's job. the EC was another concession to the slave states to give them more political influence.
 
2020-07-03 2:27:10 PM  

Kazan: actually it's a myth that was the EC's job


How is it a myth?  (Not challenging, I'd just like to reeducate myself if you have a cite.)

Just like senators weren't supposed to be directly elected, the EC was supposed to be a buffer between the voters (who were already a subset of the citizens, being limited to male land owners, of course) and the results, right?
 
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