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(Some Climate Guy)   National Weather Service computer models forecast wimpy, marginal El Nino this winter, dub it La Nada. "La Nada" is Spanish for "The Nada"   (cliffmass.blogspot.com) divider line 60
    More: Strange, El Nino, National Weather Service, computer modeling, NOAA Climate Prediction Center  
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3749 clicks; posted to Main » on 29 Sep 2012 at 5:10 PM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-09-29 04:14:22 PM
24.media.tumblr.com

/obscure?
 
2012-09-29 05:09:51 PM
These "'el' XXXX is Spanish for 'the' XXXX" headlines aren't very funny...so, why do I giggle at them? Every. Time.
 
2012-09-29 05:12:48 PM
Ok-a whole lotta nada for the nada? So confuseds I is........
 
2012-09-29 05:14:16 PM
my money's on a brutal winter for the east
 
2012-09-29 05:15:48 PM
So warm & dry for most of the northeast then? That sounds fine to me but probably bad for the farmers.
 
2012-09-29 05:17:20 PM
dammit, I just bought kayaks, I WANT SOME farkING RAIN!
 
2012-09-29 05:18:57 PM
Now is about the time every year that I realize it is possible to get tired of "sunny and nice" day in, day out.
 
2012-09-29 05:19:15 PM
Kicked right in the nadas, eh?
 
2012-09-29 05:20:54 PM
Where's hispanic Atreyu when you need him?
 
2012-09-29 05:27:31 PM

ultraholland: my money's on a brutal winter for the east



I predict that whatever happens, "climate change" will be blamed.
 
2012-09-29 05:27:45 PM
imageshack.us
De nadas
 
2012-09-29 05:29:31 PM
Smart move humans, mock mother nature. This will end well.
 
2012-09-29 05:31:36 PM

Incontinent_dog_and_monkey_rodeo: Now is about the time every year that I realize it is possible to get tired of "sunny and nice" day in, day out.


I know I'm tired of "sunny and freaking triple digits" day in and day out.
 
2012-09-29 05:32:18 PM
Winter started in Alaska today...I woke to a couple of inches of snow on the ground....about 5 weeks early this year.
 
2012-09-29 05:33:29 PM
www.trbimg.com 
the biggest of the big events (floods, windstorms, even snowstorms) tend to occur in neutral years.

Oh My God! Climate Change is going to kill us all.
 
2012-09-29 05:34:52 PM
3.bp.blogspot.com

useful for fighting the nothing.
 
2012-09-29 05:34:59 PM
Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?
 
2012-09-29 05:37:42 PM
As long as it's not La Cucaracha.
 
2012-09-29 05:38:28 PM

simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?


I'm guessing a little above normal temp and precipitation.
 
2012-09-29 05:41:14 PM

simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?


It will be cooler than the summer
 
2012-09-29 05:41:27 PM

Hobodeluxe: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

I'm guessing a little above normal temp and precipitation.


Or at least, that's what everyone is prepping for; which means we'll have record torrential downpours, temperatures barely above freezing (alternating with record highs in mid January), and an abundance of mudslides and concurrent lack of sandbags.
 
2012-09-29 05:41:38 PM
Bbbbut I was promised global warming!!

/still not convinced we aren't just coming out of an iceage
//is an idiot
///a&b are sufficient
 
2012-09-29 05:42:26 PM

smitty04: Climate Change



DRINK!


Amos Quito: "climate change"



DRINK!
 
2012-09-29 05:45:15 PM
Done in 1
 
2012-09-29 05:45:38 PM

smitty04: [www.trbimg.com image 600x338] 
the biggest of the big events (floods, windstorms, even snowstorms) tend to occur in neutral years.

Oh My God! Climate Change is going to kill us all.


Naw, it's just going to rough us up a little and make us like it.
 
2012-09-29 05:47:01 PM
I wouldn't mind another brown Christmas here in South Dakota. Last year every time it snowed it would melt the next day.
 
2012-09-29 05:47:09 PM

Amos Quito: ultraholland: my money's on a brutal winter for the east


I predict that whatever happens, "climate change" will be blamed.


And Fox News will mock global warming when there's a freakish snow storm or a cold snap uncharacteristic for a region because "IT'S NOT WARM AT ALL!".
 
2012-09-29 05:47:13 PM

Hobodeluxe: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

I'm guessing a little above normal temp and precipitation.


Dammit, just like last year. I miss having our few weeks of "winter" here...until last year we had several years of it...almost 2 months of lows in the 30s-40s, highs in the 50s-60s. Not last year...hit the 30-40 range maybe 3-5 times.
 
2012-09-29 05:47:30 PM

simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?


