Do you have adblock enabled?
 
If you can read this, either the style sheet didn't load or you have an older browser that doesn't support style sheets. Try clearing your browser cache and refreshing the page.

(Forbes)   In the next 5 - 8 yrs. Google and Facebook could just be gone. Not bankrupt gone, but MySpace gone   (forbes.com ) divider line
    More: Obvious, Google, MySpace, Facebook  
•       •       •

8724 clicks; posted to Geek » on 03 May 2012 at 2:02 PM (4 years ago)   |   Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



141 Comments     (+0 »)
 
View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest


Oldest | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Newest | Show all

 
2012-05-03 02:04:36 PM  
Google's still going to be around. It's already been around for a very long time and does too many things to just wink out. Myspace was very limited in what it did. Facebook? Not sure. I would not totally disagree with the journo on that one.
 
2012-05-03 02:05:26 PM  
Has anyone seen the Unlikely tag anywhere?
 
2012-05-03 02:06:50 PM  
Facebook? Maybe.

Google? No.

One is stuck in a very narrow and specific area of concern. The other is branching out relentlessly.
 
2012-05-03 02:07:56 PM  
Amazing amount of information in that article.
 
2012-05-03 02:08:46 PM  
I honestly didn't think Myspace would have gone as fast as it did. I guess it's still there, but it certainly isn't the same. Google probably has more staying power, but you never know.
 
2012-05-03 02:10:38 PM  
Well I guess they could be in theory. But it's rather unlikely.
 
2012-05-03 02:14:24 PM  
"Google's 76% market share. Facebook's 900 million monthly users. They just aren't as sticky as they seem."

Depends on what they've been doing. They could be very sticky.
 
2012-05-03 02:14:40 PM  
Why all the unlikely opinions?
5-8 years to a new generation will make it archaic to them, you don't think there will be something else they'll chose to use that will replace them (especially with the crap they've been pulling lately)?
 
2012-05-03 02:15:06 PM  

Cinaed: Facebook? Maybe.
Google? No.

 
2012-05-03 02:17:58 PM  
I left facebook because it became something very different from what I joined. I joined because I was in Hong Kong and it was a cool way to keep in touch with people back home. Then people from high school and college started connecting with me. Lots of ex girlfriends for some reason. Then the mafia wars started up, farmville, and the relentless nonsense posts about mundane things. Then corporations started to glom on: "Like us on Facebook!!!", "Follow us on Twitter". It became too commercialized, kind of like myspace where everybody on there seemed to be promoting some agenda.

FB will go the way of myspace: the kids will find something else. There is absolutely zero doubt in my mind about that.

Google on the other hand will stick around.
 
2012-05-03 02:19:44 PM  
cache.clickonf5.org
 
2012-05-03 02:22:04 PM  
Myspace died because someone else (facebook) came along and did a better job at online social interaction. If mobile is the next generation, facebook is still strong there, and many people use facebook almost exclusively on mobile devices.

Yahoo died because Google came in and ate its core business (search) for lunch. It's tough to foresee Google being unseated in that critical area, although mobile might give it some difficulty. Things done in apps on mobile devices aren't necessarily spiderable and won't show up in google's search algorithms.
 
2012-05-03 02:22:23 PM  
My Facebook use has been in serious decline since Timeline. I can't stand that shiat.
 
2012-05-03 02:23:25 PM  
Might be possible.
Both of them are services that rely on an increasingly well known secret sauce. They are also getting older, less flexible, and more entrenched in the business side of things.

Sooner or later someone else could learn to do what they do only better.
...But they'll probably buy that person out before it can snowball into the next big thing.
 
2012-05-03 02:23:46 PM  
"Facebook, the king of social, is having trouble adapting to mobile."

Not so sure about that. A good percentage of the status updates from my friends and most of their photos come from their cells.
 
2012-05-03 02:27:18 PM  
The article seems to forget places that are still around, Amazon comes to mind.

The question needs to be about what utility it provides. Google hasn't yet pulled a Yahoo! like mistake of dissing search in favor of becoming a web portal that hides the search bar under relentless crap. It's made some good strategic investments in YouTube, Blogger and their ad service.

