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(Tech Crunch)   Google's Eric Schmidt explains biggest problem with self-driving cars: robots obey speed limits   (techcrunch.com) divider line 97
    More: Obvious, Eric Schmidt, Google, form of transport, driving car, Sun Valley  
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3870 clicks; posted to Geek » on 13 Jul 2012 at 10:44 AM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-07-13 12:50:10 PM
MindStalker: Eventually once we trust these cars there will be autonomous taxi's that you can't drive even if you want to.

1.bp.blogspot.com

/also, what up with the extra apostrophe? Taxi's ... what?
 
2012-07-13 12:50:12 PM
browntimmy: Seriously, unless you live in Bumfark, Nebraska or do all your driving between 11pm-5am when is driving ever fun?

Going somwhere in a car might be boring. Driving somewhere in a car never is. Drive that biatch, unless of course it's a bubble buggy made by Singer, in whch case, have a can of flakes.
 
2012-07-13 12:51:59 PM
t3knomanser: MindStalker: Another weird things to think about would be packet scheduling.

I once talked to a roadway engineer. He explained that they actually used the same mathematical formulas as network engineers for managing packets, but with different tolerances. "Losing a packet on a network is no big deal, you just resend it. Losing a packet on the road means a school bus just vanished."

Slaxl: If the car malfunctions and accelerates into a bus instead of breaks then yes

That's assuming the accident was caused by a malfunction. Roadways are complex places, and there will be situations that arise where accidents are inevitable. The simple solution is: a) even if insurance isn't mandatory in a given state, it must be mandatory on an automated car, and b) all accidents involving only automated vehicles are no-fault, accidents involving one or more non-automated vehicles use the normal "at-fault" rules.


There's also a really good chance that the automated vehicles will keep a short-term log of events if there's a crash. Those can do wonders in determining what happened, then insurance pays out.
 
2012-07-13 12:52:56 PM
flaminio: there will be accidents, some fatal, with self driving cars

I think that there's already enough market interest in automated cars that this won't be that much of a concern. Yes, you're going to get luddites that resist, but:
a) the market already wants automated cars, by and large
b) they are demonstrably safer

I do think you'll find that most automated cars will retain some kind of manual mode- people are going to want to be able to drive cars without assistance. I honestly think that the hybrid solution you propose would be the least safe thing possible- you've added noise into the driver control feedback loop, where the actions the driver takes (hit the gas) don't always map to the expected output (the car might not go faster if the expert system decides it shouldn't).
 
2012-07-13 12:53:59 PM
barefoot in the head: browntimmy: Seriously, unless you live in Bumfark, Nebraska or do all your driving between 11pm-5am when is driving ever fun?

Going somwhere in a car might be boring. Driving somewhere in a car never is. Drive that biatch, unless of course it's a bubble buggy made by Singer, in whch case, have a can of flakes.


Heh, I live on a mountain 12 miles from civilization. Driving's always fun!

/no power steering, no power brakes, no automatic transmission, no AC
//have a new car too, but it's just no damned fun
 
2012-07-13 12:55:32 PM
barefoot in the head: browntimmy: Seriously, unless you live in Bumfark, Nebraska or do all your driving between 11pm-5am when is driving ever fun?

Going somwhere in a car might be boring. Driving somewhere in a car never is. Drive that biatch, unless of course it's a bubble buggy made by Singer, in whch case, have a can of flakes.


Driving is a game. Oh, there's traffic? Let's see how well my AJ Foyt impersonation skills are.

And driving on the open road(for trips and such) is very, uh, zen. When I was a very young child my parents would take me for a drive if I was fussy going to bed/waking up screaming. It would put me at rest and to sleep. Today, when I drive somewhere, it has both a calming effect and an exhilaration effect, like being alive in a perfect existence. There is nothing quite like driving... well, except flying(did that once, definitely felt very alive doing it).
 
2012-07-13 12:58:08 PM
bhcompy: Driving is a game

Ugh. I hate people on the road who drive like that. Driving for me is a game, but the game is about communicating clearly with the other drivers and obeying the rules of the road (although not all of the laws of the road) as cleanly and clearly as possible.

Then again, I don't even have a license, and haven't been behind the wheel of a car in 5 years.
 
2012-07-13 01:01:45 PM
t3knomanser: Driving for me is a game, but the game is about communicating clearly with the other drivers and obeying the rules of the road (although not all of the laws of the road) as cleanly and clearly as possible.

