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(Washington Post)   When 92-years-old you reach, look as good you will not, hmm?   (washingtonpost.com) divider line 33
    More: Interesting, Rise of China, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel, Donald H. Rumsfeld, Office of Net Assessment, Naval Postgraduate School, military strategist  
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13222 clicks; posted to Main » on 28 Oct 2013 at 3:37 PM (51 weeks ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



33 Comments   (+0 »)
   
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2013-10-28 03:36:43 PM  
Yes, just what the US needs, a senile military advisor.
 
2013-10-28 03:43:17 PM  

gopher321: Yes, just what the US needs, a senile military advisor.


"Over his long career, he has foretold the economic collapse of the Soviet Union, the rise of China and the spread of robotic warfare."

And his annual budget is only $10 million a year. Seems like a bargain considering what we pay our Congressmen whom probably have less knowledge than this guy regarding international affairs.
 
2013-10-28 03:43:22 PM  
Dear Subby,

This just in....the media has been known to use old photographs. This guy has more liver spots than a two-day old Food Lion Porterhouse steak.

images.c-spanvideo.org
 
2013-10-28 03:45:04 PM  
I mean how tough was that, ALL of saw the end of the Soviet Union.  Don't need to be a soothsayer for that one.

Now... if had predicted Gul War I, radical Islam, 9/11 attacks...then we've got something
 
2013-10-28 03:45:10 PM  
$10 million dollars is a farking ROUNDING ERROR for the military budget - the feels like another "Lets defund NPR, THAT will balance the budget" kind of moment.
 
2013-10-28 03:50:06 PM  

JohnCarter: I mean how tough was that, ALL of saw the end of the Soviet Union.  Don't need to be a soothsayer for that one.

Now... if had predicted Gul War I, radical Islam, 9/11 attacks...then we've got something


Yeah or how 3D printing will eliminate traditional manufacturing or how we'll all live on Mars.
 
2013-10-28 03:51:21 PM  
Mr. Hooper is your elder Ender?
 
2013-10-28 03:52:03 PM  

Quantum Apostrophe: JohnCarter: I mean how tough was that, ALL of saw the end of the Soviet Union.  Don't need to be a soothsayer for that one.

Now... if had predicted Gul War I, radical Islam, 9/11 attacks...then we've got something

Yeah or how 3D printing will eliminate traditional manufacturing or how we'll all live on Mars.


Aren't we all supposed to be riding segways to get to our flying cars now?
 
2013-10-28 03:53:58 PM  
I hear and obey, my Master.

www.washingtonpost.comswse.xphilesrealm.com
 
2013-10-28 03:54:24 PM  
www.washingtonpost.com
My (lack of) hair is a bald eagle - your argument is invalid!
 
2013-10-28 03:54:46 PM  

JohnCarter: I mean how tough was that, ALL of saw the end of the Soviet Union.


Well, I can predict the fall of the United States of America, and be pretty certain that it will happen at some point, but *WHEN* is the tricky part.
 
2013-10-28 03:57:59 PM  
Davidtennantvsyoda900yrsold.jpg
 
2013-10-28 03:59:59 PM  

JohnCarter: I mean how tough was that, ALL of saw the end of the Soviet Union.  Don't need to be a soothsayer for that one.

Now... if had predicted Gul War I, radical Islam, 9/11 attacks...then we've got something


Yea, I like how Ronald Reagan had foreseen in his first year as President how the Soviet Union was going to collapse, and saved the nation money by not building up the military and nuclear weapon inventory.
 
2013-10-28 04:01:05 PM  

JohnCarter: Quantum Apostrophe: JohnCarter: I mean how tough was that, ALL of saw the end of the Soviet Union.  Don't need to be a soothsayer for that one.

Now... if had predicted Gul War I, radical Islam, 9/11 attacks...then we've got something

Yeah or how 3D printing will eliminate traditional manufacturing or how we'll all live on Mars.

Aren't we all supposed to be riding segways to get to our flying cars now?


Yes, but the flying car is 3D printed on demand and un3Dprinted when you don't need it anymore.

Man, I love the future. Things are radically, game-changingely different today than just a few years ago. Really!
 
2013-10-28 04:02:03 PM  
Research this gentleman.

When the 'Chinese' praise a man's strategic thinking and make an effort to get their hands on his every written word, you know you're dealing with a heavyweight.
 
2013-10-28 04:06:32 PM  

JohnCarter: Aren't we all supposed to be riding segways to get to our flying cars now?


Having grown up in the seventies, I was led to believe that by now I'd be living in a post apocolyptic former U.S. in the new North American country of Minnesconsin.

We occasionally war over water usage and hunting gounds with our neighboring countries, Nebkota and Missiowanois, but the peace is more or less kept thanks to the Canadian Empires military might.

.
 
2013-10-28 04:11:33 PM  
Seems like a smart man, obviously we can't have any of those roaming around washington, so he got to go.
 
2013-10-28 04:27:06 PM  
He's 92 years old! Just wait a few years and the problem will sort itself out.
 
