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(GadgetBox)   15 technologies we'll still be using in 2030. List fails without automatic kid ejector for your lawn   (gadgetbox.msnbc.msn.com) divider line 120
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8176 clicks; posted to Geek » on 12 Aug 2012 at 5:24 AM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-08-11 10:40:42 PM  
Chemical rockets.
 
2012-08-11 10:56:43 PM  
Does the author have any children? I could't tell from the article.
 
2012-08-12 12:54:40 AM  
but in so many areas of technology the pace of change is slower than Windows Vista booting off a floppy disk.

Well then why don't you go do it yourself.

Oh right, you're a nobody writer that could disappear without anyone noticing.
 
2012-08-12 01:12:13 AM  
upload.wikimedia.org
 
2012-08-12 01:13:23 AM  
That's effectively 15 years away, which is nothing. What a junk article. You'll most likely still be driving the same car you drive today in 2030.
 
2012-08-12 03:11:44 AM  

Jamdug!: That's effectively 15 years away, which is nothing. What a junk article. You'll most likely still be driving the same car you drive today in 2030.


well ..... at least it isnt one of those retarded articles which predict the exact opposite of those predictions!!

1) tards have been predicting the death of hard drives since day one. They have shifted to predicting the death of local storage.
Sure, we might have a lot more thumbnail/ssd drives, but ssd isnt even close to price parity with spinning platters.

2) MS office was the one glaring miss hit. Why would students be using word? My guess is that the free equivalent will have replaced word by then for pretty much everyone but business and possibly authors ...
 
2012-08-12 04:31:33 AM  

namatad: 2) MS office was the one glaring miss hit. Why would students be using word? My guess is that the free equivalent will have replaced word by then for pretty much everyone but business and possibly authors ...


As long as schools and businesses continue to buy and use Microsoft Office products, so will the rest of the population. Most people aren't going to bother using a different product at home than they do at work, just to save a few bucks.

And don't get your hopes up that schools and businesses will switch any time soon either. Besides the fact that people are wary of change in general (especially when other people's money is involved), folks will either see "free" and conclude that OpenOffice is limited and inferior, or they'll see "open source" and assume you have to be some sort of computer programmer to be able to use it.

Plus Microsoft has the untold millions of dollars in advertising money to make sure people stick with that impression...
 
2012-08-12 05:32:58 AM  
Local storage isn't going anywhere if wired internet service doesn't get several orders of magnitude more reliable and mobile access cheaper, faster, and with better coverage. Even in the middle of central business districts of major cities it's not unusual for internet service to go out for a couple of hours with no explanation.

USB probably will still be around... if they stop with the trend of coming out with a new connector type every year. Yes devices are getting smaller and need smaller connectors but since a new connector negates much of the advantage of a large install base, it opens the door to USB competitors.
 
2012-08-12 05:33:27 AM  
The future is going to suck.

How about some time machine technology, people? 1940, yes please. Till 62 or so, then repeat.
 
2012-08-12 05:37:51 AM  
When my son enters college in 15 years my son will be entering college - in 15 years. Of course, in 15 years my son will be entering college and that's 15 years away for him. But by then he'll be in college and that's 15 years from now! Let's see what he'll be using in 15 years when he enters college.
 
2012-08-12 05:41:27 AM  

Lukeonia1: And don't get your hopes up that schools and businesses will switch any time soon either. Besides the fact that people are wary of change in general (especially when other people's money is involved), folks will either see "free" and conclude that OpenOffice is limited and inferior, or they'll see "open source" and assume you have to be some sort of computer programmer to be able to use it.


Also lots of people have been burnt in the past over claims of products being 100% Microsoft Office compatible but the first time you open a document more complex than "The quick brown fox jumped over the lazy dog", the formatting is all screwed up. Business users aren't going to waste time and money on fiddling with the layout of documents day after day in order to save a few bucks on a license.
 
2012-08-12 05:54:06 AM  
Been done
thumbnails.hulu.com
 
2012-08-12 05:56:06 AM  

Lukeonia1: namatad: 2) MS office was the one glaring miss hit. Why would students be using word? My guess is that the free equivalent will have replaced word by then for pretty much everyone but business and possibly authors ...

