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(The Weather Channel)   While people on the East Coast from the Outer Banks on north start planning their milk, bread, booze, and TP run, the rest of us can make fun of them. It's your official Hurricane Sandy discussion thread   (weather.com) divider line 224
    More: PSA, East Coast, Discussion, eastern seaboard, Northeastern United States, breads, milk  
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2287 clicks; posted to Main » on 25 Oct 2012 at 11:41 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-10-25 08:52:24 AM
It's official and shiat.
 
2012-10-25 08:57:23 AM
If I see long-timers from the NC coast heading to the grocery store for a re-stock, I'm probably not going to mock them. If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.
 
2012-10-25 09:00:44 AM
Make fun all you want. When the storm's over, we'll still live here* and you'll still live in Kansas or someplace like that.

*unless of course we're all swept out to sea
 
2012-10-25 09:03:06 AM
It's all we'll hear about because it's the northeast, and of course, that's the center of the universe.

/to them
 
2012-10-25 09:03:20 AM

Cythraul: If I see long-timers from the NC coast heading to the grocery store for a re-stock, I'm probably not going to mock them. If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.


to be fair, it looks like it's going to combine with another storm and an arctic front and create a perfect storm of shiat for us in NE. Just in time for Halloween

/bring it on, I want a day off from work/school
 
2012-10-25 09:03:26 AM
And thus begins the two week stretch where I yell "hurry-canes, Alice!" randomly.
 
2012-10-25 09:08:18 AM
Carl, what's with the pink shirt and and purple tie? That really clashes.

Don't they have people to dress you at the Weather Channel?
 
2012-10-25 09:11:18 AM
I read the headline as: WHITE People on the east coast. It probably would have worked just the same. That doesn't make me racist does it?
 
2012-10-25 09:11:56 AM
C'Mon, Sandy...get to Baltimore. The streets need a good cleaning.
 
2012-10-25 09:12:19 AM
Sandy: a potential billion-dollar storm for the mid-Atlantic, New England, and Canada
The latest set of 12Z (8 am EDT) model runs are in, and they portray an increased risk to the U.S. and Canadian East Coasts for early next week. The GFS model, which had been showing that Sandy would head to the northeast out to sea, now has changed its tune, and predicts that Sandy will double back and hit Maine on Tuesday evening. The ECMWF model, which has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy, now has the storm hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon. These models are predicting that Sandy will get caught up by the trough approaching the Eastern U.S., which will inject a large amount of energy into the storm, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm with a central pressure below 960 mb and sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph. Winds of this strength would likely cause massive power outages, as trees still in leaf take out power lines. Also of great concern are Sandy's rains. Given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, as predicted, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S. Another huge concern is storm surge flooding. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding.



I'm not making fun of ANYONE on the east coast prepping for this storm.
 
ZAZ [TotalFark]
2012-10-25 09:13:27 AM
If Sandy really loved me she'd come racing at 70 miles per hour like the 1938 hurricane.
 
2012-10-25 09:15:41 AM
Will I need to nail down my brats while grilling at my tailgate Sunday in Philadelphia? Piercing the skin is bad for them. Why won't the Lamestream Weather Media address the *real* issues?
 
2012-10-25 09:17:58 AM
It's a good thing it's just a full moon on Monday, though, and not a Supermoon. Can you imagine if it was a Supermoon like when all that radiation from Fukushima was coming across the ocean toward us? Good lord, I can't even imagine what might happen then.

The east coast has been having quite a few earthquakes, though. There was that one here in Virginia a year back and that one just a few weeks ago in Maine. Maybe, if we're lucky, there'll be another earthquake right as Sandy is closing in and the resulting tectonic vibrationary shifts will send the hurricane harmlessly back out to sea. We might even be able to facilitate a man-made underground explosion that would similate an earthquake? I think that could be done with enough plastique or even some extremely targeted drone strikes.
 
2012-10-25 09:22:05 AM
Severe NJ Weather
Good morning. Once again, the Euro has a direct hit to the Delmarva Peninsula which would be the worst case scenario for New Jersey imaginable.


Why does the Euro hate NJ? Is this because the cast of Jersey Shore visited last year?
 
vpb [TotalFark]
2012-10-25 09:27:59 AM
Well, obviously they should move to flyover country because it's certain death to live in a place that has hurricanes.
 