Facebook's IPO will probably be its undoing. It will have to relentlessly pursue more profit at the expense of its basic utility (connecting people together,). I can see it going out of style when the Timeline becomes clogged with advertising and every action you take in monetized. Some new thing will come along and wipe it away. Not Google+, which seems like more Spam than actual people.
 
2012-05-03 02:30:09 PM  

ClintonKun: "Facebook, the king of social, is having trouble adapting to mobile."

Not so sure about that. A good percentage of the status updates from my friends and most of their photos come from their cells.


I find it sucky to use the mobile page.I think there could be room there for something more light weight and agile to swoop in and steal the thunder from Facebook.
 
2012-05-03 02:32:52 PM  
I don't know what to use Facebook for, but Google is now a verb.

I can't think of any other companies that have done that trick, at least not in a matter of a few years. Sandwich sort of did that, but I bet people have been making bread pile-ups for ages.
 
2012-05-03 02:35:59 PM  
we've already passed peak Facebook.
 
2012-05-03 02:38:06 PM  
Facebook yes
Google yes
/Google is trying to do too damn much(think Yahoo) and Facebook is just a fad
 
2012-05-03 02:39:52 PM  

chechcal: Myspace died because someone else (facebook) came along and did a better job at online social interaction. If mobile is the next generation, facebook is still strong there, and many people use facebook almost exclusively on mobile devices.

Yahoo died because Google came in and ate its core business (search) for lunch. It's tough to foresee Google being unseated in that critical area, although mobile might give it some difficulty. Things done in apps on mobile devices aren't necessarily spiderable and won't show up in google's search algorithms.


Exactly, Google could go the way of Yahoo is someone else dominates search. I don't see it as likely but its certainly possible. Skynet maybe?
 
2012-05-03 02:40:18 PM  

Charlie Freak: My Facebook use has been in serious decline since Timeline. I can't stand that shiat.


Mine's been in decline since graduating college (about two years ago), and the new features have hastened the decline.
 
2012-05-03 02:40:57 PM  

H31N0US: I left facebook because it became something very different from what I joined. I joined because I was in Hong Kong and it was a cool way to keep in touch with people back home. Then people from high school and college started connecting with me. Lots of ex girlfriends for some reason. Then the mafia wars started up, farmville, and the relentless nonsense posts about mundane things. Then corporations started to glom on: "Like us on Facebook!!!", "Follow us on Twitter". It became too commercialized, kind of like myspace where everybody on there seemed to be promoting some agenda.

FB will go the way of myspace: the kids will find something else. There is absolutely zero doubt in my mind about that.

Google on the other hand will stick around.


Pretty much this. Facebook seems like a much more evolved version of MySpace. There will come along an idea that will remind people of how Facebook was originally but wouldn't devolve into what Facebook's become and THAT could beat Facebook into obscurity.

Google? Hell to the no. They'll keep throwing out a dozen ideas/year and see if one or two stick.
 
2012-05-03 02:42:25 PM  
I sure as hell hope Douchebook disappears.

Hate everything about it and what it stands for.

/Don't have a page and don't want one. Sick and tired of a-holes telling me information is "on my Facebook page". FFFFFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUU
 
2012-05-03 02:43:40 PM  
ClintonKun
"Facebook, the king of social, is having trouble adapting to mobile."

Not so sure about that. A good percentage of the status updates from my friends and most of their photos come from their cells.


Their mobile App sucks donkey balls, now they have 2 tag along applications that go with it. A camera one to instantly upload, and a messenger one, so you have to navigate through 3 different programs to do what the one is expected to.
 
2012-05-03 02:45:33 PM  
Way to crib the headline FTA, subs.
 
2012-05-03 02:47:16 PM  
Ah, the usual "very serious" non-prediction. Operative word is "could". Like how "the next six months in Iraq will prove very crucial".

The Internet evolves very quickly so 8 years out (only the far end of a predicted range matters) is an eternity. And even if nothing happens? They only said it was possible.

So, no point is made. Just a douche trying to look smart by saying something about household names in a rapidly changing sector.
 