It should be clear to anyone who drives that the rules of the road are often at odds with the laws of the road. I always endeavor to drive safely. This does not automatically mean that I drive legally.
 
2012-07-13 01:10:12 PM
flaminio: t3knomanser: Driving for me is a game, but the game is about communicating clearly with the other drivers and obeying the rules of the road (although not all of the laws of the road) as cleanly and clearly as possible.

It should be clear to anyone who drives that the rules of the road are often at odds with the laws of the road. I always endeavor to drive safely. This does not automatically mean that I drive legally.


Indeed. I don't drive dangerously, I drive sanely. I don't treat this like it's England, where 3 inches of clearance is more than enough to weave right in to a lane at speed.
 
2012-07-13 01:17:58 PM
I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course. If that were true, they would have released the video with great fanfare. I'm willing to bet their "race track" is a very very basic oval or a parking lot with cones and very few turns. The fastest line through a real race track usually involves getting a couple tires off track and certainly hitting the burms. And, I won't even get into how a computer will deal with brake fade, tire ware, etc
 
2012-07-13 01:20:13 PM
ScotterOtter: The fastest line through a real race track usually involves getting a couple tires off track and certainly hitting the burms

Let's assume that this was your average driver, not a race-qualified driver.
 
2012-07-13 01:20:32 PM
t3knomanser: The whole system would be smart and efficient.

This is what I look forward to. Make it happen, Google-nerds.
 
2012-07-13 01:21:58 PM
I want a self-driving car so bad, it isn't even funny. And it's not cause I'm a drunk, it's that I know that I'm not attentive enough. One of these days, that's going to catch up with me in a baaaad way.

My husband, a programmer, insists that he'd never trust a self-driving car. But he concedes that it would probably drive better than I do.
 
2012-07-13 01:23:21 PM
ScotterOtter: I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course. If that were true, they would have released the video with great fanfare.

Agreed; I don't think this has yet happened, but I suspect some day it will. NASCAR probably first, as there are fewer variables (go fast, turn left) -- but can you imagine the hullabaloo when a robo-car can beat Micael Shumacher on a regulation F1 course? That'll be some serious butthurt; can't wait!
 
2012-07-13 01:25:07 PM
ScotterOtter: I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course. If that were true, they would have released the video with great fanfare. I'm willing to bet their "race track" is a very very basic oval or a parking lot with cones and very few turns. The fastest line through a real race track usually involves getting a couple tires off track and certainly hitting the burms. And, I won't even get into how a computer will deal with brake fade, tire ware, etc

It might not beat a great driver, but it certainly would beat many.
http://mashable.com/2011/03/03/google-self-driving-car-video/
Its skidding around corners and everything.
 
2012-07-13 01:25:41 PM
QT_3.14159: My husband, a programmer, insists that he'd never trust a self-driving ca

I am also a programmer. I trust even the buggiest software over your average human being. When a human being farks up, we just accept that as normal. If a piece of software in a self-driving car loses track of the road and drifts into the wrong lane, we call it a bug. If a human being gets distracted and drifts into the wrong lane, is that not also a bug?

As we build software to do jobs that belong to humans, we should evaluate humans on the same terms as software.
 
2012-07-13 01:26:07 PM
lordargent: Dr Dreidel: Hopefully, it won't be as easy as "Settings" -> "Speed Limit" -> "100", though.

It would probably be *nix based,

so you would have to pass settings to the speed daemon.


*rimshot*

ScotterOtter: I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course. If that were true, they would have released the video with great fanfare. I'm willing to bet their "race track" is a very very basic oval or a parking lot with cones and very few turns. The fastest line through a real race track usually involves getting a couple tires off track and certainly hitting the burms. And, I won't even get into how a computer will deal with brake fade, tire ware, etc

1. Google was test driving these cars years ago on regular roads. They released those videos on the kind-of-down-low (as it wasn't technically legal to have no one driving the car), but most everyone knew these tests were happening on regular roads in CA.

2. Computers already "deal with" things like tire and brake wear, pressures of various systems, and in general are already responsible for alerting you when anything isn't 100%.
 
2012-07-13 01:27:29 PM
flaminio: NASCAR probably first, as there are fewer variables (go fast, turn left)

Not NASCAR. 90% of the actual competition of NASCAR isn't about the driving- it's about the physical abuse those drivers undergo.
 