2012-10-25 09:30:38 AM
My checklist:

1) Alcohol
2) Batteries
3) Snacks
4) Hit up neighbor for generator availability
5) Full tank of gas

During Irene, my backyard was a pond. The sucky part was the power went out at 1AM. I had to run an extension cord to my truck. I used a inverter to turn the truck's DC into AC. It was crude, but it kept my basement dry. It would take only 5 minutes for my basement to flood if the sump pump wasn't constantly running.
 
2012-10-25 09:32:58 AM

Cythraul: If I see long-timers from the NC coast heading to the grocery store for a re-stock, I'm probably not going to mock them. If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.


A cat 1 that hangs with half the storm out to sea can be worse than a higher cat that just passes over and inland.
 
2012-10-25 09:35:07 AM
Last year's Hurricane Irene's damage:

Hazlet, NJ

i88.photobucket.com
i88.photobucket.com
 
2012-10-25 09:36:23 AM

Bonkthat_Again: 1) Alcohol


Purely for medicinal purposes, of course.
 
2012-10-25 09:37:26 AM
The teevee news just said could fark up NH on election day.
 
2012-10-25 09:39:35 AM

somedude210: Cythraul: If I see long-timers from the NC coast heading to the grocery store for a re-stock, I'm probably not going to mock them. If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.

to be fair, it looks like it's going to combine with another storm and an arctic front and create a perfect storm of shiat for us in NE. Just in time for Halloween

/bring it on, I want a day off from work/school


Wasn't that literally the plot of one of those made-for-TV destructo movies? IIRC, Category 6: Day of Destruction or something like that?

/between last year's Hallowinter and this, I think we have proof that God Hates Halloween
 
2012-10-25 09:42:27 AM

RminusQ: I think we have proof that God Hates Halloween


Don't give them any ideas.

I'm going with "God hates last minute campaigning"
 
vpb [TotalFark]
2012-10-25 09:43:09 AM

Bonkthat_Again: Last year's Hurricane Irene's damage:

Hazlet, NJ

[i88.photobucket.com image 799x478]
[i88.photobucket.com image 799x478]


Lightweight.
 
2012-10-25 09:46:14 AM
And we just got the siding fixed from the "derecho" storm a few months ago. And you know that my DirecTV will be out.
 
2012-10-25 09:48:13 AM
eggs, bread, milk and tp. I'm gonna make some french toast, then shiat myself a lot.

/also, this storm is going to drift harmlessly out to sea without causing any damage.
 
2012-10-25 09:54:14 AM
I AM GOING TO SOIL MYSELF AND RUN TO THE STORE AND BUY 8 GALLONS OF MILK AND 45 SACKS OF DRY BEANS OOPS SOILED MYSELF AGAIN ALSO THAT REMINDS ME SIX MONTH SUPPLY OF TOILET PAPER
 
2012-10-25 09:56:21 AM

kronicfeld: I AM GOING TO SOIL MYSELF AND RUN TO THE STORE AND BUY 8 GALLONS OF MILK AND 45 SACKS OF DRY BEANS OOPS SOILED MYSELF AGAIN ALSO THAT REMINDS ME SIX MONTH SUPPLY OF TOILET PAPER


CALM YOUR TITS STOP
DO NOT BUY THAT CHEAP ONE PLAY PAPER AGAIN STOP
KEEP THE BEANS DRY THIS TIME STOP
 
2012-10-25 09:57:13 AM

basemetal: It's all we'll hear about because it's the northeast, and of course, that's the center of the universe.

/to them


More people live here than in Oklahoma, so you'd better

24.media.tumblr.com
 
2012-10-25 09:58:10 AM

Shadow Blasko: Sandy: a potential billion-dollar storm for the mid-Atlantic, New England, and Canada
The latest set of 12Z (8 am EDT) model runs are in, and they portray an increased risk to the U.S. and Canadian East Coasts for early next week. The GFS model, which had been showing that Sandy would head to the northeast out to sea, now has changed its tune, and predicts that Sandy will double back and hit Maine on Tuesday evening. The ECMWF model, which has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy, now has the storm hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon. These models are predicting that Sandy will get caught up by the trough approaching the Eastern U.S., which will inject a large amount of energy into the storm, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm with a central pressure below 960 mb and sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph. Winds of this strength would likely cause massive power outages, as trees still in leaf take out power lines. Also of great concern are Sandy's rains. Given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, as predicted, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S. Another huge concern is storm surge flooding. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding.




isn't this the opening paragraph from a stephen king novel?
 
