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(Townhall)   Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223   (townhall.com) divider line 138
    More: Obvious, obama, American Election, The Republicans, Bucks County, exit polls  
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3200 clicks; posted to Politics » on 05 Nov 2012 at 8:05 AM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



138 Comments   (+0 »)
   
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2012-11-05 08:06:10 AM  
Deal with it.

/it's almost over
 
2012-11-05 08:07:30 AM  
Well, then I suppose I might as well just stay home. It's all over, someone hit the lights on the way out please.
 
2012-11-05 08:08:05 AM  
img.photobucket.com
 
2012-11-05 08:08:30 AM  
Going Out on a Herp: Derpy Wins!
 
2012-11-05 08:09:18 AM  
I haven't ruled out that Romney could pull it out (a lot of people may vote against Obama based on the state of the economy), but it's not something I'd put money on. But if he does, it sure as hell wouldn't be a landslide like this. 
 
2012-11-05 08:09:27 AM  

solokumba: Going Out on a Herp: Derpy Wins!


I just don't know what went right.
 
2012-11-05 08:09:29 AM  
Repeat: Link
 
2012-11-05 08:09:47 AM  
talk about pulling numbers our of your ass. just as bad as Cramer's 440 prediction yesterday.
 
2012-11-05 08:10:32 AM  
One more day.

Just one more day of watching these right wing nutcases swagger and brag before they get O'wned.

Then they will stop being so braggy. That I am certain.
 
2012-11-05 08:10:33 AM  
If Nate Silver is off by even a little bit he loses all credibility but this guy, George Will, and Dick Morris will still have a Very Serious Job on Wednesday.

Right.
 
2012-11-05 08:10:39 AM  
I hereby declare Nov. 7th, the national conservative butthurt day.

I will be taking a day off, just to seat by the computer and read their butthurt story.

/your butthurt is my orgasm.
 
2012-11-05 08:11:11 AM  
I predict the establishment elite will win.
 
2012-11-05 08:11:24 AM  

ManateeGag: talk about pulling numbers our of your ass. just as bad as Cramer's 440 prediction yesterday.


440?! Ha, and people take stock advice from this guy.
 
2012-11-05 08:11:25 AM  
So Rmoney is going to win Ohio, VIrginia, Iowa, and Colorado, a state which has a medical marijuana initiative on the ballot that's sure to draw out young voters?

I think this guy may have statisticular cancer.
 
2012-11-05 08:12:22 AM  
One of the very best things a candidate can hope for is that the other guy's constituency finds it unimaginable that he can win. It breeds complacency.

Though how conservatives cannot imagine an incumbent winning re-election is beyond me.
 
2012-11-05 08:13:04 AM  
Because Pete told his brother, Re-Pete, and they both agree?
It's the day before election day. Surely they could find some fresh rightwing horseshiat to greenlight.
 
2012-11-05 08:13:30 AM  

stoli n coke: So Rmoney is going to win Ohio, VIrginia, Iowa, and Colorado, a state which has a medical marijuana initiative on the ballot that's sure to draw out young voters?

I think this guy may have statisticular cancer.


To be fair, Arkansas also has a medical marijuana issue on the ballot, but I'm pretty sure Romney will take this state handily.
 
2012-11-05 08:13:43 AM  

solokumba: Going Out on a Herp: Derpy Wins!


i46.tinypic.com
She always wins!
 
2012-11-05 08:13:45 AM  
So he thinks Romney will carry Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Iowa. Along with Florida, Virginia and North Carolina. He concedes only Nevada and Minnesota.

We'll see.
 
2012-11-05 08:14:00 AM  
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

/Oh, wait, you're serious....
 
