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(The Raw Story)   Fox News senior political analyst Brit Hume is 'puzzled' by these strange polls from battleground states showing a persistent lead for Obama. How could this have happened?   (rawstory.com) divider line 62
    More: Obvious, Brit Hume, Fox News, obama, swing states, political analyst  
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5733 clicks; posted to Politics » on 04 Nov 2012 at 6:05 PM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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Archived thread
2012-11-04 04:51:06 PM  
6 votes:
Well, I have to hand it to the stupid farking press - they managed to turn this into a horse-race after all, when it should have been over months ago because of Romney's repeated efforts to shoot himself in the foot.

I'm completely disgusted with my country and its election process.
2012-11-04 06:18:57 PM  
5 votes:
I'm puzzled how he can call himself a political analyst when he doesn't understand how the electoral college works.
2012-11-04 09:21:30 PM  
4 votes:

Smeggy Smurf: November 3, 1980 the polls had Carter winning. Reagan won with 489. 2012 is imitating 1980 in economy, gas prices, shortages and a middle east in turmoil. History repeats itself with regularity when people don't learn from it.


themonkeycage.org
2012-11-04 06:13:11 PM  
4 votes:
I think that, perhaps, maybe, it just because that it's possible that Brit Hume just might, in fact, be a frickin' moron.

That's only speculative.
2012-11-04 05:41:00 PM  
4 votes:
Like i said in a different thread, the GOP have cocooned themselves in an echo chamber, where everyone says the same thing- Obama is a universally hated man, the worst president in history, and there is no way he will be re-elected. How they handle waking up on Wednesday will be interesting.
2012-11-04 05:15:43 PM  
4 votes:
Interesting fact: Of 21 state polls released yesterday, Romney had a lead in 2 of them.

Anyone who thinks this race is a tossup is an idiot at this point.
2012-11-04 04:27:40 PM  
4 votes:
Hey, given how the GOP is doing their best to deliver Florida and Ohio for Romney through illegitimate means, you've got to start the narrative that the polls are in Romney's favor so people don't question all the shenanigans.

Parts of Florida are already turning into a clusterfark, what with Miami-Dade opening, then closing, then reopening the supervisors office for in-person absentee voting today and the Obama campaign having to go to court to keep early voting going at one of the Orange County precincts because a bunch of people didn't get to vote due to a bomb threat yesterday.
2012-11-04 09:16:45 PM  
3 votes:
It is almost like most people would like to take their chances with Obama again despite the slow economic recovery because they aren't buying the Romney sales pitch.
2012-11-04 06:52:43 PM  
3 votes:
It's not that hard to figure out, Brit. Romney hasn't been able to drum up excitement in his own party. The GOP picked a new front runner in the primary so often that I used that as a way to know when I should throw out the milk in the fridge.

Combine that with the fact that he reminds lots of people of every boss they've ever hated and the fact that he's taken more positions than the Kama Sutra, and it's easy to see why he's lagging behind.

FFS, even the guys at Fox weren't excited about Rmoney until their bosses told them to be.
2012-11-04 05:26:03 PM  
3 votes:

Nezorf: rynthetyn: Hey, given how the GOP is doing their best to deliver Florida and Ohio for Romney through illegitimate means, you've got to start the narrative that the polls are in Romney's favor so people don't question all the shenanigans.

Parts of Florida are already turning into a clusterfark, what with Miami-Dade opening, then closing, then reopening the supervisors office for in-person absentee voting today and the Obama campaign having to go to court to keep early voting going at one of the Orange County precincts because a bunch of people didn't get to vote due to a bomb threat yesterday.

This.
I think all laws that effect voting must be delayed by 2 years. It is disingenuous to change election laws so close to the election.


Yeah. And Rick Scott and the Florida Republicans deliberately changed early voting so that it ended the Saturday before the election to minimize turnout by black voters who historically would carpool to go vote after church on Sunday.
2012-11-04 05:24:27 PM  
3 votes:

thomps: cameroncrazy1984: Interesting fact: Of 21 state polls released yesterday, Romney had a lead in 2 of them.

