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(Global News (Canada))   Message in a bottle found after almost 107 years, possibly setting the record for the oldest message in a bottle. Sting nods in approval   (globalnews.ca) divider line 41
    More: Cool, Tofino, Parks Canada  
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9297 clicks; posted to Main » on 12 Sep 2013 at 5:43 AM (49 weeks ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



41 Comments   (+0 »)
   
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2013-09-11 11:57:11 PM
Yeah....
 
2013-09-12 05:48:27 AM
"Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.
 
2013-09-12 05:49:40 AM
The message reportedly says "Roxanne, you don't have to put on thy red light."
 
2013-09-12 05:57:36 AM
Send more paramedics.
 
2013-09-12 05:58:44 AM
It said no iceberg's, full steam ahead.
 
2013-09-12 06:00:26 AM
I don't know about anyone else, but I whacked off to the girl from that Dinosaurs show. More than once, I mean.
 
2013-09-12 06:03:33 AM
If the author were alive today, he'd probably just send an SMS to the world.
 
2013-09-12 06:05:56 AM

Millennium: If the author were alive today, he'd probably just send an SMS to the world.


+1
 
2013-09-12 06:08:27 AM

Farking Lurker: I don't know about anyone else, but I whacked off to the girl from that Dinosaurs show. More than once, I mean.


How many threads are you going to post that in?
 
2013-09-12 06:09:53 AM
Oldest? Unlikely.
 
2013-09-12 06:10:56 AM

AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.


I disagree.

OK.. I kinda suck at math, however:

If each individual had the same opportunity to find it then it would not be a 1 in 2 chance.

If there are 7.1 billion people then wouldn't it be a  1 in 7.1 billion chance?

But you also have to consider that not even close to every human being would have a chance to discover it. You would have to live near water, or on water. And if it had already washed ashore, long ago, you would have to be on that particular beach.
 
2013-09-12 06:11:44 AM

SlothB77: Oldest? Unlikely.


According to Guinness, the oldest is 97 years.  The date on this note is 1906, making it 107 years old.
 
2013-09-12 06:12:39 AM
Also, if you live in B.C., you are much more likely to find a foot washed up on shore.
 
2013-09-12 06:12:59 AM
This guy must have set a record for being the world's least nosy person. How can you find a century-old message in a bottle then show no interest in what that message actually says?
 
2013-09-12 06:13:15 AM

danielscissorhands: AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.

I disagree.

OK.. I kinda suck at math, however:

If each individual had the same opportunity to find it then it would not be a 1 in 2 chance.

If there are 7.1 billion people then wouldn't it be a  1 in 7.1 billion chance?

But you also have to consider that not even close to every human being would have a chance to discover it. You would have to live near water, or on water. And if it had already washed ashore, long ago, you would have to be on that particular beach.


Either you find it or you don't. It doesn't get much simpler than that.
 
2013-09-12 06:13:20 AM
Also, cool find Subby, assuming it is not a hoax.

Thanks. :-)
 
2013-09-12 06:13:48 AM

Purple_Jack: This guy must have set a record for being the world's least nosy person. How can you find a century-old message in a bottle then show no interest in what that message actually says?


He doesn't work for the NSA?
 
2013-09-12 06:13:57 AM

AverageAmericanGuy: danielscissorhands: AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.

I disagree.

OK.. I kinda suck at math, however:

If each individual had the same opportunity to find it then it would not be a 1 in 2 chance.

If there are 7.1 billion people then wouldn't it be a  1 in 7.1 billion chance?

But you also have to consider that not even close to every human being would have a chance to discover it. You would have to live near water, or on water. And if it had already washed ashore, long ago, you would have to be on that particular beach.

Either you find it or you don't. It doesn't get much simpler than that.


I don't think you read what i wrote. :-P
 
2013-09-12 06:14:14 AM
Betcha the beer bottle it's in is worth something too.
 
2013-09-12 06:24:25 AM

AverageAmericanGuy: danielscissorhands: AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.

I disagree.

OK.. I kinda suck at math, however:

If each individual had the same opportunity to find it then it would not be a 1 in 2 chance.

If there are 7.1 billion people then wouldn't it be a  1 in 7.1 billion chance?

But you also have to consider that not even close to every human being would have a chance to discover it. You would have to live near water, or on water. And if it had already washed ashore, long ago, you would have to be on that particular beach.

Either you find it or you don't. It doesn't get much simpler than that.


Either I become a millionaire or I don't. 1 in 2 chance.

/either jokes about your mom are all true or they're not
//the concept of probability density is not very widespread, it seems
 
2013-09-12 06:30:10 AM

danielscissorhands: AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.

I disagree.

OK.. I kinda suck at math, however:

If each individual had the same opportunity to find it then it would not be a 1 in 2 chance.

If there are 7.1 billion people then wouldn't it be a  1 in 7.1 billion chance?

But you also have to consider that not even close to every human being would have a chance to discover it. You would have to live near water, or on water. And if it had already washed ashore, long ago, you would have to be on that particular beach.


That assumes that something will definitely be found. I'd expect that there are many other such messages which will never be found, rendering the odds 0/[pick a number]. When you start trying to take into account environmental concerns as in your last paragraph you end up having to introduce enough speculation as to render any results almost meaningless. A proper statistician could probably make a moderate amount of sense of this problem, but I'm not that guy. I would, though, start by factoring in all of the people who have ever lived in those 107 years since it could have been discovered at any point since it was launched.
 
2013-09-12 06:35:09 AM

Ilmarinen: AverageAmericanGuy: danielscissorhands: AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.

I disagree.

