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(Business Insider)   Behavioral biases explain why I'm right and you're wrong   (businessinsider.com) divider line 31
    More: Obvious, cognitive biases, random events  
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2690 clicks; posted to Main » on 23 Aug 2013 at 6:49 PM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



31 Comments   (+0 »)
   
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2013-08-23 06:51:26 PM  
4.bp.blogspot.com
 
2013-08-23 06:55:43 PM  
Lies and heresy
 
2013-08-23 06:58:24 PM  
Exactly the reasons that libtards can't see the democrat party and it's king fartbongo for the reverse-colonial marxist for what they are. I try to understand why you libs fail to see it but maybe that's just my curse of knowledge.
 
2013-08-23 06:59:37 PM  
Unit bias for sure.
 
2013-08-23 07:00:05 PM  
Of course, everything else explains why I'm right and you're wrong. Since it's obviously better to believe everything than to fall for some silly behavioral biases, I think that makes it pretty clear where we stand.
 
2013-08-23 07:01:02 PM  
Everywhere I go, I'm burdened by the Curse of Knowledge. What a lonely existence.
 
2013-08-23 07:02:58 PM  
For instance, in the TV show "The Big Bang Theory"

I don't think mere cognitive bias adequately explains Sheldon's behavior on that show.  More like some kind of Asperger's spectrum disorder.
 
2013-08-23 07:05:10 PM  
The great thing about cognitive biases is that for every one that causes someone to form one opinion, there's another that results in someone else forming the opposite opinion. The cumulative effect of all of them is just noise.

Most people who learn anything about cognitive biases will just use them to rationalize themselves into a deeper hole of irrationality.
 
2013-08-23 07:05:21 PM  
Most people would rather take $5 now than $7 in a week.

If there is one thing I have learned from being involved in a number of businesses over the years:  Money now is better than money later because most of the time that later money will never come due to any number of things you thought could never happen.

Self-enhancing transmission bias

More commonly known as "Facebook profile pictures"
 
2013-08-23 07:05:41 PM  
Procrastination

Laziness is a cognitive bias?


Reciprocity

The belief that fairness should trump other values, even when it's not in our economic and/or other interests.


I'm seriously starting to question their definition of "cognitive bias".
 
2013-08-23 07:06:32 PM  

fusillade762: For instance, in the TV show "The Big Bang Theory"

I don't think mere cognitive bias adequately explains Sheldon's behavior on that show.  More like some kind of Asperger's spectrum disorder.


it just seems that way because of confirmation bias.
 
2013-08-23 07:08:26 PM  

lockers: Exactly the reasons that libtards can't see the democrat party and it's king fartbongo for the reverse-colonial marxist for what they are. I try to understand why you libs fail to see it but maybe that's just my curse of knowledge.


I have just read this about ten times.
Upon refIection,  think the punctuation between the words are and I should be a comma.
 
2013-08-23 07:08:59 PM  

fusillade762: Procrastination Laziness is a cognitive bias? Reciprocity The belief that fairness should trump other values, even when it's not in our economic and/or other interests. I'm seriously starting to question their definition of "cognitive bias".


They got theirs so fark you. Now get to those bootstraps.
 
2013-08-23 07:09:30 PM  
Timely post. I've spent a couple of days assisting/reviewing/correcting someone in her work. Just received word that she means no offense, but she thinks she's right and I'm wrong. Okay. This is the first time you've done this to my ... oh I don't know ... a bunch in a dozen years? The next time you ask for review, my response will be 'I'm sure you're right'. When you've failed on your own a few times, maybe your cognitive behavior or whatever will adjust accordingly. I have better things to do than train the untrainable.
 
2013-08-23 07:10:52 PM  

YoOjo: lockers: Exactly the reasons that libtards can't see the democrat party and it's king fartbongo for the reverse-colonial marxist for what they are. I try to understand why you libs fail to see it but maybe that's just my curse of knowledge.

I have just read this about ten times.
Upon refIection,  think the punctuation between the words are and I should be a comma.


I go for accuracy in my over the top trolls. If I go to subtle, you may actually believe I mean it.
 
2013-08-23 07:20:21 PM  

lockers: YoOjo: lockers: Exactly the reasons that libtards can't see the democrat party and it's king fartbongo for the reverse-colonial marxist for what they are. I try to understand why you libs fail to see it but maybe that's just my curse of knowledge.

I have just read this about ten times.
Upon refIection,  think the punctuation between the words are and I should be a comma.

I go for accuracy in my over the top trolls. If I go to subtle, you may actually believe I mean it.


It has a rocking-chair beat to it, that period would break the rhythm, and this kind of jazzed-hate writing can't hit dead-spots like that, it just can't.
 
2013-08-23 07:24:05 PM  
"Belief bias
 A bias where people make faulty conclusions based on what they already believe or know. For instance, one might conclude that all tiger sharks are sharks, and all sharks are animals, and therefore all animals are tiger sharks.
"

That's not "belief bias".  That's the fallacy of the transposed conditional.  Twice in a row, in this example.
One of my favorites, by the way.

They couldn't even paraphrase the logical structure in the WP example they ripped off.
These people are NOT helping promote logic.  Go read something by Penn Jillette or check out randi.org.

Nobody studies logical fallacies and cognitive bias to avoid it.  They study it in order to manipulate it.
 
2013-08-23 07:36:52 PM  

vodka: Most people would rather take $5 now than $7 in a week.

If there is one thing I have learned from being involved in a number of businesses over the years:  Money now is better than money later because most of the time that later money will never come due to any number of things you thought could never happen.


Another example: If you win the lottery, take the lump sum. What are the chances the lottery (or you) will still exist in 30 years?

