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(Deadspin)   So, let's check back on the pre-season Super Bowl predictions of 25 top sports writers and see how they did   (deadspin.com) divider line 48
    More: Followup, sportswriters, Super Bowl, Sports Illustrated, ESPN, Super Bowl predictions, NFC, predictions  
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4973 clicks; posted to Sports » on 24 Jan 2013 at 10:01 AM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



48 Comments   (+0 »)
   
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest

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2013-01-24 09:01:57 AM  
I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)
 
2013-01-24 09:53:23 AM  
Meh. My prediction:

NFC: Saints
AFC: Some dumb AFC team.

This has been my prediction since about 1985.
 
2013-01-24 10:00:46 AM  

FriarReb98: I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)


Exactly. I'm an Eagles fan, and even I knew they were going to suck.
 
2013-01-24 10:17:45 AM  

FriarReb98: I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)


It also goes to show how relatively easy it was this year - every team in the AFC that was picked won their division and were one of the final four teams. So it came down to a game, which as we all know, anyone can win on any given Sunday.

And virtually everyone picked an NFC final four team, too.
 
2013-01-24 10:26:54 AM  
Well that guy's Eagles pick definitely cancels out his Ravens pick. Also:

Jamison Hensley (ESPN) Texans Cowboys Cowboys

ecx.images-amazon.com
 
2013-01-24 10:27:43 AM  
We do predictions at our fantasy football draft. I said Ravens vs Packers with the Ravens winning it all. Then I picked the Packers to win week one in our Survivor Pool Pick and felt like a dumbfarker.

/CBS
 
2013-01-24 10:30:32 AM  

IAmRight: FriarReb98: I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)

It also goes to show how relatively easy it was this year - every team in the AFC that was picked won their division and were one of the final four teams. So it came down to a game, which as we all know, anyone can win on any given Sunday.

And virtually everyone picked an NFC final four team, too.


I sometimes wonder what would happen if sportswriters/journalists would accept that playoff games are a goddamn coin-flip and let coaches off the hook a little. (Unless he did something particularly boneriffic, like fail to call a TO with 2 seconds on the clock to kick a 20-yard FG FTW or something).

But then I remember that they scan local newspapers to gin up national controversy over what might charitably be called a "story of local intrigue" (looking at you, Schapp and Ley - you are the worst kind of journalist), and go absolutely bonkers for months over LeBron picking a new brand of tampon or whatever.

// so I'm reminded why I stopped watching anything on ESPN other than live broadcasts and the crawl
 
2013-01-24 10:31:43 AM  
Minor nit - the article says only 5 pundits had the Ravens making the Superbowl. The list has 6.
 
2013-01-24 10:41:20 AM  
Hub Arkush picked the 49'rs and the.....Chiefs. At least he has owned his terrible pick.
 
2013-01-24 10:41:38 AM  

Nightenstaff: We do predictions at our fantasy football draft. I said Ravens vs Packers with the Ravens winning it all. Then I picked the Packers to win week one in our Survivor Pool Pick and felt like a dumbfarker.

/CBS


you work for CBS?
 
2013-01-24 10:51:45 AM  

p the boiler: Nightenstaff: We do predictions at our fantasy football draft. I said Ravens vs Packers with the Ravens winning it all. Then I picked the Packers to win week one in our Survivor Pool Pick and felt like a dumbfarker.

/CBS

you work for CBS?


That game was on FOX.
I also had Ravens v Packers. Only one in our pool that had Redskins in the playoffs too, yay me. Now begins the lean weekends, aka wife/movie nights.
 
2013-01-24 10:57:16 AM  
I'd like to see this kind of retroactive grading done for all the draft "experts" out there.
 
2013-01-24 11:01:26 AM  

FriarReb98: I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)


True, but nearly all of the other ones picked teams that made the playoffs. I was expecting a lot more variety, especially from predictions that were made before the season even started.
 
2013-01-24 11:06:12 AM  

Lando Lincoln: True, but nearly all of the other ones picked teams that made the playoffs.


The final four for each conference, even.

/some people are going to hate me for pointing this out: The only team that made the final eight that wasn't picked by anyone to win the conference was Seattle
 
2013-01-24 11:22:50 AM  
Before the playoffs began, Nate Silver predicted that the Seahawks would win the NFC championship, but the real Super Bowl would be the Patriots vs. Broncos AFC championship game, which New England would win. As Maxwell Smart would say, "Missed it by THAT much."
 