Anyone who thinks this race is a tossup is an idiot at this point.

saturday polls have a known liberal statistical bias, given the under-sampling of college football fans.


Actually, published Saturday would have finished sampling mostly on Friday, so the under-sampling is of high school football fans.
2012-11-04 05:08:38 PM  
3 votes:

rynthetyn: Hey, given how the GOP is doing their best to deliver Florida and Ohio for Romney through illegitimate means, you've got to start the narrative that the polls are in Romney's favor so people don't question all the shenanigans.

Parts of Florida are already turning into a clusterfark, what with Miami-Dade opening, then closing, then reopening the supervisors office for in-person absentee voting today and the Obama campaign having to go to court to keep early voting going at one of the Orange County precincts because a bunch of people didn't get to vote due to a bomb threat yesterday.


This.
I think all laws that effect voting must be delayed by 2 years. It is disingenuous to change election laws so close to the election.
2012-11-04 09:22:27 PM  
2 votes:

Mean Daddy: Maybe because he isn't sucking Obama's d*ck, like ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, TNT, CNN... shall I go on.


Oh, you are one of those "only fox tells it straight" tards.

Can't wait to read your tears of impotent rage Tuesday. God damn, I seriously have a giant erection thinking off all the butthurt, I'm finally really excited, really really excited. It's like when I heard they were making a lord of the rings movie. I feel a similar sense of giddy excitement.

The tears and impotent rage of people like you.. Oh man, I feel so alive. I'm going to cum so hard listening to limbaugh the next morning.
2012-11-04 08:41:08 PM  
2 votes:
yafh.com
2012-11-04 08:08:44 PM  
2 votes:

randomjsa:
I would like a liberal to explain how Bush during his first term went from barely winning to getting more support while Obama did such a bang up job as president that he's losing multiple states outright and dropping 5-10% in other states that he is winning. I'd also like to hear about how if this trend continues, and it will, what you think is going to happen in 2014 and 2016.


What the hell, I'll answer.

Why Bush won 2004:
* Americans always re-elect Presidents in the middle of wars (even Lincoln).
* 9/11.
* Multi-state bills banning gay marriage motivated conservative base.
* Liberals, enraged by popular opposition president, drove away moderate support with partisan vitriol and in an attempt to woo them back chose a unlikeable and indecisive blue-blood candidate from Massachusetts, thus alienating minority and working class voters (does this sound familiar?).
* Reagan-era Baby Boomers had not yet reached median life expectancy.

What might happen 2014 and 2016:
* It's projected that the 2012 Senate elections will yield 53 Democratic-leaning seats and 47 Republican-leaning seats. Republicans will consider this another defeat.
* 2014 Senate Election: 20 Democratic and 13 Republican seats (class of 2008, Hope & Change era)
Link
* Likely a switch of 4 seats (AK, CO, MN, NH) leading to slim 51-seat GOP majority.
* 2015-2016: Republican revolt against Obama. Artificial scandal, possible impeachment, shutdown, etc.
* 2016 Senate Election: 10 Democratic and 24 Republican seats (class of 2010, the Tea Party)
Link
* Possibly a total Republican collapse, Democratic supermajority and end to the Tea Party.

So yeah. Good luck with the future, GOP.
2012-11-04 07:22:34 PM  
2 votes:

randomjsa: I would like a liberal to explain how Bush during his first term went from barely winning to getting more support while Obama did such a bang up job as president that he's losing multiple states outright and dropping 5-10% in other states that he is winning. I'd also like to hear about how if this trend continues, and it will, what you think is going to happen in 2014 and 2016.


How did Bush go from being unpopular to popular in his first term? It must have had something to do with an event that happened between September 10, 2001, and September 12, 2001. Somewhere in that time period, I think, is when Bush suddenly got a lot more popular and received a lot more support from the American people. I know it's got to be somewhere in that range of dates, but I just can't put my finger on it.

