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(Glossy News)   UnSkewed Polls guy can't predict 3-days out... so here's his prediction for ten years from now   (glossynews.com) divider line 60
    More: Unlikely, Governor of Virginia, overuse of antibiotics, abortion debate, vote with their feet, resistance movements, economic liberalism, pro-life, Cory Booker  
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1612 clicks; posted to Politics » on 22 Jan 2013 at 7:34 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2013-01-22 07:36:27 AM
Ten years? Three days?
This jackhole can't even predict that grey text on a background that ranges from black to GREY is going to be impossible to read.
 
2013-01-22 07:37:09 AM
The rise of the health freedom movement and believers in natural and alternative medicine will be another challenge to ObamaCare. As more citizens come to regard much of what modern medicine as as unhealthy or unnecessary, this will challenge the enforcement of ObamaCare as well. An increasing percentage of citizens who espouse natural or alternative medicine will opt out of participating in what the medical industry offers. We already see this with the health freedom movement's challenges to the effectiveness of immunization and the view that the medical industry over-prescribes many drugs and performs way too many unneeded surgeries.

Too bad Dean Chambers will likely be dead in 10 years from a curable illness,.

What a moron.
 
2013-01-22 07:37:31 AM
Lemme guess...the GOP is going to win in a landslide not seen since Nixon in '72 or St. Reagan in '84 because god is great and we are not worthy to live in his bastion of conservatism?
 
2013-01-22 07:38:22 AM

Karac: Ten years? Three days?
This jackhole can't even predict that grey text on a background that ranges from black to GREY is going to be impossible to read.


AKA 'hey my internent explorer decided to crap in it's own pants again and not draw the white background'.
 
2013-01-22 07:39:04 AM
I don't think this guy can predict what the time will be at noon but he really loves projecting and reality be damned.
 
2013-01-22 07:39:30 AM

Karac: Ten years? Three days?
This jackhole can't even predict that grey text on a background that ranges from black to GREY is going to be impossible to read.


Err, the background is white, maybe you have a browser/connection problem?
 
2013-01-22 07:43:54 AM

xria: Karac: Ten years? Three days?
This jackhole can't even predict that grey text on a background that ranges from black to GREY is going to be impossible to read.

Err, the background is white, maybe you have a browser/connection problem?


He's got a browser problem...IE
 
2013-01-22 07:47:29 AM

Philip Francis Queeg: An increasing percentage of citizens who espouse natural or alternative medicine will opt out of participating in what the medical industry offers.


I have universal health care that covers a wide variety of approaches, including acupuncture and traditional Chinese medicines. It is actually possible to create an insurance plan that covers a wide variety of approaches and let the patient decide what they want.
 
2013-01-22 07:47:30 AM

Philip Francis Queeg: Too bad Dean Chambers will likely be dead in 10 years from a curable illness,.


Yeah, but that has less to do with scientifically-approved health care and more to do with his spheroid Walmartian ass.
 
2013-01-22 07:47:51 AM
That's nice... It's a good thing we include the mentally retarded in the political process in this country.
 
2013-01-22 07:50:19 AM
The rise of conservative values will drown out the promotion of values and issues from the far left.
Doubtful. History constantly moves towards liberal values, insofar as they pertain to freedom and equality.
Naturally, freedom and equality are actually conservative values, but have been successfully co-opted by the Left in name only.
Likelihood: 50% (depends on the person viewing)

Technology will continue to advance forward as it makes many products and services less expensive
Absolutely. But the leading edge stuff will still command a premium. The obsolete stuff will be many times more powerful than our current technology, but will be priced reasonably so that most should be able to have access.
Likelihood: 100%

Politics will get even more interesting as time goes forward, it always does anyway.
No. It will be as interesting as it has always been. If you're a wonk, it's great. Aging population, Universal Healthcare, and a crashing economy (due to the retiring Boomers) are going to be front and center. Not so interesting if you just want to have a beer and relax.
Likelihood: 0%

The early rumblings of the civil war can already be seen
Yeah. No. Americans are Americans, and they like it that way. There won't be a civil war, even with Obamacare as the trigger.
Likelihood: 0%

The rise of the health freedom movement and believers in natural and alternative medicine will be another challenge to ObamaCare.
Those hippies are all Democrats anyway. No chance they're going to complain too much about Universal coverage.
Likelihood: 15%

President Obama will finish his second term as president having spent the entire term fighting with Republicans in Congress and will show very little further accomplishments for his efforts
Like his first term. Great prognostication, man.
Likelihood: 100%

