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(Guardian)   As if Harvey, Irma, and Maria didn't bring enough big water: U.S. Gulf Coast going back to pucker factor 5, cuz here comes Nate   ( theguardian.com) divider line
    More: Scary, Tropical cyclone, Gulf Coast, Tropical Storm Nate, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, NHC spokesman Dennis, offshore oil rigs, northern Gulf Coast  
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4477 clicks; posted to Main » on 06 Oct 2017 at 8:20 AM (2 weeks ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2017-10-06 09:51:17 AM  
www.hotelroomsearch.net
 
2017-10-06 09:54:54 AM  

FormlessOne: The fun part? This is most likely the new normal.


Chinese hoaxes coming on a monthly basis does not sound like much fun to me.
 
2017-10-06 09:56:22 AM  
So, all we need now to make this a truly farky year, is for a disaster to shut down the lower california area and it's plants and ports

/so glad i bought a small car
 
2017-10-06 09:58:34 AM  
At least he's moving fast enough that he's not going to dump an ass ton of rain in any one spot.
 
2017-10-06 10:02:54 AM  

RobertGash: The sewage and water board of New Orleans is run like the good old days of the mob when people were getting no-show jobs like candy at Halloween.


They're hoping the Trump-waxing-idiotic factor will save their bacon.
 
2017-10-06 10:11:29 AM  
"This has been a Category 5, which few people have ever even heard of -- a Category shiatting land."

No worries then, few people even heard so it's not likely to happen again, right?
 
2017-10-06 10:12:57 AM  

anti-riaa: "This has been a Category 5, which few people have ever even heard of -- a Category shiatting land."

No worries then, few people even heard so it's not likely to happen again, right?


wow - i literally pasted Category shiatting. And it changed automatically huh
 
2017-10-06 10:14:03 AM  

anti-riaa: anti-riaa: "This has been a Category 5, which few people have ever even heard of -- a Category shiatting land."

No worries then, few people even heard so it's not likely to happen again, right?

wow - i literally pasted Category shiatting. And it changed automatically huh


ok - that's funny fark. Category FIVE hitting.
 
2017-10-06 10:14:05 AM  
I also accidentally posted this in the "leopard in the car factory" comments...

Tropical Storm Nate Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162017
400 AM CDT Fri Oct 06 2017
An Air Force plane fixed the center of Nate as it was moving back
over the waters of the Gulf of Honduras a few hours ago. The minimum
central pressure was estimated at 999 mb, and a combination of
flight-level and the SFMR winds yield an intensity of 40 kt. The
surface circulation is broad, and the strongest winds are within a
cyclonically curved band in the eastern semicircle. Radar from
Honduras also helped to track the center when the cyclone was over
Honduras.  Nate is moving toward the very warm waters of the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and within an environment of light shear.
On this basis, the NHC forecast calls for some strengthening through
the next 48 hours, and Nate is expected to be a Category one
hurricane by the time it is close to the U.S. coast. The interaction
with the Yucatan peninsula, however, could halt the strengthening
temporarily in the 12 to 24 hour period.  Once Nate moves inland
over the U.S., weakening is anticipated and the cyclone most likely
will dissipate by the end of the forecast period.

Nate is moving toward the north-northwest or 340 degrees at 12 kt.
The cyclone is sandwiched between a large cyclonic gyre over
Central America and a developing subtropical ridge over the
western Atlantic. This flow pattern should steer Nate on the same
general north-northwest track with a marked increase in forward
speed for the next 2 days. After that time,  Nate should be on the
northern edge of the subtropical high and become steered toward the
northeast by the mid-latitude westerly flow. The confidence in the
track forecast is high since most of the reliable guidance have come
to a very good agreement, and models are tightly clustered at least
for the next 2 to 3 days.  The NHC forecast is in the middle of the
envelope.
 
2017-10-06 10:24:38 AM  

Ambivalence: MaudlinMutantMollusk: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

A Cat 1 isn't really all that bad, though

It's NOLA.  Any hurricane is bad for NOLA.  Hell, just a heavy rain can flood the streets if the pumps are having a bad day.