It's almost as if that same kind of event didn't happen during Obama's first term. But I still can't put my finger on it.

And if that kind of event keeps not happening, then I don't know what we'll see in 2014 and 2016. I'm not sure how America will feel about that kind of thing not happening for a very long time.
2012-11-04 06:59:00 PM  
2 votes:
What a puzzled Brit Hume might look like:

i60.photobucket.com
2012-11-04 06:29:51 PM  
2 votes:
Maybe you libs should look a little more closely at the 3 options listed in TFA:

1) The polls are all wrong
2) Romney's ground game will turn out enough votes to make up the difference
3) Obama will win

As you can clearly see, 2 of these 3 options result in a Romney victory, which naturally means Romney has 66% chance of winning. Therefore, even if the polls were skewed 16% towards Obama -- unlikely, despite the lamestream media bias -- Romney can still safely win above 50%. It's just basic subtraction here, folks. AND, if the polls aren't biased at all, then it won't just be a Romney victory but a land-slide man-date for conservatives. You libs are gonna be sooo pissed.
2012-11-04 06:26:29 PM  
2 votes:

cameroncrazy1984: Interesting fact: Of 21 state polls released yesterday, Romney had a lead in 2 of them.

Anyone who thinks this race is a tossup is an idiot at this point.


VOTE VOTE VOTE all the same. There is no guarantee here. Republican vote suppression efforts are at an all-time high, and the snake is still dangerous even with its head cut off.
2012-11-04 06:21:33 PM  
2 votes:

Notabunny: Stock up on ammunition, water, canned food and batteries. Board your windows and doors. When Obama wins on Tuesday, the neocons are going be entirely blindsided and are going to contemplate an alcohol-fueled 2nd Amendment solution.


Yes I live in constant fear too. I'm totally going to stock up on essentials because I in no way believe when I wake up Wednesday morning absolutely nothing will be different.

It seems totally plausible to me there will be armed revolt instead of a bunch of whining and crying on the Internet no matter who wins. I guess the "neocons" were just saving their energy in 2008, but this time, hooo boy better board my doors.
2012-11-04 06:12:38 PM  
2 votes:
Stock up on ammunition, water, canned food and batteries. Board your windows and doors. When Obama wins on Tuesday, the neocons are going be entirely blindsided and are going to contemplate an alcohol-fueled 2nd Amendment solution.
2012-11-04 06:09:12 PM  
2 votes:

RexTalionis: Rasmussen had Mitt Romney ahead as late as last week. Now, it's a tie.


Did someone almost forget to put out the right numbers so they could be considered "accurate" for 2016?
2012-11-04 05:27:35 PM  
2 votes:
"We lied and we lied but Obama is still up! How could this have happened?" - Everyone at Fox except for Shep Smith and the janitors

The answer: Outrage induced heart attacks among Republicans (occasionally pushed along by low-quality crystal meth)
2012-11-04 04:26:33 PM  
2 votes:

quatchi: Fox News senior political analyst Brit Hume is saying that it's "puzzling" that national polls indicate GOP hopeful Mitt Romney is tied with President Barack Obama while swing state polls suggest that Democrats are going to win enough electoral votes for to keep the White House.


Also, the national polls don't really show a tie. Per Nate Silver:

Simple average of national polls released Thursday: Obama +0.9. Friday: Obama +1.2. Saturday: Obama +1.3. Today (so far): Obama +1.4

Also, a new YouGov poll with the largest sample size I've ever seen (36,000 likely voters) shows Obama up 2.
2012-11-04 04:10:35 PM  
2 votes:
Fox News senior political analyst Brit Hume is saying that it's "puzzling" that national polls indicate GOP hopeful Mitt Romney is tied with President Barack Obama while swing state polls suggest that Democrats are going to win enough electoral votes for to keep the White House.

[ICP.jpg]

Electoral votes, how the fark do they work?