2012-07-13 01:27:49 PM
flaminio: ScotterOtter: I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course. If that were true, they would have released the video with great fanfare.

Agreed; I don't think this has yet happened, but I suspect some day it will. NASCAR probably first, as there are fewer variables (go fast, turn left) -- but can you imagine the hullabaloo when a robo-car can beat Micael Shumacher on a regulation F1 course? That'll be some serious butthurt; can't wait!


Pretty sure all they meant was that the automated car would stay at the appropriate speed for traffic, not just the speed limit. I don't think there was any real racing going on.

If the replaced NASCAR drivers with robots, all arguments about it being a sport or being in any way entertaining would be null and void.
 
2012-07-13 01:32:28 PM
ScotterOtter: I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course. If that were true, they would have released the video with great fanfare. I'm willing to bet their "race track" is a very very basic oval or a parking lot with cones and very few turns. The fastest line through a real race track usually involves getting a couple tires off track and certainly hitting the burms. And, I won't even get into how a computer will deal with brake fade, tire ware, etc

You're obviously unaware of how much software is already in modern race cars. The computer IS dealing with brake fade, tire wear, instantaneous grip analysis, precision launch control, dynamic rebound, etc. etc. Anymore, the driver isn't doing near as much as you think.
 
2012-07-13 01:42:42 PM
t3knomanser: Now, the next step is to have the cars communicate. They can negotiate out speed limits based on current conditions, they can alert each other to hazards, they can offer to allow other cars to merge in and out. By integrating with signalling systems, the roadway itself can interact with the cars. The whole system would be smart and efficient.

I'd love to see the effect of "simultaneous start" on traffic. With humans, the first guy goes, the next one waits, then goes, the next-next one waits, then goes, etc. Suppose instead that everyone went at the same time, all accelerating identically. The entire mass of waiting traffic would move as if a single body, allowing a lot more cars through as the human need to wait for reaction distance is eliminated.
 
2012-07-13 01:50:39 PM
fluffy2097: I don't like commuting, but boy do I love to drive my car.

I want a self commuting car, not a self driving car. Build me a car that will find the nearest windy back road with no traffic and take me to it, then let ME drive down it.



I think if these cars actually dramatically improve safety and traffic flow it will eventually be illegal to drive on public roads with at least having computer assisted driving. So just like they banned 32oz sodas they will ban driving on your own, and you probably will see motorcycles declared too dangerous as well.
 
2012-07-13 01:55:33 PM
DrewCurtisJr: No crashes? Where will I got my organs from when I'm old?

static-l3.blogcritics.org
 
2012-07-13 01:58:54 PM
If we have self-driving cars, no one would own them. We'd ride-share them.
 
ZAZ [TotalFark]
2012-07-13 02:07:55 PM
it wasn't technically legal to have no one driving the car

It wasn't technically illegal either. Most states don't specifically require a human behind the wheel. Human driver in car is one of the basic assumptions that was not codified, except in Nevada and whatever other states adopted new limitations on self-driving cars.

Other states will rush to pass laws limiting robocars if there is a perceived problem.
 
2012-07-13 02:17:47 PM
t3knomanser: QT_3.14159: My husband, a programmer, insists that he'd never trust a self-driving ca

I am also a programmer. I trust even the buggiest software over your average human being. When a human being farks up, we just accept that as normal. If a piece of software in a self-driving car loses track of the road and drifts into the wrong lane, we call it a bug. If a human being gets distracted and drifts into the wrong lane, is that not also a bug?

As we build software to do jobs that belong to humans, we should evaluate humans on the same terms as software.


When software becomes as complex as the human mind, then we'll talk.

/Programmer.
 
2012-07-13 02:18:45 PM
Slaxl: Does anyone else whip out their phone and check their location and see they're off by a few feet and facing the wrong direction? I assume they'll make them with better GPS stuff but still, can they completely eliminate all little foibles of the system?

The system that they use, and obviously this is a simplified explanation, is a combination of GPS and sensors that detect roadlines, signs, lights, etc. Combining the two helps to eliminate a lot of the error and seems to be working rather well for their test cars.
 
2012-07-13 02:24:30 PM
DrewCurtisJr: No crashes? Where will I got my organs from when I'm old?

They will be growing them in pigs.
 
