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(Yahoo)   After Stanford's upset, what else could possibly go wrong for the Top 25 today? #25 Baylor vs #9 West By God Virginia? #20 Mich St vs #14 Ohio St? Washington St vs #2 Oregon? Okay, maybe not the last one   (sports.yahoo.com) divider line 868
    More: Interesting, South Carolina Gamecocks, Fighting Irish, Pat Forde, Towson, West Virginia, Baylor, LSU, Kansas State  
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437 clicks; posted to Sports » on 29 Sep 2012 at 11:00 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-09-29 07:50:10 AM
Greetings and Roll Tide, fellow college football fans.
i232.photobucket.com
 
2012-09-29 08:19:30 AM
"Go wrong". I love how we see those polls as the preordained outcome for the year.

Then the teams make their input.
 
2012-09-29 08:58:01 AM
api.ning.com

Upset, you ask? Look no further.
 
2012-09-29 09:31:33 AM
sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net
 
2012-09-29 09:51:25 AM
i1123.photobucket.com
 
2012-09-29 09:57:52 AM

Dancin_In_Anson: [i1123.photobucket.com image 350x263]


1. coug

To blow a game when victory is almost certain, especially in the 4th quarter. Term made popular by a college football team in the northwest that blows games with consistency.
WSU couged another one and lost 38-35 after leading by 31 points at the end of the 3rd quarter. 

Pronounced "Coog" or even Kewg.



I dont think one self styled pirate is going to change this decades long tradition. Will be fun watching him try.
 
2012-09-29 10:08:29 AM

Generation_D: 1. coug

To blow a game when victory is almost certain, especially in the 4th quarter. Term made popular by a college football team in the northwest that blows games with consistency.
WSU couged another one and lost 38-35 after leading by 31 points at the end of the 3rd quarter.

Pronounced "Coog" or even Kewg.



I dont think one self styled pirate is going to change this decades long tradition. Will be fun watching him try.



We kind of had the same tradition at Tech and he changed all that. As you said, it's going to be fun and if his time in Lubbock is any indication, WSU fans are going to have a great time!

Hey! While I'm at it, let me just say that Kent Hance, Gerald Myers and Craig James can eat the peanuts from my shiat.
 
2012-09-29 10:43:34 AM
Hey! While I'm at it, let me just say that Kent Hance, Gerald Myers and Craig James can eat the peanuts from my shiat.

It still fails to amaze me how much political crap ESPN serves up as fact. A far cry from what they once were. I'm sorry kid, you had to go sit down, the coach had enough of your prima donna noise for one day. Oh wait here comes Senator Daddy with a talk show.
 
2012-09-29 10:44:51 AM
never fails to amaze me. meh. ESPN sucks, but they really sucked on letting James have a bully pulpit on what was a personal drama between him helecopter parenting and his kid's coach.
 
2012-09-29 10:50:40 AM
WTF?! I need comcast in order to watch ESPN3 now? This is horsepiss.
 
2012-09-29 10:53:08 AM
i47.photobucket.com

Conference play starts today, for the first time ever! Yeah, it's the WAC, but still... BEEP BEEP, MOTHERfarkERS! #birdsup
 
2012-09-29 11:01:42 AM

WI241TH: WTF?! I need comcast in order to watch ESPN3 now?

 
I need a cable provider to watch a cable network?
 
THIS IS AN OUTRAGE!
 
das
2012-09-29 11:09:37 AM
www.djerb.net
 
2012-09-29 11:11:50 AM

SuperSeriousMan: WI241TH: WTF?! I need comcast in order to watch ESPN3 now?
 
I need a cable provider to watch a cable network?
 
THIS IS AN OUTRAGE!


ESPN3 is web-based and allowed you to watch just about any ESPN broadcast (ie out of region games or Gameday while you're at work) regardless of provider. They changed that last part and now I can't watch it while my samples are heating for the next two hours.
 