2012-05-03 02:50:36 PM  

drjekel_mrhyde:
Google yes
/Google is trying to do too damn much(think Yahoo)



Yep and Yahoo! is totally gone......oh wait
 
2012-05-03 02:53:08 PM  
8 years sounds about right. That's the time it takes for all those babies to grow up. The babies that appear in facebook posts you don't care about.

Those babies will not be using their parents social network.
 
2012-05-03 02:56:06 PM  

Larofeticus: 8 years sounds about right. That's the time it takes for all those babies to grow up. The babies that appear in facebook posts you don't care about.

Those babies will not be using their parents social network.


Yeah but now the big guys just buy them up... like Facebook just did with instagram.

I can't really see anyone entering at this point who won't sell out given the opportunity with the amount of "cash" the incumbents can throw around.
 
2012-05-03 02:56:23 PM  
Wait you were serious? ROFL.

Google is without a doubt not going anywhere. Most peons don't even realize how deep they are. I mean, it should be obvious if you go to google.com and see two dozen tabs for different things they do, but I guess that's too obvious.

Facebook I just don't see another competitor breaking into the game and doing to them what they did to myspace. The sheer amount of programming hours they've put into their product would take massive capital just to recreate and copy, let alone advance upon and surpass. Plus they will get more diverse like google did after their IPO. I give it less than a 1% chance that facebook still isn't a household name in 10 years.
 
2012-05-03 02:58:26 PM  
Facebook has stated down the pimp my page, you cant see content unless you add this plugin, this feature will instantly and continuously annoy you, road that will be their undoing.


Google - if a better search engine came along I would use it, there has not been a better search engine for me
 
2012-05-03 02:59:29 PM  
I use my cell and use google. but I click on the button that allows me to talk to my phone and do searching. I hate typing stuff into a search engine on my cell.
I also do not use or have a facebook ... but that is mostly because I have been a douche bag and have pissed off lots of women ... its just safer to stay off of it so people think I am a nice guy.
 
2012-05-03 03:03:15 PM  

Random Anonymous Blackmail: Their mobile App sucks donkey balls


THIS.

"Oh hey, I'll just make a quick post." Clicks facebook app, waits over a minute for it to not load. Leaves it for another five minutes - it's gotta be done by then, eh? Nope. It's still 'loading'. Then:

No data connection. Tap screen to try again

"Really? But I have full strength and I'm outside. Hmm, okay."

No data connection. Tap screen to try again

"Oh come on now. Everything else is working fine."

No data connection. Tap screen to try again.

Repeat ad nauseum until lunch break is gone or app is uninstalled.
 
2012-05-03 03:04:52 PM  
I just want suck.com to return.
 
2012-05-03 03:06:27 PM  

skodabunny: Random Anonymous Blackmail: Their mobile App sucks donkey balls

THIS.

"Oh hey, I'll just make a quick post." Clicks facebook app, waits over a minute for it to not load. Leaves it for another five minutes - it's gotta be done by then, eh? Nope. It's still 'loading'. Then:

No data connection. Tap screen to try again

"Really? But I have full strength and I'm outside. Hmm, okay."

No data connection. Tap screen to try again

"Oh come on now. Everything else is working fine."

No data connection. Tap screen to try again.

Repeat ad nauseum until lunch break is gone or app is uninstalled.


I find their mobile site works quite well on my phone's browser, so that's what I use.

Dont use fb messenger though since I have enough already between whatsapp and MSN and gtalk.
 
2012-05-03 03:07:13 PM  
Facebook can be supplanted if someone can develop a workable and easy-to-use social media application that is mobile inclusive and not even dependent upon the Web. Think Instagram but for social media.

Of course, that's a very tall order, but considering how absolutely abysmal Facebook's mobile apps are (and that's just completely and utterly inexcusable of their part), something that is built specifically and *only* for the mobile market may very well gain a fast and fat-growing foothold.

But as for Google going away of becoming five years from now what Yahoo is today, I very seriously doubt it.
 
2012-05-03 03:08:06 PM  
Without facebook, how will I ever see how Aiden, Jaden, Braydon, Caden, Raiden, or Madison are growing up? I mean... without daily pictures of them eating or wearing various halloween costumes, I don't think I could survive.