Here in the San Francisco Bay Area, the last time we had a really severe El Niño event (1998, I think?), there was heavy rain that led to lots of school and work closures (just like heavy snow might do is colder climates), coupled with severe flooding along many waterways. Back then, I lived in a house along Copeland Creek (part of the Russian River watershed in Sonoma County), which normally only gets up to a foot of water during the rainy season and is practically dry during the summer. That year, the creek had over ten feet of water, and came dangerously close to flooding and forcing evacuations. People who lived along the Russian River in the western part of the county weren't so lucky--numerous homes on and near the riverbank were completely washed away.

I think the most recent El Niño was actually in 2006, but it wasn't nearly as severe.
 
2012-09-29 05:50:27 PM

Gyrfalcon: Hobodeluxe: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

I'm guessing a little above normal temp and precipitation.

Or at least, that's what everyone is prepping for; which means we'll have record torrential downpours, temperatures barely above freezing (alternating with record highs in mid January), and an abundance of mudslides and concurrent lack of sandbags.


In other words, every third year in our neck of the woods. Best part is, you get to see Sacramento partially revert to the fetid swamp everyone knows it always has been.

/The other two have two puny showers that cause everyone to slide out on the dried road oils and the weather service to predict record droughts and the end of civilization as everyone goes to war for water.
 
2012-09-29 05:52:14 PM
It is going to be 101 here (Sacramento) tomorrow.
WTF
 
2012-09-29 05:58:03 PM

anfrind: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

Here in the San Francisco Bay Area, the last time we had a really severe El Niño event (1998, I think?), there was heavy rain that led to lots of school and work closures (just like heavy snow might do is colder climates), coupled with severe flooding along many waterways. Back then, I lived in a house along Copeland Creek (part of the Russian River watershed in Sonoma County), which normally only gets up to a foot of water during the rainy season and is practically dry during the summer. That year, the creek had over ten feet of water, and came dangerously close to flooding and forcing evacuations. People who lived along the Russian River in the western part of the county weren't so lucky--numerous homes on and near the riverbank were completely washed away.

I think the most recent El Niño was actually in 2006, but it wasn't nearly as severe.


so people that lived near geological features are to be pitied when those features act as intended?
 
2012-09-29 06:03:30 PM

anfrind: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

Here in the San Francisco Bay Area, the last time we had a really severe El Niño event (1998, I think?), there was heavy rain that led to lots of school and work closures (just like heavy snow might do is colder climates), coupled with severe flooding along many waterways. Back then, I lived in a house along Copeland Creek (part of the Russian River watershed in Sonoma County), which normally only gets up to a foot of water during the rainy season and is practically dry during the summer. That year, the creek had over ten feet of water, and came dangerously close to flooding and forcing evacuations. People who lived along the Russian River in the western part of the county weren't so lucky--numerous homes on and near the riverbank were completely washed away.

I think the most recent El Niño was actually in 2006, but it wasn't nearly as severe.


Yeah, that was actually one of the worst flood seasons in modern California history, since the network of dams, canals, and levees were built. 1995 was the only worse one, packing it all into two one-day torrents, although '64 and '86 were also close.

I was just starting high school in Modesto in '97, and half the roads and fields became lakes and streams. One of my first clients had some photos of himself standing on his deck with the water inches below; the deck was built right on the flood line, 20 feet or so above Dry Creek's normal height. The 2006 one was relatively mild, though I do remember hydroplaning right through numerous flooded underpasses on 99 that winter.
 
2012-09-29 06:13:23 PM

Gyrfalcon: Hobodeluxe: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

I'm guessing a little above normal temp and precipitation.

Or at least, that's what everyone is prepping for; which means we'll have record torrential downpours, temperatures barely above freezing (alternating with record highs in mid January), and an abundance of mudslides and concurrent lack of sandbags.


A couple of things that are immutable re: predicting weather events.
1) You will not be prepared
2) It will not be the disaster you planed on
3) Predicting future events based upon past events in a complex, fluid and evolving system is a poor practice
4) We are all farked
 
2012-09-29 06:21:42 PM
Aww shiat, another mild winter? Them spiders gonna get out of control. They're going to get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it.
 
2012-09-29 06:25:05 PM

Girion47: anfrind: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

Here in the San Francisco Bay Area, the last time we had a really severe El Niño event (1998, I think?), there was heavy rain that led to lots of school and work closures (just like heavy snow might do is colder climates), coupled with severe flooding along many waterways. Back then, I lived in a house along Copeland Creek (part of the Russian River watershed in Sonoma County), which normally only gets up to a foot of water during the rainy season and is practically dry during the summer. That year, the creek had over ten feet of water, and came dangerously close to flooding and forcing evacuations. People who lived along the Russian River in the western part of the county weren't so lucky--numerous homes on and near the riverbank were completely washed away.