The 2014 midterm elections will be a smaller scale Republican win than 2010
Hard to say. The Republicans may have a stronger ground game by then and the lack of forward progress by Obama could be the impetus to get voters to turn Republican.
Likelihood: 50%

The Clinton-Booker and Christie-Cuccinelli tickets will battle out in a close election that will be finished with Clinton winning by a smaller margin in popular and electoral votes than Obama won in 2012.
You think Republicans hate Obama? You underestimate how much they hate Hillary. Besides, she'll be dead of a stroke by then. Her health hasn't been that great lately, if you've been paying attention.
Likelihood: 20%

In 2020 the GOP will nominate a ticket of Cuccinelli and Senate Majority Leader Marco Rubio, and will defeat Hillary Clinton in the presidential race by a wide margin.
Is America going to be ready for an Italian President? Also, Hillary won't be Prez in 2020.
Likelihood: 5%

By 2020, the vast disparity between the economic prosperity of the "red" states and the bankruptcies of the "blue" states will have most of the economic argument nationally settled.
Like how Sweden is showing how terrible 'blue' policies work out, right? It's the people, stupid.
Likelihood: 0%
 
2013-01-22 07:56:23 AM

AverageAmericanGuy: By 2020, the vast disparity between the economic prosperity of the "red" states and the bankruptcies of the "blue" states will have most of the economic argument nationally settled.
Like how Sweden is showing how terrible 'blue' policies work out, right? It's the people, stupid.
Likelihood: 0%


what economic prosperity of "red" states? Aren't we still paying for their economic shortfall? Unless they legalize and "OMG TAXES!?!?!?!" prostitution and drugs, there's no way that they're going to be more prosperous than "blue" states. Hell, California, always a bastion for dysfunctional budgets, is actually out of the red and into the black. Seriously, that's impressive
 
2013-01-22 07:56:39 AM
This guy is like the white Negrodamus.
 
2013-01-22 08:02:09 AM
i.imgur.com
 
2013-01-22 08:05:18 AM
He's predicting that conservative values will drown out the left yet the ratio of Democrats to Republicans in Congress will not change by much. I guess when you're just making it up out of thin air you don't have to worry about consistency.

It's semi-delusional to think you can predict trends ten years in the future but to predict specific candidates for both parties is another level of crazy.
 
2013-01-22 08:08:41 AM
The rise of conservative values will drown out the promotion of values and issues from the far left. Increasing percentages of those who call themselves "Pro-Life" in the polls will make clear that the abortion debate has been won by the Pro-Life side and Roe may or may not be repealed, but it won't matter. Even where abortion remains legal it will be impossible to find a place to get one. The Pro Life movement will have run the abortion industry out of business more effectively than the anti-nuclear movement shut down nuclear power. And vast majorities of the public will approve of this.

What a completely disingenuous sack of shiat.

Hey chump, what do you say to two-thirds of the fastest-growing demographic in southern red states?

And what other issues indicate the "rise of conservative values"? Gay marriage? Ask George Will if you guys are going to drown out the "promotion of values from the far left".

This incredible plague of cognitive dissonance makes me ashamed I ever voted for the same people they did.
 
2013-01-22 08:18:34 AM
Just because you can't predict 3 days out doesn'T mean you can'T predict 10 years out. different skill set.
 
2013-01-22 08:21:10 AM
Article is pretty long, allow me to summarize.

"I said a Hurp, Durp, a Hurpitty Durp, Hurp, Hurp, Hurp, till ya Durp."
 
2013-01-22 08:21:46 AM
oi47.tinypic.com
 
2013-01-22 08:22:54 AM

somedude210: AverageAmericanGuy: By 2020, the vast disparity between the economic prosperity of the "red" states and the bankruptcies of the "blue" states will have most of the economic argument nationally settled.
Like how Sweden is showing how terrible 'blue' policies work out, right? It's the people, stupid.
Likelihood: 0%

what economic prosperity of "red" states? Aren't we still paying for their economic shortfall? Unless they legalize and "OMG TAXES!?!?!?!" prostitution and drugs, there's no way that they're going to be more prosperous than "blue" states. Hell, California, always a bastion for dysfunctional budgets, is actually out of the red and into the black. Seriously, that's impressive


The supposed prosperity of the red states depends heavily on federal investment with taxpayers' money siphoned out of the supposedly bankrupt blue states. Require the red states to bootstrap themselves and we'll see an end to that myth.
 