I knew someone who had a severe case of Planning fallacy. He never, ever correctly estimated how much time any given project would take. Part of it was his huge ego; mostly it was because he didn't take into account the time it takes to figure out problems that crop up during the project. Yes, you can assemble that engine in 3 hours if every nut and bolt is laid out for you ahead of time. But it will take you an hour alone to remove that one bolt that's corroded into place. But also, ego. He once said he thought he could fly a hang glider without any practice, because it's "just another vehicle," and he thought he was the expert of all things vehicular. Then we tried to change my brake pads. He had never worked on a modern car and ended up wasting an hour treating the slave cylinder on a 1995 Taurus like it was on a 1982 Datsun. I could go on and on, and it looks like I already have...
 
2013-08-23 07:38:24 PM  

YoOjo: lockers: YoOjo: lockers: Exactly the reasons that libtards can't see the democrat party and it's king fartbongo for the reverse-colonial marxist for what they are. I try to understand why you libs fail to see it but maybe that's just my curse of knowledge.

I have just read this about ten times.
Upon refIection,  think the punctuation between the words are and I should be a comma.

I go for accuracy in my over the top trolls. If I go to subtle, you may actually believe I mean it.

It has a rocking-chair beat to it, that period would break the rhythm, and this kind of jazzed-hate writing can't hit dead-spots like that, it just can't.


Constructive criticism noted. I agree, a comma would have been even better.
 
2013-08-23 07:57:45 PM  
The cure to the Curse of Knowledge is using your goshdarn imagination.

/imagine what it's like being stupid
//duuurrrr
 
2013-08-23 08:04:52 PM  
Crib wikipedia much?
 
2013-08-23 08:28:47 PM  

lockers: Exactly the reasons that libtards can't see the democrat party and it's king fartbongo for the reverse-colonial marxist for what they are. I try to understand why you libs fail to see it but maybe that's just my curse of knowledge.



MInnkota?
www.davesmarineelectronics.com
or do you and the boys at the lodge need it in white?
www.boatersland.com
because black just doesn't go with, well you know, the "uniform" . . .
 
2013-08-23 08:44:56 PM  
Subby, if I wanted your opinion, I would give it to you.

/Statement not recommended for marital discussions
 
2013-08-23 09:18:38 PM  
In Asian countries (including Russia), population control is achieved through censorship of available information.

In western-like countries, there is a flood of information and opinion, which causes our cognitive biases to be in constant challenge from some self-righteous  know it all farker.  The net result is confusion to the point of inaction.

DARPA created cell phones and the internet.  We are in phase 3 of the 50 year plan to render the populace completely ineffective in promoting or sustaining any kind of higher-thinking that might hurt the bottom line of the MI complex.

/I know your cognitive bias makes you think I'm wearing tinfoil.  That's the point.
 
2013-08-23 09:38:07 PM  

Go Fornicate Without a Partner: In Asian countries (including Russia), population control is achieved through censorship of available information.

In western-like countries, there is a flood of information and opinion, which causes our cognitive biases to be in constant challenge from some self-righteous  know it all farker.  The net result is confusion to the point of inaction.

DARPA created cell phones and the internet.  We are in phase 3 of the 50 year plan to render the populace completely ineffective in promoting or sustaining any kind of higher-thinking that might hurt the bottom line of the MI complex.

/I know your cognitive bias makes you think I'm wearing tinfoil.  That's the point.


Despite what may be a tongue in cheek comment, the brutal crack down on public worthy knowledge and debate is proof of your point. Turn up the noise and weaken the signal. You are eerily one the mark on why an almost free and totally observable internet is a the greatest threat to a free people ever. Every communication should be unobservable between parties always on a network. Liberty is incompatible with an unencrypted internet.
 
2013-08-24 01:02:00 AM  
They missed a really important one.

Hostile intention attribution bias

When someone does something annoying to you, was it an accident or did they do it on purpose?  The more often you think it's on purpose the more likely you have hostile intention attribution bias.

My wife is really bad with this one when she's driving.  A nearly every car that pulls into her lane, "...cut [her] off and slammed on his breaks" even though that car has been signaling for a block and its tail lights never came on.  She even yells and swears at stop lights for intentionally stopping her as if they all have cameras and massive artificial intelligence systems that read her license plate, predict her movements and redirect traffic so they can stop her just to be annoying.
i43.tinypic.com
 
2013-08-24 03:37:07 AM  
"Conservatism Bias: Where people believe prior evidence more than new evidence or information that has emerged."


Well, maybe if every new bit of information or study didn't contradict one another people would be more willing to accept it. Personally I tend to take the wait and see approach.
 
2013-08-24 06:52:40 AM  
Bandwagon Effect

The probability of one person adopting a belief increases based on the number of people who hold that belief. This is a powerful form of groupthink.


You mean like if you believe something only on the basis that there is a consensus?
 
2013-08-24 06:58:58 AM  
Observer-expectancy effect Our expectations unconsciously influence how we perceive an outcome. Researchers, for example, looking for a certain result in an experiment, may inadvertently manipulate or interpret the results to reveal their expectations. That's why the "double-blind" experimental design was created for the field of scientific research.

Interesting. Combine this with the bandwagon effect and we may be on to something.
 
2013-08-24 07:04:02 AM  
Seersucker Illusion Over-reliance on expert advice. This has to do with the avoidance or responsibility. We call in "experts" to forecast, when in fact, they have no greater chance of predicting an outcome than the rest of the population. In other words, "for every seer there's a sucker."

love it. "for every seer, there`s a sucker."
 
2013-08-24 11:56:58 AM  
You can't explain that.
 
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