2012-10-25 09:59:47 AM

rhino33: isn't this the opening paragraph from a stephen king novel?


If it isn't... It will be.

/In some universes Stephen King has already written every possible outcome.
 
2012-10-25 10:01:32 AM

Shadow Blasko: rhino33: isn't this the opening paragraph from a stephen king novel?




after a cursory google search, this is the exact premise of 'Storm Of The Century'
 
2012-10-25 10:04:45 AM

Shadow Blasko: DO NOT BUY THAT CHEAP ONE PLAY PAPER AGAIN STOP


You reuse your toilet paper? Ew.
 
2012-10-25 10:04:46 AM

Earguy: And we just got the siding fixed from the "derecho" storm a few months ago. And you know that my DirecTV will be out.


This.
 
2012-10-25 10:14:46 AM

Bonkthat_Again: Last year's Hurricane Irene's damage:

Hazlet, NJ

[i88.photobucket.com image 799x478]
[i88.photobucket.com image 799x478]


I can sympathize with you

/Tinton Falls NJ
 
2012-10-25 10:15:48 AM
I'm going to probably rent a generator if the forecasts look like it's going to ride the Chesapeake, which a couple of models are showing it might.
 
2012-10-25 10:18:43 AM

BunkoSquad: Make fun all you want. When the storm's over, we'll still live here* and you'll still live in Kansas or someplace like that.

*unless of course we're all swept out to sea



Everything east of the San Andreas fault will eventually fall into the Atlantic Ocean
 
2012-10-25 10:19:09 AM

HST's Dead Carcass: I read the headline as: WHITE People on the east coast. It probably would have worked just the same. That doesn't make me racist does it?


I made this same mistake...Didn't realize it until I read your post though. Guess we're both racist!
 
2012-10-25 10:19:24 AM

basemetal: It's all we'll hear about because it's the northeast, and of course, that's the center of the universe.

/to them


DAMN RIGHT IT IS
 
2012-10-25 10:26:37 AM

Cythraul: If I see long-timers from the NC coast heading to the grocery store for a re-stock, I'm probably not going to mock them. If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.


Snark away, just as soon as North Carolinians learn how to drive in anything more wintry than ten minutes of intermittent freezing rain.

A foot of glopsnow on still-leafy trees, on the heels of Irene 2.0...should be a real blast.
 
2012-10-25 10:30:20 AM

dhedge: /Tinton Falls NJ


My fiance used to be on First Aid there. Then she moved to Keyport.

Maybe i'll go to Swimming River Road to watch Sebastian Bach's house get wiped out again.
 
2012-10-25 10:31:08 AM
Let's keep our heads, people. The only real matter of importance here is how the weather will affect the Florida-Georgia game this weekend. Everything else is incidental.
 
2012-10-25 10:58:12 AM

somedude210: Cythraul: If I see long-timers from the NC coast heading to the grocery store for a re-stock, I'm probably not going to mock them. If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.

to be fair, it looks like it's going to combine with another storm and an arctic front and create a perfect storm of shiat for us in NE. Just in time for Halloween

/bring it on, I want a day off from work/school


Same thing happened in 1991 but it was 3 storms (it's what the movie The Perfect Storm was based on). I was in a different house but still in the same town on the Jersey Shore when that thing hit. Luckily, it hit later at night (sometime after 11pm, I think) and the trick-or-treaters were long gone. Damn, what a night that was! Incredibly high winds, almost horizontal rain, thunder that shook the whole house. We didn't have any damage, thankfully, but it was a scary thing.
 
2012-10-25 10:58:35 AM
The best line I heard was this morning on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Channel (regarding the Atlanta @ Eagles game...paraphrasing): "The wind could really have an affect on Michael Vick on Sunday. Never mind, even when there's been no wind he hasn't been worthwhile."
 
2012-10-25 11:01:28 AM

Cythraul: If I see people in northern New York State doing it over a weak category 1, then yeah, I might mock them.


