If you can read this, either the style sheet didn't load or you have an older browser that doesn't support style sheets. Try clearing your browser cache and refreshing the page.

(Yahoo)   Computer simulation says the Broncos will defeat the Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX, Dewey will defeat Truman   (sports.yahoo.com) divider line 147
    More: Unlikely, Seahawks, Super Bowl, Broncos, Denver Broncos, Vince Lombardi Trophy, NFC, New England Patriots, nfl seasons  
•       •       •

440 clicks; posted to Sports » on 15 Aug 2014 at 12:31 PM (9 weeks ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



147 Comments   (+0 »)
   
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Last | Show all
 
2014-08-15 11:29:12 AM  
"Unlikely"? It's entirely possible. What is "unlikely" is a Browns-Lions clash.
 
2014-08-15 12:01:09 PM  
Hahahahaha,

/No.
 
2014-08-15 12:34:24 PM  

tnpir: Browns-Lions clash


hey man, I just want to see the Lions make it to the NFC championship. This is *their* year, man

/go Pats
 
2014-08-15 12:42:11 PM  
It will happen because Peyton Manning is a juggernaut in every Super Bowl he has played in.
His 81.0 Passer rating proves it.
 
2014-08-15 12:42:18 PM  
But Patriots is best NFL team this year
 
2014-08-15 12:46:08 PM  

The_Sponge: Hahahahaha,

/No.


no shiat, hard for them to beat the 'Hawks when the Broncos will be playing the Eagles


/;-)
 
2014-08-15 01:04:56 PM  
SB XLIX, Sponsored by Ex-lax?
 
2014-08-15 01:06:15 PM  
I think a Bears/Packers superbowl is more possible.
 
2014-08-15 01:08:31 PM  
According to the simulation I ran the Oakland Raiders are going to win it because Bo Jackson is friggin' unstoppable in that game.
 
2014-08-15 01:19:27 PM  
Tell me who will get injured this year and I'll attempt to predict a super bowl winner.

The NFL is the least predictable of the major professional sports because it's such a meat grinder and you never know who will fall and how good the next man up will be.
 
2014-08-15 01:22:18 PM  

aintnuttintofarkwith: But Patriots is best NFL team this year


dude, I would love to see the Pats shake off Brady's inability to throw anymore but I gotta tell ya, we'd be lucky to make it out of the division playoff game (okay, not so much lucky as expected, the AFC East blows)
 
2014-08-15 01:24:21 PM  

CodeMonkey4Life: The NFL is the least predictable of the major professional sports because it's such a meat grinder and you never know who will fall and how good the next man up will be.there are fewer games than other major professional sports, which results in more variable results. The one-and-done playoff format contributes to this.


FTFY
 
2014-08-15 01:27:51 PM  

IAmRight: CodeMonkey4Life: The NFL is the least predictable of the major professional sports because it's such a meat grinder and you never know who will fall and how good the next man up will be.there are fewer games than other major professional sports, which results in more variable results. The one-and-done playoff format contributes to this.

FTFY


You're both pretty princesses.
 
2014-08-15 01:29:10 PM  
Turns out that when you base your simulation on last year's stats, you get pretty much the same result as last year

/Neither will be in the SB
//But I don't know who will be there instead
 
2014-08-15 01:33:25 PM  
It will really depend on how much improved the AFC has become.  I'm sure the Broncos still have a good chance of going back to the big game, but they still would have lost last year to the Niners, Saints, Panthers, or Cardinals just because the NFC was that much better.
 
2014-08-15 01:33:26 PM  

Shame Us: IAmRight: CodeMonkey4Life: The NFL is the least predictable of the major professional sports because it's such a meat grinder and you never know who will fall and how good the next man up will be.there are fewer games than other major professional sports, which results in more variable results. The one-and-done playoff format contributes to this.

FTFY

You're both pretty princesses.


Royalties aside, It's hard to argue they aren't both correct.
 
2014-08-15 01:40:46 PM  
Look, a slapdick like Eli Manning and the Giants could come along. Sure, they're not good, but Eli's a high-variance QB and he can string together a few competent games and win a Super Bowl sometimes. Sure, in the other years, he can't so much as make the playoffs, but when he does, he tends to miracle his way to a title.

Every time Peyton goes to a SB, Eli gets to go to one shortly thereafter.
 