The pumps are having a bad year.

As I recall, a good chunk of them weren't working a month ago, I haven't seen a followup article about them being functional again.

Maybe they are, but somehow I suspect that's still a problem.
 
2017-10-06 10:40:11 AM  

anti-riaa: anti-riaa: anti-riaa: "This has been a Category 5, which few people have ever even heard of -- a Category shiatting land."

No worries then, few people even heard so it's not likely to happen again, right?

wow - i literally pasted Category shiatting. And it changed automatically huh

ok - that's funny fark. Category FIVE hitting.


I get it. You wrote Cat shiatting land and it was too close to the number 5 being used like an S. Hmm, interesting.
 
2017-10-06 10:42:02 AM  

OMGSTFU: anti-riaa: anti-riaa: anti-riaa: "This has been a Category 5, which few people have ever even heard of -- a Category shiatting land."

No worries then, few people even heard so it's not likely to happen again, right?

wow - i literally pasted Category shiatting. And it changed automatically huh

ok - that's funny fark. Category FIVE hitting.

I get it. You wrote Cat five-hitting land and it was too close to the number 5 being used like an S. Hmm, interesting.


Hey... it happened to me too! 😤
 
2017-10-06 10:44:19 AM  

dripping with sarcasm: Where are the religious wingnuts decrying this is happening because we elected a heathen to the White House?


That only happens when their candidate doesn't get elected.
 
2017-10-06 10:46:57 AM  

FormlessOne: The fun part? This is most likely the new normal.


It certainly looks that way if one considers the Atlantic basin storm counts...

img.fark.net

But the data are far less clear in the Pacific...

img.fark.net

And not at all when one looks at the global data...

img.fark.net
 
2017-10-06 11:08:44 AM  

DarkVader: Ambivalence: MaudlinMutantMollusk: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

A Cat 1 isn't really all that bad, though

It's NOLA.  Any hurricane is bad for NOLA.  Hell, just a heavy rain can flood the streets if the pumps are having a bad day.

The pumps are having a bad year.

As I recall, a good chunk of them weren't working a month ago, I haven't seen a followup article about them being functional again.

Maybe they are, but somehow I suspect that's still a problem.


Supposedly 90 percent of the pumps can operate at capacity and the remaining could operate at 50 percent, if needed.
 
2017-10-06 11:09:24 AM  

enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.


So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?
 
2017-10-06 11:10:49 AM  

SomeAmerican: MaudlinMutantMollusk: Heh... I built some of the control systems for some of the pumps

/If NOLA is still that fragile this long after Katrina, maybe it would be best to rebuild elsewhere
//Nature isn't nice

Nature may be fickle and cruel, but she's still a lot kinder and more predictable than humanity.


Geez...everyone on Fark is waxing poetic.

/nothing wrong with smoothness, though
 
2017-10-06 11:24:49 AM  

Resident Muslim: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?


img.fark.net
 
2017-10-06 11:25:54 AM  
img.fark.net
 
2017-10-06 11:27:10 AM  

Resident Muslim: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?


Depression... that thing we've all been dealing with lately.
 
2017-10-06 11:49:13 AM  
It's just Nate. He's gonna crash on your couch, drink all your beer and stink up the place for a while.
 
2017-10-06 11:55:44 AM  

Hospitaller: DarkVader: Ambivalence: MaudlinMutantMollusk: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

A Cat 1 isn't really all that bad, though

It's NOLA.  Any hurricane is bad for NOLA.  Hell, just a heavy rain can flood the streets if the pumps are having a bad day.

The pumps are having a bad year.

As I recall, a good chunk of them weren't working a month ago, I haven't seen a followup article about them being functional again.

Maybe they are, but somehow I suspect that's still a problem.

Supposedly 90 percent of the pumps can operate at capacity and the remaining could operate at 50 percent, if needed.


Considering "all pumps are functioning normally" was their tag line right before it was exposed that  only a handful were operating at all, I'm going to take that information with a grain of salt the size of Jupiter.
 
