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(Slashdot)   Good news: Oceans are not rising like researchers predicted. Bad news: Oceans are rising *faster* than researchers predicted   (science.slashdot.org) divider line 143
    More: Scary, researchers predicted, Electric energy consumption, purpose in life, soylent greens  
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7340 clicks; posted to Main » on 28 Nov 2012 at 10:21 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-11-28 01:37:39 PM  

Farking Canuck: fortheloveofgod: Farking Canuck: randomjsa: Are these the same researchers who said we would have no snow by this point?

Nope. Worst case scenarios are not actually proposed as likely. If scientists do not list what is possible and the unlikely extreme actually happens, Luddites like yourself get all pitchforky. See recent events in Italy.

Predictions are made with ranges usually with Gaussian distributions. This means that the center of the range of the prediction and the extreme that you keep harping on and on about is actually highly unlikely.

So then we're not going to have extreme climate changes? Cool - we can all relax then!

Ummm ... is that how you read that?? No wonder there is such an anti-science movement in the USA. You apparently have absolutely no understanding of statistics used to report most phenomena.

"There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge."
― Isaac Asimov


Your exact words were "...and the extreme that you keep harping on and on about is actually highly unlikely. (emphasis mine)
 
2012-11-28 01:53:16 PM  

MythDragon: This is a problem that the Combine could easily help us with.


media.giantbomb.com

The Combine?
 
2012-11-28 01:58:40 PM  
Is there a Spentmiles/PocketNinja Tracker showing how many they fished in today? Looks like record-breaking territory.
 
2012-11-28 02:03:56 PM  

fortheloveofgod:

Your exact words were "...and the extreme that you keep harping on and on about is actually highly unlikely. (emphasis mine)


Fair enough ... I see where your confusion is now. You are conflating my use of 'extreme' referring to the edge of the statistical distribution with the use of extreme as an adjective to describe possible future climates.

Pretty much all of the range of predicted climate is bad except the extreme low end (there's that word again!!). At what point 'bad' climate change is considered 'extremely bad' depends on the person ... for some this may be when food prices rise 30% and for others it may be when large numbers of fatalities start. It is arbitrary but it is on that bell curve somewhere.
 
2012-11-28 02:04:59 PM  

elchupacabra: Is there a Spentmiles/PocketNinja Tracker showing how many they fished in today? Looks like record-breaking territory.


I sure wished there was. Not sure if this was a record breaker for Spentmiles. I know some months back, I wished I could remember which thread, that one had to have been a record breaker for him. I was in awe.
 
2012-11-28 02:05:50 PM  
Um, yeah, multiple sources say that sea level rise is decelerating. Just google it. Look at the satellite data. Anyone saying otherwise is full of shiat.
 
2012-11-28 02:10:57 PM  
Are we really linking to a /. story that links to a Reuters "whoever wants it print it" piece? Ok /. comments are more informative than Reuters I guess, maybe I can see it.
 
2012-11-28 02:12:00 PM  

3rotor: so where is all those H2O stealing aliens when you need them...


They were going to steal our water, but as they were pulling into the solar system the aliens noticed there were whole moons and dwarf planets made up mostly of ice (with the bonus of being entirely uncontaminated by potentially harmful lifeforms). While they were out there conducting a low-risk ice mining operation, the aliens grabbed a few asteroids containing more precious metals than have ever been mined in the entirety of human history, because they needed gold and stuff...for some reason.
 
2012-11-28 02:24:58 PM  

HindiDiscoMonster: starsrift: Oh, fark, two GW threads posted to Main already, and it's not even noon.

It's going to be one of those days.


I'm gonna need more liquor.

Pick me up some rum while you are there... something nice... mixable, sip-able, but not to expensive... maybe:

ecx.images-amazon.com



What's everybody on these threads got against absinthe?
(cat eyes at link follow cursor)

www.absinthes.com

www.originalabsinthe.com

Is everyone diabetic and can't handle melting sugar cubes or something? 
www.grapesandgrainsnyc.com

Some strange aversion to green faeries?
cdn2-b.examiner.com

Mmmmmmm . . . heavy fog swirling outside, the fragrance of a crackling fire, Fark tales of approaching doom reaching for all . . .ah, . . .it's an absinthe morning, an absinthe mourning . . . mmmmmm . . .

upload.wikimedia.org

upload.wikimedia.org

"The sadness will last forever."