As long as schools and businesses continue to buy and use Microsoft Office products, so will the rest of the population. Most people aren't going to bother using a different product at home than they do at work, just to save a few bucks.

And don't get your hopes up that schools and businesses will switch any time soon either. Besides the fact that people are wary of change in general (especially when other people's money is involved), folks will either see "free" and conclude that OpenOffice is limited and inferior, or they'll see "open source" and assume you have to be some sort of computer programmer to be able to use it.

Plus Microsoft has the untold millions of dollars in advertising money to make sure people stick with that impression...


meh
I have no problems with using Office for work. I know what I need, stuff works, there is a standard so I can exchange with other companies. When I hire people they dont need training. and so on ....

but at home for pretty much everything else, I have been using google spreadsheets. they are stored online, so I have access everywhere I go and I dont have to worry about having office on my laptop and desktop ....
It is just a ton easier ...
 
2012-08-12 06:00:23 AM  
Windows XP and IE6 conspicuously absent.
 
2012-08-12 06:16:33 AM  
15 technologies I could find links to in other articles on our website.
 
2012-08-12 06:28:51 AM  
subby isn't poor or a shady character. there will always be cash and it really is a good thing. buying one loose cigarette for 50 cents may seem like a joke to some but around my crappy neighborhood the gas station/convenience store does it all day long.
 
2012-08-12 06:40:15 AM  
It's the true technological classics that will never go away. Fire. Knife. Cloth. Rope. Fishing nets. Pointy sticks. Agriculture. Pottery. Writing. Maths.

The Stone Age technologies that quite literally made us human and later made us civilised. Those will be with us forever. Though admittedly pointy sticks have been largely relegated to pucking food particles out from between our teeth and refusing to address in self-defence classes.
 
2012-08-12 06:44:18 AM  
Does my Duke Nukem 3D mouse pad count?
 
2012-08-12 07:13:16 AM  

EngineerAU: Also lots of people have been burnt in the past over claims of products being 100% Microsoft Office compatible but the first time you open a document more complex than "The quick brown fox jumped over the lazy dog", the formatting is all screwed up. Business users aren't going to waste time and money on fiddling with the layout of documents day after day in order to save a few bucks on a license.


I use Office 2007 at home. At the university the professor uses Office 2010. Every time I send a draft for my thesis I'd get it back with various spaces missing. Nothing is more annoying than having to go though a 15 page document to find errors which aren't highlighted by spell check, and the ones that were highlighted need to be fixed manually in about 30% of the cases because office didn't have correction suggestions. The places most likely to be affected were spaces in front of numbers and in front of the "(".
 
2012-08-12 07:14:42 AM  
Saw the phrase "zombie apocalypse", immediately closed the article. It can't possibly be good if that's the best he can think of.
 
2012-08-12 07:18:50 AM  

skodabunny: When my son enters college in 15 years my son will be entering college - in 15 years. Of course, in 15 years my son will be entering college and that's 15 years away for him. But by then he'll be in college and that's 15 years from now! Let's see what he'll be using in 15 years when he enters college.


That was pretty funny.

I bet she has a web came that follows her son around constantly and streams the footage to all her friends and co-workers..
 
2012-08-12 07:25:29 AM  
Don't bother reading. Pointless article is pointless.

Completely wrong: the second someone comes up with a cheap and semi-reliable means of flipping a keyboard behind the screen (convert from laptop to tablet), the clamshell is dead.

Redefined beyond recognition: TV is defined as a "monitor viewed by multiple people". Note the name "television" implies the transmission of video, and thus at least some of the broadcast industry that was absolutely tied to it from the 1950s to the 1970s, and the primary use from the 1970s to 2000ish.
 
2012-08-12 07:27:38 AM  
List fails without Fax macines. Don't see them going away either.

/still has a Telex in basement
 
2012-08-12 07:28:15 AM  
macines. Like machines just from Apple
 
2012-08-12 07:29:01 AM  

Mugato: That was pretty funny.

I bet she has a web came that follows her son around constantly and streams the footage to all her friends and co-workers..


Thank you, you made my day!

Yes, I wouldn't be surprised, she sounds insufferably obnoxious about her precious crotch-spawn...but some people can't avoid bringing their kids into everything they do. I hope the little bugger joins the army straight outta HS just to spite her.

