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(io9)   Researchers predict Facebook will die "like a disease". With a graph and everything   (io9.com) divider line 112
    More: Obvious, Facebook, diseases, researchers, infectious diseases, Google Trends, search query, online social networks  
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8828 clicks; posted to Main » on 23 Jan 2014 at 5:18 AM (47 weeks ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2014-01-22 08:37:03 PM  
Very few diseases die.  The host may die but typically not the disease, though they're working on polio.
Or are you saying that Facebook is a disease and killing others?
DNRTFA nor did I look at the pretty graphs.
 
2014-01-22 08:37:22 PM  
As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.
 
2014-01-22 08:39:00 PM  

rkiller1: Very few diseases die.  The host may die but typically not the disease, though they're working on polio.
Or are you saying that Facebook is a disease and killing others?
DNRTFA nor did I look at the pretty graphs.


It will just mutate.  Just like MySpace mutated into Facebook.
 
2014-01-22 08:47:05 PM  
Possibly.  But curve-fitting doesn't always work out so nicely... for example, the past few months' dropoff could be abnormal and the curve could actually be following something more like this:
img.fark.net
 
2014-01-22 08:49:36 PM  

Lucky LaRue: rkiller1: Very few diseases die.  The host may die but typically not the disease, though they're working on polio.
Or are you saying that Facebook is a disease and killing others?
DNRTFA nor did I look at the pretty graphs.

It will just mutate.  Just like MySpace mutated into Facebook.


That's not a good anology: Facebook is like Homo sapiens while MySpace is like Neandrathals. Basically one of the line outdid the other.

The article has the scientist saying that Facebook is going to die off, while the writer says nu-huuuh.

The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.
 
2014-01-22 08:52:36 PM  
Yeah...you know that thing you did in science classes when you were stuck late and started screwing around trying to make two random things fit? TFA seems to be having fun with that.
 
2014-01-22 08:55:15 PM  

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


Heh...my niece and nephew have already moved on and so have my cousins. I still use it and so do most of my  friends. But we are all getting into our 30's and 40's so we are old. But really except for a few people I just stopped caring about it. I can only see so many more pictures of your kids, your food, or some silly "wine coming out of a faucet" poster before I just quit entirely.
 
2014-01-22 09:01:16 PM  

Tellingthem: I just stopped caring about it. I can only see so many more pictures of your kids, your food, or some silly "wine coming out of a faucet" poster before I just quit entirely.


Pretty much this. I have been on FB since the day they opened it to non .edu email addresses. It's great for connecting with people with whom you have lost touch and I still need to use it to promote simply because it is more direct than email. The messaging is really good, especially the FB Messenger mobile app.

Beyond that, I just don't care enough to scour through the feed like I did. If I catch something, great, but otherwise whatevs.
 
2014-01-22 09:02:58 PM  

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


aka Fark
 
2014-01-22 09:05:37 PM  
And Geocities became MySpace.
 
2014-01-22 09:08:11 PM  

rkiller1: Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.

aka Fark


But Facebook was once cool and then ruined by us old folks. Fark has never been cool and always had old folks. As long as it stays lame it will survive unscathed.
 
2014-01-22 09:10:27 PM  

joshiz: I have been on FB since the day they opened it to non .edu email addresses.


Heh, I was a freshman in college when it hit, so I got in on the grand opening.

Now I only get on for one thing, and that's when my friend in China sends a message which is like every 2-3 months. Otherwise I just don't care at all about it. I've got 40-some-odd friend requests and just don't feel like doing anything with them. I talk to and hang out with the friends I like, and don't with the people I don't like. My fiance is still a facebook junky so she keeps me updated on anything friend or family related, but other than that facebook could disappear and my life would barely be affected (only China guy would be affected, and I could still e-mail him).
 
2014-01-22 09:27:26 PM  
I don't have a FB account and never will, but I would not underestimate it any more than I'd predict McDonalds will go out of business next year. (actually, if you click on the "projection.." button on the google trends graph the article is based on, it ... um... shows it actually on the increase.
 
2014-01-22 09:33:40 PM  
The only question is if the virus kills the English language before burning itself out
 
2014-01-22 09:40:28 PM  

Darth_Lukecash: Lucky LaRue: rkiller1: Very few diseases die.  The host may die but typically not the disease, though they're working on polio.
Or are you saying that Facebook is a disease and killing others?
DNRTFA nor did I look at the pretty graphs.

It will just mutate.  Just like MySpace mutated into Facebook.

That's not a good anology: Facebook is like Homo sapiens while MySpace is like Neandrathals. Basically one of the line outdid the other.

