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(Daily Kos)   Publish bad polls? BOOM. Federal lawsuit. That's Obama-style   (dailykos.com) divider line 79
    More: Interesting, obama, rookie of the year, U.S. Mint, petard, Health Care, International, Steve O'Brien  
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6530 clicks; posted to Politics » on 20 Oct 2012 at 5:24 PM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-10-20 11:14:05 AM
Gallup was posting bad polls way back in August
 
2012-10-20 11:31:20 AM
FTFA: If fraud is a business model at Gallup, surely that attitude permeates throughout the organization, ergo to wit, Gallup's election polls cannot be trusted.

News organizations should cover this story and the inevitable conclusion that Gallup's huge misses on polling data were not mistakes but done on purpose to influence public opinion.

Why would Gallup do that? If the administrations justice department is barking up your tree, wouldn't you want his opponent to win in order to avoid prosecution.

I can't wait to see how this scandal unfolds.

Oh, just as I predicted.



This argument is just as meritless on the left as it is on the right. Could their polling data be consistently skewed? Sure. Can you draw that conclusion from the fact that they may be greedy and have overbilled the US government? Hell naw.

In short, your blog sucks and you're not helping.
 
2012-10-20 11:31:42 AM
Subs, I suggest you RTFA. It's about billing fraud and started three years ago. Or maybe you did.

2/10
 
2012-10-20 11:34:09 AM
Why in hell is the US Mint hiring Gallup for anything? Do they want to know how popular their money is? Hell, I could do that for half the price.
 
2012-10-20 11:34:59 AM
Toucpad fail. I baleeted the last sentence. The rest is Kos spin.
 
2012-10-20 12:08:15 PM

a_bilge_monkey: Subs, I suggest you RTFA. It's about billing fraud and started three years ago. Or maybe you did.

2/10


But you forgot:

www.strangecosmos.com
 
2012-10-20 12:16:00 PM
According to TFA, your causal arrow is pointing the wrong direction, subby.
 
2012-10-20 12:36:33 PM

St_Francis_P: But you forgot:

www.strangecosmos.com


Stupid libs! Obama WAS president 3 years ago! Just shows how stupid you LIEbral Demoncraps really are. This isn't about fraud! REAL businesses maximize profit. This is the pure beauty of the free market capitalistic system you homoabortionjizzpotemporium lovers just will never get because you jack it to Stalin and Mao.

This is an OBVIOUS attack on those who are on 0bama's "enemies list" No other president in the history of the world and humankind on the face of the earth and galaxy has EVER had an enemies list! This PROVES that Barry Hussein Sourpusstoro is not an American and hates us for our freedoms.

Christ, you people need to study it out!
 
2012-10-20 12:45:23 PM
Because President Obama personally approves every lawsuit filed by the DOJ. And he knew 3 years ago that Gallup polls would show him trailing in polls only 3 weeks before the 2012 elections. Much like his family knew to publish his birth announcement 50 years prior to his running for office in order to prove he was born in the United States.

What a complicated world you fundies live in. I don't know how you can keep straight all the conspiracies against you.

My heart bleeds. That's right, I'm a bleeding heart.
 
2012-10-20 12:49:59 PM

Girl From The North Country: My heart bleeds. That's right, I'm a bleeding heart.


I'll bet you want my tax dollars to pay for your health care to fix that, right?

TAXED
ENOUGH
ALREADY!

Fix it yourself, you homeless hippie!
 
2012-10-20 12:53:07 PM

NewportBarGuy: Girl From The North Country: My heart bleeds. That's right, I'm a bleeding heart.

I'll bet you want my tax dollars to pay for your health care to fix that, right?

TAXED
ENOUGH
ALREADY!

Fix it yourself, you homeless hippie!


Ha... It was a preexisting condition. Suck it cons!
 
2012-10-20 04:18:53 PM
Submit bad headline? BOOM. Greenlight.. That's FARK Politics Tab-style
 
2012-10-20 04:35:32 PM
They overbilled the government, the governemt is trying to get their money back. Sounds like the type of fiscal responsibility that the GOP would embrace*.