2012-11-05 08:14:06 AM  
i.imgur.com
 
2012-11-05 08:14:18 AM  
Romney 315, Obama 223

BWAHAHAHAHAHAAHHAH. *wheeze* AAAAAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *gasp*

/statisticals
 
2012-11-05 08:14:49 AM  

Sensual Tyrannosaurus: stoli n coke: So Rmoney is going to win Ohio, VIrginia, Iowa, and Colorado, a state which has a medical marijuana initiative on the ballot that's sure to draw out young voters?

I think this guy may have statisticular cancer.

To be fair, Arkansas also has a medical marijuana issue on the ballot, but I'm pretty sure Romney will take this state handily.


And marihuana will be defeated, sadly. But it's the closest one yet for sure.
 
2012-11-05 08:14:54 AM  

mayIFark: /your butthurt is my orgasm.


There's something not quite right about this statement...
 
2012-11-05 08:15:14 AM  

Grand_Moff_Joseph: ManateeGag: talk about pulling numbers our of your ass. just as bad as Cramer's 440 prediction yesterday.

440?! Ha, and people take stock advice from this guy.


If you view the outrageous prediction as a satire of asking people who have nothing to do with politics their opinions on politics, it's pretty funny. I think he was trolling them...

If not, and he really believes that, he's just stupidly stupid stupid. Stupid.
 
2012-11-05 08:16:49 AM  
If we can find a way to harvest Republican tears into energy, we would have free energy for Obama's second term.

Vote Obama
 
2012-11-05 08:17:49 AM  

Dusk-You-n-Me: If Nate Silver is off by even a little bit he loses all credibility but this guy, George Will, and Dick Morris will still have a Very Serious Job on Wednesday.

Right.


There's a good probability in all of that. I'm really hoping Nate can pull off another year like 2008. go 48 or 49 for fifty states. If he can do that two elections in a row it will make Wednesday that much more sweet. And the cries of B B B Nate Silver! will be heard through the land.
 
2012-11-05 08:18:17 AM  
i798.photobucket.com

Props to Jackson Herring
 
2012-11-05 08:18:39 AM  

mayIFark: I hereby declare Nov. 7th, the national conservative butthurt day.

I will be taking a day off, just to seat by the computer and read their butthurt story.

/your butthurt is my orgasm.


I have the strangest boner right now.
 
2012-11-05 08:19:51 AM  
I have a dr.s appointment Wednesday morning, with a very Republican doctor. On one hand, I'll be very happy Obama won. On the other, my doctor will not. This could be a "touchy" appointment.
 
2012-11-05 08:20:28 AM  
When will those lib-u-lardos at Townhall wake up and face the truth?

i.imgur.com
 
2012-11-05 08:21:57 AM  
i.imgur.com
 
2012-11-05 08:21:58 AM  

Bonanza Jellybean: Repeat: Link


Well it's a re-publishing of the same article article on a different "news" site on a different day. Both times it'shiat fark. I'm not sure that the official ruling is.
 
2012-11-05 08:22:19 AM  
By NATE SILVER

It appears that President Obama is likely to go into Election Day with a very modest lead in the average of national polls.

As of this writing, on Sunday evening, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.3 percentage points across 12 national polls that had been published over the course of the prior 24 hours. The range was quite tight, running from a tied race in the polls issued by Rasmussen Reports, CNN and Politico, to a three-point lead in three other surveys.

...

On Saturday, we wrote that state polls would have to be statistically biased against Mr. Romney for him to win the Electoral College. Now, it may be the case that the national polls would have to be biased against him as well.



Don't worry, Fark independents, there's still a chance!
 
2012-11-05 08:22:52 AM  
So Townhall's a bottom?
 
2012-11-05 08:25:26 AM  
Wang's model is standing tall for Obama with Rmoney flagging woefully behind....
 
2012-11-05 08:26:39 AM  

DeaH: So Townhall's a bottom?


Judging by how badly they seem to want to get spanked, is there any other conclusion?
 
2012-11-05 08:26:53 AM  
For anyone wondering, the magic number is 303. All the major aggregate sites have around 303 as the number of EVs for Obama.
 