I think the most recent El Niño was actually in 2006, but it wasn't nearly as severe.

so people that lived near geological features are to be pitied when those features act as intended?


Where did I say anything about pity? I can assure you, lots of us were rolling our eyes when many flood victims started rebuilding their homes in the exact same spots where their old homes had been washed away (lots of people out there seem to have more money than sense). And I don't think many people expected Copeland Creek to have flood warnings until 1995 or so because it almost never got more than a foot of water during normal years and it had 12-foot-high banks.
 
2012-09-29 06:29:21 PM

lewismarktwo: Aww shiat, another mild winter? Them spiders gonna get out of control. They're going to get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it.


I'm a little annoyed with how many Tegeneria gigantea and Tegenaria agrestis I have rambling into my home these days. The legs, the quickness of their movement, I dislike them so much.
 
2012-09-29 06:34:38 PM
Quick! We can stop it if someone yells out some gibberish out the window!
 
2012-09-29 06:35:35 PM
Well, based on the accuracy of the weather guys around here, I'm going to start stocking up for a freaking Ice Age. Last year was supposed to be brutal, nope wrong. Hurricane season was supposed to be brutal, nope wrong again.
 
2012-09-29 06:37:48 PM
Yeah but what happens if it goes all macho on us and goes full nad? There'll be a lot of salty rain comin' in off the Gulf.....
 
2012-09-29 06:39:01 PM
imageshack.us
 
2012-09-29 06:44:08 PM
Since Murphy's Law dictates that parades will invariably be rained upon, why don't we have a world-wide parade day to stop the droughts?
 
2012-09-29 07:00:37 PM
I predict that no matter what the weather is, people will claim that there is no such thing as climate change.

a) blaming all weather on climate change is silly

b) claiming that there is no anthropogenic climate change is silly

both can be and are correct.
 
2012-09-29 07:21:43 PM
www.liveweatherblogs.com
TEMPS THIS WINTER...MILDER & DRY NORTH...COOLER & DAMP SOUTH 
www.liveweatherblogs.com
 
2012-09-29 07:23:01 PM

FuryOfFirestorm: Quick! We can stop it if someone yells out some gibberish out the window!


www.elvish.org

On it.
 
2012-09-29 07:29:23 PM

Resident Muslim: /still not convinced we aren't just coming out of an iceage


Actually we are. All of human evolution has taken place during an ice age that's been ongoing since 2.5 million years ago. The previous ice age ended sometime around the Triassic period. We're currently in an interglacial period within the ice age. "Normal" temperatures for the Earth are much warmer than anything we've experienced. Large polar ice caps are actually an anomaly. New York should be a subtropical climate.

Human activity is also accelerating the warming beyond what it would be in nature, so we're going to see an extended interglacial period. If anthropogenic warming gets really severe, we might actually see the complete melting of the ice caps, in which case we'd be causing the premature end of the ice age and a return to the Earth's normal, ice-free temperature cycle. Which would be interesting.
 
2012-09-29 07:59:23 PM
I'm hoping we'll get another non-winter here in the Northeast, just like the non-winter we had last year. I saved a fark-ton of money on the heat bill last year.
 
2012-09-29 08:03:10 PM

foxyshadis: Gyrfalcon: Hobodeluxe: simrobert2001: Okay, Would one of you farkers tell me what a mild elnino means for the winter?

I'm guessing a little above normal temp and precipitation.

Or at least, that's what everyone is prepping for; which means we'll have record torrential downpours, temperatures barely above freezing (alternating with record highs in mid January), and an abundance of mudslides and concurrent lack of sandbags.

In other words, every third year in our neck of the woods. Best part is, you get to see Sacramento partially revert to the fetid swamp everyone knows it always has been.

/The other two have two puny showers that cause everyone to slide out on the dried road oils and the weather service to predict record droughts and the end of civilization as everyone goes to war for water.


That's what you get for living in an inland delta bigger than the butt-end of Louisiana. I hate Sac in the summertime.
 
2012-09-29 08:05:15 PM
OMG WE'RE ALL GONNA... HAVE... MILD WESTERLY WINDS....

How can I make fear money off of THIS? Ugh.
 
2012-09-29 08:09:01 PM

The_Y2P_Problem: Amos Quito: ultraholland: my money's on a brutal winter for the east


I predict that whatever happens, "climate change" will be blamed.

And Fox News will mock global warming when there's a freakish snow storm or a cold snap uncharacteristic for a region because "IT'S NOT WARM AT ALL!".


And in 50 years, when nothing of consequence with the climate has happened, Fox News will still be mocking the GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE political party, and people who "know better" will still be mocking people denying it.
 
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