2012-09-29 11:13:20 AM
CenturyLink field gave enough of an advantage for the Seahawks to win over the Packers and the Huskies to win over Stanford this week, but WSU over Oregon still seems a little unlikely.
 
2012-09-29 11:14:14 AM
Probably won't pay attention too much today, UGA plays yet another FCS team, farking SEC scheduling these damn cup cakes!

And is WVU any good this year or are they over ranked too?
 
2012-09-29 11:14:27 AM
GO! STATE! BEAT! ILLINI!
 
2012-09-29 11:15:02 AM

steamingpile: Probably won't pay attention too much today, UGA plays yet another FCS team, farking SEC scheduling these damn cup cakes!

And is WVU any good this year or are they over ranked too?


WVU looks to be the real deal
 
2012-09-29 11:20:44 AM

geom_00: steamingpile: Probably won't pay attention too much today, UGA plays yet another FCS team, farking SEC scheduling these damn cup cakes!

And is WVU any good this year or are they over ranked too?

WVU looks to be the real deal


I just have a hard time believing a team should be ranked in the top 10 and didn't beat Maryland by 30 points.
 
2012-09-29 11:20:47 AM
Gators have a bye week before the butchering begins. Sigh.
 
2012-09-29 11:26:35 AM
Alright, Wahoos. Let's get it together. The Big Ten might lose to the Wack, but we don't. Please, for the love of Christ.
 
2012-09-29 11:30:20 AM

TheDumbBlonde: Gators have a bye week before the butchering begins. Sigh.


Yeah their defense is suspect but if they can score they may outlast LSU, but after that they have a pretty easy vandy, then probably two losses in a row. For the first time in a long while Florida doesn't scare us at all, I don't understand how people thought Florida's strong point was going to be their defense.

I also wonder how pissed kiffin is that no doctor would clear Jarvis to come back to USC, as a UGA fan I'm glad they were scared of the lawsuit.
 
2012-09-29 11:31:15 AM
i3.photobucket.com

i3.photobucket.com

I have to miss both games
 
2012-09-29 11:38:43 AM
The blog (new window)

TFG top 25 (new window)

TFG full rankings (new window)

Games to watch today (new window)

Live in-game win probabilities (new window)


AIR_FORCE            43 colorado_st.         30
akron                33 MIAMI_(OH)           39
ALABAMA              49 mississippi          20
ARIZONA              33 oregon_st.           31
ARKANSAS_ST.         36 western_ky.          31
boston_college       30 CLEMSON              36
california           33 ARIZONA_ST.          35
cincinnati           31 VIRGINIA_TECH        33
colorado             30 UCLA                 40
CONNECTICUT          39 buffalo              24
EAST_CAROLINA        36 utep                 32
fla._atlantic        31 NORTH_TEXAS          37
FRESNO_ST.           38 san_diego_st.        35
GEORGIA              43 tennessee            31
GEORGIA_TECH         47 middle_tenn.         31
HOUSTON              45 rice                 34
illinois             28 PENN_ST.             29
IOWA                 35 minnesota            28
IOWA_ST.             34 texas_tech           32
KENT_ST.             35 ball_st.             33
kentucky             26 SOUTH_CAROLINA       38
LA.-LAFAYETTE        38 fiu                  34
massachusetts        24 OHIO                 44
MIAMI_(FL)           34 north_carolina_st.   31
MICHIGAN_ST.         32 ohio_st.             30
NAVY                 39 san_jose_st.         37
NEBRASKA             38 wisconsin            37
new_mexico           18 BOISE_ST.            46
new_mexico_st.       46 UTSA                 53
NORTH_CAROLINA       44 idaho                29
NORTHERN_ILL.        45 central_mich.        33
NORTHWESTERN         42 indiana              31
OKLAHOMA_ST.         40 texas                37
OREGON               50 washington_st.       27
PURDUE               40 marshall             30
smu                  25 TCU                  39
south_ala.           29 TROY                 34
southern_miss.       34 LOUISVILLE           36
south_fla.           28 FLORIDA_ST.          38
TEXAS_A&M            39 arkansas             33
texas_st.            30 NEVADA               41
tulane               27 LA.-MONROE           40
uab                  30 TULSA                42
ucf                  31 MISSOURI             33
UTAH_ST.             44 unlv                 30
virginia             31 LOUISIANA_TECH       36
WAKE_FOREST          36 duke                 34
WESTERN_MICH.        38 toledo               36
WEST_VIRGINIA        46 baylor               40