2012-07-13 02:27:47 PM
dittybopper: When software becomes as complex as the human mind, then we'll talk.

Software should never be as complex as the human mind. What would be the point of that? The key advantage of software is that it is much simpler- and hence, easier to test, prone to more predictable failure modes, and it offers the key feature of repeat-ability .
 
2012-07-13 02:59:16 PM
t3knomanser: v2micca: But doing so eventually shows up in any system with even a half competent network admin

This simply isn't true. You're relying on cheaters being dumber than you are. Every system can be compromised, and that includes systems for detecting attempts to compromise the system.


Which is a very valid point. People in self driving cars might cheat while people in manually driven cars always play according to the rules. No one would ever dream of winning a 3 second reduction in travel time if that meant they had to prevent someone from merging into traffic form an on ramp.



Self driving cars will reduce a whole lot of small annoyances which will outweigh the fact that some people will still find ways to speed. As long as there is vehicle to vehicle data exchange about distance and speed the vehicles should be able to avoid each other.
 
2012-07-13 03:03:55 PM
t3knomanser: dittybopper: When software becomes as complex as the human mind, then we'll talk.

Software should never be as complex as the human mind. What would be the point of that? The key advantage of software is that it is much simpler- and hence, easier to test, prone to more predictable failure modes, and it offers the key feature of repeat-ability .


Yes, which the human mind doesn't.

I was pointing out the futility of judging people like we judge software. I am in fact regularly disappointed that people don't act that way.
 
2012-07-13 03:15:08 PM
meanmutton: If we have self-driving cars, no one would own them. We'd ride-share them.

This exactly. Public transport would be so much easier. Take a small auto taxi to nearby Van share lot. Take Van going in the same general direction you want to go. Take a small auto taxi to your final destination. Replace "Van" with train where applicable.
 
2012-07-13 03:18:19 PM
haven't read any replies yet but if i remember correctly, the main driving force for setting such low speed limits was the gas mileage...well as far as interstate traveling goes, if it was any faster , you're bypass the efficient rang of MPG to MPH....surely nothing that couldn't be resolved with diff. gear ratios. We could probably give up acceleration for higher speed gear ratios. Which would make sense for self driving cars since they are probably not prone to skidding out at green lights.
 
2012-07-13 03:32:05 PM
browntimmy: barefoot in the head: Will the "cars" come with a free can of snowflakes and a testicle repository?

Because nothing makes me feel more like a man than stop-and-go traffic on my way to work in the morning. Seriously, unless you live in Bumfark, Nebraska or do all your driving between 11pm-5am when is driving ever fun?

This is a great technological advancement. Please, humans, just this once, can we not drag our feet?


Maybe if they were self-driving tanks or fighter jets.
 
2012-07-13 03:50:09 PM
I lol every time I read "Google's Schmidt." It sounds like a sneeze or someone cussing in German.
 
2012-07-13 05:11:29 PM
Computers still shiat the bed whenever anything unexpected happens, including some animal finding a way to get into the stream of autopiloted traffic.

/at least cruise control still lets me steer
 
2012-07-13 05:39:32 PM
ScotterOtter: I'm going to have to call BS on the claim it can beat human drivers on a race course.

Self-driving cars have been able to do that for almost 45 years.

herbiemania.com
 
2012-07-13 08:51:40 PM
All I'm saying it, if Google makes it possible for me never to have to drive again, they can have any information about me they want, and my virginity.
 
2012-07-13 09:00:19 PM
Thrag: They will be growing them in pigs.

Hey, pigs are either bacon or sources for growing life saving, pristine organs, not both. I think the delicious choice is clear.
 
2012-07-14 12:33:23 AM
NBSV: If I crash my car into a bus load of children it's my fault. If my self driving car crashes into a bus load of children who's fault is it?

That's the problem I see. The laws would have to change making the person in the car responsible even if the car is driving itself since you should be paying attention anyway. I think it'll take a few generations to phase it in so people aren't all suing the companies.

==============================================

That was my thought as well. David Pogue actually wrote a pretty good column in Scientific American several months back that addressed that very question. It would be a nightmare for the insurance companies, and given their lobbying power in state and federal government for the foreseeable future, I seriously doubt we'll be seeing self-driving cars in our lifetime.
 
2012-07-14 12:40:31 AM
DrewCurtisJr: Thrag: They will be growing them in pigs.