2013-01-24 11:24:31 AM  

Cornelius Dribble: Before the playoffs began, Nate Silver predicted that the Seahawks would win the NFC championship, but the real Super Bowl would be the Patriots vs. Broncos AFC championship game, which New England would win. As Maxwell Smart would say, "Missed it by THAT much."


www.baltimoreravens.com
 
2013-01-24 11:32:26 AM  

Cornelius Dribble: Before the playoffs began, Nate Silver predicted that the Seahawks would win the NFC championship, but the real Super Bowl would be the Patriots vs. Broncos AFC championship game, which New England would win. As Maxwell Smart would say, "Missed it by THAT much."


It's almost like it's easier to predict aggregate behavior rather than something with a ridiculously small sample size.
 
2013-01-24 11:49:50 AM  
Eagles and Cowgirls, LMAO.
 
2013-01-24 11:53:03 AM  

Rent Party: I'd like to see this kind of retroactive grading done for all the draft "experts" out there.


I'm still waiting for Tony Mandarich to reach his hyped potential.
 
2013-01-24 11:58:06 AM  
Even pre-season the niners get no respect! They made it to the NFC championship round last year. When are people going to realize this whole East-coast bias is BS and that the West-coast is where the dynasties are here to stay.

NINERS are going to manhandle the Ravens.
 
2013-01-24 12:07:23 PM  

Le Grand Inquisitor: When are people going to realize this whole East-coast bias is BS and that the West-coast is where the dynasties are here to stay.


I agree, the whole notion of East Coast Bias is BS.
/Flips on Sportscenter for another 12 hours of "Lakers suck" coverage
 
2013-01-24 12:09:36 PM  
What are they supposed to do, NOT pick anyone? Teams change quite a bit from preseason to week 17. Too many variables.

Anyone have the Broncos as the #1 seed in the preseason? Or the Falcons?
 
2013-01-24 12:14:56 PM  

IAmRight: Cornelius Dribble: Before the playoffs began, Nate Silver predicted that the Seahawks would win the NFC championship, but the real Super Bowl would be the Patriots vs. Broncos AFC championship game, which New England would win. As Maxwell Smart would say, "Missed it by THAT much."

It's almost like it's easier to predict aggregate behavior rather than something with a ridiculously small sample size.


Sports that are too easy to predict are boring. That's one reason football scoring is a complicated system of touchdowns, field goals, and safeties, when it might be fairer to simply award victory to the team with the most total yards.

On the other hand, games of chance, which are impossible to predict, are even more boring to watch. A balance must be struck.
 
2013-01-24 12:20:41 PM  

RoyHobbs22: p the boiler: Nightenstaff: We do predictions at our fantasy football draft. I said Ravens vs Packers with the Ravens winning it all. Then I picked the Packers to win week one in our Survivor Pool Pick and felt like a dumbfarker.

/CBS

you work for CBS?

That game was on FOX.
I also had Ravens v Packers. Only one in our pool that had Redskins in the playoffs too, yay me. Now begins the lean weekends, aka wife/movie nights.


uhhhh - I was pointing out that ... oh, never mind
 
2013-01-24 12:33:10 PM  

FriarReb98: I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)


i dunno if those are misinformed picks, they're just safe picks, misinformed would be like... cleveland vs. miami

the only guys who went out on a limb picked cowboys or eagles, both of whom had no chance this year or even recent years

picking 49ers or Ravens is pretty safe since both were a few points away from the superbowl last year, but it's easy to see why you would also not go with it as what's the likelyhood it would happen again? that's like picking patriots vs. giants again

the rest are mostly variations of patriots vs. packers, that's always the easiest to guess as the patriots are perennial division winners and the packers always make the playoffs and they both have QB's the sports world worship

i'm surprised more people didn't go with texans, i knew at some point schoob would schoob but the sports world seems to have a boner for that franchise now
 
2013-01-24 12:38:43 PM  

Le Grand Inquisitor: Even pre-season the niners get no respect! They made it to the NFC championship round last year. When are people going to realize this whole East-coast bias is BS and that the West-coast is where the dynasties are here to stay.

NINERS are going to manhandle the Ravens.


where do the cowboys fit into this sports bias circle jerk?
 
2013-01-24 12:55:36 PM  
I picked Patriots/Packers. Glad I was wrong.
 
2013-01-24 01:05:19 PM  

abhorrent1: Eagles Iggles and Cowgirls, LMAO.


FTFY.

/Cowgirl fan.
 
