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(Examiner)   A 55 seat GOP senate majority? It's more likely than you think   (examiner.com) divider line 124
    More: Interesting, GOP, Republican, Claire McCaskill, Quinnipiac Poll, Debbie Stabenow, GOP Senate, Pete Hoekstra, Sherrod Brown  
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2729 clicks; posted to Politics » on 06 Sep 2012 at 2:49 PM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-09-06 01:22:08 PM  
And then our transition to Banana Republic will be complete.
 
2012-09-06 01:40:49 PM  
Yeah, I don't think so, Mr. Suckblog.
 
2012-09-06 01:43:16 PM  
yeah. 51, maybe. 55, what crack are you on?
 
2012-09-06 01:45:39 PM  
Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.
 
2012-09-06 01:48:09 PM  
Missouri Congressman Todd Akin seems to have largely recovered from his "legitimate rape" gaffe, after apologizing to voters for it, and his campaign has taken a small lead against incumbent Senator Claire McCaskill.

When this first came out I was saying it would a mistake to quit the race and the media would be on to some other issue within 2 weeks.

The republican/conservative constituency is more politically savvy than their counterparts on the left, much like the wild and wonderful whites are more savvy than your average person regarding disability benefits. But at the end of the day they are the ones getting free money. If the democrats allow these small ball victories from the republicans they can really stymie anything the president could do.
 
2012-09-06 01:55:57 PM  

Headso: Missouri Congressman Todd Akin seems to have largely recovered from his "legitimate rape" gaffe, after apologizing to voters for it, and his campaign has taken a small lead against incumbent Senator Claire McCaskill.

When this first came out I was saying it would a mistake to quit the race and the media would be on to some other issue within 2 weeks.

The republican/conservative constituency is more politically savvy than their counterparts on the left, much like the wild and wonderful whites are more savvy than your average person regarding disability benefits. But at the end of the day they are the ones getting free money. If the democrats allow these small ball victories from the republicans they can really stymie anything the president could do.


Another opportunity for the Democrats in a ballot deadline coming up the 25th. I hope they take full advantage of it.
 
2012-09-06 02:23:03 PM  

Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.


I'm a pretty libby liberal. But if the Democrats tried to do that shiat, I would so go outside and yell at clouds over it.
 
2012-09-06 02:53:01 PM  

Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.


They won't get the chance. The first act of a Repbulican senate majority would be to dump the filibuster. Only one party is allowed to hold hostages these days.
 
2012-09-06 02:53:10 PM  
This more than anything is why you cannot vote for Romney. Without veto power the Akin's of the GOP will be in charge of everything.
 
2012-09-06 02:53:11 PM  
My in-action on anything would have nothing to do with this...
a0.twimg.com
 
2012-09-06 02:53:12 PM  
Wait... I thought it took 60 seats in the Senate to have a majority. Who cares what party chairs a committee whose legislation never gets passed?
 
2012-09-06 02:54:03 PM  

Cythraul: Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.

I'm a pretty libby liberal. But if the Democrats tried to do that shiat, I would so go outside and yell at clouds over it.


So, libby libby libby is your label label label?
 
2012-09-06 02:55:26 PM  

Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.


Yeah, maturity's a biatch, ain't it?
 
2012-09-06 02:55:39 PM  

Pinner: Cythraul: Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.

I'm a pretty libby liberal. But if the Democrats tried to do that shiat, I would so go outside and yell at clouds over it.

So, libby libby libby is your label label label?


no no no
 
2012-09-06 02:55:43 PM  

jtrockville: Wait... I thought it took 60 seats in the Senate to have a majority. Who cares what party chairs a committee whose legislation never gets passed?


Because without fail, a few dems will always break ranks and vote with them.
 
2012-09-06 02:55:52 PM  
"Dean Chambers, an Internet journalist and commentator, launched his writing career by creating an alternative conservative student newspaper while in college. Dean grew up in what James A. Baker called "the Peoples Republic of Massachusetts" and has experienced first-hand the fruits of progressive public policy. Look to Dean's writings to find a uniquely individualist point of view focusing on limited government, individual liberty, and conservative values."