2013-01-22 08:24:19 AM
FTFA: As the Millennial generation grows older, more mature and politically more conservatives [sic]

That's where I stopped reading. The Millenial generation (and I say this as a member of said generation) is NOT going to get more conservative. We're NEVER going to go back on our stances on gay rights and economic equality. If this guy thinks we're all going to start thinking that marriage should be between one man and one woman, and that a top marginal tax rate of 39% is Stalinist communism, then he's even dumber than I'd thought.
 
2013-01-22 08:29:35 AM
i like how he predicts that hillary will win the presidency in 2016 because that must mean he isn't just a conservative political hack, right? but then he goes to say hillary will get destroyed in 2020. the only prediction funnier than that is that everyone will use an iphone in the year 2023. that would be like someone in the year 1996 claiming everyone in 2012 will own a gateway personal computer. the pace of technology by 2023 will probably make cellphones obsolete in a decade anyway, we'll be using neural implants by then.
 
2013-01-22 08:32:46 AM
That's what I love about Conservatives. They are unwilling or unable to learn from their mistakes. This guy will "stay the course" and think he's better than Nate Silver at predicting most likely outcomes until his dying day. And he'll have an audience that agrees.
 
2013-01-22 08:38:44 AM
i.imgur.com
 
2013-01-22 08:39:50 AM

Jackson Herring: [i.imgur.com image 400x300]


Oh jesus. How you made that 3D is freaking me out.
 
2013-01-22 08:44:52 AM
Dean "Rmoney 359 - 0bama 179" Chambers: All predictions guaranteed wrong or your money back.
 
2013-01-22 08:46:55 AM

Jackson Herring: [i.imgur.com image 400x300]


Oh god, just when I thought he couldn't get any creepier...
 
2013-01-22 08:49:44 AM
Fat guys in front of evergreens making predictions... NEXT!
 
2013-01-22 08:50:08 AM
Your blog sucks (as does Dean Chambers.)
 
2013-01-22 08:50:48 AM
His entire theory is based around the failure of ObamaCare and how it will drive 'blue' states into economic ruin, while the states that reject ObamaCare will remain prosperous. I think before that happens, something new is going to come along and hopefully bring the costs of healthcare back to reasonable levels. It is not politics that caused the cost of healthcare to skyrocket over the past decade. but instead it is a few large companies, working together in the free market to increase their own profits.
Somebody will come up with an alternative that change the way healthcare is billed and paid for, and it will take off like wildfire causing the major insurance companies out there today to go bankrupt and bringing another financial crisis for the country.
 
2013-01-22 08:59:43 AM
glossynews.com
 
2013-01-22 09:01:29 AM
FTFA: Apple's iPhone product will prove to be superior and win in the marketplace, as just about everyone by 2023 will be use an iPhone

I have nothing against Apple personally, but this guy's so bad at telling the future that he doesn't even have the ability to assess the present:

static5.businessinsider.com
 
2013-01-22 09:06:37 AM

THX 1138: FTFA: Apple's iPhone product will prove to be superior and win in the marketplace, as just about everyone by 2023 will be use an iPhone

I have nothing against Apple personally, but this guy's so bad at telling the future that he doesn't even have the ability to assess the present:

[static5.businessinsider.com image 850x544]


the most depressing thing about that graph? That Windows 7/8 phone pales in comparison behind farking blackberry

/love my win7 phone
//so alone....
 
2013-01-22 09:07:52 AM

AverageAmericanGuy: Naturally, freedom and equality are actually conservative values, but have been successfully co-opted by the Left in name only.


Leaving out what it actually means to be "conservative" or "liberal" -- parties in other countries that call themselves "liberal" are sometimes rightist, and the former Warsaw Pact countries have leftist "conservative" parties -- what do you think of as freedom and equality? Seems to me that the American left has cornered the market on equality for minorities (and to a lesser extent, immigrants) -- what we would think of as civil rights. The classical conservative seems to value economic freedom, but so does the classical liberal, in a different way: the conservative values freedom of individual and businesses from taxes and regulation, whereas the liberal values the freedom of the individual to do what he or she wants without having to worry about basic needs -- freedom from poverty, in a sense (although I'm probably exaggerating a bit here). Does this seem like an accurate description to you?
 
2013-01-22 09:13:26 AM

HMS_Blinkin: FTFA: As the Millennial generation grows older, more mature and politically more conservatives [sic]

That's where I stopped reading. The Millenial generation (and I say this as a member of said generation) is NOT going to get more conservative. We're NEVER going to go back on our stances on gay rights and economic equality. If this guy thinks we're all going to start thinking that marriage should be between one man and one woman, and that a top marginal tax rate of 39% is Stalinist communism, then he's even dumber than I'd thought.