2014-08-15 01:40:49 PM  
Getting through the NFC - and specifically the NFC West - will be an ubelievable feat for whoever does it. If it's the Seahawks again, it'll be one of the greater accomplishments in NFL history to have done it 2 years in a row. Hell, in my estimation the NFC North and NFC South are better, top to bottom, than any division the AFC has to offer.
 
2014-08-15 01:40:54 PM  
Is this a repeat from January? Because the simulations had Denver winning back then, too. That's why they play the actual game.
 
2014-08-15 01:50:11 PM  
Hell, even the Super Bowl is a good example of the one-and-done nature. Now, I think the Seahawks still win more often than not, but holy sh*t that game couldn't have gone much worse for the Broncos, from the opening-play safety to the kick return TD to open the second half.

Seahawks drop a couple of those INTs instead of holding on? Say Denver actually puts together a solid drive at the beginning and doesn't immediately slash their wrists in shark-infested waters? Could've at least been an interesting game (for anyone who wasn't a Seahawks fan...though I really don't care if they enjoyed it or not).

They play 10 times, I think Seahawks win 6 close ones, 1 blowout, and Denver wins 3 close ones. Happened to land on blowout, but it doesn't mean Denver is THAT inferior to Seattle.
 
2014-08-15 01:53:47 PM  

IAmRight: Look, a slapdick like Eli Manning and the Giants could come along. Sure, they're not good, but Eli's a high-variance QB and he can string together a few competent games and win a Super Bowl sometimes. Sure, in the other years, he can't so much as make the playoffs, but when he does, he tends to miracle his way to a title.

Every time Peyton goes to a SB, Eli gets to go to one shortly thereafter.


If the Pats lose one more superb owl to the gotdamn Giants I swear to god...I ...they...hur

/head exploded
 
2014-08-15 01:53:51 PM  
With its small sample sizes, computer simulations are terrible at predicting football results because there's not enough data to base the calculations on and the number of events in a given game are too few to really reflect those calculations in any reasonable manner.

That said, there's one easy calculation that you can make to predict who's going to win this seasons SB.

XLIX = 49.

Book it.
 
2014-08-15 01:58:43 PM  

On the Side: If the Pats lose one more superb owl to the gotdamn Giants I swear to god...I ...they...hur


Hell, the last playoff run included roughly 100,000 fumbles by the Packers (as well as not defending a Hail Mary), and the 49ers muffing/fumbling TWO punts (the Giants' biggest offensive plays of the day).
 
2014-08-15 01:59:41 PM  

Shame Us: Getting through the NFC - and specifically the NFC West - will be an ubelievable feat for whoever does it. If it's the Seahawks again, it'll be one of the greater accomplishments in NFL history to have done it 2 years in a row. Hell, in my estimation the NFC North and NFC South are better, top to bottom, than any division the AFC has to offer.


if Brady and Manning retired tomorrow the AFC would be ruled by teams like the Jags and Jets, the top AFC teams just don't have as much depth atm
 
2014-08-15 02:00:28 PM  
Plus the Seahawks can't make it until 2018, that's the next time it's in a stupid place to hold an event in winter.

/Detroit and NYC
//2018 is Minnesota
 
2014-08-15 02:02:58 PM  
ZOMG I just saw the Pats schedule. They are only playing one hard team and that's at home. They could totally go 18-0.
 
2014-08-15 02:11:23 PM  

AdamK: Shame Us: Getting through the NFC - and specifically the NFC West - will be an ubelievable feat for whoever does it. If it's the Seahawks again, it'll be one of the greater accomplishments in NFL history to have done it 2 years in a row. Hell, in my estimation the NFC North and NFC South are better, top to bottom, than any division the AFC has to offer.

if Brady and Manning retired tomorrow the AFC would be ruled by teams like the Jags and Jets, the top AFC teams just don't have as much depth atm


Colts, Ravens, Bengals. Those three would make up 2 of the AFCC teams for sure if Brady and Manning both got knee capped.

There's a few teams that would make waves if they had a decent QB - Browns maybe (D is solid - Gordon doesn't help though), Houston, Cheifs, Miami, Buffalo.

It certainly helps the NFC that they hit on a few good QBs in the later rounds. Also, years of horrible play followed by high draft picks help.

The biggest difference between the conferences is really who'shiat on a QB and who hasn't in the last 4 years.
 