Betcha he wasn't puzzled back in 2000 when Gore actually won the popular vote and lost because Florida.
2012-11-05 01:21:39 AM  
1 votes:
Elizabeth Warren: 2016
2012-11-04 11:16:56 PM  
1 votes:

DeltaPunch: Maybe you libs should look a little more closely at the 3 options listed in TFA:

1) The polls are all wrong
2) Romney's ground game will turn out enough votes to make up the difference
3) Obama will win

As you can clearly see, 2 of these 3 options result in a Romney victory, which naturally means Romney has 66% chance of winning. Therefore, even if the polls were skewed 16% towards Obama -- unlikely, despite the lamestream media bias -- Romney can still safely win above 50%. It's just basic subtraction here, folks. AND, if the polls aren't biased at all, then it won't just be a Romney victory but a land-slide man-date for conservatives. You libs are gonna be sooo pissed.


I like this tremendously. This in a nutshell has been the election cycle on Fox News. It's weird, if you capture a segment of the population and can keep them in your bubble, what a job it is to let them in on what the rest of the world has been doing for the last few months. The trend in conservative reporting seems to be shifting blame on Sandy and that Obama, the jerk he is, helped people and responded presidentially, thus erasing the 4 year record of burning churches and insulting elderly women. What a world.
2012-11-04 10:43:22 PM  
1 votes:

robsul82: I'm liking how the polls have looked this week, In Nate I Trust, but don't get me wrong. The butthole isn't coming unclenched until I see Brit Hume dejectedly call Ohio for Obama.


This.

I KNOW the polls and statistics look good for Obama and Princeton/538/Votamatic/etc. all agree Obama will win -- and that it would an unprecedented polling failure for Romney to pull off a victory -- but:

1) I don't trust the vote count of Republican-governed states as far as I could throw Chris Christie
2) Voter suppression via long lines etc. in Republican-governed swing states
3) One in a thousand or one in a hundred are both too likely to occur for my comfort.

So, yeah, looking at the polling numbers, it's almost inconceivable that Romney will win, but there are too many moving parts and anything more than a .0000001 chance is too high for me.
2012-11-04 10:27:33 PM  
1 votes:
Wednesday is going to be a rough day.

The thing is, the modern conservative movement has never had to acknowledge an out-and-out loss. They've been winning since the 1994 takeover of the House of Representatives. Yes, they lost the 96 presidential election, but they exacted their revenge on a president who should have known better, and that made it all better. The vitriol helped solidify their base. Progress was still being made. In 2000, all their dreams came true, and later, those dreams turned into fever dream fantasies as they gained control of the entire congress. They had political capital and by gum they were going to spend it. And by effectively crippling the senate through the filibuster, they don't even need to have a majority to run things, thanks to spineless Democrats who will never reach a supermajority.

What's that? They lost the White House in 2000? Well, yes, but they've been able to justify that in their minds. They live in a carefully constructed fantasy world where Obama was just a fluke, a bump in the road caused by bad timing, good marketing, mad telepromter skillz, and a wave of misplaced enthusiasm. But after four years of this guy, there's simply no way people will want to reelect him, especially not after the way they've roughed him up. The final victory should be at hand. But if Obama is reelected, two things that they simply can't process will have happened; people actually think he's doing a decent job, and people aren't agreeing with them.

Remember, the unofficial motto of the republican party is, "I can't believe that everyone in the world doesn't think exactly like me." They can no more understand it than a caveman could understand an iPad.
2012-11-04 09:51:45 PM  
1 votes:
Obviously the polls are not taking all the vote suppression and stealing into account.
2012-11-04 09:35:47 PM  
1 votes:
I'm liking how the polls have looked this week, In Nate I Trust, but don't get me wrong. The butthole isn't coming unclenched until I see Brit Hume dejectedly call Ohio for Obama.
2012-11-04 09:23:49 PM  
1 votes:
Regardless of election results, going off the grid Wednesday sounds amazing. Whether it be petulant whining or incessant gloating that I'll have to tolerate, I don't think I will want to be around anyone.
2012-11-04 09:11:28 PM  
1 votes:
Maybe because he isn't sucking Obama's d*ck, like ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, TNT, CNN... shall I go on.
2012-11-04 08:44:09 PM  
1 votes:

Lorelle: Notabunny: Stock up on ammunition, water, canned food and batteries. Board your windows and doors. When Obama wins on Tuesday, the neocons are going be entirely blindsided and are going to contemplate an alcohol-fueled 2nd Amendment solution.