2017-10-06 11:58:49 AM  

Resident Muslim: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?


"Depression."

It goes Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm, Hurricane, Major Hurricane.
 
2017-10-06 11:58:53 AM  
Maybe we have too many people and need to be thinned down?
 
2017-10-06 12:02:14 PM  
img.fark.net

Since I am in Biloxi, I guess I'll take care of this.

/sucks for our yearly Car Cruise right now.
 
2017-10-06 12:03:43 PM  

enry: Resident Muslim: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?

[img.fark.net image 400x480]


Who ever knew Shake would go to the dark side.
 
2017-10-06 12:17:50 PM  

Mister Buttons: Resident Muslim: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?

Depression... that thing we've all been dealing with lately.


:)
 
2017-10-06 12:22:25 PM  

MSBFDffpm: enry: Resident Muslim: enry: PreMortem: dstanley: [www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x697]
NOLA residents, *now* would be a good time to leave.

I'm no Tom Skilling, but that looks like a typical tropical storm, not a whole lot to worry about. Certainly doesn't seem to indicate it will be hurricane strength at all.

The 'H' over NOLA means hurricane.

So "S" is storm?
H for hurricane...
And D for...devastation?

/or just drizzle?

[img.fark.net image 400x480]

Who ever knew Shake would go to the dark side.


It was a long time back.

upload.wikimedia.org
 
2017-10-06 12:38:58 PM  
22 dead already. Fark. If Nate isn't as murderous as his sisters and his brother Harvey, well, won't be because the kid didn't try.

High time for an update from Met Fark (as of 11am).

img.fark.net

Good news: risk of hurricane force winds is still quite low, and the city at most risk (Mobile) has only an 11 percent chance of hurricane wind speeds.

If Nate makes landfall as a hurricane he's not expected to be more than a weak Cat 1 (70kt wind speed). That said, the NHC have been wrong before.

Gale force (>34kt) winds are possible as far north as Atlanta (35% chance). Storm force winds (>50kt) are possible throughout eastern LA, southeast Mississippi (Gulfport 39%) and most of Alabama (Mobile 40%).
 
2017-10-06 12:54:00 PM  
Well, so much for my NDO tomorrow, as all first responders will be assisting in safely getting our Cruisin' the Coast guests out of dodge.  In 21 years I think this is the only other time we have had to condense or cancel this, even though Nate's path has shifted again (further towards Alabama).
 
2017-10-06 01:00:03 PM  

Best Princess Celestia: Maybe we have too many people and need to be thinned down?


Sounds like a Pro-Choice argument if ever I heard one.

/but that's not what you meant at all
 
2017-10-06 01:02:18 PM  
I sent this as a link submission.
http://thecrpost.com/2017/10/05/18-amazing-photos-todays-floods-in-co​s​ta-rica/

We are in Guanacaste, Costa Rica. I'm happy that we didn't suffer too much damage, but surrounding areas have been destroyed. At least 22 people have died - between Costa Rica and Nicaragua. A few dozen here are missing. President Solis has asked for a national day of mourning.

Next week, we'll be working with the church here in town to collect goods, food and necessities for affected areas.

If you are so inclined to donate to a reputable charitable organization, I hope you will consider doing so.

Thank you.
 
2017-10-06 01:03:10 PM  

Parrahs: [vignette.wikia.nocookie.net image 200x298]


No farks given, Nate will just power-stomp you with Mark VI power armor for the BoS.
 
2017-10-06 01:10:46 PM  

MSBFDffpm: [img.fark.net image 600x531]

Since I am in Biloxi, I guess I'll take care of this.

/sucks for our yearly Car Cruise right now.


I'm in d'Iberville at work and live in St Martin.  Not going to extreme measures for prep, just making sure everything is where it should be.
 
2017-10-06 01:28:29 PM  

phenn: I sent this as a link submission.
http://thecrpost.com/2017/10/05/18-amazing-photos-todays-floods-in-cos​ta-rica/

We are in Guanacaste, Costa Rica. I'm happy that we didn't suffer too much damage, but surrounding areas have been destroyed. At least 22 people have died - between Costa Rica and Nicaragua. A few dozen here are missing. President Solis has asked for a national day of mourning.