\5 days smoke free
\\rage...rising
 
2012-08-12 07:29:10 AM  

lucksi: List fails without Fax macines. Don't see them going away either.

/still has a Telex in basement


That's true because in the documentary Back to the Future 2, they had a fax machine in every room, even the closet. And that was 2015.

/better hurry on those flying cars though
 
2012-08-12 07:29:16 AM  
On the plus side, its really nice to read a media article for once that says that PC's and keyboards aren't going anywhere.
 
2012-08-12 07:33:53 AM  

Old enough to know better: On the plus side, its really nice to read a media article for once that says that PC's and keyboards aren't going anywhere.


I don't know what those people are thinking. Do they think that every office is just going to have a sofa in every cubicle where people can lie back and do their work on a tablet? There's still a significant percentage of people who need to do more on a computer than tweet and play Angry Birds.
 
2012-08-12 07:39:51 AM  

yet_another_wumpus: Completely wrong: the second someone comes up with a cheap and semi-reliable means of flipping a keyboard behind the screen (convert from laptop to tablet), the clamshell is dead.


I wonder if it is feasible to build a keyboard with a lever or sliding mechanism on the side that can transform a keyboard/cover from flat keys for transport to raised keys for typing. Something like that used as a cover for a tablet could make quite a difference in narrowing the usability gap between a tablet and a laptop. Even moreso if it also has a trackpad and buttons.
 
2012-08-12 07:44:19 AM  
"Automatic Kid Ejector"

And here I am still using my manual kid ejector.

...
 
2012-08-12 07:56:46 AM  

Lukeonia1: namatad: 2) MS office was the one glaring miss hit. Why would students be using word? My guess is that the free equivalent will have replaced word by then for pretty much everyone but business and possibly authors ...

As long as schools and businesses continue to buy and use Microsoft Office products, so will the rest of the population. Most people aren't going to bother using a different product at home than they do at work, just to save a few bucks.

And don't get your hopes up that schools and businesses will switch any time soon either. Besides the fact that people are wary of change in general (especially when other people's money is involved), folks will either see "free" and conclude that OpenOffice is limited and inferior, or they'll see "open source" and assume you have to be some sort of computer programmer to be able to use it.

Plus Microsoft has the untold millions of dollars in advertising money to make sure people stick with that impression...


This. I used OpenOffice for some papers and even though it opens and saves papers that can be opened in Word...some of the formatting is not the same....and I lost points because of it. I even notified the professors ahead of time, and sent them a basic paper with different formatting to see if it opened okay in Word...won't be messing around with that idea again. Same would go for businesses.
 
2012-08-12 08:05:35 AM  
Save everything in .PDF - Formatting problems fixed and can save a few headaches.
 
2012-08-12 08:12:13 AM  

Malivon: Save everything in .PDF - Formatting problems fixed and can save a few headaches.


Except then you cant receive edits back.
 
2012-08-12 08:31:56 AM  
I believe these will still be for sale in 2030

salestores.com

//and the IBM Model M keyboard
 
2012-08-12 08:58:10 AM  

Harry_Seldon: I believe these will still be for sale in 2030


I use one of those daily, and it's still as awesome as when I bought it in 1985
 
2012-08-12 09:23:36 AM  

Makh: Chemical rockets.


Wheels, turbines, pistons, inclined planes, levers, electromagnetics, electricity, vacuum tubes(*), hydraulics, transistors. There's no Star Trek, no magical hidden elements in the periodic table, no unobtainium.

* Unless microwave ovens suddenly disappear or magically use a solid-state magnetron?
 
2012-08-12 09:25:18 AM  
Bigender automasturbator.
 
2012-08-12 09:27:08 AM  

Mugato: lucksi: List fails without Fax macines. Don't see them going away either.

/still has a Telex in basement

That's true because in the documentary Back to the Future 2, they had a fax machine in every room, even the closet. And that was 2015.

/better hurry on those flying cars though


I plan on inventing a new version of skeet shooting to deal with those.
 
2012-08-12 09:27:52 AM  

Mugato: /better hurry on those flying cars though


Boeing and Airbus are undermining and suppressing the flying car market.
 