2014-08-15 02:15:33 PM  
There are probably 10-12 teams in the NFL that have the depth and the talent to win the Super Bowl this year.  There are probably 3 or 4 more who might unexpectedly overachieve and get hot at the right time.

Injuries to key players will knock half these contending teams out of the race by the end of December.

Trying to predict who the resulting 8 teams left, right now, might be fun but is utterly futile.  If Seattle or San Fran have a rash of injuries to their O-Line, they are screwed.  If Peyton Manning's neck pops, Denver is screwed.  If Gronk gets hurt heading into the playoffs again this year, the Pats are probably screwed.

On the other hand, there are teams like Kansas City and Cincinnati who might take that next step.  If Julio Jones has a monster year Atlanta might take that next step.  If Chicago's defense stays healthy, they might be that team.  St. Louis has a nice defense ... if Bradford somehow stays healthy, Zac Stacey emerges as the next super running back, and they win close divisional games, they could win the Superbowl.  It is as likely as Seattle winning it all last year.

The fun thing for football fans is seeing how the whole thing plays out.
 
2014-08-15 02:17:31 PM  

Brokenseas: If Seattle or San Fran have a rash of injuries to their O-Line, they are screwed.


Like if Seattle loses their Pro Bowlers for half a season or so? They did pretty well last year.

/though they do have less veteran depth this year
 
2014-08-15 02:18:02 PM  

Clash City Farker: ZOMG I just saw the Pats schedule. They are only playing one hard team and that's at home. They could totally go 18-0.


There are 16 regular games and 3 or 4 playoffs. You either mean 18-1 (which is a joke I assume) or 19-0 (which is also funny).
 
2014-08-15 02:20:07 PM  
I want to believe
 
2014-08-15 02:28:11 PM  
Computer simulation? More like they did a full CPU vs CPU season on the latest iteration of Madden Football.
 
2014-08-15 02:28:39 PM  
Having a couple of interns play advance copies of Madden may qualify as a "computer simulations show"..I am kind of conflicted on the value of this research.
 
2014-08-15 02:29:08 PM  

IAmRight: Every time Peyton goes to a SB, Eli gets to go to one shortly thereafter.


I'll take "Small Sample Sizes" for $400, Alex.
 
2014-08-15 02:31:03 PM  

Gonz: I'll take "Small Sample Sizes" for $400, Alex.


That's what all football predictions are based on.
 
2014-08-15 02:34:25 PM  

Brokenseas: If Seattle or San Fran have a rash of injuries to their O-Line, they are screwed.


Seattle won the Super Bowl with a patchwork O-Line last year. Hell, they beat SF 29-3 with Paul f*cking McQuistan at LT.
 
2014-08-15 02:44:44 PM  
That's assuming either team in in it. I bet neither one makes it this year.
 
2014-08-15 02:50:56 PM  
www.fantasyomatic.com
Never not funny.
 
2014-08-15 02:53:57 PM  

abhorrent1: That's assuming either team in in it. I bet neither one makes it this year.


that's a good bet.

In the salary cap era I would let the other guy pick any two teams he wanted and take the other 30 teams.

there are probably a dozen teams good enough but only one will be lucky enough
 
2014-08-15 02:57:56 PM  

This Looks Fun: Clash City Farker: ZOMG I just saw the Pats schedule. They are only playing one hard team and that's at home. They could totally go 18-0.

There are 16 regular games and 3 or 4 playoffs. You either mean 18-1 (which is a joke I assume) or 19-0 (which is also funny).


they could go 18-1 like the '84 49ers and '85 Bears

Deneb81: AdamK: Shame Us: Getting through the NFC - and specifically the NFC West - will be an ubelievable feat for whoever does it. If it's the Seahawks again, it'll be one of the greater accomplishments in NFL history to have done it 2 years in a row. Hell, in my estimation the NFC North and NFC South are better, top to bottom, than any division the AFC has to offer.

if Brady and Manning retired tomorrow the AFC would be ruled by teams like the Jags and Jets, the top AFC teams just don't have as much depth atm

Colts, Ravens, Bengals. Those three would make up 2 of the AFCC teams for sure if Brady and Manning both got knee capped.

There's a few teams that would make waves if they had a decent QB - Browns maybe (D is solid - Gordon doesn't help though), Houston, Cheifs, Miami, Buffalo.