Wishful thinking?
 
2012-09-06 02:56:14 PM  
We might finally have a buffer between if/when Obama manages to weasel his way into power.
 
2012-09-06 02:56:26 PM  
As I've told my family and friends, who gives a flying fark about the Senate?

If Obama keeps the White House (which it looks like it will), anything and everything will have to pass through him to become law. Even if the GOP gets the Senate and keeps the House, they don't have enough to override any veto of his. By getting the Senate, they're now forced to compromise with the President. If they don't, it gets vetoed and that's that. They can't blame the President on this one either, because the last four years have shown nothing but compromise.

Anyway, the big ticket here is that the President for the next four years can shape the SCOTUS for years to come. So fark you Congress.
 
2012-09-06 02:56:28 PM  

Blathering Idjut: Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.

They won't get the chance. The first act of a Repbulican senate majority would be to dump the filibuster. Only one party is allowed to hold hostages these days.


If they did then it would be the only worthwhile thing the Republicans have done in the past thirty years and would be shooting their balls off in the process. There's no way. The existence of the "procedural filibuster" and all that crap always favors the conservative or reactionary party. All they have to do to win is prevent the center or left from advancing a legislative agenda.
 
2012-09-06 02:56:39 PM  
Half of their judgments of who will win are based on the idea that undecideds will heavily break for the challenger to fully nullify the margin of error. What the hell statistics classes did these asswipes take in elementary school?
 
2012-09-06 02:56:56 PM  

Free_Chilly_Willy: We might finally have a buffer between if/when Obama manages to weasel his way into power.


By winning an election?
 
2012-09-06 02:58:33 PM  

Cythraul: Pinner: Cythraul: Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.

I'm a pretty libby liberal. But if the Democrats tried to do that shiat, I would so go outside and yell at clouds over it.

So, libby libby libby is your label label label?

no no no


Starts at :31 Link
 
2012-09-06 02:58:40 PM  
The last Rasmussen poll shown contradicts most of the recent polls

berrymii.files.wordpress.com
 
2012-09-06 02:58:51 PM  

Mrtraveler01: By winning an election?


if by lies and mistruths then yes, it is weaseling.
 
2012-09-06 02:59:02 PM  

Calmamity: Great, then the Democrats can be obstructionist filibustering dickweasels just like the Republicans have been for Obama's entire term, yay!

Except that they won't.


Why filibuster everything and look bad when you've got a second term president that can just veto everything and not care if he looks bad?
 
2012-09-06 02:59:19 PM  

Free_Chilly_Willy: Mrtraveler01: By winning an election?

if by lies and mistruths then yes, it is weaseling.


But enough about Romney...
 
2012-09-06 02:59:25 PM  
Ohio: Republican nominee Josh Mandel is gaining ground on incumbent Sherrod Brown and might well win this seat. The heavy focus on Ohio by the Romney campaign might help boost Republican turnout in November. All the polls, except the extremely skewed CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac poll and Democrat-leaning PPP, show this race about tied. Mandel had been behind and undecided voters and momentum should favor his upset in this race. Therefore, this seat is leaning Republican.

Why do I get the feeling "extremely skewed" roughly translates to "polls with results I don't like".
 
2012-09-06 02:59:28 PM  

Free_Chilly_Willy: We might finally have a buffer between if/when Obama manages to weasel his way into power.


Free elections, now counted as weaseling into power.
 
2012-09-06 02:59:41 PM  
"Republican Pete Hoekstra is gaining on incumbent Debbie Stabenow and RCP has this race listed as toss-up. While the polling is all over the place, with some pro-Democratic polls favoring Stabenow, the momentum is with Hoekstra and that places this race in the category of leaning Republican."

Stabenow has a 9 point lead over Hoekstra:
http://www.freep.com/article/20120904/NEWS15/120904078/debbie-stabeno w -pete-hoekstra


There is no way in hell he'll win in Michigan.
 