 
2012-11-28 02:31:25 PM  

WelldeadLink: But the people who run the satellites say that this satellite data is messed up.
Link



Meh. . . What do they know?
 
2012-11-28 02:40:59 PM  

randomjsa: Are these the same researchers who said we would have no snow by this point?

Are these the same researches who said there would be hundreds of thousands of climate change refuges by this point?

Are these the same researches who said there would be more frequent hurricanes? On that note, are these the same researches who run forward after every single solitary weather related disaster to proclaim that this is "climate change" even if its contradictory to what they said the last time?



No. These are DIFFERENT researchers.
 
2012-11-28 02:46:06 PM  

Cythraul: MythDragon: This is a problem that the Combine could easily help us with.

[media.giantbomb.com image 850x680]

The Combine?


bulk.destructoid.com
The Combine.
 
2012-11-28 02:54:19 PM  

GhostfacedFiddlah: Let's just get this out of the way:
[i.imgur.com image 461x382]


No, let's just get THIS out of the way:
images3.wikia.nocookie.net
 
2012-11-28 02:56:47 PM  

Farking Canuck: Luddites like yourself get all pitchforky.


Hilarious!

/Am stealing this.
 
2012-11-28 03:05:00 PM  
Pocket Ninja's 2230 is really 1^V110 in binary, think about that for a moment.

Then you might think 22:30 as in Matthew 22:30-- "For in the resurrection they neither marry, nor are given in marriage, but are as the angels of God in heaven."

Or you may have thought in hexadecimal it's 8B6, which may be the last half of a Canadian postal code for Nisku, a hamlet Alberta, Canada

Then Hamlet reminds you of either Denmark or Shakespeare..........................and so it goes on

2230, a very serious number
 
2012-11-28 03:22:08 PM  
i48.tinypic.com
 
2012-11-28 03:25:53 PM  

Pocket Ninja: The problem with these "OMG the sky is falling" climate-change horror predictions is that nobody looks at the big pictures. Oceanographers just look at oceans, Geographers just look at earth. Weatherographers just look at their latest Super Doppler7000 and circle their arms around weather patterns...
...Do you think the Earth was always this same size? No! Thousands upon thousands of years ago it was much smaller. There was also a lot less water. Now we have lots of water, and lots of land. A few thousand years from now, there will be even more of both. It's the natural way of things. It's science. SCIENCE. But not science studied in isolation, subby. Science as part of the greater whole.



Anyone else read all that in Cave Johnson's voice?
 
2012-11-28 03:42:01 PM  

HAMMERTOE: If this is true, why did Al Gore just buy oceanfront property?


Because NOBODY who promotes the global warming cause is willing to put their money where their mouth is.

cwheelie: It's a brand new album for 1990....


obscure?


Nope, it`s their brand new album.
 
2012-11-28 05:21:11 PM  
dready zim:

HAMMERTOE: If this is true, why did Al Gore just buy oceanfront property?

Because NOBODY who promotes the global warming cause is willing to put their money where their mouth is.


Say, you kids wouldn't be talking about this place, would you?

I'm told it has a nice ocean *VIEW*, given that it's over 150 meters above sea level in the hills of Montecito.

You guys can't even get your ALGOOOOORE!!! talking points straight.
 
2012-11-28 05:29:16 PM  
Pocket Ninja is right on target.
Modern day catastrophists keep predicting doom and death
and it's JUST ABOUT TO HAPPEN

and then...on to the next scare.

a fool and his money are soon parted
 
2012-11-28 07:18:55 PM  
Goodbye, New York City.
 
2012-11-28 07:43:25 PM  
Nope, it's still at sea level, Submittard.
 
2012-11-28 07:50:06 PM  
.

