chimp_ninja: PECOTA's projection for Gearrin was 57 innings of 3.45 ERA. That's not quite "just call any AAA team", but it's pretty close (0.5 WAR expected). There aren't that many relievers that are devastating to lose.The bigger problem for the Braves is that it looks like the starting rotation is Teheran/Minor/E.Santana/Wood/Hale. Maybe Aaron Harang creeps in there. I like Alex Wood and Mike Minor, but the other guys are either unexciting or inexperienced.As for the lineup, 3B (Chris Johnson? Tyler Pastornicky?) is a big question mark, and the Doumit/Gattis catching tandem might be historically bad defensively. Both of them are terrible at framing (receiving a pitch in a way that helps convince umpires it's a strike), blocking, and controlling the running game, and that's a young staff to be stacking that on,However, if a corner outfielder gets hurt, it might be time for JOEY TERDOSLAVICH. (Disclaimer: Not necessarily good at baseball. However, Terdoslavich.)
mommatoldme: Braves will have fewer fans...give Montreal a team...they might appreciate
chimp_ninja: As for the lineup, 3B (Chris Johnson? Tyler Pastornicky?) is a big question mark
chimp_ninja: However, if a corner outfielder gets hurt, it might be time for JOEY TERDOSLAVICH. (Disclaimer: Not necessarily good at baseball. However, Terdoslavich.)
ox45tallboy: With the numbers Chris Johnson was putting up last season, I'm not seeing much of a question mark.
DeWayne Mann: And yet, despite having such a high BABIP (and batting average), he was worth just 2.8 fWAR last year, thanks to bad baserunning, bad defense and the fact that he was basically just hitting singles (5.3 BB%, .136 ISO).
ox45tallboy: If he can keep his BA over .300
ox45tallboy: I think he'll be solid but unremarkable, a slightly above-average player this season.
ox45tallboy: if he doesn't start slugging a bit better, Fredi can always move him to number 2
DeWayne Mann: ox45tallboy: If he can keep his BA over .300No projection system has him hitting .300 this year. Oliver comes close, at .299/.340/.433. I generally use ZiPS, but it likes him a bit less than I do; it projects him for .275/.315/.423.ox45tallboy: I think he'll be solid but unremarkable, a slightly above-average player this season.Again, he was a a slightly above-average player last season, despite what looks like a fluke hitting season. At 29 years old, just how much do you think the rest of his game will improve?ox45tallboy: if he doesn't start slugging a bit better, Fredi can always move him to number 2A career .328 OBP doesn't exactly scream "second most plate appearances on the team" to me.
ox45tallboy: Better baserunning will come with experience, as will better defense. He'll improve in some areas at the same time his BA will decline slightly as catchers/pitchers figure out what works best against him. I think he'll be solid but unremarkable, a slightly above-average player this season. And that's okay.There a lot worse kinds of baseball player than one who can't slug but can consistently hit singles.
chimp_ninja: Except it's essentially his only worthwhile baseball skill.
v2micca: While I agree with you, sadly, it would probably be an improvement over the production we are likely to receive from our current number 2 hitter.
ox45tallboy: I'm not saying this guy is the best hitter since Pete Rose. I'm saying he's good enough at hitting singles consistently to be a valuable member of the team. Those singles also move a baserunner to second, and put a man on base for your cleanup guys to bring in.
chimp_ninja: This would be a better argument for a #2 hitter with a high OBP. Chris Johnson isn't likely to be that guy, for the hack-at-slop reasons I mentioned above.
chimp_ninja: If he's the same guy as last year but his BABIP goes from "lucky" to "unlucky", he's almost unplayable.
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