It certainly helps the NFC that they hit on a few good QBs in the later rounds. Also, years of horrible play followed by high draft picks help.

The biggest difference between the conferences is really who'shiat on a QB and who hasn't in the last 4 years.


i think the biggest difference is simply better building through the draft, which would be a symptom of better management and coaching staffs... of course it helps when you have like-minded talented coaching staffs you have to compete against in your own division/conference because it drives up the competition and execution level all year and especially through the playoffs
 
2014-08-15 03:02:16 PM  
NFC: Packers, provided that Rogers' offensive line doesn't get him killed
AFC: Colts/Patriots (One team because of hard work, the other because their division is practically a huge bye week. Guess which one? Haha)
 
2014-08-15 03:09:04 PM  

LegacyDL: NFC: Packers, provided that Rogers' offensive line doesn't get him killed


Did they figure out what defense was in the offseason? They basically earned Kaepernick his entire contract.
 
2014-08-15 03:22:09 PM  

IAmRight: LegacyDL: NFC: Packers, provided that Rogers' offensive line doesn't get him killed

Did they figure out what defense was in the offseason? They basically earned Kaepernick his entire contract.


If their defense winds up being horrible, then Rogers will just work a bit harder than usual. I mean it's not like they have the Cowboy's defense haha.
 
2014-08-15 03:24:15 PM  
From Peter King:
"Time marches on for [Aaron] Rodgers. He's 30 now, and though it seems his football life just started, he's in the middle age of what's shaping up to be a historic career. His career quarterback rating (104.9) is the best ever, 7.7 points higher than Peyton Manning's. His interceptions percentage-1.8 picks per 100 throws-is the lowest of any active passer. His yards per attempt, 8.2, is the best of any quarterback playing. Only Drew Brees (65.9 percent) has a better completion rate, and that's just by a smidge-Rodgers' is 65.8 percent."

If he stays healthy, and has Nelson and Cobb to throw to and Eddie Lacey to run the ball, it won't matter that much about the defense, although as a Packer fan, I admit the whole Dom Capers regime has sucked ass from day one. To think there is a better QB than Rodgers in the NFL right now is absurd. And this is coming from someone (me) who was/is a huge fan of Brett Favre. Rodgers is an efficiency machine - he can make all the throws - 5-step pocket, quick drop, rolling out to either side, slant, deep, sideline, back shoulder, seam routes, take your pick. The only way to stop him is, as was shown last year, to knock him out of the game. If they ever got a legitimate Defensive Coordinator in Green Bay, it'd be lights out for the rest of the league.
 
2014-08-15 03:24:57 PM  
Their machine must be broken, I didn't see "Superbowl Champion Oakland Raiders" anywhere in that article.
 
2014-08-15 03:42:05 PM  

AdamK: This Looks Fun: Clash City Farker: ZOMG I just saw the Pats schedule. They are only playing one hard team and that's at home. They could totally go 18-0.

There are 16 regular games and 3 or 4 playoffs. You either mean 18-1 (which is a joke I assume) or 19-0 (which is also funny).

they could go 18-1 like the '84 49ers and '85 Bears


My point is that 18-0 is not possible as a final record.
 
2014-08-15 03:52:05 PM  
i1182.photobucket.com
 
2014-08-15 04:05:36 PM  

Shame Us: Getting through the NFC - and specifically the NFC West - will be an ubelievable feat for whoever does it. If it's the Seahawks again, it'll be one of the greater accomplishments in NFL history to have done it 2 years in a row. Hell, in my estimation the NFC North and NFC South are better, top to bottom, than any division the AFC has to offer.


Pretty sure the NFC East can put up a better team than what the AFC has to offer.  I'd love to see Eagles & Patriots again, just for the LOLs.
 
2014-08-15 04:15:57 PM  

tnpir: "Unlikely"? It's entirely possible. What is "unlikely" is a Browns-Lions clash.


Unlikely is either of those teams making the playoffs. Those teams facing off in the Super Bowl is an affront in the face of God.
 
2014-08-15 04:34:45 PM  

This Looks Fun: My point is that 18-0 is not possible as a final record.


No one said it had to be their final record.
 
Displayed 50 of 147 comments

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Last | Show all

View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest


This thread is closed to new comments.

Continue Farking
Submit a Link »






Report