If you can read this, either the style sheet didn't load or you have an older browser that doesn't support style sheets. Try clearing your browser cache and refreshing the page.

(Boston Herald)   Before Gallup suspended polling due to Hurricane Sandy, Mitt Romney was at or above 50 percent among likely voters for 14 consecutive days. No candidate above 50 percent at this point has ever lost the presidential race   (bostonherald.com) divider line 139
    More: Spiffy, Mitt Romney, elections, presidential race, momentum, Boston Herald  
•       •       •

945 clicks; posted to Politics » on 31 Oct 2012 at 2:11 PM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



139 Comments   (+0 »)
   
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest

Archived thread

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Last | Show all
 
2012-10-31 01:27:20 PM
Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday
 
2012-10-31 01:28:40 PM
And before 2008, no black man had ever been elected president.

/insert obligatory XKCD comic
 
2012-10-31 01:34:31 PM

Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday


If Obama wins, I hope someone will collect all these predictions of Romney's victory and creates a huge amalgamation of fail to display for all these jackasses.
 
2012-10-31 01:37:03 PM

Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday


No, no, TFA says Rasumssen backs up Gallup!

Rasmussen!
 
2012-10-31 01:42:41 PM

FirstNationalBastard: Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday

No, no, TFA says Rasumssen backs up Gallup!

Rasmussen!


Uh oh... that completely changes everything
 
2012-10-31 01:52:56 PM

Freudian_slipknot: /insert obligatory XKCD comic


Came for this.
 
2012-10-31 02:00:16 PM
Not only the XKCD anecdote, but also Gallup's "likely voter" model is, from what I can tell, somewhat of a joke.
 
2012-10-31 02:07:16 PM
i was waiting for that fan fiction to turn erotic, but it never really did. now what am i going to do with this half republi-chub?
 
2012-10-31 02:09:41 PM

thomps: i was waiting for that fan fiction to turn erotic, but it never really did. now what am i going to do with this half republi-chub?


Think of Newt Gingrich naked.
 
2012-10-31 02:15:15 PM

Freudian_slipknot: /insert obligatory XKCD comic

DamnYankees: Came for this.


That would be this one:
imgs.xkcd.com
 
2012-10-31 02:15:45 PM

Cythraul: thomps: i was waiting for that fan fiction to turn erotic, but it never really did. now what am i going to do with this half republi-chub?

Think of Newt Gingrich naked.


img222.imageshack.us
 
2012-10-31 02:16:21 PM
No candidate above 50 percent at this point has ever lost the presidential race

emergingcritic.files.wordpress.com
 
2012-10-31 02:18:27 PM
TFA author sounds concerned.
 
2012-10-31 02:18:33 PM
Wow, I had no idea Romney was running away with this thing.
 
d23 [TotalFark]
2012-10-31 02:18:59 PM
It's the year of the sham poll. It doesn't matter who is "ahead," these polls don't matter.

Go look on "OBAMA'S AHEAD!!!!!!" threads. I say the same thing there.

Time to swat the "polling!!!11!!" bug.
 
2012-10-31 02:19:02 PM
In Nate Silver We Trust
 
2012-10-31 02:19:04 PM
The GOP's gotta get all the feel good Vaseline in their browneye to prep for the massive butthurt next Wednesday. It's going to last for four years, after all.
 
2012-10-31 02:22:25 PM
Romney was only above Obama in the south in the Gallup Poll.

So much that they oversampled Southern Voters.
 
2012-10-31 02:22:29 PM
All this talk about polls is almost enough to make one think Republicans are very nervous about next Tuesday.
 
2012-10-31 02:22:41 PM
So when Romney loses come election day, what will all this mean?
 
2012-10-31 02:23:07 PM
You libs will just try and skew the great americans poll numbers at rassumsen and Gallop all you want, but when you Kenyan-mooslim-socialist-nazi-community organizing, thug-Shuck&Jive president loses you can all go back to you temp jobs at geek rescue and suck it.
 
2012-10-31 02:23:27 PM

Cythraul: Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday

If Obama wins, I hope someone will collect all these predictions of Romney's victory and creates a huge amalgamation of fail to display for all these jackasses.


Did anyone do it for 2008? Because every 'conserviate' pundit like this asshole was predicting a McCain win.

/hell - some of them were liveblogging that McCain was winning up until California was called for Obama
 
2012-10-31 02:23:37 PM
Has anyone ever won the presidency without winning the electoral college?

Personally I'll side with the actual way of scoring the election than any secondary correlation.
 