Projected record: 35.25 - 13.75
 
2012-09-29 11:53:50 AM
Can there be a tie in college football? I'd like to see MSU and tOSU tie at 0's. Or at 77 each, with only 3 touchdowns for each team being scored by the offense. It would be great to see the sloppiest, most depressing game ever played... at least until the next SEC game!

/M Go Blue! (bye week)
//It's not a bye week to root against MSU and tOSU!
 
2012-09-29 11:54:38 AM

ffish: Projected record: 35.25 - 13.75


Do you ever check your predictions compared to an over/under? I believe the lowest scoring team today, according to your predictions, will score at least 18 points. Most games have both teams scoring in the 30's or 40's which rarely happens -- the average score is 39 to 31 with a standard deviation of each score about about 5.
 
2012-09-29 11:54:47 AM
Going to the South Carolina v Kentucky game.
Hopefully no 60 year old men will threaten with me physical violence this time.
Hopefully I won't let any f-bombs slip.

GO GAMECOCKS!
 
2012-09-29 11:54:51 AM

WI241TH: SuperSeriousMan: WI241TH: WTF?! I need comcast in order to watch ESPN3 now?
 
I need a cable provider to watch a cable network?
 
THIS IS AN OUTRAGE!

ESPN3 is web-based and allowed you to watch just about any ESPN broadcast (ie out of region games or Gameday while you're at work) regardless of provider. They changed that last part and now I can't watch it while my samples are heating for the next two hours.


http://www.thefirstrow.eu/
 
2012-09-29 11:55:31 AM

Techhell: Can there be a tie in college football? I'd like to see MSU and tOSU tie at 0's. Or at 77 each, with only 3 touchdowns for each team being scored by the offense. It would be great to see the sloppiest, most depressing game ever played... at least until the next SEC game!

/M Go Blue! (bye week)
//It's not a bye week to root against MSU and tOSU!


No ties since 1996 when they instituted overtime.
 
2012-09-29 11:57:33 AM

Donnchadha: ffish: Projected record: 35.25 - 13.75

Do you ever check your predictions compared to an over/under? I believe the lowest scoring team today, according to your predictions, will score at least 18 points. Most games have both teams scoring in the 30's or 40's which rarely happens -- the average score is 39 to 31 with a standard deviation of each score about about 5.


The scores themselves aren't particularly accurate, but on the whole they're relatively close. The other guy who does this has a slightly better model for predicting the scores, but he's slightly less accurate (~1% over the course of a season) than I am on picking the winners. If I had more Copious Free Time(tm) I'd figure out how to improve it. :)
 
2012-09-29 12:00:03 PM

Donnchadha: ffish: Projected record: 35.25 - 13.75

Do you ever check your predictions compared to an over/under? I believe the lowest scoring team today, according to your predictions, will score at least 18 points. Most games have both teams scoring in the 30's or 40's which rarely happens -- the average score is 39 to 31 with a standard deviation of each score about about 5.


I think he's stated in the past the scores aren't that accurate but its quite good at picking who wins, so if you are betting straight up you would win but most bookies and Vegas have point spreads. When you factor that in I think its probably 50/50 or less.
 
2012-09-29 12:04:03 PM
Whoops thought you were gonna post the picks then just disappear again for a few hours.
 
2012-09-29 12:04:19 PM
Hey there, Donnchadha!
 
2012-09-29 12:07:25 PM

Generation_D: http://www.thefirstrow.eu/


I'm not sure I should be going to that website on my work computer.
 