Having just spent the last 4 years listening to the GOP shiat their pants about why young people shouldn't vote and dealing with every voter disenfranchisement effort I can think of to stop them from voting (along with several I could have never come up with), I'm pretty sure young people of today won't slowly start moving towards the GOP. I remember a WI GOP guy outright saying that people under 35 shouldn't be allowed to vote during the buildup to the recall elections. It doesn't get more blatant than that.

I got purged from the voter roles for the recall elections, and had to do same day registration, which is of course another thing the WI GOP is trying to do away with, so there's that. Was it just an honest mistake? Maybe. Hell, it probably was. However, when someone makes intention of doing something known (like stopping me from voting), then that happens, guess who gets the blame.

If someone threatened to smash my car window out, then I went out to the car this morning to find broken glass all over the front seat, that person would probably get arrested and have charges brought against them, even if they got dismissed later on because there's no solid evidence. I'd certainly believe it was them, regardless of whether the charges were dropped. And unlike the car scenario, in which I'd have no power to do anything about it, I can continue to vote against the GOP for as long as I live. I can donate money to their opponents, I can donate my time, I can keep making sure that relatives that repeat Glenn Beck talking points get a verbal beatdown in front of their children.

Slives: His entire theory is based around the failure of ObamaCare and how it will drive 'blue' states into economic ruin, while the states that reject ObamaCare will remain prosperous. I think before that happens, something new is going to come along and hopefully bring the costs of healthcare back to reasonable levels. It is not politics that caused the cost of healthcare to skyrocket over the past decade. but instead it is a few large companies, working together in the free market to increase their own profits.
Somebody will come up with an alternative that change the way healthcare is billed and paid for, and it will take off like wildfire causing the major insurance companies out there today to go bankrupt and bringing another financial crisis for the country.


In a perfectly competitive free market, that would probably happen. Unfortunately getting into that industry has HUGE barriers to entry. On top of that, those that are entrenched have been bribing donating to the campaigns of Representatives and Senators to pass legislation to make it even harder for anyone to get into the game. I don't think there was any solution to this nation's healthcare issue without government intervention.
 
2013-01-22 09:26:46 AM

Arkanaut: AverageAmericanGuy: Naturally, freedom and equality are actually conservative values, but have been successfully co-opted by the Left in name only.

Leaving out what it actually means to be "conservative" or "liberal" -- parties in other countries that call themselves "liberal" are sometimes rightist, and the former Warsaw Pact countries have leftist "conservative" parties -- what do you think of as freedom and equality? Seems to me that the American left has cornered the market on equality for minorities (and to a lesser extent, immigrants) -- what we would think of as civil rights. The classical conservative seems to value economic freedom, but so does the classical liberal, in a different way: the conservative values freedom of individual and businesses from taxes and regulation, whereas the liberal values the freedom of the individual to do what he or she wants without having to worry about basic needs -- freedom from poverty, in a sense (although I'm probably exaggerating a bit here). Does this seem like an accurate description to you?


I don't think you're too very far off. Individual freedom is incompatible with freedom from poverty. Economic protectionism is incompatible with economic freedom.

Both sides are unwillingly to accept merit in the other because the very concepts espoused are contrary to the basic principles strongly held.

/so vote Republican
 
2013-01-22 09:35:59 AM
I've said it before about this guy and his ability to get the right to believe his nonsense:

Great troll?

Or...greatest troll?

Seriously, some of you professional trolls here on Fark could take lessons from this guy. He's trolling fully half the country in multiple forms of media, to the point where even the most connected people are buying it hook, line, and sinker.
 
2013-01-22 09:46:27 AM

JerkStore: I've said it before about this guy and his ability to get the right to believe his nonsense:

Great troll?

Or...greatest troll?


the right have been living in an echo chamber since 1996. they're not used to hearing bad news (i.e. "facts"), so this guy filled a niche. it was quite brilliant, actually. and par for the course for the "conservative entertainment complex."
 
2013-01-22 09:49:41 AM

somedude210: THX 1138: FTFA: Apple's iPhone product will prove to be superior and win in the marketplace, as just about everyone by 2023 will be use an iPhone

I have nothing against Apple personally, but this guy's so bad at telling the future that he doesn't even have the ability to assess the present:

[static5.businessinsider.com image 850x544]

the most depressing thing about that graph? That Windows 7/8 phone pales in comparison behind farking blackberry

/love my win7 phone
//so alone....


Not to turn this into a smartphone flamewar thread, but... sorry man, you bought into a loser. Seriously, Windows Phone seems like the worst of all the smartphone worlds -- the paternalistic control and limited hardware choices of iPhone, the updatability of Android, the software ecosystem of WebOS... the only thing it has going for it is that its interface is kind of different, and that's a highly subjective thing.
 
