detroitdoesntsuckthatbad: They're even disappearing in the third world. I spent a year in middle-of-nowhere Mexico a while back automating Juan and Jose's jobs out of existence too.Of that I have no doubt. Mexico's problem is that they're not the cheapest labour on the block anymore.Gaseous Anomaly: That's the standard economic wisdom, and I agree. But there's a wrinkle - if automation gets good enough we could violate a core assumption of economics: local nonsatiation.To unpack that for non-wonks: It's assumed that human want is much greater than productive capacity, so there will always be enough work to go around, doing *something*. E.g. as factory jobs disappear (robots have largely taken those already) we get more yoga instructors. But what happens once we have good enough automation for not only yoga instruction, but, say, surgery? Programming? Robot design?
Incontinent_dog_and_monkey_rodeo: Soon we'll have electricity with no fuel inputs from wind and solar, and robots to make anything we need. Good times, unless you're dead set on everyone having a job of some sort.
CaptSS: Actually just the opposite. Recently got a script for a strong narcotic and counted the pills the next day. It was short one pill. Since this is kept in the safe the Pharmacist manually filled it. An auto counter wouldn't have shorted me.
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