Given the number of Teabagging nutjobs out there, I wouldn't be surprised if a few of them completely go off the deep end after the election. It's more than a little scary.


And each time, there will be freepers claiming knowledge that the guy who just gunned down seven people he imagined to be liberals was in fact himself a liberal trying to bring discredit on gun-toting Real Muricans. When it becomes clear that he shot people because he thought they were liberals, and thinks liberals should die, the response will be, "How DARE you try to bring politics into this, the man was clearly mentally ill."
2012-11-04 08:38:13 PM  
1 votes:
Well you see Mr. Hume. When Obama leads in higher population states by 5-10 points in the polls. This will be offset in National Polls by lower population states in the south mainly that have Romney leading by 20 + points. However because of the electoral college it does not matter whether you win a state by .00001% or 99.99999% because in the end you get the same number of electoral votes. So even if Romney received 100% of the votes in the states he currently leads in and if Obama received 50.5%, Obama would still win because that is how the electoral college works. Having the popular vote does not ensure a presidency.

It would be extremely ironic if Romney had more in the popular vote, yet Obama won the electoral college, because a black president would then be (re)elected as a result of an institution that was put in place because the slave owners felt they would not be fairly represented in elections.
2012-11-04 08:35:01 PM  
1 votes:

theknuckler_33: randomjsa: if the media and the entertainment industry hadn't been covering for this president for the last four years

Get it though your thick skull... not 'reporting' the right-wing nonsense you hear on AM radio is not 'covering' for the president. It's not reporting whack-job conspiracy theories and abject nonsense. Limbaugh, Hannity, and Levin are pushing your ridiculously partisan buttons and you are buying it hook, line, and sinker. How many 'libs are stoopid' books have you bought?


This. A hundred gazillion times this.
2012-11-04 08:29:32 PM  
1 votes:

randomjsa: I would like a liberal to explain how Bush during his first term went from barely winning to getting more support while Obama did such a bang up job as president that he's losing multiple states outright and dropping 5-10% in other states that he is winning. I'd also like to hear about how if this trend continues, and it will, what you think is going to happen in 2014 and 2016.


Bush gained more support because there was this event that occurred between the 2000 and 2004 elections that had a pretty significant impact on the electorate. You might have heard of it. 9/11? Ring any bells? Amongst other things, it lead to a sustained period in which the media's coverage of the President was largely supportive.

Obama has lost support for two reasons: The first is that his success in 2008 was absolutely extraordinary, it's almost unimaginable that his support would go up. Many people, young and minority Democrats in particular, had entirely unrealistic expectations for Obama, and thus set themselves up for disappointment. Meanwhile, coverage of Obama's term has been driven by a counter-factual right wing narrative, which has lead to a perception that Obama's first term has generally been less successful than it has been, and which has force blame for the many, many failures of House and Senate Republicans onto the President.

To declare this a "trend" is highly suspect. You have one Republican president who did better in his second term election than his first, and one Democrat who looks on track to have done better in his first term election than his second. That's not nearly enough data points to declare a trend. And if there were a general trend for Republicans to be gaining an ever greater share of the electorate (which there is no evidence for, and plenty against), why did McCain lose in 2008?

/why am I responding seriously to the derp?
2012-11-04 08:22:03 PM  
1 votes:
I'm a die hard Obama supporter and I can't shake the feeling that america is about to pull a Bush II.

maybe that the fault of the media. all the signs point to an Obama win, but I can't stick a fork in it.
2012-11-04 08:08:27 PM  
1 votes:

Generation_D: Nate Silver, Dr. Wang, and all the other aggregator types literally stake their reputation as mathematicians and statisticians on their various poll aggregation and tracking.

