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(The New York Times)   New NYT/Quinnipiac polls numbers are out - Obama +10 in Ohio, Obama +9 in Florida, Obama +12 in Pennsylvania. Looks like the only hope for Mitt Romney this November is NFL replacement refs at the polling stations   (nytimes.com) divider line 357
    More: Interesting, Quinnipiac Poll, Mitt Romney, President Obama, NYT, Pennsylvania, florida, Ohio, NFL  
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1497 clicks; posted to Politics » on 26 Sep 2012 at 10:32 AM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-09-26 10:33:11 AM
lutz
 
2012-09-26 10:33:35 AM
Time to start harmonizing the statistical quirks!
 
2012-09-26 10:33:35 AM
DNRTA but the race isn't over. But, I certainly hope these numbers hold 'til the election is over.
 
2012-09-26 10:34:32 AM
Mitt Romney's campaign is showing us what happens when you roll down your airplane windows.
 
2012-09-26 10:34:35 AM
Its looking pretty grim for the GoP right now. Expect something desperate in the next month.
 
2012-09-26 10:34:36 AM
www.lawlz.org
 
2012-09-26 10:35:15 AM

thenewmissus: I certainly hope these numbers hold 'til the election is over.


You, me and the rest of the world, minus Bibi and Ahmed.
 
2012-09-26 10:35:24 AM

orclover: Its looking pretty grim for the GoP right now. Expect something desperate in the next month.


I just wish the DNC could flip the Congress. I'm assuming the hold the Senate.
 
2012-09-26 10:35:43 AM
Seems legitimate.
 
2012-09-26 10:36:30 AM

thenewmissus: DNRTA but the race isn't over. But, I certainly hope these numbers hold 'til the election is over.


*raise glass* Amen. I also hope to see some positive results in Senate and House races.
 
2012-09-26 10:36:34 AM

mrshowrules: orclover: Its looking pretty grim for the GoP right now. Expect something desperate in the next month.

I just wish the DNC could flip the Congress. I'm assuming the hold the Senate.


I think they can win Congress back, based on how badly Mitt is tanking the Senate. Keep in mind we don't really have regular Congressional polls.
 
2012-09-26 10:36:44 AM
I like how Florida and Ohio have 47 electoral votes between them.
 
2012-09-26 10:37:44 AM
"Those fears are affirmed in the findings of the latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of likely voters..."

you mean the latest LIEbral/LIEbral/LIEbral poll of likely LIEbrals?

/I'm being ironic
 
2012-09-26 10:37:50 AM
FTFA: "Mr. Obama has widened his lead over Mr. Romney and is outperforming him on nearly every major campaign issue, even though about half said they were disappointed in Mr. Obama's presidency."

Well? What did you THINK was going to happen when you picked an awful candidate/person for your nominee? Did you really think that "not being Barack Obama" would be good enough?

That crap might fly in small town mayoral races, but you gotta bring your A game to the big show.
 
2012-09-26 10:38:19 AM
I hope that the Kock brothers and Adelson kept their receipts. After spending all that money for the results they got Mitt should at least give them a few shares of Stericycle.
 
2012-09-26 10:38:19 AM
the Rev. Timothy Kenoyer said that even though he believed Mr. Obama was auguring an era of "socialism" - and that an economic malaise had set into his neighborhood - he was pessimistic about Mr. Romney's chances.

It is comical how obvious people like this are dittoheads for right-wing talk radio. The socialism thing is so tired at this point it is obnoxious and the weak effort to tie Obama to friggin' Jimmy Carter with the 'malaise' thing is so pathetically desperate.
 
2012-09-26 10:38:37 AM
Sounds like Mondale's lead in 84. Or Carter's in 80. Same polling group as well.
 
2012-09-26 10:38:38 AM
They're working on that.
 
2012-09-26 10:39:32 AM
Mr. Romney would also need to win Nevada in this eventuality - a state where he has never held the lead in a public poll.

So one sign that Mr. Romney's team is preparing a "Plan B" to win the election without Ohio would be if they begin to place more emphasis on Iowa and Nevada. They would then have to hope that a shift in the national environment would carry states like Virginia and Florida back into their column.