2013-01-24 01:09:07 PM  
I had Broncos v SF. Half right....no worse thsn the experts. ..
 
2013-01-24 01:13:00 PM  

FriarReb98: I always love these sorts of checkups.  Goes to show how misinformed people can be.  Like the guy who picked Eagles to win the Super Bowl.  (Not that the ones who picked the Giants or Cowboys are off the hook for picking non-playoff teams, but I think the Eagles pick is the most spectacular fail.)


If pundits were held accountable for their failed predictions, the world would be a better place.

Rush Limbaugh, I'm looking at you.
 
2013-01-24 01:13:24 PM  

p the boiler: Nightenstaff: We do predictions at our fantasy football draft. I said Ravens vs Packers with the Ravens winning it all. Then I picked the Packers to win week one in our Survivor Pool Pick and felt like a dumbfarker.

/CBS

you work for CBS?


Cool Bory Stroh.

you are a puppet: Well that guy's Eagles pick definitely cancels out his Ravens pick. Also:

Jamison Hensley (ESPN) Texans Cowboys Cowboys

[ecx.images-amazon.com image 300x300]


Yeah, there are homer picks, and then there are ¤«¤Homer picks¤»¤.
 
2013-01-24 01:14:07 PM  

NASAM: I picked Patriots/Packers. Glad I was wrong.


It would be the exact opposite ox this game. Total offense, like 56-63.
Harbowl is going to end like the last one, something like 7-6. Ugh.
 
2013-01-24 01:22:33 PM  

Rush Mountmore: NASAM: I picked Patriots/Packers. Glad I was wrong.

It would be the exact opposite ox this game. Total offense, like 56-63.
Harbowl is going to end like the last one, something like 7-6. Ugh.


Both teams have shown better offenses and worse D's than last year (more so for the Ravens). Which was 13-6 iirc. Maybe 13-9.

I'd expect a 21-27 game or some such thing. O/U is 47.5, with SF a 3.5pt favorite. So Vegas says about 21-27 or 23-24.
 
2013-01-24 01:24:00 PM  

AdamK: picking 49ers or Ravens is pretty safe since both were a few points away from the superbowl last year, but it's easy to see why you would also not go with it as what's the likelyhood it would happen again? that's like picking patriots vs. giants again


Well, the Niners were largely regarded as one of the best teams at the end of last year, and looked like they would improve in the off-season. A lot of people picked them to win it all from the get-go. Just not these people, I guess.
 
2013-01-24 01:24:55 PM  

Le Grand Inquisitor: Even pre-season the niners get no respect! They made it to the NFC championship round last year. When are people going to realize this whole East-coast bias is BS and that the West-coast is where the dynasties are here to stay.

NINERS are going to manhandle the Ravens.


While I do agree with you completely, I'm cutting them some slack since they were expecting Alex Smith to be QB for the stretch. Kapernick blindsided just about everyone, including us Niners fans.

6-0, baby. Niners have never lost a Super Bowl. Ever. Even when they're predicted to loose.

/Red and Gold is back :)
 
2013-01-24 01:40:50 PM  

degenerate-afro: Flips on Sportscenter for another 12 hours of "Lakers suck" coverage


So much this.  Its even on PTI like every day- and they're generally good at not over-hyping a non-story.

Ok, its not totally a non-story.  But at this point, we're halfway into the season, they've sucked the whole time, they're a .450 team in the 12th seed.  A few mentions is fine, but this is outright crazy at this point.
 
2013-01-24 01:41:05 PM  

Khellendros: Minor nit - the article says only 5 pundits had the Ravens making the Superbowl. The list has 6.


saw that.
 
2013-01-24 01:41:34 PM  

RoyFokker'sGhost: 6-0, baby. Niners have never lost a Super Bowl. Ever. Even when they're predicted to loose.


BUT every NFC West team has lost their only Super Bowl since 2000.
 
2013-01-24 01:45:27 PM  

Le Grand Inquisitor: Even pre-season the niners get no respect! They made it to the NFC championship round last year. When are people going to realize this whole East-coast bias is BS and that the West-coast is where the dynasties are here to stay.

NINERS are going to manhandle the Ravens.


17 experts predicted the Packers over the 49ers.  Must be because Green Bay, WI is so close to the east coast.
 
2013-01-24 01:48:57 PM  

Deneb81: Rush Mountmore: NASAM: I picked Patriots/Packers. Glad I was wrong.

It would be the exact opposite ox this game. Total offense, like 56-63.
Harbowl is going to end like the last one, something like 7-6. Ugh.