102.mlsimages.movoto.com
 
2012-11-28 08:28:30 PM  

Pocket Ninja: The problem with these "OMG the sky is falling" climate-change horror predictions is that nobody looks at the big pictures. Oceanographers just look at oceans, Geographers just look at earth. Weatherographers just look at their latest Super Doppler7000 and circle their arms around weather patterns. And so on.


That was beautiful!

/2230
 
2012-11-28 08:30:58 PM  
www.electronic-spare-parts.com
 
2012-11-28 08:50:37 PM  
I just want to make one statement. Not everything fix a Gaussian curve.
 
2012-11-28 09:15:27 PM  

Shakin_Haitian: I just want to make one statement. Not everything fix a Gaussian curve.


Assuming you meant 'fits', you are correct. Although, in this situation, I would word it as: a Gaussian curve does not necessarily describe the probability of all outcomes of a prediction model.

That said, the Gaussian curve is the most likely distribution of predictions without some kind of limiting force shifting it ... which is why I am assuming it describes the situation in this case. Even if it is not completely accurate the actual curve is still likely close to the bell curve with a possible shift of the center line.

This still supports my suggestion that the extreme predictions (both at the high end and the low end) are unlikely to occur. That the average global temperature we get will be pretty close to the center of the predicted range. Which may still produce extreme climate shifts as per fortheloveofgod's comment but will not result in the most dire predictions which were 'worst case scenarios'.

tldr: The assertions by deniers that, since the absolute worst case scenarios didn't happen, then the predictions must all be wrong is simply bad logic not supported by the statistics. They were never suggested as likely ... just possible.
 
2012-11-28 09:28:42 PM  

IlGreven: bim1154: The earth just reinvents itself on a regular basis. Nothing to see here are get excited about.

The last time the earth "reinvented" itself on a scale like this, the dinosaurs died out (or became chickens).


Some became ostrich and those damn fine eatin. Close to dino meat as you can get.
 
2012-11-28 09:41:26 PM  

FunkOut: IlGreven: bim1154: The earth just reinvents itself on a regular basis. Nothing to see here are get excited about.

The last time the earth "reinvented" itself on a scale like this, the dinosaurs died out (or became chickens).

Some became ostrich and those damn fine eatin. Close to dino meat as you can get.


As close as you can get to dino meat? Methinks you have forgotten about the crocodile and it is also damn fine eatin.
 
2012-11-28 10:16:13 PM  
i651.photobucket.com

*cackle*
 
2012-11-28 10:16:44 PM  

maxheck: clane:

just wait 10 more years we will be back to the global cooling scare

You might want to know that none of the sensationalist magazine covers you posted had anything to do with "global cooling." The upper left one was about a crunch in heating oil prices and the lower right one was about a drop in industrial production from a massive coal strike.

You wouldn't want to go around looking like you are just parroting some talking point and don't know what you're talking about.

TMYK


1974 Time Magazine article
June 24, 1974 issue, Time presented an article titled Another Ice Age? that noted "the atmosphere has been growing gradually cooler for the past three decades"

An April 28, 1975 article in Newsweek magazine was titled "The Cooling World" it pointed to "ominous signs that the Earth's weather patterns have begun to change and pointed to a drop in temp1972 and 1974 National Science Board

The National Science Board's Patterns and Perspectives in Environmental Science report of 1972 discussed the cyclical behavior of climate, and the understanding at the time that the planet was entering a phase of cooling after a warm period. "Judging from the record of the past interglacial ages, the present time of high temperatures should be drawing to an end, to be followed by a long period of considerably colder temperatures leading into the next glacial age


http://sweetness-light.com/archive/newsweeks-1975-article-about-the-c o ming-ice-age

I don't know why you didn't also include this link: YOU CERTAINLY WOULDN'T WANT TO BE SEEN AS LYING ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING.

 
2012-11-28 10:18:09 PM  

GhostfacedFiddlah: Let's just get this out of the way:
[i.imgur.com image 461x382]



then why lie?

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100114292/lying-che a ting-climate-scientists-caught-lying-cheating-again/
 
2012-11-28 10:34:46 PM  
clane:

then why lie?

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100114292/lying-che a ting-climate-scientists-caught-lying-cheating-again/


That's easy... The reason the Global Warming Policy Foundation (who made the graph forming the basis for that blog post you're posting) lies is because they are an astroturf organization with ties to Exxon / Mobil.