It isn't a great plan. But when you're the Republican candidate and are down outside the margin of error in Ohio with six weeks to go, you don't have any great plans.


- FiveThirtyEight, Sept. 25th
 
2012-09-26 10:39:32 AM
Today:

Florida: Obama 53%, Romney 44% (NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac)
Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (InsiderAdvantage)
Ohio: Obama 53%, Romney 43% (NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac)
Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac)
Pennsylvania: Obama 52%, Romney 43% (Franklin & Marshall)

Yesterday:

Florida: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Washington Post)
Nevada: Obama 52%, Romney 43% (PPP/LCV)
Nevada: Obama 46%, Romney 46% (Bolger)
Ohio: Obama 52%, Romney 44% (Washington Post)
Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (Gravis)
Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 40% (Mercyhurst University)

Monday

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)
Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)
Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)
North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)
Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)
Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)
 
2012-09-26 10:39:36 AM

bdub77: mrshowrules: orclover: Its looking pretty grim for the GoP right now. Expect something desperate in the next month.

I just wish the DNC could flip the Congress. I'm assuming the hold the Senate.

I think they can win Congress back, based on how badly Mitt is tanking the Senate. Keep in mind we don't really have regular Congressional polls.


538 is currently predicting 52 seats and rising, but I'm not sure how many "real" (sigh) Democrats that includes. I know people tend to include a couple blue dog democrats, and independents. Not sure how many of those are in the Senate, or whether Nate put them in a different category.
 
2012-09-26 10:39:36 AM
"Romney needs a PR person," Natalie McGee, a law student at Ohio State University who supports Mr. Romney, lamented during an interview on campus

Jeez, thanks Captain Obvious. I'm sure now that you have revealed this secret campaign technology, the Romney campaign will waste no time in researching just what a PR person is, how they function, and how important they are to a campaign. They would like to thank you for introducing the term "PR Person" to the world, BTW, you're going down as a major player in history, Nat.
 
2012-09-26 10:40:08 AM
Or replacement polling...[unskewedpolls.com]

// don't worry, he's every bit as potato as the "refs"
// not gonna link it - let's just say he's the bizarro Nate Silver
Revlis Etan //
 
2012-09-26 10:40:47 AM

Carn: I like how Florida and Ohio have 47 electoral votes between them.


Based on Sheldon Adelson's spending, that's only two million per electoral vote. He's willing to go higher.
 
2012-09-26 10:41:02 AM
Once the polls are unscewed, you'll notice that Romney holds a commanding lead with people that are allowed to vote
 
2012-09-26 10:41:25 AM
Romney is going down faster in the polls than Limbaugh on a Dominican boy.
 
2012-09-26 10:41:48 AM

bdub77: mrshowrules: orclover: Its looking pretty grim for the GoP right now. Expect something desperate in the next month.

I just wish the DNC could flip the Congress. I'm assuming the hold the Senate.

I think they can win Congress back, based on how badly Mitt is tanking the Senate. Keep in mind we don't really have regular Congressional polls.


We can hope. The polls are outdated but it looks like if the DNC takes every toss-up district possible, they steal don't take back Congress. If many Conservatives stay home and pray on election day (as they should), who knows.
 
2012-09-26 10:42:57 AM

MyRandomName: Sounds like Mondale's lead in 84. Or Carter's in 80. Same polling group as well.


redriverpak.files.wordpress.com

"Don't stop... Believin'!!"
 
2012-09-26 10:43:23 AM

natazha: Carn: I like how Florida and Ohio have 47 electoral votes between them.

Based on Sheldon Adelson's spending, that's only two million per electoral vote. He's willing to go higher.


I very much hope he finds that he's spent millions for nothing, and still ends up indicted for whatever the hell it is he's supposed to be indicted for. I don't remember what it was. Being a corpuscular gollum impersonator maybe?
 
2012-09-26 10:43:58 AM
For anyone screaming bias, the Washington Post poll had similar results.

The post-47% comment data is starting to come in, and it's not pretty for Romney.
 
2012-09-26 10:44:18 AM
skewed polls are skewed!