Hey, pigs are either bacon or sources for growing life saving, pristine organs, not both. I think the delicious choice is clear.


===================

Why can't they be both? Pork chops are meat, ribs are meat, bacon is meat. Grow the replacement organs in the pigs and when you need one you end up getting not only a new liver or kidney or heart, but also a completely butchered and packaged pig ready for your "Welcome home from the hospital" cookout. It's a win-win! I can see it now...

"Hey everyone, before we get started with the festivities, I'd like to take a moment to thank the pig that provided not only my new lung, but also this delicious feast of grilled chops and three Bacon Explosions."
 
2012-07-14 02:21:49 AM
t3knomanser: v2micca: But doing so eventually shows up in any system with even a half competent network admin

This simply isn't true. You're relying on cheaters being dumber than you are. Every system can be compromised, and that includes systems for detecting attempts to compromise the system.



The problem with this argument is that you are cheating in public, not in private.

In the automated world, all cars talk. When they see you going too fast, they will tell on you. When you are continually reported for driving too fast, the cops will know you did it even if your own car isn't reporting that you were speeding.

Think about getting a speeding ticket today. You don't get a speeding ticket because your car told the cops you were speeding, you get a ticket because the cops saw you speeding. The only difference is that in automated world the cops can see you speeding anytime you are within sensor range of another car.
 
2012-07-14 02:55:25 AM
lisarenee3505: NBSV: If I crash my car into a bus load of children it's my fault. If my self driving car crashes into a bus load of children who's fault is it?

That's the problem I see. The laws would have to change making the person in the car responsible even if the car is driving itself since you should be paying attention anyway. I think it'll take a few generations to phase it in so people aren't all suing the companies.
==============================================

That was my thought as well. David Pogue actually wrote a pretty good column in Scientific American several months back that addressed that very question. It would be a nightmare for the insurance companies, and given their lobbying power in state and federal government for the foreseeable future, I seriously doubt we'll be seeing self-driving cars in our lifetime.

==============================================

ACK! I had my citation all wrong. The article was titled "Take the wheel" by Jacob Ward in the May 2012 issue of Popular Science. Sometimes I get my nerd magazines mixed up. Here's a linky link to the article on the PopSci site.
 
ZAZ [TotalFark]
2012-07-14 06:49:13 AM
lisarenee3505

That article says it's a nightmare for the manufacturers. Insurance companies can get over it. They won't say "19 year old boy, sports car, big trouble." They'll say "2017 Toyota, flaky front hazard ranging system, big trouble" and set the premium appropriately. (See "Turkish Airlines flight 1951" for a non-automotive crash caused in part by a faulty distance sensor.)
 
2012-07-14 10:24:22 AM
tsakali: haven't read any replies yet but if i remember correctly, the main driving force for setting such low speed limits was the gas mileage...well as far as interstate traveling goes, if it was any faster , you're bypass the efficient rang of MPG to MPH....surely nothing that couldn't be resolved with diff. gear ratios. We could probably give up acceleration for higher speed gear ratios. Which would make sense for self driving cars since they are probably not prone to skidding out at green lights.

Mechanical advantage is a biatch. Higher speed gear ratios mean less torque from the engine. As drag gets higher, it becomes impossible to go any faster no matter how you gear the thing.

My RX-8 is drag limited to about 120mph. That's in 5th gear, which happens do be direct drive. If I shift up into 6th for efficient highway driving, I no longer have the torque to resist drag, even at the top of my engines power curve, and begin to slow down.

Self driving cars could get around this drag issue and go faster by being able to tailgate each other horrendously close to take advantage of the slipstream of the first car.

On a street level, self driving cars wouldn't require stop signs or stop lights. they could talk to the cars around them and adjust their speed a bit so they can fly right through the intersection and never hit anyone. Starting from a standing stop is one of the biggest fuel guzzlers in a car.
 
2012-07-16 07:59:10 AM
aerojockey: All I'm saying it, if Google makes it possible for me never to have to drive again, they can have any information about me they want, and my virginity.

Driving is the best part of the day.
 
2012-07-16 10:35:54 PM
Slaxl: aerojockey: All I'm saying it, if Google makes it possible for me never to have to drive again, they can have any information about me they want, and my virginity.

Driving is the best part of the day.


1. If driving is the best part of your day, I pity your for your non-driving life.
2. If driving is the best part of your day when you live in London, I really pity you.
 
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