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(Tech Crunch)   New MIT machine learning model shows relaxing quarantine rules will spike COVID-19 cases   (techcrunch.com) divider line
    More: Scary, Prediction, Infection, Futurology, Transmission and infection of H5N1, new model of the spread of COVID-19 infection, Infectious disease, Model, Outbreak  
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995 clicks; posted to Geek » on 21 Apr 2020 at 6:40 PM (21 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook



31 Comments     (+0 »)
 
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2020-04-21 5:59:29 PM  
They must call this thing the Romero-3000.
 
2020-04-21 6:14:21 PM  
Small price to pay to make the 1% happy.
 
2020-04-21 6:45:04 PM  

Pincy: Small price to pay to make the 1% happy.


Meanwhile, what did we pay an institution with the prestige of MIT to spit THIS conclusion back at us?
 
2020-04-21 7:06:50 PM  
Look at the big brain on MIT supercomputer!
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2020-04-21 7:27:26 PM  

UberDave: They must call this thing the Romero-3000.


George Romero this time, not Ric Romero.
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2020-04-21 7:43:19 PM  
Yeah that's just what they want you to think over there at that Soros funded commie think tank!
 
2020-04-21 7:46:25 PM  
In other words company uses technical mumbo-jumbo to bilk millions of dollars from the government.
 
2020-04-21 7:54:41 PM  
What, did the Scary tag sucker-punch the Obvious tag?
 
2020-04-21 7:57:05 PM  
Obvious tag in quarantine?
 
2020-04-21 7:59:10 PM  

Pincy: Small price to pay to make the 1% happy.


I see you're still getting paid.
 
2020-04-21 8:04:03 PM  
Stay at home orders should be eight weeks long minimum. During that time, the government should be leveraging every resource to get tests, vaccines, trace methods, the whole shebang so the economy can be reopened safely.
 
2020-04-21 8:11:49 PM  

big pig peaches: In other words company uses technical mumbo-jumbo to bilk millions of dollars from the government.


If only those eggheads with their studies and models could get the REAL story from AM radio like you.
 
2020-04-21 8:12:08 PM  

chrylis: Pincy: Small price to pay to make the 1% happy.

I see you're still getting paid.


Fark public health, and fark the probable consequence of premature opening exacerbating the economic contraction... we's got to get paid.

/low US savings rate has come home to roost
//and stagnant wages
///and a social safety net that benefits best those who need it least.
 
2020-04-21 8:24:15 PM  
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2020-04-21 8:30:53 PM  
There is no occasion under which a communicable disease will not "spike," after a "quarantine," is "relaxed," unless "civilization," has ended in the meantime.
 
2020-04-21 8:35:18 PM  
Even with a functioning social security net people are feeling this.

Choosing between losing my home and literally not feeding my kids or getting coronavirus, I'd risk the virus. That's going to be a BIG problem in the US and the rest of the 3rd world.
 
2020-04-21 8:35:24 PM  
In related news, a new study from the N. S. Sherlock Institute of the Obvious says we're all farked.
 
2020-04-21 9:08:39 PM  

Purple_Urkle: UberDave: They must call this thing the Romero-3000.

George Romero this time, not Ric Romero.
[Fark user image image 425x345]


Loose conditions?
 
2020-04-21 9:11:03 PM  

drwiki: Even with a functioning social security net people are feeling this.

Choosing between losing my home and literally not feeding my kids or getting coronavirus, I'd risk the virus. That's going to be a BIG problem in the US and the rest of the 3rd world.


Let's try it in the red states first and see how they fare.

They're all for ending the quarantine, have them show us how these lernin pepl don't know shiat.
 
2020-04-21 10:23:12 PM  
We knew the way out, but we refused.

We knew how to stop it coming in, and did nothing.

We knew how to contain it, but murf reedumbs

This country, mark my words, is going to be a smoking crater.
 
2020-04-21 11:09:39 PM  
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2020-04-22 12:10:38 AM  
10 Run  obvious.exe
20 Print
30 Goto 10
 
2020-04-22 12:33:24 AM  
Anyone who's not an idiot knows this.

/America is screwed
 
2020-04-22 12:57:37 AM  
I shudder to think what some of you will wake up to when this passes... But then again you'll probably have the next impeachment to keep you busy.
 
2020-04-22 2:25:57 AM  

BlazeTrailer: Pincy: Small price to pay to make the 1% happy.

Meanwhile, what did we pay an institution with the prestige of MIT to spit THIS conclusion back at us?


It's one thing to state the obvious. It's another to state the obvious and here's a supercomputer simulation that agrees.

In the first case, the GOPer liars will just bring up some paid shill to lie and drag it down to who-to-believe. It's at least -slightly- harder to do that when there's hard simulation output backing the honest people up.
 
2020-04-22 2:57:54 AM  
Obvious tag died last week, choking on its own dissolving lungs.
 
2020-04-22 3:06:07 AM  
That was disappointing, no graphs or pie-charts.
 
2020-04-22 3:20:24 AM  

big pig peaches: In other words company uses technical mumbo-jumbo to bilk millions of dollars from the government.


Millions ? With an m ?

That's cute.
 
2020-04-22 7:53:38 AM  

fark'emfeed'emfish: There is no occasion under which a communicable disease will not "spike," after a "quarantine," is "relaxed," unless "civilization," has ended in the meantime.


The question is how much will it spike, because things like suicides and overdoses are spiking their own curves now. We've got to balance the damage of the lockdown against its benefits.

I think peoples initial assumption was we'd just hang out at home for a month or two and someone would cook up a vaccine or a magic cure and put an end to this.  The truth is more complicated and the 'cure it before it kills' route is a few years at best.
Many industries are going to go under in the mean time, leaving millions out of work and no source of money to tax and redistribute to pay for that. There's the risk of a long term depression that will wreck our mortality numbers (among many things). This is creating a problem the scale of which no political party can solve.

If you think that the economy just affects the wealthy then remember they've got luxury yachts and South Pacific islands to hide on while everyone else is standing in a bread line. This is not a problem for them, it's a problem for half of the workforce that depends on small businesses.

While I might not agree with the decision I can understand why someone, who just the initial disease models underperform to a wild amount, would question the new models. They'd be tempted to throw caution to the wind on covid in the name of avoiding many other bad outcomes.
 
2020-04-22 3:12:12 PM  
img.memecdn.comView Full Size
 
2020-04-22 4:45:09 PM  
Let me guess...

If you are exposed to the virus, that virus does not give a flying fark whether the overall cases this week are less then the previous week.   Just past the peek is not the time to stop.
 
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