Next week, we'll be working with the church here in town to collect goods, food and necessities for affected areas.

If you are so inclined to donate to a reputable charitable organization, I hope you will consider doing so.

Thank you.


No...Thank You!...and Stay Safe.  We're looking at maybe 4' on the Gulf Coast, which is way better than the 10 - 12" we had back in the Spring.
 
2017-10-06 01:30:30 PM  

Archie Goodwin: Mother Nature is sending you Americans a message.


Yeah, we're not falling for that and moving Down Under...even the trees want to kill you there.
 
2017-10-06 01:32:34 PM  

Hospitaller: MSBFDffpm: [img.fark.net image 600x531]

Since I am in Biloxi, I guess I'll take care of this.

/sucks for our yearly Car Cruise right now.

I'm in d'Iberville at work and live in St Martin.  Not going to extreme measures for prep, just making sure everything is where it should be.


Yup, same here.  Since our house is "raised", we utilize all that space for entertaining.  I'll be spending the afternoon putting up all our chairs and tables, covering the pool and BBQ grill, etc.  Still way better than last Spring *quack*...tomorrow a lot of us will be playing "traffic cops".  Be Safe.
 
2017-10-06 01:33:13 PM  

Hospitaller: Supposedly 90 percent of the pumps can operate at capacity and the remaining could operate at 50 percent, if needed.


So, it's a hobo with a bucket, is what you're telling me...
 
2017-10-06 01:36:28 PM  
Watched the local news here in Charlotte this morning, their take on it was "we might get some needed rain!"

/f*cking Buckle of the Bible Belt
 
2017-10-06 01:50:48 PM  

PunGent: Hospitaller: Supposedly 90 percent of the pumps can operate at capacity and the remaining could operate at 50 percent, if needed.

So, it's a hobo with a bucket, is what you're telling me...


Pretty much.
 
2017-10-06 01:57:32 PM  

Parrahs: [vignette.wikia.nocookie.net image 200x298]


Yeah, well I'm not so keen on you either!
 
2017-10-06 01:57:58 PM  
 
2017-10-06 02:11:09 PM  
Gonna hit the east side, just north of Belize
On a mission tryin' find some warmer seas
 
2017-10-06 05:15:21 PM  
At the moment, I would say the pucker factor is like 1.5? Buy up all the bread and bottled water. Clear out if you are outside of the protected areas. There is always the chance that this thing stalls but current projections appear to be fairly mild.

That being said, fark this storm for making me re-schedule my 4 year old's birthday party. Fun story, I found another day and time only to come home to the news that one of his classmates was having a party on that date and time. Also the goldfish died.
 
2017-10-06 05:18:23 PM  

Stone Meadow: FormlessOne: The fun part? This is most likely the new normal.

It certainly looks that way if one considers the Atlantic basin storm counts...

[img.fark.net image 850x604]

But the data are far less clear in the Pacific...

[img.fark.net image 850x637]

And not at all when one looks at the global data...

[img.fark.net image 850x378]


I don't argue against the world's continual ride in a hand basket, but suspect some Atlantic basin storms were missed in the early days of recording such features. Think of how many of these don't hit land. Some were sure to escape detection or official recognition in the 1800s.

PS - Everything generally gets worse as we continue
 
2017-10-06 05:53:41 PM  
The number of tropical storms that never became hurricanes has been increasing.  I would guess that would be due to satellites and the increasing ability to judge wind speeds and direction over the last 40 years.
 
2017-10-07 04:14:19 PM  

dripping with sarcasm: Where are the religious wingnuts decrying this is happening because we elected a heathen to the White House?


They're still boycotting Target because somebody other than Donald Trump might peep at a young girl in a dressing room. No really, they're actually doing this for this "reason." Well that's the explicit reason.

The implicit reason, as usual, is "We feel it's our sacred Christian duty to be shiatheels to our LGBT neighbors."
 
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