/derp
 
2012-09-26 10:44:18 AM
Wednesday Republican quotes:

"We are watching, FIRST HAND, the beginning of the end to our great country. The 2012 prediction will have meaning for future generations. Who knew the end would be caused by an inept Congress and President."

"Main stream media needs a dose of Sgt. Joe Friday---just the facts, ma'am, just the facts."

"Why does everyone say you can't win the presidency without winning Ohio? Do you mean there aren't enough voters outside Ohio to win an election? Please stop sounding ridiculous."
 
2012-09-26 10:44:26 AM
It can only get worse for Romney after the debates.

/gleefully awaiting the parody "response strips", like they did for Biden and Palin
 
2012-09-26 10:44:44 AM

Whiskey Pete: Romney is going down faster in the polls than Limbaugh on a Dominican boy.


Romney is going down faster than a Republican Congressman in a public bathroom.
 
2012-09-26 10:44:51 AM
i.imgur.com
 
2012-09-26 10:45:34 AM
There's a reason the Republicans didn't go with Mitt Romney the first time around.
 
2012-09-26 10:45:35 AM

Huggermugger: It can only get worse for Romney after the debates.

/gleefully awaiting the parody "response strips", like they did for Biden and Palin


Hell. I'd better just call in sick the day after the debates. Not because of any drinking, but because I'm saving all the awesome response strips from Fark threads. :P
 
2012-09-26 10:45:48 AM

mrshowrules: The polls are outdated but it looks like if the DNC takes every toss-up district possible, they steal don't take back Congress.


Do you have anything concrete to support this? What constitutes a "toss-up district"?
 
2012-09-26 10:45:58 AM
No need to vote.  As Mr. Obama has said.
 
4.bp.blogspot.com
 
2012-09-26 10:46:00 AM
This is bad news...for the Koch-suckers.

/they'll have to work twice as hard, and spend twice as much to disenfranchise even more voters, now.
 
2012-09-26 10:46:43 AM
Romney is the 1%

of electoral votes.
 
2012-09-26 10:46:49 AM
Eh, they'll just send a bunch of staffers to bang on the county clerk's door for a while, whine about "chads" for a couple days, call Obama a "sore loser", then pay off Scalia with the traditional bag of human hearts and it will be all over for another 8 years like the last time.
 
2012-09-26 10:46:49 AM
Photo of Romney campaign taken this morning"

www.strangecosmos.com
 
2012-09-26 10:47:01 AM

mrshowrules: orclover: Its looking pretty grim for the GoP right now. Expect something desperate in the next month.

I just wish the DNC could flip the Congress. I'm assuming the hold the Senate.


I am not holding my breath. Gerrymandering will keep the House in GOP hands. If the Dems can pick up some seats in the House then they can declare a victory.
 
2012-09-26 10:47:11 AM
I still want Obama to try an take Texas. For the lulz.
 
2012-09-26 10:47:13 AM

Whiskey Pete: I hope that the Kock brothers and Adelson kept their receipts. After spending all that money for the results they got Mitt should at least give them a few shares of Stericycle.


the larger the margin Obama wins by, the greater he is going to be able to sick it to them. Those guys might even end up paying the same amount in taxes as their employees. Can you imagine the horror of that.
 
2012-09-26 10:47:14 AM

Duke Phillips' Singing Bears: natazha: Carn: I like how Florida and Ohio have 47 electoral votes between them.

Based on Sheldon Adelson's spending, that's only two million per electoral vote. He's willing to go higher.

I very much hope he finds that he's spent millions for nothing, and still ends up indicted for whatever the hell it is he's supposed to be indicted for. I don't remember what it was. Being a corpuscular gollum impersonator maybe?


Human trafficking. Sex slaves from Thailand and Cambodia, specifically
 
2012-09-26 10:47:14 AM
 
2012-09-26 10:47:35 AM
These polls were conducted before Madonna threatened to get naked on stage if Obama wins.
 
2012-09-26 10:47:51 AM

I_C_Weener: No need to vote.


telling people not to vote and passing laws that make it so they can't is about the only thing that might save them in this election.
 
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