*If the GOP were actually fiscally responsible, and not primarily composed of innumerate shouters.
 
2012-10-20 04:36:15 PM

Girl From The North Country: My heart bleeds. That's right, I'm a bleeding heart.


Anytime you care about someone other than yourself, you're now a "bleeding heart"...So I'm just supposed to look out for myself, instead of the fact that we're all in this together, and if many people are suffering, than it's not my problem?

This is why I hate people.
 
2012-10-20 04:51:05 PM

RedPhoenix122: Anytime you care about someone other than yourself, you're now a "bleeding heart"...So I'm just supposed to look out for myself, instead of the fact that we're all in this together, and if many people are suffering, than it's not my problem?


You can care about people, you just have to care about your fiscal and societal betters.

Feeling bad that Muffy VanLandingham's Cape Cod home burned down a month before the family was getting ready to go summering? OK.

Feeling bad that the maintenance man at your office has to work three minimum wage jobs so his wife can take their son to cancer treatments? Fark him. Should get a better job if he loves his wife and son so much.
 
2012-10-20 05:30:18 PM
If you link to a Gallup poll, you're an accessory.
 
2012-10-20 05:32:22 PM
Libs are whining about skewed polls?

/hahahaha
 
2012-10-20 05:34:58 PM

evoke: Libs are whining about skewed polls?

/hahahaha


The only difference being, statistically, they are.
 
2012-10-20 05:35:34 PM
"will this video cost Obama the election?"

no it will not. why are you even asking
 
2012-10-20 05:36:36 PM

evoke: Libs are whining about skewed polls?

/hahahaha


Conservatives are going off half-cocked and not actually reading?

/hahahaha
 
2012-10-20 05:36:42 PM
Gallup overbilled the government, then fired whistleblowers... I have no problem at all with my tax dollars supporting thorough litigation of the matter. Given that the lawsuit was filed months ago and the government's joining was expected, one could argue just as easily that they're publishing crap polls *because* of the prosecution... either way, it seems like their reputation is about to go downhill, these accounting matters are usually rather easy to spot.
 
2012-10-20 05:38:02 PM

unyon: FTFA: If fraud is a business model at Gallup, surely that attitude permeates throughout the organization, ergo to wit, Gallup's election polls cannot be trusted.

News organizations should cover this story and the inevitable conclusion that Gallup's huge misses on polling data were not mistakes but done on purpose to influence public opinion.

Why would Gallup do that? If the administrations justice department is barking up your tree, wouldn't you want his opponent to win in order to avoid prosecution.

I can't wait to see how this scandal unfolds.

Oh, just as I predicted.


This argument is just as meritless on the left as it is on the right. Could their polling data be consistently skewed? Sure. Can you draw that conclusion from the fact that they may be greedy and have overbilled the US government? Hell naw.

In short, your blog sucks and you're not helping.


You got it backwards. The KOS writer is arguing that Gallup was caught overbilling by the Justice Department. Gallup might try to use their influence to get a new President in office, so that the Justice Department will drop the lawsuit.
 
2012-10-20 05:38:22 PM

justtray: The only difference being, statistically, they are.


Well, not really. They've just come up with a model that gives them dramatically different results than, you know, everybody else. It doesn't necessarily mean they're skewed. Hell, they could be right, and everybody else's methodology could be invalid due to some massive shift in how people are going to vote that Gallup has discovered and everyone else doesn't know about yet. But the chances of that are pretty dodgamned slim, and it's much more likely that Gallup's current methodology is crap.
 
ecl
2012-10-20 05:38:25 PM
For those too lazy to read...

FTA
A fired Gallup employee who became a whistle-blower, Michael Lindley, alleges in the lawsuit that he discovered shortly after going to work for the polling company that it had engaged in widespread fraud against the government.
Honored as "Rookie of the Year" at Gallup in 2009, Lindley says he was fired six months later when he told colleagues that if the company didn't report overbilling practices to the government, Lindley would do so himself.

