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(io9)   Researchers predict Facebook will die "like a disease". With a graph and everything   (io9.com) divider line 18
    More: Obvious, Facebook, diseases, researchers, infectious diseases, Google Trends, search query, online social networks  
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8828 clicks; posted to Main » on 23 Jan 2014 at 5:18 AM (48 weeks ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



Voting Results (Smartest)
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2014-01-22 08:37:22 PM  
3 votes:
As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.
2014-01-23 09:46:42 AM  
2 votes:

farkeruk: MisterTweak: I don't have a FB account and never will, but I would not underestimate it any more than I'd predict McDonalds will go out of business next year. (actually, if you click on the "projection.." button on the google trends graph the article is based on, it ... um... shows it actually on the increase.

The difference is that McDonalds delivers a product, and that product is consistent and good (if you like Big Macs).

The problem with Facebook and all social networks is that the reason for joining are the other people there. Online social networks have the same problem that nightclubs have - if you're the hippest nightclub around, you won't be for long because the unhip people will want to be where the hip people are, and once they do, the hip people won't want to hang around because why would a hip person want to hang out with an unhip person. Then, the unhip people won't want to go there because there aren't any hip people, so they move on to where the hip people went.

Take LinkedIn - I used to get requests from really interesting people for my line of work. Now, I get requests from companies in India trying to sell me software. They've realized there's lots of people on there, and are trying to make money from it, but are ruining the experience for me with their presence. The very success of social networks can be what kills them.


is the word "hip" still used ?


img.fark.net
2014-01-23 05:07:18 AM  
2 votes:
s7.postimage.org
2014-01-22 10:18:39 PM  
2 votes:

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


As an adult, the fact that many young people have left facebook is a good thing. I really don't need to see endless selfies, or be involved in your immature relationship problems, or catch up on your latest problems with your teachers.

What I do want to see is the important events in my adult friends lives. And Facebook does a pretty decent job of that. So kiddies, good bye, we won't miss you.

Oh and the article is a bunch of psuedo-scientific rubbish.
2014-01-22 08:55:15 PM  
2 votes:

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


Heh...my niece and nephew have already moved on and so have my cousins. I still use it and so do most of my  friends. But we are all getting into our 30's and 40's so we are old. But really except for a few people I just stopped caring about it. I can only see so many more pictures of your kids, your food, or some silly "wine coming out of a faucet" poster before I just quit entirely.
2014-01-22 08:47:05 PM  
2 votes:
Possibly.  But curve-fitting doesn't always work out so nicely... for example, the past few months' dropoff could be abnormal and the curve could actually be following something more like this:
img.fark.net
2014-01-23 07:06:25 AM  
1 votes:

Trik: it always felt like a fad
once upon a time there were geocities and like sites, then myspace, then facebook
so where is the migration heading now?


Fark and Slashdot seems to be going through something similar
Used to be on Fark that a photoshop thread would have hundreds of entries. Now it unusual for it to break 40 or 50
And the term sllashdotted is a thing of the past
In Slashdot's case I think it's because the site was sold and people moved on

In Fark's case I *think* people are migrating to reditt(sp?) I really haven't been to the site unless an external link takes me there


Facebook has been better than things like geocities and myspace in that it's done a lot more to make you invested with the site with its minigames and getting involved with allowing commenting on various websites via facebook alone. With a lot of sites you may see a story that annoys you, and then some comments at the bottom which you can only reply to via a facebook profile. They also have various minigames that you can spend time with as little time wasters, which gets people into the habit of just going there all the time instead of places like newgrounds for their flash games.

They're also actively making sure they're ingrained in our culture so that it'll only really be replaced by something about the same. I feel like reddit doesn't quite do that as I don't think you can really setup public profiles on there to talk about how great you are and post constant streams of pictures and comments about how wonderful you are and all the wonderful things you're doing.
2014-01-23 06:34:28 AM  
1 votes:
My takeaway from these threads is that too many of you have either never left your hometown or your friends are incredibly boring.

I have really good friends and family all across the globe. Several of them are witty and funny, so my feed generally keeps me entertained and informed.
2014-01-23 05:53:59 AM  
1 votes:

joshiz: Beyond that, I just don't care enough to scour through the feed like I did. If I catch something, great, but otherwise whatevs.


Which, of course, is why you have to post to online forums telling strangers about how little you care.
2014-01-23 05:37:34 AM  
1 votes:

markfara: I made the mistake of signing up for LinkedIn. That's the beginning and end of my experimenting with social media.

Way, WAY too intrusive for my taste.


Some of my friends signed up for LinkedIn and I guess put me down as a reference or something so now I'm getting spammed to death to "confirm" some shiat and I don't even have an account with them. I'm unreasonably angry about it.
2014-01-23 12:12:20 AM  
1 votes:
I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.
2014-01-22 11:52:08 PM  
1 votes:

meat0918: fusillade762: meat0918: The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.

It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.

Facebook has ads?

I made the mistake of liking some businesses, and their posts are nothing but ads.  Also at the time, Facebook was allowing pages you liked to post as you as well.


Is the "Hide" function really that hard to use?

And my post was sort of a joke. Since I started using Chrome with Adblock I don't see ads on Facebook anymore. I got tired of all the gay dating and hair removal ads.  Especially since I am neither hairy nor gay.
2014-01-22 10:38:46 PM  
1 votes:

joshiz: I have been on FB since the day they opened it to non .edu email addresses.


I've had an account since I started working at a college in '05.  Mostly now I just look at it to see new pictures of my nieces and nephews.  Because I'm an incredibly boring person.
2014-01-22 09:08:11 PM  
1 votes:

rkiller1: Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.

aka Fark


But Facebook was once cool and then ruined by us old folks. Fark has never been cool and always had old folks. As long as it stays lame it will survive unscathed.
2014-01-22 09:02:58 PM  
1 votes:

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


aka Fark
2014-01-22 09:01:16 PM  
1 votes:

Tellingthem: I just stopped caring about it. I can only see so many more pictures of your kids, your food, or some silly "wine coming out of a faucet" poster before I just quit entirely.


Pretty much this. I have been on FB since the day they opened it to non .edu email addresses. It's great for connecting with people with whom you have lost touch and I still need to use it to promote simply because it is more direct than email. The messaging is really good, especially the FB Messenger mobile app.

Beyond that, I just don't care enough to scour through the feed like I did. If I catch something, great, but otherwise whatevs.
2014-01-22 08:52:36 PM  
1 votes:
Yeah...you know that thing you did in science classes when you were stuck late and started screwing around trying to make two random things fit? TFA seems to be having fun with that.
2014-01-22 08:37:03 PM  
1 votes:
Very few diseases die.  The host may die but typically not the disease, though they're working on polio.
Or are you saying that Facebook is a disease and killing others?
DNRTFA nor did I look at the pretty graphs.
 
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