OK.. I kinda suck at math, however:

If each individual had the same opportunity to find it then it would not be a 1 in 2 chance.

If there are 7.1 billion people then wouldn't it be a  1 in 7.1 billion chance?

But you also have to consider that not even close to every human being would have a chance to discover it. You would have to live near water, or on water. And if it had already washed ashore, long ago, you would have to be on that particular beach.

Either you find it or you don't. It doesn't get much simpler than that.

Either I become a millionaire or I don't. 1 in 2 chance.

/either jokes about your mom are all true or they're not
//the concept of probability density is not very widespread, it seems


Likelihoods, however, are 90% against you.

/Grelb's Commentary
 
2013-09-12 06:48:57 AM
With the art of Tantric sex, Sting can please his woman for 107 years.

cdn03.cdnwp.thefrisky.com

/learned my stroke from Ron Jeremy and Sting
/hot as a Sun God
 
2013-09-12 06:53:25 AM
WTF does the note say you assholes?
 
2013-09-12 06:56:57 AM
FRITO LAY O LAY YAY YAY...
 
2013-09-12 07:04:35 AM

Farking Lurker: I don't know about anyone else, but I whacked off to the girl from that Dinosaurs show. More than once, I mean.


Is this ChipNASA's alt trying to start another meme?
 
2013-09-12 07:11:23 AM

robohobo: Farking Lurker: I don't know about anyone else, but I whacked off to the girl from that Dinosaurs show. More than once, I mean.

How many threads are you going to post that in?


I think he's trying to make it a thing.
 
2013-09-12 07:16:02 AM

abhorrent1: WTF does the note say you assholes?


"Drink your Ovaltine"
 
2013-09-12 08:13:15 AM

Neighborhood Watch: See, here's the deal. When you put a message in a bottle, you EXPECT someone to find it and read it.


Right, but this guy isn't even going to open the bottle because he wants to leave it intact, for some odd reason, like he owes the bottle something!

The note in the envelope could read:  "There's a big hayfield up near Buxton.  There's a hayfield with a long rock wall with a big oak tree at the north end. It's like something out of a Robert Frost poem. It's where I asked my wife to marry me. We went there for a picnic and made love under that oak and I asked and she said yes. Find that spot. At the base of that wall, you'll find a rock that has no earthly business in a Maine hayfield. Piece of black, volcanic glass. There's something buried under it I want you to have. "
 
2013-09-12 08:19:57 AM
I think it would be cool to leave the whole thing intact because you'd have to break the bottle to get the note out, then when you go to touch it to read it, it could crumble, then you lost both the bottle and the note.  Even if you did manage to read the note, you still have to break a bottle that's over 100 years old and that would kind of suck.
 
2013-09-12 08:43:19 AM
filmdope.com

Only 8 years to go....
 
2013-09-12 08:45:51 AM

abhorrent1: WTF does the note say you assholes?


You've just been fart-bottled!
 
2013-09-12 08:52:26 AM
I was just a little kid in the early 80's when that song was still all over the radio, I couldn't quite understand the chorus so I just assumed it was some kind of Spanish: "Sen de Nada, neso es" ...I felt really stupid when the real words finally dawned on me...
 
2013-09-12 09:05:58 AM
Thanks for getting that song stuck in my head.
 
2013-09-12 09:55:51 AM

Loaf's Tray: I was just a little kid in the early 80's when that song was still all over the radio, I couldn't quite understand the chorus so I just assumed it was some kind of Spanish: "Sen de Nada, neso es" ...I felt really stupid when the real words finally dawned on me...


Hahaha. In similar vein, my brother thought the chorus for "Love Is the Seventh Wave" was "I say now, we've been traveling Venezuela / We've been traveling Venezuela".

Also, fun fact, if you crank up the volume on the fadeout of "Message in a Bottle", the last repetion of the chorus is "Sending out an S O blue."
 
2013-09-12 10:07:41 AM

Millennium: If the author were alive today, he'd probably just send an SMS to the world.


Nah, he'd Tweet.
 
2013-09-12 10:17:36 AM

AverageAmericanGuy: "Maybe there was only one [bottle] that the guy sent out and I found it. It is like one in a billion chances," says Thurber.

This guy doesn't understand how odds work. There are 7.1 billion people in the world, but the chance that he would find the bottle is only 50% because there are only two possible outcomes: either he finds it or he doesn't find it.

It would be a 1 in 2 chance for any single human being in the world.


That is most certainly not how that works. I don't know if you're a troll, slow, or a slow troll.

Either I win the lottery or I don't. That, in precisely no way, makes my odds of winning 50%.
 
2013-09-12 12:46:12 PM

Loaf's Tray: I was just a little kid in the early 80's when that song was still all over the radio, I couldn't quite understand the chorus so I just assumed it was some kind of Spanish: "Sen de Nada, neso es" ...I felt really stupid when the real words finally dawned on me...


I was never much on caring what actual lyrics were either.
I thought it was Zendenatta S.O.S.

Never bothered me that it made no sense.
 
2013-09-12 01:07:35 PM
FTFA: "the note was dated September 29, 1906 and was signed by Earl Willard, who was sailing from San Francisco..."

Rare find indeed.  Considering there wasn't a lot of unbroken glass in San Francisco at the time.

encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com

//Read the note!
 
2013-09-12 03:55:46 PM
 
2013-09-12 06:06:08 PM
My grandmother was born in 1906.  August 19th.  She died in 2010, just two months short of her 104th birthday.

...no, I don't really have anything to add to the thread.  Just saw that it was dated from 1906 and thought "Hey, that's the year Gramma was born!"

I miss her gingersnap cookies.
 
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