2012-10-31 02:23:58 PM
Another cherry-picking right winger in need of some Haldol.
 
2012-10-31 02:24:00 PM
So is this where conservatives trumpet the presumed accuracy of a single Gallup poll while completely discounting and disregarding dozens and dozens of state polls in battleground states?
 
2012-10-31 02:24:14 PM

TheBeastOfYuccaFlats: Not only the XKCD anecdote, but also Gallup's "likely voter" model is, from what I can tell, somewhat of a joke.


The Aristocrats!
 
2012-10-31 02:25:08 PM
I hope that in a few decades conservatism is proved to be a mental impairment amongst the working class and poor in American. I can understand why the rich would promote the GOP, but there is a sad reality that some people, who must suffer from this disability, can't think clearly and keep voting (and protesting) against their own best interests.
 
2012-10-31 02:25:27 PM

electronicmaji: Romney was only above Obama in the south in the Gallup Poll.

So much that they oversampled Southern Voters.


Wait, libs are complaining about oversampling now? Oh the irony.

/RMoney has this in the bag
 
2012-10-31 02:25:37 PM

WinoRhino: So when Romney loses come election day, what will all this mean?


Potato
 
2012-10-31 02:25:43 PM
I just want to remind subby and the GOP, the popular vote does not determine the winner. I've wanted to get rid of the electoral college since Bush v. Gore and I haven't changed my mind. Now's the time to jump on the bandwaggon.
 
2012-10-31 02:25:56 PM

WinoRhino: So when Romney loses come election day, what will all this mean?


It will mean that right wing delusional hacks are delusional hacks. Most of us already knew that.
 
2012-10-31 02:26:23 PM
The president, on the other hand, has peaked at 47 percent. The Battleground Poll model shows Obama losing 52 percent to 47 percent. Rasmussen daily tracking has Obama losing 49 percent to 47 percent. Pew has him tied: 47 percent to 47 percent. But more important, all the polls show Obama sliding or stuck. None show any upward movement.

If Obama were actually down 5 points it would be reflected in the state polls. Or there would at least be some indication. But there's not.

So, either:

1. This will go down as the election that was notable for all of the polls but two being badly off, or
2. This will go down as the election in which Gallup was wrong, along with Rasmussen

My money is on #2. I suppose we'll know this time next week.
 
2012-10-31 02:26:54 PM

WinoRhino: So when Romney loses come election day, what will all this mean?


I dunno, but if Romney loses, then this is bad news... for Obama.
 
2012-10-31 02:27:40 PM

JolobinSmokin: You libs will just try and skew the great americans poll numbers at rassumsen and Gallop all you want, but when you Kenyan-mooslim-socialist-nazi-community organizing, thug-Shuck&Jive president loses you can all go back to you temp jobs at geek rescue and suck it.


Ah. I remember my first attempt at trolling...
 
2012-10-31 02:27:41 PM
oh boy the herald

25.media.tumblr.com
 
2012-10-31 02:28:08 PM

whistleridge: The president, on the other hand, has peaked at 47 percent. The Battleground Poll model shows Obama losing 52 percent to 47 percent. Rasmussen daily tracking has Obama losing 49 percent to 47 percent. Pew has him tied: 47 percent to 47 percent. But more important, all the polls show Obama sliding or stuck. None show any upward movement.

If Obama were actually down 5 points it would be reflected in the state polls. Or there would at least be some indication. But there's not.

So, either:

1. This will go down as the election that was notable for all of the polls but two being badly off, or
2. This will go down as the election in which Gallup was wrong, along with Rasmussen

My money is on #2. I suppose we'll know this time next week.


Gallup may be right considering how they are choosing their samples. Check out the regional results of their polls.

Can anyone tell me who wins the presidency if one guys *barely* wins the Northeast, the west and the midwest, yet loses the south in a massive landslide?
 
d23 [TotalFark]
2012-10-31 02:28:47 PM

JolobinSmokin: You libs will just try and skew the great americans poll numbers at rassumsen and Gallop all you want, but when you Kenyan-mooslim-socialist-nazi-community organizing, thug-Shuck&Jive president loses you can all go back to you temp jobs at geek rescue and suck it.


i865.photobucket.com
 
2012-10-31 02:29:25 PM

Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday


So when Romney wins are you going to:

A) Move to Canada
B) Commit Suicide
C) Scream that the Republicans stole the election
D) All of the above

Don't worry - you won't be graded on this quiz...
 