2012-09-06 03:00:22 PM  

Free_Chilly_Willy: Mrtraveler01: By winning an election?

if by lies and mistruths then yes, it is weaseling.


So you're obvious upset that the Romney/Ryan campaign has lies and mistruths too huh?

That would mean that if Romney/Ryan won, then they would've weaseled their way into the White House too right?
 
2012-09-06 03:02:01 PM  
Wake me up when its 67 seats
 
2012-09-06 03:02:27 PM  
Empty Matchbook: Yeah, maturity's a biatch, ain't it?

Actually, the Republicans have shown that if you aren't personally cursed with it, the maturity of others can be quite useful.
 
2012-09-06 03:02:37 PM  

Oldiron_79: Wake me up when its 67 69 seats


FTFY

/giggity
 
2012-09-06 03:02:59 PM  
I wonder how Hoekstra feels about today's news that Romney has decided to abandon advertising spending in Michigan and Pennsylvania? Unhappy that he's getting no coattails from the GOP Presidential candidate or any of his campaign advertising cash, or happy he doesn't have to carry his "let the American auto industry die" deadweight anymore?
 
2012-09-06 03:03:39 PM  
Nate Silver's last Senate projection: 49 Democrats, 50 Republicans, and Angus King as an Independent playing kingmaker (assuming Obama wins re-election that is).
 
2012-09-06 03:04:27 PM  
There's really nothing to see here. The author of this "analysis" is a Republican hack.

It's possible that the Dems could lose a couple of seats in the Senate, but as long as Obama is reelected not much will change as Senate Republicans have made 60 votes the de-facto majority.
 
2012-09-06 03:05:48 PM  
The chart shows Idaho leaning towards Democrats. I want whatever this guy is smoking.
 
2012-09-06 03:06:19 PM  

Serious Black: Nate Silver's last Senate projection: 49 Democrats, 50 Republicans, and Angus King as an Independent playing kingmaker (assuming Obama wins re-election that is).


Don't forget this was taken before the "Legitimate Rape" gaffe so those numbers may have flipped now.
 
2012-09-06 03:06:33 PM  
It might not be for the next election or the one after, but I think eventually the super-PAC dark money will start to influence the balance of power between liberal and conservative. I think you'll start seeing Republican majorities that are larger and occur more often than in years past.
 
2012-09-06 03:06:50 PM  
While I can see Scott Brown keeping his seat if Warren can't turn things around, I really can't see Linda McMahon and the legitimate rape guy all winning, that just seems to be too much

Plus WWE will continue to suck if she wins
 
2012-09-06 03:08:51 PM  

anwserman: As I've told my family and friends, who gives a flying fark about the Senate?

If Obama keeps the White House (which it looks like it will), anything and everything will have to pass through him to become law. Even if the GOP gets the Senate and keeps the House, they don't have enough to override any veto of his. By getting the Senate, they're now forced to compromise with the President


You're so cute. There was a time when Dems had the House of Reps locked down, a majority of the Senate and Obama as POTUS. By your logic didn't need to compromise on anything. Yet they pretty much compromised on everything. The reason is because the GOP was willing to take the country hostage and the Dems were willing to negotiate. The GOP refused to pass a nuclear arms treaty with Russia that pretty much everyone including all of the past Republican Secretaries of State supported. Why? Because they wanted bonus tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans. The GOP was willing to allow Russia to have an unchecked nuclear arsenal if they didn't get bonus tax cuts for the rich.

Don't kid yourself. No matter what the result of this election, we will still be at the whim of the derpy arm of the GOP. A GOP House and a GOP Senate simply means we'll get bill after bill after bill sent to Obama until he signs them or the GOP runs the country into the ground blaming Obama and the Dems for not signing it.
 
2012-09-06 03:08:53 PM  

shastacola: "Republican Pete Hoekstra is gaining on incumbent Debbie Stabenow and RCP has this race listed as toss-up. While the polling is all over the place, with some pro-Democratic polls favoring Stabenow, the momentum is with Hoekstra and that places this race in the category of leaning Republican."