2012-09-29 12:07:33 PM

ffish: Donnchadha: ffish: Projected record: 35.25 - 13.75

Do you ever check your predictions compared to an over/under? I believe the lowest scoring team today, according to your predictions, will score at least 18 points. Most games have both teams scoring in the 30's or 40's which rarely happens -- the average score is 39 to 31 with a standard deviation of each score about about 5.

The scores themselves aren't particularly accurate, but on the whole they're relatively close. The other guy who does this has a slightly better model for predicting the scores, but he's slightly less accurate (~1% over the course of a season) than I am on picking the winners. If I had more Copious Free Time(tm) I'd figure out how to improve it. :)


You're also only making predictions based on win/loss, right? If your scores were horribly off, you're not picking against the spread. Why not just report the win/loss pick then?

Just because I apparently have Copious Free Time, last week the average score was 37-17 with a standard deviation of about 13 for both scores. That's slightly higher averages than I expected, but it has a much larger spread of scores which is the main thing I noticed lacking about your scores.
 
2012-09-29 12:15:30 PM

WI241TH: Generation_D: http://www.thefirstrow.eu/

I'm not sure I should be going to that website on my work computer.


Sh*t, I go there all the time on our work computers and one of the remote att site managers had me put a rule in the firewall to allow that site to stay unblocked. If your network admin didn't block it and something bad happens then that's his fault!

I have never had an issue with it, unless people start clicking on banner ads on the site.
 
2012-09-29 12:17:29 PM

ffish: new_mexico_st.       46 UTSA                 53


WOOHOO!
 
2012-09-29 12:19:19 PM
damn Baylor looked good on that drive
 
2012-09-29 12:19:46 PM

geom_00: Hey there, Donnchadha!


Mornin'
 
2012-09-29 12:20:39 PM
PSU players are pissed.

I like this.
 
2012-09-29 12:21:51 PM
As long as Georgia doesn't lose to butt chugging U I will be a happy man.
 
2012-09-29 12:24:31 PM
Towson.

Towson.

Whatever, playing a good 1-AA team is little different from playing a bad 1-A team. At least with LSU, a non-conference schedule this weak has been the outlier lately. Plus, Washington beating Stanford makes things a little more palatable.

Hopefully, the team shakes off whatever funk they were in playing Auburn. Going to take much more focus to go into the Swamp and win.

/Towson?
 
2012-09-29 12:27:44 PM

steamingpile: Whoops thought you were gonna post the picks then just disappear again for a few hours.


I'll be around a little bit this morning and then disappear for most of the rest of the day. But you're right; historically my straight-up winning percentage versus Vegas (i.e., the money line) is about 50/50 while against the line it's probably around 48%. IOW, don't bet using my system because you'll lose money. :)
 
2012-09-29 12:30:29 PM
Let's Go Hawkeyes!! BRING FLOYD HOME!

thegazette.com

yeah, we play for a pig, and your rivalry trophy sucks.
 
2012-09-29 12:34:39 PM

Furinkazan: Let's Go Hawkeyes!! BRING FLOYD HOME!

[thegazette.com image 513x467]

yeah, we play for a pig, and your rivalry trophy sucks.


I must say, that that is a wonderful looking trophy, although it would look much better covered in BBQ sauce and served with fries
 
2012-09-29 12:39:05 PM
Now I can see why Illinois was trying to recruit PSU players.
 
2012-09-29 12:40:04 PM

Furinkazan: Let's Go Hawkeyes!! BRING FLOYD HOME!



yeah, we play for a pig, and your rivalry trophy sucks.


Still better than the Land Grant Trophy.
 
2012-09-29 12:43:34 PM
What in the living Fark were those orange nylon wearing things?
 
2012-09-29 12:47:37 PM
Illinois missing a FG. That seems really familiar...
 
2012-09-29 12:49:44 PM
FSU plays on the road, so they'll probably loose.

/As in letting all Hell break loose

//Then I beheld a rider upon a pale horse...
 
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