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(Some Guy)   The University of Colorado (CU) prediction, renowned for perfect accuracy, says there is a 77% likelihood that Mitt Romney will win the popular vote, which is a 72% higher than a CU student actually getting a job after graduation   (campusreform.org) divider line 114
    More: Interesting, University of Colorado System, Mitt Romney, graduation, American Election, predictions, electoral colleges, students, elections  
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1521 clicks; posted to Politics » on 19 Oct 2012 at 8:56 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-10-19 02:08:19 PM
The school is named University of Colorado, but they abbreviate it CU?

Sounds like they might be dyslexic. I'd be wary of that 77% figure; they might have put the digits in the wrong order.
 
2012-10-19 02:10:13 PM

Cletus C.: Romney consequences? The great unknown. Maybe he could work with Congress. Maybe his economic plans work. Maybe we address problems rather than play political games with them. Maybe it's just a big mess.


IMO, we saw the Romney consequences in 2008. I have no desire to go back to those policies, but that seems to be exactly what Romney wants.

No matter who's in the White House, real problems will just be political footballs until there's some significant change in Congress. Those guys don't give a shiat about solving problems, other than this one - "How do I keep my spot on this elected gravy train?"
 
2012-10-19 02:57:20 PM

hiker9999: TripSixes: It would be delicious if Obama won the electoral college but not the popular vote. Then there might be a bipartisan effort to get rid of the electoral college.


Ok, delicious except for having to swim through the morass of morons.

I fear that we'd hear much about "second ammendment solutions" should that come to pass.


wait until ghey marriage gets a serious boost from the supremes
 
2012-10-19 02:58:23 PM

gulogulo: You know, if Romney wins, even though the economy has been improving steadily for months now, they'll credit him. Think about that.


THIS!

It's a big part of why I really really don't want this guy. Everyone of my co-workers will feel this validates their tea-bagger bs.
 
2012-10-19 03:49:48 PM

blindking: It's a big part of why I really really don't want this guy. Everyone of my co-workers will feel this validates their tea-bagger bs.


I think no matter what the outcome of the election is, we have about 2 months to make sure that its recognized that the economy has been improving. I don't want history rewritten here.
 
2012-10-19 03:53:46 PM

Lt. Cheese Weasel: UColorado has hit the last 7 elections on the nosey. But that's not important right now. Romney has a lot of money and binders. Let's focus on what is important, derpers.

Hurry November.


You know who else accurately predicted the last few elections?

7-eleven.

So no, this UColorado model doesn't merit any real scrutiny.
 
2012-10-19 04:01:25 PM

poot_rootbeer: The school is named University of Colorado, but they abbreviate it CU?

Sounds like they might be dyslexic. I'd be wary of that 77% figure; they might have put the digits in the wrong order.


They might be trying to avoid confusion with University of California (UC), which is much better known/respected.
 
2012-10-19 04:44:32 PM
I suppose we should start passing out magnets and coils of wire. If Obama were to win the electoral college but lose the popular vote, all the spinning (from all sides) might just be able to solve our nation's energy problems.
 
2012-10-19 05:26:50 PM

novalord2: They might be trying to avoid confusion with University of California (UC), which is much better known/respected.


Fortunately there are no other schools in the country which abbreviate to "CU", in particular not two Ivy League universities.
 
2012-10-19 09:33:41 PM

novalord2: poot_rootbeer: The school is named University of Colorado, but they abbreviate it CU?

Sounds like they might be dyslexic. I'd be wary of that 77% figure; they might have put the digits in the wrong order.

They might be trying to avoid confusion with University of California (UC), which is much better known/respected.


It has more to do with how plains states like to abbreviate in general (University of Kansas - KU, University of Oklahoma - OU). Distinguishing from UC is ancillary.

Anyways, amused that I just read in Nate Silver's book about how these "fundamentals-based" models that ignore polls came into vogue after Bush I's victory, but have been off by about 7 points historically.
 
2012-10-19 11:19:45 PM

JOHN MCENROE MY CHILDHOOD NEMESIS:

Why is everything a war with Conservatives?


Because "jihad" was already taken.
 
2012-10-20 11:11:51 AM
A XX% chance of anything happening or not happening really doesn't matter at all. There can be only a 10% chance of rain, but that doesn't ensure that you won't be caught out in a torrential rainstorm
 
2012-10-20 03:57:28 PM

Cloudchaser Sakonige the Red Wolf: A XX% chance of anything happening or not happening really doesn't matter at all. There can be only a 10% chance of rain, but that doesn't ensure that you won't be caught out in a torrential rainstorm


intrade might be 61%. but the true odds of a torrential Barackstorm is 100%
 
2012-10-21 01:43:15 AM

Nilatir: Lost Thought 00: TripSixes: It would be delicious if Obama won the electoral college but not the popular vote. Then there might be a bipartisan effort to get rid of the electoral college.


Ok, delicious except for having to swim through the morass of morons.

I think that would cause open revolution

The thing that has kept the Electoral College around for so long (even when it seems like it's an anachronism) is that is scales well. Can you imagine the Derp-fest that would occur if a nation of 150+ million voters had to do a recount.


That being said, the EC makes it much simpler to steal an election.
 
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