His lawsuit, filed nearly three years ago and unsealed Wednesday in federal court, says Gallup routinely submitted inflated cost estimates which enabled the company to reap huge profits from its government business.
In addition to its polling work, Gallup provides consulting services to government, corporate and other clients around the world.
The Justice Department said it was stepping into the case with respect to Gallup's contracts with the Mint and the State Department.

Ta Dah. Headline is trolltastic.
 
2012-10-20 05:39:20 PM
 
2012-10-20 05:41:56 PM

Lionel Mandrake: Submit bad headline? BOOM. Greenlight.. That's FARK Politics Tab-style


For truth, quoted.
 
2012-10-20 05:43:40 PM
livingwithballs.com
 
2012-10-20 05:45:00 PM

incendi: justtray: The only difference being, statistically, they are.

Well, not really. They've just come up with a model that gives them dramatically different results than, you know, everybody else. It doesn't necessarily mean they're skewed. Hell, they could be right, and everybody else's methodology could be invalid due to some massive shift in how people are going to vote that Gallup has discovered and everyone else doesn't know about yet. But the chances of that are pretty dodgamned slim, and it's much more likely that Gallup's current methodology is crap.


Didn't Nate Silver show that it is? Please do correct me if I'm wrong. For a statistician it's pretty easy to show crappy methodology.
 
2012-10-20 05:46:02 PM

Sock Ruh Tease: [livingwithballs.com image 381x277]


I'm not new here but what's the meme that goes with that picture?
 
2012-10-20 05:52:42 PM

Lionel Mandrake: Submit bad headline? BOOM. Greenlight.. That's FARK Politics Tab-style


Sadder at how this tab went half the day without a green and this is what we got during that time.

As a note, have the Daily Mail/Caller submissions increased lately?
 
2012-10-20 05:53:20 PM

Blue_Blazer: Lionel Mandrake: Submit bad headline? BOOM. Greenlight.. That's FARK Politics Tab-style

For truth, quoted.


FOR THE GREAT TRUTH!
 
2012-10-20 05:53:24 PM

Blue_Blazer: Sock Ruh Tease: [livingwithballs.com image 381x277]

I'm not new here but what's the meme that goes with that picture?


Boom goes the dynamite.
 
2012-10-20 05:55:12 PM
upload.wikimedia.org
 
2012-10-20 05:56:47 PM

justtray: Didn't Nate Silver show that it is? Please do correct me if I'm wrong. For a statistician it's pretty easy to show crappy methodology.


Here's what he had to say about it:
Because Gallup's polls usually take large sample sizes, statistical variance alone probably cannot account these sorts of shifts. It seems to be an endemic issue with their methodology.

Which is definitely accusing the methodology of crappiness, but not showing why. I'm presuming this is because he doesn't have complete access to their models, else he'd explain why they're crap instead of just pointing to Gallup's crappy history. My defense of Gallup was fairly tongue-in-cheek, btw.
 
2012-10-20 05:57:06 PM
Usually the weekend admins are better than this.
 
2012-10-20 05:58:26 PM

evoke: Libs are whining about skewed polls?

/hahahaha


Jumping to conclusions sure makes life easy, doesn't it?
 
2012-10-20 06:00:57 PM
That headline is just begging for an "Oppa Obama Style!" photoshop. I lack the skillz, though.
 
2012-10-20 06:08:28 PM

incendi: justtray: Didn't Nate Silver show that it is? Please do correct me if I'm wrong. For a statistician it's pretty easy to show crappy methodology.

Here's what he had to say about it:
Because Gallup's polls usually take large sample sizes, statistical variance alone probably cannot account these sorts of shifts. It seems to be an endemic issue with their methodology.

Which is definitely accusing the methodology of crappiness, but not showing why. I'm presuming this is because he doesn't have complete access to their models, else he'd explain why they're crap instead of just pointing to Gallup's crappy history. My defense of Gallup was fairly tongue-in-cheek, btw.