That is why they lie. You didn't know that?

Also... The covers you posted in your OP had nothing at all to do with global cooling, you obviously haven't even taken a cursory look into the crud you're posting, you just went out and googled something to make it look as if you knew what you were talking about and hadn't just rushed to post some copypasta you found on the internet. I pointed that out a lot more gently than you deserved.
 
2012-11-29 01:27:15 AM  
But barry told me that he would LOWER the oceans if we elected him!
 
2012-11-29 05:00:50 AM  
Fish_Fight!:

But barry told me that he would LOWER the oceans if we elected him!

And the dumbass media you believed in convinced you to post here with the conviction that sea-level rises weren't happening.

Who played you worse?
 
2012-11-29 05:19:20 AM  
An ice age, or more precisely, a glacial age, is a period of long-term reduction in the temperature of the Earth's surface and atmosphere, resulting in the presence or expansion of continental ice sheets, polar ice sheets and alpine glaciers. Within a long-term ice age, individual pulses of cold climate are termed "glacial periods" (or alternatively "glacials" or "glaciations" or colloquially as "ice age"), and intermittent warm periods are called "interglacials". Glaciologically, ice age implies the presence of extensive ice sheets in the northern and southern hemispheres.[1] By this definition, we are still in the ice age that began 2.6 million years ago at the start of the Pleistocene epoch, because the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets still exist.
...
The next well-documented ice age, and probably the most severe of the last billion years, occurred from 850 to 630 million years ago (the Cryogenian period) and may have produced a Snowball Earth in which glacial ice sheets reached the equator,[32] possibly being ended by the accumulation of greenhouse gases such as CO2 produced by volcanoes. "The presence of ice on the continents and pack ice on the oceans would inhibit both silicate weathering and photosynthesis, which are the two major sinks for CO2 at present."[33] It has been suggested that the end of this ice age was responsible for the subsequent Ediacaran and Cambrian Explosion, though this model is recent and controversial.
...
According to research published in Nature Geoscience, human emissions of carbon dioxide will defer the next ice age. Researchers used data on the Earth's orbit to find the historical warm interglacial period that looks most like the current one and from this have predicted that the next ice age would usually begin within 1,500 years. They go on to say that emissions have been so high that it will not.[38]
 
2012-11-29 05:32:23 AM  
Dadoody:

An ice age, or more precisely, a glacial age, is a period of long-term reduction in the temperature of the Earth's surface and atmosphere, resulting in the presence or expansion of continental ice sheets, polar ice sheets and alpine glaciers. Within a long-term ice age, individual pulses of cold climate are termed "glacial periods" (or alternatively "glacials" or "glaciations" or colloquially as "ice age"), and intermittent warm periods are called "interglacials". Glaciologically, ice age implies the presence of extensive ice sheets in the northern and southern hemispheres.[1] By this definition, we are still in the ice age that began 2.6 million years ago at the start of the Pleistocene epoch, because the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets still exist.
...
The next well-documented ice age, and probably the most severe of the last billion years, occurred from 850 to 630 million years ago (the Cryogenian period) and may have produced a Snowball Earth in which glacial ice sheets reached the equator,[32] possibly being ended by the accumulation of greenhouse gases such as CO2 produced by volcanoes. "The presence of ice on the continents and pack ice on the oceans would inhibit both silicate weathering and photosynthesis, which are the two major sinks for CO2 at present."[33] It has been suggested that the end of this ice age was responsible for the subsequent Ediacaran and Cambrian Explosion, though this model is recent and controversial.
...
According to research published in Nature Geoscience, human emissions of carbon dioxide will defer the next ice age. Researchers used data on the Earth's orbit to find the historical warm interglacial period that looks most like the current one and from this have predicted that the next ice age would usually begin within 1,500 years. They go on to say that emissions have been so high that it will not.[38]


Was there a point there, or were you just practicing cut and paste on your new computer?
 
2012-11-29 10:25:22 AM  

maxheck: clane:

then why lie?

