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(Forbes)   If you thought yesterday's 10% dive was breathtaking, just wait for Facebook's October surprise   (forbes.com) divider line 14
    More: Followup, Facebook  
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3185 clicks; posted to Business » on 25 Sep 2012 at 12:20 PM (1 year ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-09-25 12:28:32 PM
if they are young employees (most are), there is a good bet they'll sell the sh*t out of their stock because time is not an issue for the young. besides, they have apple handhelds to buy and money to blow on the latest model car/clothes/booze, etc etc. true happiness in life is owning alot of sh*t. every young person knows that. the TV told them so!
 
2012-09-25 12:33:03 PM
What would the e*trade baby do?
 
2012-09-25 12:43:31 PM

Linux_Yes: if they are young employees (most are), there is a good bet they'll sell the sh*t out of their stock because time is not an issue for the young. besides, they have apple handhelds to buy and money to blow on the latest model car/clothes/booze, etc etc. true happiness in life is owning alot of sh*t. every young person knows that. the TV told them so!


Maybe they just want to buy a house??

Two bedroom houses go for $1.5 million in Palo Alto.
 
2012-09-25 01:05:09 PM

Linux_Yes: if they are young employees (most are), there is a good bet they'll sell the sh*t out of their stock because time is not an issue for the young. besides, they have apple handhelds to buy and money to blow on the latest model car/clothes/booze, etc etc. true happiness in life is owning alot of sh*t. every young person knows that. the TV told them so!


You'd hold onto Facebook stock at this point? Sell and then buy when it's at 5 dollars maybe?

Your anger makes me believe that you bought at $38.
 
2012-09-25 01:08:48 PM

bangmaid: What would the e*trade baby do?


Short it.

I don't get the high valuation for FB on the idea that they *might* invent some way to monetize their user base. That's the equivalent of paying $500 for Apple in 2006 on the idea that they *might* invent a cool phone and sell millions of units of it. If you think something like that might happen, you buy the stock cheap and take a chance that said thing will come to fruition causing an increase in value. You don't pay full value up front. There's no money to be made by doing so, only money to be lost.
 
2012-09-25 02:33:29 PM

moos: I don't get the high valuation for FB on the idea that they *might* invent some way to monetize their user base. That's the equivalent of paying $500 for Apple in 2006 on the idea that they *might* invent a cool phone and sell millions of units of it. If you think something like that might happen, you buy the stock cheap and take a chance that said thing will come to fruition causing an increase in value. You don't pay full value up front. There's no money to be made by doing so, only money to be lost.


And it's worse than that. Their ability to monetize lags in mobil, where their user base is migrating faster than they can keep up.

The way is only lower from here.

On the other hand, they really do ALREADY generate a shiat-ton of money. So it isn't like bubble.bomb

I am a buyer in single digits.
 
2012-09-25 04:15:44 PM
I'm really curious to see their earnings report next month. If Zynga is any kind of leading indicator, Facebook is already on the downside of the curve.
 
2012-09-25 10:46:28 PM

Linux_Yes: if they are young employees (most are), there is a good bet they'll sell the sh*t out of their stock because time is not an issue for the young. besides, they have apple handhelds to buy and money to blow on the latest model car/clothes/booze, etc etc. true happiness in life is owning alot of sh*t. every young person knows that. the TV told them so!


The elderly have plenty of time to watch that stock value tick down to zero.
 
2012-09-25 10:47:33 PM

Triumph: I'm really curious to see their earnings report next month. If Zynga is any kind of leading indicator, Facebook is already on the downside of the curve.


Hey, btw, do you want to be my new gangsterneighbor in Family Gun Farm?
 
2012-09-25 11:25:59 PM
Gosh, I hope they all check with Kramer before they sell to make sure they get some sound advice first.
 
2012-09-26 01:02:22 AM

SevenizGud:

And it's worse than that. Their ability to monetize lags in mobil, where their user base is migrating faster than they can keep up.

The way is only lower from here.

On the other hand, they really do ALREADY generate a shiat-ton of money. So it isn't like bubble.bomb

I am a buyer in single digits.


I bought five whopping shares just for giggles. My corporate finance profit insists FB's going to be "the next Google," but I'm thinking "FB is several years old now. Shouldn't we be seeing more signs of ahead-of-the-curve thinking by now? Among other things, they should have rolled out a kick-ass mobile version a long time ago.
 
2012-09-26 08:07:01 AM
I know everyone will call me an idiot. But I would still go long on FB. Buy at every opportunity.

They are going to bring in some real leadership and figure out how to monetize that sucker at some point. And then watch out.
 
2012-09-26 08:51:48 AM

crab66: They are going to bring in some real leadership


How exactly are they going to do that when Zuckerberg has deliberately structured it so he will always have 50+% of the shares? Shareholders can scream and cry all they wat, but when it comes down to it, Faebook will do what Zuckerberg wants it to do.
 
2012-09-26 11:56:13 AM

crab66: I know everyone will call me an idiot. But I would still go long on FB. Buy at every opportunity.

They are going to bring in some real leadership and figure out how to monetize that sucker at some point. And then watch out.


It is far, far more likely that their ability to collect and sell user data will be legislated out from under them.

If Facebook is legally prevented from owning, looking at and selling data, what is it worth then?
 
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