2013-01-22 09:57:22 AM
FTA: "Technology will continue to advance forward...."

Because it really would be remarkable id it advanced backwards.
 
2013-01-22 10:09:02 AM

HeartBurnKid: somedude210: THX 1138: FTFA: Apple's iPhone product will prove to be superior and win in the marketplace, as just about everyone by 2023 will be use an iPhone

I have nothing against Apple personally, but this guy's so bad at telling the future that he doesn't even have the ability to assess the present:

[static5.businessinsider.com image 850x544]

the most depressing thing about that graph? That Windows 7/8 phone pales in comparison behind farking blackberry

/love my win7 phone
//so alone....

Not to turn this into a smartphone flamewar thread, but... sorry man, you bought into a loser. Seriously, Windows Phone seems like the worst of all the smartphone worlds -- the paternalistic control and limited hardware choices of iPhone, the updatability of Android, the software ecosystem of WebOS... the only thing it has going for it is that its interface is kind of different, and that's a highly subjective thing.


Dude, I love it. Very intuitive, very stable. The only issue I really have is that the app market is lacking compared to apple's and google's but that's also because they have 3/4 of the market. I tried android and found that I enjoyed the Windows phone better so I went with that. And I've had android users use it and wish they had the chance to get one. The biggest issue with Windows phones is that they are almost exclusively an ATT thing and while that's wonderful for those of us on ATT service, it's a rather limited population. If Verizon had as much of a Windows choice as they do Andriod, the numbers would be more equal.
 
2013-01-22 10:26:54 AM
Let me guess - Americans will finally wake up and understand the true genius of conservatism and reject liberals and transform America into a Ayn Rand utopia where everybody is free, has lots of guns, and pays nothing to the government while moochers are rounded up and put in special "compassion camps" for orderly ... disposal.

That guy couldn't predict the wetness of water.
 
2013-01-22 11:16:54 AM

phuquetarde: That guy couldn't predict the wetness of water.


Hey now. I'm relatively certain that guy has had at least one bath in his life.
But yeah the stuff about Galtopia is pretty much spot on. In his mind, anyway.
 
2013-01-22 11:37:09 AM
FTFA:Very few house and senate seats will change parties in 2016 and it will be said once again to be a very status quote election.

wut
 
2013-01-22 11:40:52 AM

somedude210: If Verizon had as much of a Windows choice as they do Andriod, the numbers would be more equal.


But isn't the problem that Microsoft is very restrictive with its hardware requirements, resulting in fewer choices available to the consumer, and what's there is priced outside of the range of most consumers?

Kind of a metaphor for the GOP, I guess. Unyielding adherence to a strict set of rules under threat of revocation of license to carry the brand, resulting in less choice for consumers and a general disgust with the product in general?
 
2013-01-22 11:45:45 AM
I skimmed it but it seems like he believes that a civil war or at least massive amounts of contention will result from "Obamacare". My personal prediction is that 10 years from now a conservative will be claiming that they where behind it all the time and the damned liberals stopped them from properly implementing it. This seems much more in line with how conservative politicians actually behave.
 
2013-01-22 12:16:33 PM
I don't find this obese person credible.
 
2013-01-22 12:28:42 PM

Anenu: I skimmed it but it seems like he believes that a civil war or at least massive amounts of contention will result from "Obamacare". My personal prediction is that 10 years from now a conservative will be claiming that they where behind it all the time and the damned liberals stopped them from properly implementing it. This seems much more in line with how conservative politicians actually behave.


I'm okay with this, as long as the liberals are pushing single payer by then. Obamacare really is the Republican plan from the 90's that was so far away from HillaryCare no one took it seriously.
 
2013-01-22 12:28:53 PM

ox45tallboy: somedude210: If Verizon had as much of a Windows choice as they do Andriod, the numbers would be more equal.

But isn't the problem that Microsoft is very restrictive with its hardware requirements, resulting in fewer choices available to the consumer, and what's there is priced outside of the range of most consumers?

Kind of a metaphor for the GOP, I guess. Unyielding adherence to a strict set of rules under threat of revocation of license to carry the brand, resulting in less choice for consumers and a general disgust with the product in general?


Maybe, there are quite a few models that are offered by ATT though. I think it's more that Google partnered with Verizon and Microsoft partnered with ATT. Both ATT and Verizon offer the other OS phones, just a much more limited selection
 
2013-01-22 12:53:48 PM
All of his beliefs are predicated on the assumption that currently-young people will become more conservative. And I just don't see that happening.
 
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