We call them the "French Toast Brigade". For some reason, whenever there's even HINT of a storm, they run to the store to buy milk, bread, and eggs. Never understood why those items. Water & TP I can understand but it's more often than not those 3 items.

And, in the past decade, we've only ever been snowed in or stopped from going to the grocery store ONCE for more than a day. The run on grocery stores in modern times just makes no sense.
 
2012-10-25 11:08:22 AM
Check out the updated track as of 11am. This is going to be epic.

www.nhc.noaa.gov
 
2012-10-25 11:09:58 AM

flucto: Check out the updated track as of 11am. This is going to be epic.

[www.nhc.noaa.gov image 850x680]


I was just about to post that ...

I will post this instead.

The latest set of 00Z (8 pm EDT) and 06Z (2 am EDT) computer model runs are in substantial agreement for the next 3 days, but Sandy's future is as clear as mud after that. Sandy will continue to punish the Bahamas today and Friday, as it tracks north to north-northwest. Sandy will probably come close enough to the Southeast U.S. on Saturday afternoon to spread heavy rains to the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. However, the 4 - 6 day computer model forecasts for Sunday - Tuesday diverge widely. The GFS model, which has been one of our two top models for predicting hurricane tracks the past two years, has been very inconsistent with its handling of Sandy. Runs of the GFS model done 6 hours apart, at 8 pm last night and 2 am EDT this morning, were 300 miles apart in their position for Sandy on Tuesday, with the latest run predicting a landfall in Maine on Wednesday morning. On the other hand, the ECMWF model, our other top model for predicting hurricane tracks, has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy. The ECMWF model has Sandy hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon, the same forecast it has had for three consecutive runs. The other models tend to follow one extreme or the other, and NHC is picking a solution somewhere in the middle of these two extremes. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT Thursday all across the U.S., which should help this evening's model runs. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon.



The mid-Atlantic U.S. scenario
Landfall Monday along the mid-Atlantic coast on Monday, as predicted by the ECMWF and NOGAPS models, would likely be a billion-dollar disaster. In this scenario, Sandy would be able to bring sustained winds near hurricane force over a wide stretch of heavily populated coast, causing massive power outages, as trees still in leaf fall and take out power lines. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding. Fresh water flooding from heavy rains would also be a huge concern. Given the ECMWF's consistent handling of Sandy, I believe this mid-Atlantic scenario has a higher probability of occurring than the Northeast U.S. scenario. However, it is likely that the models are overdoing the strength of Sandy at landfall. The models have trouble handling the transition from tropical storm to extratropical storm in these type of situations, and I expect that the 940 mb central pressure of Sandy predicted at landfall Monday in Delaware by the ECMWF model is substantially overdone.
 
2012-10-25 11:10:09 AM
So, we in the Northeast may have Irene II: Electric Boogaloo?

CSB time: Last year during Irene my neighborhood was in the mandatory evacuation zone on the south shore of Long Island. To avoid it, I went to stay at my girlfriend's apartment in New Brunswick, NJ, which is significantly inland. What I didn't account for was the Raritan River, which is separated from her building by a highway and a park. We got through the storm no problem, but the river kept rising in the hours after and eventually flooded her street. Her building ended up losing power and they couldn't fix it until the water cleared, which took a couple of days. Her building - specifically her building and no other place in New Brunswick - was evacuated and we had to go to a hotel. So I can say that I got evacuated from the place to which I evacuated. And when I finally went home to Long Island, the power was still out and didn't come back for another couple of days.

Could've been much worse, but I'd still like to avoid a repeat of that.

/got some sweet pictures of the flooded highway though
 
2012-10-25 11:14:39 AM
OK...shiat just got real as of 11:00. And each update keeps having it make landfall further and further south... At first I thought it woulda been cool to see it get hit here (in Baltimore), but damn...this could be really bad.

icons-ak.wunderground.com
 
2012-10-25 11:15:25 AM
As an east coaster, let me say "meh"
 
2012-10-25 11:15:28 AM

twobux: The best line I heard was this morning on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Channel (regarding the Atlanta @ Eagles game...paraphrasing): "The wind could really have an affect on Michael Vick on Sunday. Never mind, even when there's been no wind he hasn't been worthwhile."


You will have to take into account the wind direction when trying to recover his fumbles.
 
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