Stabenow has a 9 point lead over Hoekstra:
http://www.freep.com/article/20120904/NEWS15/120904078/debbie-stabeno w -pete-hoekstra


There is no way in hell he'll win in Michigan.


Hoesktra missed the part where the West side of the state actually has a large Asian 3 presence (plus Hyundai and many Asian suppliers and went ahead and dropped this racist gem. I'm curious to as to how badly his gets ass whipped in the east side exit polls.

/the local Dems sometimes amuse themselves by trolling the teabaggers about not voting the foreigner. Once they get everyone riled about that they point Hoekstra wasn't born in America
//if only we could deport him back to the Netherlands
 
2012-09-06 03:08:57 PM  
A 10% chance would be "more likely than I think," so yeah, subby is probably correct. It's still not going to happen.
 
2012-09-06 03:08:59 PM  
Mr. Potato Head says wat?

i28.photobucket.com

"Dean Chambers, an Internet journalist and commentator, launched his writing career by creating an alternative conservative student newspaper while in college. Dean grew up in what James A. Baker called "the Peoples Republic of Massachusetts" and has experienced first-hand the fruits of progressive public policy. Look to Dean's writings to find a uniquely individualist point of view focusing on limited government, individual liberty, and conservative values."
 

Hur.
 
2012-09-06 03:09:26 PM  
With Romney pulling anti-Obama (and by default anti-democrat) ads out of Michigan and Ohio, I think the some of the head winds the Dem Senate candidates have been fighting may diminish.
 
2012-09-06 03:11:11 PM  

Mrtraveler01: Serious Black: Nate Silver's last Senate projection: 49 Democrats, 50 Republicans, and Angus King as an Independent playing kingmaker (assuming Obama wins re-election that is).

Don't forget this was taken before the "Legitimate Rape" gaffe so those numbers may have flipped now.


Yeah, Akin has a huge uphill climb to make now. The last polls he found showed 1 in 5 Republicans were either undecided or planning to vote for a candidate not named Akin or McCaskill in the wake of those comments. If he can't get a turnout machine going, he's screwed. And that would indeed flip it to 50 D, 49 R, 1 I.
 
2012-09-06 03:12:00 PM  

Serious Black: Half of their judgments of who will win are based on the idea that undecideds will heavily break for the challenger to fully nullify the margin of error. What the hell statistics classes did these asswipes take in elementary school?


IMHO after watching the two conventions and thinking about the Romney / Obama debates when Romney actually has to fact Obama and will get called out on some of the crap he has said I am feeling that it is a safer assumption to assume that undecideds are going to trend Democrat at this point.
 
2012-09-06 03:12:34 PM  
Gaffe is accidentally saying 54% instead of 45% or South Dakota instead of North Dakota.

Gaffe is not inventing a biological process to assuage your conscious so you can take terrible policy positions oppression half the population.
 
2012-09-06 03:13:00 PM  

Serious Black: Mrtraveler01: Serious Black: Nate Silver's last Senate projection: 49 Democrats, 50 Republicans, and Angus King as an Independent playing kingmaker (assuming Obama wins re-election that is).

Don't forget this was taken before the "Legitimate Rape" gaffe so those numbers may have flipped now.

Yeah, Akin has a huge uphill climb to make now. The last polls he found showed 1 in 5 Republicans were either undecided or planning to vote for a candidate not named Akin or McCaskill in the wake of those comments. If he can't get a turnout machine going, he's screwed. And that would indeed flip it to 50 D, 49 R, 1 I.


If we end up with a Dem lean in the Senate due to Akin's rape comments (and some other GOP morons who parroted Akin's statement losing Congressional seats), they're going to catch Rove in Akin's driveway with some wires and blocks of C4.
 
2012-09-06 03:13:02 PM  
And if they get the majority they can't keep claiming that Obama is the problem when they keep obstructing. We might get a workable Congress much like Reagan had with the Democrats.
 
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