2012-10-31 02:30:29 PM

Overfiend: Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday

So when Romney wins are you going to:

A) Move to Canada
B) Commit Suicide
C) Scream that the Republicans stole the election
D) All of the above

Don't worry - you won't be graded on this quiz...


why the f*ck would someone move to canada just to commit suicide?
 
2012-10-31 02:30:38 PM
As goes Maine, so goes Vermont.
 
2012-10-31 02:30:52 PM

Drakin020: electronicmaji: Romney was only above Obama in the south in the Gallup Poll.

So much that they oversampled Southern Voters.

Wait, libs are complaining about oversampling now? Oh the irony.

/RMoney has this in the bag


The current massive disagreement between the Republican outlier national polls and state polls means one of them is doing something wrong.
 
2012-10-31 02:31:00 PM

Overfiend: Peter von Nostrand: Looks like there will be a first for Gallup this election year and subby will haz a sad on next Wednesday

So when Romney wins are you going to:

A) Move to Canada
B) Commit Suicide
C) Scream that the Republicans stole the election
D) All of the above

Don't worry - you won't be graded on this quiz...


Can I chose E) Be very very surprised and wonder how nearly every state polling firm was so incredibly wrong?
 
2012-10-31 02:31:21 PM

fritton: So is this where conservatives trumpet the presumed accuracy of a single Gallup poll while completely discounting and disregarding dozens and dozens of state polls in battleground states?


Yup.

Anybody else notice how's there no mention of unskewed polls anymore? Now that the race has tightened, and some polls like Gallup and Rasmussen even show Romney ahead nationally, suddenly all talk of unskewed polls has vanished.
 
2012-10-31 02:31:30 PM
www.firebellymarketing.com
 
2012-10-31 02:32:00 PM
So, if I understand this post correctly, Romney is about to be elected president of the nation of Rasmussen-Gallup, while Obama will only be re-elected president of the United States?
 
2012-10-31 02:32:09 PM

Cythraul: thomps: i was waiting for that fan fiction to turn erotic, but it never really did. now what am i going to do with this half republi-chub?

Think of Newt Gingrich naked.


Sadly that's way too easy for me. I've seen my dad naked, and he's basically Gingrich with a moustache and glasses.

Great now I just imagined my dad naked at work. Thanks.
 
d23 [TotalFark]
2012-10-31 02:32:37 PM

lennavan: I just want to remind subby and the GOP, the popular vote does not determine the winner. I've wanted to get rid of the electoral college since Bush v. Gore and I haven't changed my mind. Now's the time to jump on the bandwaggon.


If Romney wins the Popular Vote with Obama winning the Electoral, will the amount of ear piercing whining actually wake up the 45% of the population that can't see the bare naked amoral hypocrisy of the current GOP? My sources say NO.
 
2012-10-31 02:32:44 PM

fritton: Gallup may be right considering how they are choosing their samples. Check out the regional results of their polls.

Can anyone tell me who wins the presidency if one guys *barely* wins the Northeast, the west and the midwest, yet loses the south in a massive landslide?


You're right. They could be. But it's less likely.

I would say Silver, Pollster, Wang, et al are right: the odds currently favor but by no means guarantee an Obama win. Vegas and the other betting lines agree. That seems pretty conclusive to me.

Or to put it another way, I would guess that the odds of Gallup being right when everyone else is badly off is about on a par with Romney's odds in the aggregate models mentioned above.
 
2012-10-31 02:34:31 PM

12349876: Drakin020: electronicmaji: Romney was only above Obama in the south in the Gallup Poll.

So much that they oversampled Southern Voters.

Wait, libs are complaining about oversampling now? Oh the irony.

/RMoney has this in the bag

The current massive disagreement between the Republican outlier national polls and state polls means one of them is doing something wrong.


It could be that neither is doing anything wrong. If gallup sampled 100 people in the North East (and Obama leads 54-46), 100 People in the Mid West (and Obama leads 52-48), 100 people near the West coast (and Obama leads 53-47) and 100 people in the South (and Romney leads 66-34) then It can still show an *overall* lead for Romney.. while the state polls will show a clear electoral win for Obama.
 
2012-10-31 02:34:33 PM

dehehn: Great now I just imagined my dad naked at work. Thanks.


don't worry, just scoot in under your desk until it goes away. still kind of weird though.
 
Displayed 50 of 139 comments

First | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Last | Show all

View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest


This thread is archived, and closed to new comments.

Continue Farking
Submit a Link »






Report