I know. I wasn't accusing you of defending them, I just really wanted to know what he said without looking it up. =)

Thanks btw.
 
2012-10-20 06:12:30 PM

NeverDrunk23: Lionel Mandrake: Submit bad headline? BOOM. Greenlight.. That's FARK Politics Tab-style

Sadder at how this tab went half the day without a green and this is what we got during that time.

As a note, have the Daily Mail/Caller submissions increased lately?


I don't know if it's me but the amount of contempt the modmins have for the average farker seems to have increased, a lot.

/I know, I'll get over it.
 
2012-10-20 06:20:17 PM

Lenny_da_Hog: Usually the weekend admins are better than this.


I have two theories:

1. They're Giants fans drunk and hungover from last night's game.
2. They're Cardinal fans drunk and hungover from last night's game.
 
2012-10-20 06:21:20 PM

NeverDrunk23: s a note, have the Daily Mail/Caller submissions increased lately?


Makes me wonder how good Tucker Carlson is in bed in order for them to keep greenlighting his BS.
 
2012-10-20 06:31:47 PM

incendi: Hell, they could be right, and everybody else's methodology could be invalid due to some massive shift in how people are going to vote that Gallup has discovered and everyone else doesn't know about yet.


By 'how' do you mean with shadow puppets or interpretive dance? The range of 'which' doesn't leave much room for innovation..
 
2012-10-20 06:39:54 PM

neenerist: By 'how' do you mean with shadow puppets or interpretive dance? The range of 'which' doesn't leave much room for innovation..


Well, what I meant in my generally silly response is they're on a likely voter model now - and they determine likely voters with a series of questions, usually like "Are you registered to vote?" and "Did you vote in the last election?" combined with some magic based on their demographic. Maybe they decided this year that people who say they voted in the last election are less likely to vote than other people asking the same question think they are, or something like that.

And just in case I haven't made it clear enough, I think Gallup is really screwing something up.
 
2012-10-20 06:41:51 PM

RedPhoenix122: Girl From The North Country: My heart bleeds. That's right, I'm a bleeding heart.

Anytime you care about someone other than yourself, you're now a "bleeding heart"...So I'm just supposed to look out for myself, instead of the fact that we're all in this together, and if many people are suffering, than it's not my problem?

This is why I hate people.


Don't be hating. I'm on your side.
 
2012-10-20 06:42:05 PM

Marcus Aurelius: Why in hell is the US Mint hiring Gallup for anything? Do they want to know how popular their money is? Hell, I could do that for half the price.


Yep, the gauge popularity for collectable coins and things like the dollar coin. They probably did a lot of work concerning how confused people were by the new $50,$20,$10s,$5s.

Man, those new $5s suck...
 
2012-10-20 06:47:08 PM
Publish bad polls? BOOM. Federal lawsuit. That's Obama-style

All of this means nothing to me unless John Madden draws penises on the telestrator.
 
2012-10-20 06:48:03 PM
Farking greenlit-style

I post links and really trollify the headline
They're all from blogs or writers trying hard to beat a deadline
Specious arguments, falsehoods, ad hominem are just fine
Good or bad, or blur the line

So I'll just leave this here
...something from Fox or CNN
And I'll just leave this here
...and you can rate it out of 10
And I'll just leave this here
...and then you'll respond once again
So I'll just leave this here
yeah, I'll just leave this here

Farking greenlit-style
 
2012-10-20 06:54:28 PM
Gallup lacks integrity and honesty and is about to be hoisted on its on petard.

You mean Gallup is a Bain company? Please clutch my pearls Ann, I feel faint.
 
2012-10-20 07:07:27 PM
Oppan bama style? Ob, ob ob, oppan bama style.
 
2012-10-20 07:16:20 PM
FTA -

O'Brien said the work involved fixed-price contracts that were all competitively bid and paid for as agreed. Now, said O'Brien, the government is saying "the price should have been something else."[...]

Somebody is either really bad at reporting or really bad at fraud.
 
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