2013-10-28 04:41:25 PM  
But this is his wife, so he has a great incentive to go to work every day

i39.tinypic.com
 
2013-10-28 04:42:23 PM  
Let's keep him.
 
2013-10-28 04:55:44 PM  
This office has handled reports that are valued by the people whose opinions actually MATTER for decades. They're largely (though not entirely) above politics, they're seen as pretty good value for the dollar, and the guy in charge knows his business and has nothing to prove. (I've met people in their early 100s who were sharp as a tack, so don't let his age fool you.)

A good 50-60% of the reports commissioned in government are just political arguments and infighting, and so many of them get lost in programmatic bickering and politicking noise that it's not funny.  You need a set of strategists who are above the noise to commission the stuff people really use to set overall strategy. 

And as someone else pointed out, $10 M is a rounding error, and the guy's got enough defenders on both sides of the aisle to make this an exercise in futility.  Which, of course, puts him firmly in the path of the Tea Party, who seem to be the equivalent of that dog your neighbors had for a while that just barked constantly at air..
 
2013-10-28 05:10:55 PM  
FTFA: [an] office deep inside the Pentagon...
direct[s] the Pentagon's secretive internal think tank...
Many studies and reports are classified...
Only reporting to SecDef...


I think I just found my dream job.
 
2013-10-28 05:18:33 PM  

jvowles: This office has handled reports that are valued by the people whose opinions actually MATTER for decades. They're largely (though not entirely) above politics, they're seen as pretty good value for the dollar, and the guy in charge knows his business and has nothing to prove. (I've met people in their early 100s who were sharp as a tack, so don't let his age fool you.)

A good 50-60% of the reports commissioned in government are just political arguments and infighting, and so many of them get lost in programmatic bickering and politicking noise that it's not funny.  You need a set of strategists who are above the noise to commission the stuff people really use to set overall strategy. 

And as someone else pointed out, $10 M is a rounding error, and the guy's got enough defenders on both sides of the aisle to make this an exercise in futility.  Which, of course, puts him firmly in the path of the Tea Party, who seem to be the equivalent of that dog your neighbors had for a while that just barked constantly at air..


What partisan tripe. You think Hagel is a tea party guy?
 
2013-10-28 05:25:55 PM  
Seems to me to be money well spent but only if anyone is paying attention to the analysis this group is doing.  I'd like to see a report on their overall track record for accuracy.
 
2013-10-28 05:40:20 PM  
FTA " ..Marshall has also demonstrated exceptional political acumen, hanging on to his job under 13 defense secretaries.."

Translation - with a budget that size, he's got closets full of damaging photographs and recordings.
Second Translation - "The Force is with me. Not you."
Third Translation - "I know where LBJ buried the bodies. Still got the shovel .."
 
2013-10-28 05:42:33 PM  
If we need a life like Yoda, all we need is Danny Devito. He sure had the Yoda thing going for him the last time he was on Kimmel.
 
2013-10-28 06:45:23 PM  

mjjt: But this is his wife, so he has a great incentive to go to work every day

[i39.tinypic.com image 500x663]


Actually, when I'm 92 years old, I hope my wife looks like that.

Now?  Not so much.
 
2013-10-28 06:47:23 PM  

Infernalist: Research this gentleman.

When the 'Chinese' praise a man's strategic thinking and make an effort to get their hands on his every written word, you know you're dealing with a heavyweight.


Who are the 'Chinese'? Why the scare/sarcasm quotes?
 
2013-10-28 07:50:21 PM  

Quantum Apostrophe: Infernalist: Research this gentleman.

When the 'Chinese' praise a man's strategic thinking and make an effort to get their hands on his every written word, you know you're dealing with a heavyweight.

Who are the 'Chinese'? Why the scare/sarcasm quotes?


They are the ones who build our 3d printers...

/likely a true statement
 
2013-10-28 09:06:55 PM  

DORMAMU: Quantum Apostrophe: Infernalist: Research this gentleman.

When the 'Chinese' praise a man's strategic thinking and make an effort to get their hands on his every written word, you know you're dealing with a heavyweight.

Who are the 'Chinese'? Why the scare/sarcasm quotes?

They are the ones who build our 3d printers...

/likely a true statement


I thought they build themselves...
 
2013-10-28 10:13:20 PM  

Quantum Apostrophe: DORMAMU: Quantum Apostrophe: Infernalist: Research this gentleman.

When the 'Chinese' praise a man's strategic thinking and make an effort to get their hands on his every written word, you know you're dealing with a heavyweight.

Who are the 'Chinese'? Why the scare/sarcasm quotes?

They are the ones who build our 3d printers...

/likely a true statement

I thought they build themselves...


Yes, the Chinese do, indeed, build themselves. In a manner of speaking.
 
2013-10-28 10:13:56 PM  

dittybopper: mjjt: But this is his wife, so he has a great incentive to go to work every day

[i39.tinypic.com image 500x663]

Actually, when I'm 92 years old, I hope my wife looks like that.

Now?  Not so much.



Yeah, but from what I heard she is only 36...
 
2013-10-29 12:51:09 AM  
Uncle JR?
 
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