2012-08-12 09:37:19 AM  

Lukeonia1: namatad: 2) MS office was the one glaring miss hit. Why would students be using word? My guess is that the free equivalent will have replaced word by then for pretty much everyone but business and possibly authors ...

As long as schools and businesses continue to buy and use Microsoft Office products, so will the rest of the population. Most people aren't going to bother using a different product at home than they do at work, just to save a few bucks.

And don't get your hopes up that schools and businesses will switch any time soon either. Besides the fact that people are wary of change in general (especially when other people's money is involved), folks will either see "free" and conclude that OpenOffice is limited and inferior, or they'll see "open source" and assume you have to be some sort of computer programmer to be able to use it.

Plus Microsoft has the untold millions of dollars in advertising money to make sure people stick with that impression...


The last two employers I've worked for are still using XP. Why get rid of something that works? They've already paid for the license and it ocmes with Office. Money conscious companies are not the ones who are jumping ship every time MS comes out with a new operating system.
 
2012-08-12 10:01:43 AM  
Jamdug!: That's effectively 15 years away, which is nothing. What a junk article. You'll most likely still be driving the same car you drive today in 2030. (SPR)

www.armyrecognition.com
Deployed in Wisconsin, Los Angeles this year

/do not fail to note the provision to assist (sell to, make available to) Is(mael)RaEl for 5 years in case of emergency
//note also location of facilities
///probably has a f*cking shiatter in that thing, too
 
2012-08-12 10:11:18 AM  

lucksi: List fails without Fax macines. Don't see them going away either.

/still has a Telex in basement


Or the CB radio.
 
2012-08-12 10:32:03 AM  

thebravetoast: Harry_Seldon: I believe these will still be for sale in 2030

I use one of those daily, and it's still as awesome as when I bought it in 1985


LOL...thanks for the reminder. I still have the HP-25 I bought in 1975. I had to solder up a new battery pack for it some years ago, but it still works fine.

www.hpmuseum.org

/"Reverse Polish Notation" for the win...
 
2012-08-12 10:40:11 AM  
I think one glaring omission when explaining why local storage will still be alive is that more and more ISP are doing away with unlimited data so it may start to become cost prohibited to storing tonnes of data out on the cloud since all that data transferring will cut into your porn viewing.
 
2012-08-12 10:40:56 AM  

Doctor Jan Itor: Does my Duke Nukem 3D mouse pad count?


Damn you.. now I have a visual of my wrist resting on moose knuckle while trying to move my mouse over chiseled abs.

I need eyebleach... it doesn't even have to be boobs, it can be kittens and puppies.
 
2012-08-12 10:44:49 AM  
Watching the speed of which technology is changing, I cant believe how many of these are wrong. A lot are right, but a lot are wrong. Battery technology is undergoing huge research, and our idea of what a traditional computer is, is beginning to change.
 
2012-08-12 10:50:30 AM  

robohobo: 1940, yes please. Till 62 or so, then repeat.


Might wanna adjust that start date to 1946 or so.

/so THAT's when the "good old days" were.
 
2012-08-12 11:14:59 AM  
You know what else we will be using in 2030?

vibroplex.com

Telegraph keys. First invented back in the 1840s, they are still being manufactured and purchased today, from cheap stamped metal and plastic keys that cost $12, to finely crafted keys costing over $700 and everything in between.

/Well, at least *I'LL* be using them.
 
2012-08-12 11:18:09 AM  

lucksi: List fails without Fax macines. Don't see them going away either.

/still has a Telex in basement


Meh. I've got a high-speed Morse code tape puncher, with a funky German keyboard, and a corresponding tape reader (used to key the transmitter at high speed).
 
2012-08-12 11:26:22 AM  

dennysgod: I think one glaring omission when explaining why local storage will still be alive is that more and more ISP are doing away with unlimited data so it may start to become cost prohibited to storing tonnes of data out on the cloud since all that data transferring will cut into your porn viewing.


Local storage will never go away for two reasons:

1. If you don't happen to have access to the internet (and there are many such places in the US, nevermind other countries), then you can't access what is stored on the internet. Thus, you'll need some local storage.

2. If you are the paranoid type, like I tend to be, then having someone else safeguard your sensitive data seems like a nightmare. There are always going to be a significant fraction of people who won't trust it, and they are going to want the ability to store data locally.
 
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