The article has the scientist saying that Facebook is going to die off, while the writer says nu-huuuh.

The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.


It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.
 
2014-01-22 09:52:13 PM  

meat0918: The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.

It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.


Facebook has ads?
 
2014-01-22 10:00:51 PM  

fusillade762: meat0918: The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.

It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.

Facebook has ads?


I think they're somewhere off to the side or something. I'm too busy LOLing at pictures  of my aunt's cats dressed up in the attire of her favorite sports teams.
 
2014-01-22 10:18:39 PM  

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


As an adult, the fact that many young people have left facebook is a good thing. I really don't need to see endless selfies, or be involved in your immature relationship problems, or catch up on your latest problems with your teachers.

What I do want to see is the important events in my adult friends lives. And Facebook does a pretty decent job of that. So kiddies, good bye, we won't miss you.

Oh and the article is a bunch of psuedo-scientific rubbish.
 
2014-01-22 10:38:46 PM  

joshiz: I have been on FB since the day they opened it to non .edu email addresses.


I've had an account since I started working at a college in '05.  Mostly now I just look at it to see new pictures of my nieces and nephews.  Because I'm an incredibly boring person.
 
2014-01-22 10:40:09 PM  

gameshowhost: Possibly.  But curve-fitting doesn't always work out so nicely... for example, the past few months' dropoff could be abnormal and the curve could actually be following something more like this:
[img.fark.net image 800x600]


LOL.  I regret that I have but one "like" to give for that graph.
 
2014-01-22 11:17:02 PM  

Tellingthem: But we are all getting into our 30's and 40's so we are old.


My greensward, thou shalt vacate it post haste!
 
2014-01-22 11:33:41 PM  

fusillade762: meat0918: The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.

It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.

Facebook has ads?


I made the mistake of liking some businesses, and their posts are nothing but ads.  Also at the time, Facebook was allowing pages you liked to post as you as well.
 
2014-01-22 11:52:08 PM  

meat0918: fusillade762: meat0918: The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.

It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.

Facebook has ads?

I made the mistake of liking some businesses, and their posts are nothing but ads.  Also at the time, Facebook was allowing pages you liked to post as you as well.


Is the "Hide" function really that hard to use?

And my post was sort of a joke. Since I started using Chrome with Adblock I don't see ads on Facebook anymore. I got tired of all the gay dating and hair removal ads.  Especially since I am neither hairy nor gay.
 
2014-01-22 11:55:58 PM  

fusillade762: meat0918: fusillade762: meat0918: The article writer states that Facebook is too ingrained as a pr/ advertising for business. Personally, get too many ads in there, it will drive people away.

It is part of a long list of what drove me away.  Once my feed became nothing but ads from things I'd liked, it was a short while later I turned off my account.

Facebook has ads?

I made the mistake of liking some businesses, and their posts are nothing but ads.  Also at the time, Facebook was allowing pages you liked to post as you as well.

Is the "Hide" function really that hard to use?

And my post was sort of a joke. Since I started using Chrome with Adblock I don't see ads on Facebook anymore. I got tired of all the gay dating and hair removal ads.  Especially since I am neither hairy nor gay.


Dude, you are hairless? No wonder you kept getting the gay ads...
 
2014-01-23 12:12:20 AM  
I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.
 
2014-01-23 12:16:38 AM  

quickdraw: I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.


weknowmemes.com
lol, wut?
 
2014-01-23 12:40:00 AM  

Mr. Coffee Nerves: The only question is if the virus kills the English language before burning itself out


That's a different one. That's the "typing on a smartphone with autocorrect" virus.
 
2014-01-23 05:07:18 AM  
s7.postimage.org
 
2014-01-23 05:24:17 AM  

scottydoesntknow: (only China guy would be affected, and I could still e-mail him).


Not the preferred nomenclature, dude.
 
2014-01-23 05:25:21 AM  
Facebook will die like dogs!
 
2014-01-23 05:30:57 AM  
I made the mistake of signing up for LinkedIn. That's the beginning and end of my experimenting with social media.

Way, WAY too intrusive for my taste.
 
2014-01-23 05:32:37 AM  

Monkeyfark Ridiculous: scottydoesntknow: (only China guy would be affected, and I could still e-mail him).

Not the preferred nomenclature, dude.


Chinaman?
 
2014-01-23 05:35:16 AM  
s27.postimg.org
 
2014-01-23 05:37:34 AM  

markfara: I made the mistake of signing up for LinkedIn. That's the beginning and end of my experimenting with social media.