I've read most of what they've written, they look more interested in truth than bias. They'd report Romney (and did) being up if he were.



Not only that, but 538 accurately predicted how much of the House the GOP would take over in 2010. Of course, no one on the right was questioning Silver's math then.
2012-11-04 08:07:01 PM  
1 votes:
Romney can win 80% of the vote in Arkansas, but he only needs 50.1% of the vote to win its Electoral Votes. But National Polls continue to count that remaining 29.9% in their total, even though it has no impact on who wins. I don't know why this is so difficult for people to understand.
2012-11-04 07:54:29 PM  
1 votes:

Death Eats a Cracker: I may have to unblock FNC on election night. It's going to be awesome watching a bubble being popped on live TV.


I advise EVERYONE that just before the Prez gets to 270, to switch over to Fox, and have the great pleasure of watching them have to announce Barack Obama as the winner. 😝
2012-11-04 07:11:31 PM  
1 votes:

randomjsa: if the media and the entertainment industry hadn't been covering for this president for the last four years


Get it though your thick skull... not 'reporting' the right-wing nonsense you hear on AM radio is not 'covering' for the president. It's not reporting whack-job conspiracy theories and abject nonsense. Limbaugh, Hannity, and Levin are pushing your ridiculously partisan buttons and you are buying it hook, line, and sinker. How many 'libs are stoopid' books have you bought?
2012-11-04 07:03:38 PM  
1 votes:

AkaDad: I heart Fark memes.


I work in Fark memes.

So I am really getting a kick out of most of these replies.

Some of you guys are very good at making it sound like you know what you are talking about.

But trust me.... You don't.

I think you just want to make yourself sound smart, when in reality you dont know what you are talking about.

This is how bad info gets passed around.

If you dont know about the topic....Dont make yourself sound like you do.

Cuz some Farkers belive anything they hear.
2012-11-04 07:00:52 PM  
1 votes:

randomjsa: I'd also like to hear about how if this trend continues, and it will, what you think is going to happen in 2014 and 2016.


I doubt Obama is going to win re-election in either of those years.
2012-11-04 07:00:41 PM  
1 votes:

soporific: If Romney had the balls to go on the Daily Show, then he'd be a contender. But he didn't so he isn't.


Actually, former Governor Romney hasn't answered any questions from the press for over three weeks. Maybe he could show his tax returns?
2012-11-04 06:55:05 PM  
1 votes:

randomjsa: I'm not puzzled at all.

As stated, if the media and the entertainment industry hadn't been covering for this president for the last four years, he wouldn't even be running for office and the Democrats would be trying to figure out a way to tell you they have some great ideas if you'll just elect this other guy.

I do have another question however.

I would like a liberal to explain how Bush during his first term went from barely winning to getting more support while Obama did such a bang up job as president that he's losing multiple states outright and dropping 5-10% in other states that he is winning. I'd also like to hear about how if this trend continues, and it will, what you think is going to happen in 2014 and 2016.


*clicks Funny button*
2012-11-04 06:48:01 PM  
1 votes:
I tell you how it happened! Romney hiding out from the national media, even Fox News, beacuse hes to chickensheat to take a stand on anything or answer any hard questions.
The guy turned into a invisble man. If it was not for the rallies Id have thought he dropped out. Such a strange strategy.
2012-11-04 06:37:32 PM  
1 votes:

thomps: DamnYankees: Also, the national polls don't really show a tie. Per Nate Silver:

Simple average of national polls released Thursday: Obama +0.9. Friday: Obama +1.2. Saturday: Obama +1.3. Today (so far): Obama +1.4

it's puzzling to me that romney can be ahead in all of the national polls, which are done by more seasoned polling firms, but is behind in the simple average of national polls.