Both teams have shown better offenses and worse D's than last year (more so for the Ravens). Which was 13-6 iirc. Maybe 13-9.

I'd expect a 21-27 game or some such thing. O/U is 47.5, with SF a 3.5pt favorite. So Vegas says about 21-27 or 23-24.


I'd take the under.  Flacco doesn't get more than one dagrons this game.  Maybe not even one.  Kaepernick doesn't run past the Ravens like he did the Packers either.
 
2013-01-24 02:18:51 PM  
Everyone on that list who picked the Cowboys, Eagles, or Giants to win the NFC is an imbecile. Bandwagoners. Effectively the sports version of paid shills.

2011's "Dream Team" should have been enough to demonstrate to everyone that there was a storm brewing in Philadelphia. The Giants, Super Bowl champions though they may be, were at best an outside shot the previous season and had definitely not done enough to improve in the offseason. Their chances at a repeat title were unlikely and most people understood that. As for the Cowboys, until Jerry Jones fires his general manager *wink wink nudge nudge* the Cowboys will continue to be mediocre and shoot themselves in the foot.

/farking NFC East media bias
//rabble rabble rabble
 
2013-01-24 02:53:20 PM  
Here's mine from the beginning of the year thread with my accidental DEN typo in there:
East North South West
Patriots Baltimore Texans Denver
Jets Pitt Colts SD
Bills Cincy Titans KC
Dolphins Cleveland Jags Oakland

East North South West
Eagles GB Tampa San Fran
Giants Chicago ATL Arizona
Cowboys Minny Saints Rams
Redskins Lions Panthers Seattle

AFC Playoffs: Denver over Jets; Balt over SD; Balt over Houston; NE over Denver; Balt over Denver
NFC Playoffs: Chicago over San Fran; Philly over ATL; GB over Chicago; Philly over Tampa; GB over Philly
Superbowl: Balt over GB
MVP: Tom Brady
ROTY: Doug Martin
DMVP: A member of Denver's front line
Comeback: Peyton Manning
Worst Team: Jacksonville (who will get the 1 pick and leave town to LA)
Random guesses: Colt McCoy gets two of Clevelands 4 wins; Foles is the Eagles QB from week 12 onward; Megatron is shut down for the year in week 4, Stafford hurt too; Skeleton is a fantasy steal; two bad ref breaks cost the Saints a playoff spot; RG3 bombs; This is Romo/Garrett's last year in Dallas after a 7-9 finish


The whole Kapernick thing threw me off (and Eagles homer) or I would have been close on the final game. As for random guesses, I got Whedon getting hurt at some point right (but Colt wrong), I nailed Foles EXACTLY!, I missed how the Madden curse would work, I was definitely wrong on Skeleton, and technically, RG3 bombs could have meant his legs exploding. I was so close on Dallas because in the thread I talked about them tanking in the exact way they did...they just ended 8-8.
 
2013-01-24 04:11:10 PM  
Nobody likes their losing bets recited to them, especially not futures.
 
2013-01-24 04:34:07 PM  
FTA: Peter King (SI) Broncos Packers Packers

i1182.photobucket.com
 
2013-01-24 06:42:38 PM  
Someone actually chose the Eagles to win the Superbowl?

Bless his heart.

/Eagles fan
//Never thought them to make it the season (which happened) let alone the Superbowl.
 
2013-01-24 08:34:10 PM  
For the farkin' record: I predicted SF and BAL to be in the SB this year just after the last SB. I had a lot of doubt when SF benched Smith and when the Ravens went into a mini-slump, but it all worked out. Because I am a football GAWD!!!
 
2013-01-24 09:16:34 PM  
I'll admit I got on the thought that age would finally catch up to the defense and Ray Rice tweaks his hammy keeping him out for 2 games and not the same for 2 more to go 9-7.

/Stupid O/U set at 10.
 
2013-01-24 10:46:51 PM  

p the boiler: RoyHobbs22: p the boiler: Nightenstaff: We do predictions at our fantasy football draft. I said Ravens vs Packers with the Ravens winning it all. Then I picked the Packers to win week one in our Survivor Pool Pick and felt like a dumbfarker.

/CBS

you work for CBS?

That game was on FOX.
I also had Ravens v Packers. Only one in our pool that had Redskins in the playoffs too, yay me. Now begins the lean weekends, aka wife/movie nights.

uhhhh - I was pointing out that ... oh, never mind


I Laughed OL'd.

I'm not how he missed your reference.
 
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