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100114292/lying-che a ting-climate-scientists-caught-lying-cheating-again/

That's easy... The reason the Global Warming Policy Foundation (who made the graph forming the basis for that blog post you're posting) lies is because they are an astroturf organization with ties to Exxon / Mobil.

That is why they lie. You didn't know that?

Also... The covers you posted in your OP had nothing at all to do with global cooling, you obviously haven't even taken a cursory look into the crud you're posting, you just went out and googled something to make it look as if you knew what you were talking about and hadn't just rushed to post some copypasta you found on the internet. I pointed that out a lot more gently than you deserved.



I live in Texas and we just don't have as many sheep down here as most states. i have never spoken with someone that actually believes in Global Warming or that ExxonMobil controls the world. Can you tell me if you also believe

A) Republicans are at war against women
B) Big Bird would not survive without our tax dollars
C) Increasing taxes will actually help the economy
D) Republicans are against Susan Rice because of her race or gender
E) We are in the middle of Global Warming despite Record snowfall in La and Tx last year
F) All of the above

i could keep going but it just gets so funny and sad from a non sheep perspective.
 
2012-11-29 10:44:37 AM  

clane: I live in Texas and we just don't have as many sheep down here as most states. i have never spoken with someone that actually believes in Global Warming or that ExxonMobil controls the world.


So what you are saying is that you feel that it is more likely that a world-wide conspiracy of scientists is more likely than multi-billion dollar corporations spreading dis-information to protect profits.

/and you call other people sheep
 
2012-11-29 11:22:32 AM  

clane: maxheck: clane:

then why lie?

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100114292/lying-che a ting-climate-scientists-caught-lying-cheating-again/

That's easy... The reason the Global Warming Policy Foundation (who made the graph forming the basis for that blog post you're posting) lies is because they are an astroturf organization with ties to Exxon / Mobil.

That is why they lie. You didn't know that?

Also... The covers you posted in your OP had nothing at all to do with global cooling, you obviously haven't even taken a cursory look into the crud you're posting, you just went out and googled something to make it look as if you knew what you were talking about and hadn't just rushed to post some copypasta you found on the internet. I pointed that out a lot more gently than you deserved.


I live in Texas and we just don't have as many sheep down here as most states. i have never spoken with someone that actually believes in Global Warming or that ExxonMobil controls the world. Can you tell me if you also believe

A) Republicans are at war against women
B) Big Bird would not survive without our tax dollars
C) Increasing taxes will actually help the economy
D) Republicans are against Susan Rice because of her race or gender
E) We are in the middle of Global Warming despite Record snowfall in La and Tx last year
F) All of the above

i could keep going but it just gets so funny and sad from a non sheep perspective.


Middle???
I was told by your fearless leaders that this is just the beginning and we are looking forward to the Rapture point of no return where the oceans rise to Denver.
This is not two things in one, this is bullchit.
If you farking GOP sycophants don't dump the Christian Taliban that has hijacked the GOP, you are doomed to irrelevance.
 
2012-11-29 07:47:39 PM  

clane: I don't know why you didn't also include this link: YOU CERTAINLY WOULDN'T WANT TO BE SEEN AS LYING ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING.


No, but you certainly want to be seen as lying against global warming.
 
2012-11-29 09:00:29 PM  

Farking Canuck: clane: I live in Texas and we just don't have as many sheep down here as most states. i have never spoken with someone that actually believes in Global Warming or that ExxonMobil controls the world.

So what you are saying is that you feel that it is more likely that a world-wide conspiracy of scientists is more likely than multi-billion dollar corporations spreading dis-information to protect profits.

/and you call other people sheep


Again then why do scientists lie and lie again? And explain record snow fall during global warming... Wake up my god it is sad you ding bats will believe anything. It's okay though big Bird is safe now.
 
2012-11-29 11:25:24 PM  

clane: Again then why do scientists lie and lie again? And explain record snow fall during global warming... Wake up my god it is sad you ding bats will believe anything. It's okay though big Bird is safe now.


Wow ... weapon's grade stupid.

You are not worth the effort. Your lies were debunked 10 years ago.

You are way out of date on your talking points.
 
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