Um, Nate Silver has Obama ahead in the popular vote 50.6% to 48.3%. Considering the margin of error is typically 2-3 points, there's plenty of room for lots of polls to show Romney ahead. But it's just not true that he leads in all or most of them, otherwise Nate Silver wouldn't be showing Obama ahead.
2012-11-04 06:28:41 PM  
1 votes:
Never understood the politicizing of polls........seems like saying your guy is leading just comforts his supporters to stay home. I"d be screaming "WE"RE 0.01% BEHIND!" no matter what I really thought.

/lives 93% Republican district
//didn't "bother" to vote
2012-11-04 06:26:58 PM  
1 votes:
""And there's this striking discrepancy between national polls - which tend to be done, by and large, by older, more-seasoned polling firms - and state polls - a number of which are done by less-established uppity firms.
2012-11-04 06:25:53 PM  
1 votes:

Emposter: I'm puzzled how he can call himself a political analyst when he doesn't understand how the electoral college works.


I'm puzzled how anyone can pay him for his political analysis when he doesn't understand how the US elects it's president.
2012-11-04 06:23:18 PM  
1 votes:

soporific: doyner: GAT_00: thomps: cameroncrazy1984: Interesting fact: Of 21 state polls released yesterday, Romney had a lead in 2 of them.

Anyone who thinks this race is a tossup is an idiot at this point.

saturday polls have a known liberal statistical bias, given the under-sampling of college football fans.

Actually, published Saturday would have finished sampling mostly on Friday, so the under-sampling is of high school football fans.

And Sunday polls have a statistical bias given the under sampling of NFL fans and Fox News Sunday mouth-breathers.

Don't forget Monday polls, which are biased because everyone's got a case of the Mondays.


And Tuesday's exit polls because they won't account for the DIEBOLD effect.
2012-11-04 06:21:36 PM  
1 votes:
I wouldn't say that Brit Hume is a political analyst so much as he's a political anal cyst.
2012-11-04 06:20:51 PM  
1 votes:

Emposter: I'm puzzled how he can call himself a political analyst when he doesn't understand how the electoral college works.


Well, it's less socially acceptable to call ones self a propagandist
2012-11-04 06:17:54 PM  
1 votes:
He sounds very, very concerned.
2012-11-04 06:13:46 PM  
1 votes:
Because Brit Hume is a derper mouthpiece who isn't paid to think, perhaps?
2012-11-04 06:13:42 PM  
1 votes:
No matter how delusional, hopeful, fanatic you are, sooner or later you have to deal with reality.
2012-11-04 05:21:28 PM  
1 votes:

cameroncrazy1984: Interesting fact: Of 21 state polls released yesterday, Romney had a lead in 2 of them.

Anyone who thinks this race is a tossup is an idiot at this point.


saturday polls have a known liberal statistical bias, given the under-sampling of college football fans.
2012-11-04 05:09:47 PM  
1 votes:

thomps: DamnYankees: Also, the national polls don't really show a tie. Per Nate Silver:

Simple average of national polls released Thursday: Obama +0.9. Friday: Obama +1.2. Saturday: Obama +1.3. Today (so far): Obama +1.4

it's puzzling to me that romney can be ahead in all of the national polls, which are done by more seasoned polling firms, but is behind in the simple average of national polls.


Take Gallup out and there isn't that much of a difference.
2012-11-04 05:02:16 PM  
1 votes:

DamnYankees: Also, the national polls don't really show a tie. Per Nate Silver:

Simple average of national polls released Thursday: Obama +0.9. Friday: Obama +1.2. Saturday: Obama +1.3. Today (so far): Obama +1.4


it's puzzling to me that romney can be ahead in all of the national polls, which are done by more seasoned polling firms, but is behind in the simple average of national polls.
2012-11-04 04:53:37 PM  
1 votes:
I get the feeling Brit is confused a lot.
2012-11-04 04:08:05 PM  
1 votes:
pubrecord.org

The insidiousness just keeps going deeper and deeper. (Now they got to Fox news)
 
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