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(The Week)   Thinking the law of averages means it's now safer to take a cruise? Well, think again... going adrift without power isn't the only disaster that has befallen cruise ships in recent years   (theweek.com) divider line 53
    More: Scary, Costa Concordia, cruises, confined space  
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7529 clicks; posted to Main » on 19 Feb 2013 at 9:41 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2013-02-19 04:36:04 PM  

Osomatic: Hell, my grandmother and her husband disappeared off a cruise ship four years ago (there was even a Fark headline about it), and I'd still go on a cruise.

I've been on two and they were both nice.  Admittedly, one was on Crystal and the other is on Regency - both have smaller ships and are a lot more expensive than your average Princess/Carnival/Norwegian cruises.


Holy crap, I am so sorry.

Link?

*DUCKS*
 
2013-02-19 05:14:46 PM  

Mike Chewbacca: Osomatic: Hell, my grandmother and her husband disappeared off a cruise ship four years ago (there was even a Fark headline about it), and I'd still go on a cruise.

I've been on two and they were both nice.  Admittedly, one was on Crystal and the other is on Regency - both have smaller ships and are a lot more expensive than your average Princess/Carnival/Norwegian cruises.

Holy crap, I am so sorry.

Link?

*DUCKS*


Naw, don't worry, I'm cool with it.  It was a pretty messed-up situation, but again it was a bit more than 4 years ago, so I've made my peace. However, you *are* an utter bastard for trying to get me to find a four year old headline using Fark's search engine!  The story itself is gone from the AP's site, but the comments are all still there.  http://www.fark.com/comments/4150428/Forget-norovirus-Lately-cruise-s h ips-seem-to-have-a-new-problem-people-mysteriously-falling-overboard
 
2013-02-19 11:01:14 PM  

Rapmaster2000: [deadhomersociety.files.wordpress.com image 512x384]

The Law of Averages:  I thought the Generals were due.


An example of the Gambler's Fallacy. The dice have no memory, though. They reset to "random" after each throw. One of the most famous illustrations of the fallacy occurred in 1913 when a gambler had a very long run, which, of course, lead many of the other gamblers to bet against the run on the theory that the guy was over-due to lose, while some bet on him (too long) because they believed he was "hot" and couldn't lose. E

ach spin of the Roulette Wheel is (if the wheel is not rigged) independent of the previous history of the wheel, so a run of 36 black numbers does not change the nearly 50:50 odds of another black on the next turn. That's one reason why roulette wheels have a few extra numbers such as 0, 00, and 000 (depending on the casino). It helps to guarantee a profit from the punters who bet on black or red only.
 
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