Way, WAY too intrusive for my taste.


Some of my friends signed up for LinkedIn and I guess put me down as a reference or something so now I'm getting spammed to death to "confirm" some shiat and I don't even have an account with them. I'm unreasonably angry about it.
 
2014-01-23 05:40:56 AM  
Never gave FB one second of my time. (Wasted it all on Fark)
 
2014-01-23 05:44:07 AM  
MySpace was awesome at its peak.
 
2014-01-23 05:44:09 AM  

some_beer_drinker: quickdraw: I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.

[weknowmemes.com image 576x375]
lol, wut?


i44.tinypic.com
 
2014-01-23 05:46:23 AM  

burdock: markfara: I made the mistake of signing up for LinkedIn. That's the beginning and end of my experimenting with social media.

Way, WAY too intrusive for my taste.

Some of my friends signed up for LinkedIn and I guess put me down as a reference or something so now I'm getting spammed to death to "confirm" some shiat and I don't even have an account with them. I'm unreasonably angry about it.


It seems to be a useful tool for helping people you'd just as soon avoid track you down.
 
2014-01-23 05:52:36 AM  

AverageAmericanGuy: Facebook will die like dogs!


And may the streets run red with the blood of its advertisers VIVA LE' REVOLUTION' .
 
2014-01-23 05:53:59 AM  

joshiz: Beyond that, I just don't care enough to scour through the feed like I did. If I catch something, great, but otherwise whatevs.


Which, of course, is why you have to post to online forums telling strangers about how little you care.
 
2014-01-23 06:11:49 AM  
I was immune from day one.

The cure was made from samples of my blood.

You are all welcome!
 
2014-01-23 06:19:05 AM  
I did actually try when it first came out but the constant stream of crap from everyone I knew even a little bit reminded me that I do not want a portal into the social lives of others.

It is a portal to crap.

/Why do I need another one?
 
2014-01-23 06:19:27 AM  

AverageAmericanGuy: Facebook will die like dogs!


And when you lose control, you'll reap the harvest you have sown.
And as the fear grows, the bad blood slows and turns to stone.
And it's too late to lose the weight you used to need to throw around.
So have a good drown, as you go down, all alone,
Dragged down by the stone.
 
2014-01-23 06:21:52 AM  

quickdraw: I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.


People reposting false shiat all the time is what gets me.  They read something, assume it's true and happily share it on their own page thus passing on the crap.  I have one friend that actually got mad at me for always posting a link to snopes or fact or fiction showing what they just posted is false. That cracks me up.
 
2014-01-23 06:25:08 AM  

airplane_mech2: quickdraw: I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.

People reposting false shiat all the time is what gets me.  They read something, assume it's true and happily share it on their own page thus passing on the crap.  I have one friend that actually got mad at me for always posting a link to snopes or fact or fiction showing what they just posted is false. That cracks me up.


He/she didn't try to discredit Snopes? Because that's what they usually do.
 
2014-01-23 06:27:41 AM  
Facebook will eventually die just like MySpace did (it still exists but does anyone really go there?) when something better comes along.  A lot of social websites such as Fark were quite heavily hoovered by Reddit, as were Digg users and so on.  Something will appear to replace Reddit sooner or later.

I am rather looking forward to those two sites entering their "look at me I'm still relevant" phase of existence as they haemorrhage users.  It was really quite amusing when MySpace & Digg went through it.
 
2014-01-23 06:34:28 AM  
My takeaway from these threads is that too many of you have either never left your hometown or your friends are incredibly boring.

I have really good friends and family all across the globe. Several of them are witty and funny, so my feed generally keeps me entertained and informed.
 
2014-01-23 06:35:12 AM  

GungFu: some_beer_drinker: quickdraw: I got to a point where the idiotic platitudes and misquotes started to enrage me. So to avoid ranting my fool head off and offending posters of said platitudes and misquotes I stopped going there.

[weknowmemes.com image 576x375]
lol, wut?

[i44.tinypic.com image 569x361]


s17.postimg.org
 
2014-01-23 06:41:57 AM  

Spiralmonkey: As soon as it became somewhere for parents and grandparents to hang out it's days were numbered.


Not at all. They are the ones with discretionary income, yes? Those are the people advertisers want to reach. Ad revenues keep it humming along. Win-win.

My son, his girlfriend and most of his friends have closed their accounts, so, yes. Younger people are leaving. People my age and older are staying, though.
 
2014-01-23 06:44:48 AM  
The way they collected their data is flawed. People are using smartphone and tablet aps more and more and they don't require a Google search to get to Facebook.
 
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