2012-11-05 08:27:55 AM  
i18.photobucket.com
Where have all the Fark trolls gone?
 
2012-11-05 08:28:44 AM  

RyogaM: For anyone wondering, the magic number is 303. All the major aggregate sites have around 303 as the number of EVs for Obama.


538 has something like 330 as the most likely scenario, at a 17% probability.
 
2012-11-05 08:29:10 AM  

Crabs_Can_Polevault: DeaH: So Townhall's a bottom?

Judging by how badly they seem to want to get spanked, is there any other conclusion?


I hope the safe word is "reelected". They'll choke to death before they'll utter that.
 
2012-11-05 08:29:31 AM  

RyogaM: For anyone wondering, the magic number is 303. All the major aggregate sites have around 303 as the number of EVs for Obama.


My Money is still in the 290-294 range.

I would be shocked if it's any higher than 300 or any lower than 290.
 
2012-11-05 08:29:44 AM  

mayIFark: I hereby declare Nov. 7th, the national conservative butthurt day.

/your butthurt is my orgasm.


Yeah, that's how anal works.

Barone is lying to himself. He claims that early voting is down in Northern Virginia. We don't have early voting in Virginia. There's absentee voting, but you have to present an excuse to take advantage of it, and generally most of us vote on Election Day. Obama is heavily favored here and and in other urban centers, while R-Money of course is a lock in the rural areas. It's going to be a squeaker, but I think (hope) VA is going blue again this year.
 
2012-11-05 08:29:53 AM  

jso2897: [i18.photobucket.com image 336x337]
Where have all the Fark trolls gone?


They're all traveling.

/too obscure already?
 
2012-11-05 08:30:11 AM  

RyogaM: For anyone wondering, the magic number is 303. All the major aggregate sites have around 303 as the number of EVs for Obama.


Woot woot. I have 303 in the Fark pool, if that's still going on. Haven't actually seen the post come up recently, maybe it got dropped.
 
2012-11-05 08:31:14 AM  

BorgiaGinz: He claims that early voting is down in Northern Virginia. We don't have early voting in Virginia.


Well NO wonder it's down so much then.
 
2012-11-05 08:37:44 AM  

BorgiaGinz: mayIFark: I hereby declare Nov. 7th, the national conservative butthurt day.

/your butthurt is my orgasm.

Yeah, that's how anal works.

Barone is lying to himself. He claims that early voting is down in Northern Virginia. We don't have early voting in Virginia. There's absentee voting, but you have to present an excuse to take advantage of it, and generally most of us vote on Election Day. Obama is heavily favored here and and in other urban centers, while R-Money of course is a lock in the rural areas. It's going to be a squeaker, but I think (hope) VA is going blue again this year.


I tried to do that on Saturday and the line at the municpal building was ridiculous. Turnout is going to be good.
 
2012-11-05 08:40:22 AM  
FTA:
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I'll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages -- fully aware that I'm likely to get some wrong.

At least he is good enough to admit he is talking out of his ass.

Of course this sentance will be the one that the targetted audience will never read. If they do, they will ignore it. And the few that read, and accept it, will use it as a justification for him being right based on the fact tht he is being modest or some BS.
 
2012-11-05 08:42:51 AM  

stoli n coke: So Rmoney is going to win Ohio, VIrginia, Iowa, and Colorado, a state which has a medical marijuana initiative on the ballot that's sure to draw out young voters?

I think this guy may have statisticular cancer.


Colorado is a possibility because the 3rd party guy is going to take a some of the pro-pot vote from Obama. Probably not enough to change the outcome, but its possible.
 
2012-11-05 08:47:35 AM  

kimwim: I have a dr.s appointment Wednesday morning, with a very Republican doctor. On one hand, I'll be very happy Obama won. On the other, my doctor will not. This could be a "touchy" appointment.


Show me on this doll where the Republican doctor touched you...
 
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