/That's all facebook is. A farking medium for people to share pictures of their kids and awaiting praise from their "friends"
 
2012-05-03 03:11:14 PM  
This prediction sponsored by Bing.
 
2012-05-03 03:13:22 PM  
So much stupid in that article.

Web 2.0 was not "social". It was services. Social media is just one of those services.

Google was once a search engine juggernaut. It has proven that it can adapt and become an all encompassing cloud service juggernaut. As well as the owner of one of the most important social enterprises ever: Youtube.

Oh, and saying that the move to mobile will kill Google is forgetting one little thing. Google created the biggest and still fastest growing mobile platform, and is a major service provider on all the others.

To think they'll stop moving with the times is silly.
 
2012-05-03 03:13:38 PM  
Something could/will replace them one day. If I have seen anything from being online its the way things come and go FB and Google are strong now but if they rest on their laurels something else can sneek up and steal their thunder
 
2012-05-03 03:17:36 PM  
An those little Apple and Microsoft companies will be turned to dust. Technology moves too fast, man, and no 1 company can ever keep up. Every 5 years they all go bankrupt and the process starts over again.
 
2012-05-03 03:22:10 PM  

wildcardjack: I don't know what to use Facebook for, but Google is now a verb.

I can't think of any other companies that have done that trick, at least not in a matter of a few years. Sandwich sort of did that, but I bet people have been making bread pile-ups for ages.


Xerox
 
2012-05-03 03:23:28 PM  

Caeldan: I find their mobile site works quite well on my phone's browser, so that's what I use.


Hmm, well in the interests of fairness, I've now given the mobile site a go. It's been trying to load for 3 minutes now, so I'm just gonna have to say they're both equally shiat. I know we can't expect stuff to load as quickly on a phone as on your home computer, but using facebook anything on my mobile (HTC Desire) is nothing but a pain in the arse.

\ Ooh eventually it loaded in a style reminiscent of 90s websites. Of course, trying to then use it made it load up for ANOTHER five minutes you know what, no I just cancelled it eventually. Not particularly impressive.
 
2012-05-03 03:26:07 PM  

skodabunny:

No data connection. Tap screen to try again


That doesn't really sound like a Facebook problem, sounds like you have a crappy phone.

I think Facebook will make some serious money on the IPO, but there's no way I'd go long on FB. No one lasts in this dog eat dog tech world. Someday soon Facebook will be very uncool. Maybe it is already.
 
2012-05-03 03:26:13 PM  
Google is too firmly entrenched in too many things to fade away Myspace style. At least not in 5-8 years. They provide too many "essential" services.

I can't really think of any mission critical services that Facebook provides. I'm sure if they disappeared tomorrow a lot of people would be bored/upset but the general fallout would be much smaller than no Google.
 
2012-05-03 03:26:41 PM  

chechcal: Things done in apps on mobile devices aren't necessarily spiderable and won't show up in google's search algorithms.


you don't think they're indexing every android phone?
 
2012-05-03 03:27:56 PM  

wildsnowllama:
Xerox


It still is a commonly used verb to mean a photocopying machine in some places (or at the very least understood to be old slang for photocopying) even you tend to see more Cannon units than Xero, much like Hoover and vacuums I guess.
 
2012-05-03 03:28:37 PM  

Mumbler: That doesn't really sound like a Facebook problem, sounds like you have a crappy phone.


Maybe. It certainly performed better before being dropped in the toilet. But does nobody else see this message then? You all experience no problems like this with facebook mobile? Loads super quick every time?? Hmmm...
 
2012-05-03 03:29:49 PM  
You guys are missing the point. Google is not a search company( any more than Amazon is a book seller). Google makes money by selling ads. They are desperate to raise revenues by creating another line of business. So far they are failing.

Amazon, on the other hand is into all sorts of busineses from streaming tv and movies to cloud computing.

Pinterest is currently drawing a lot of people's time away from Facebook. Facebook has reached peak popularity unless they keep changing. Going public will not help.
 
Displayed 50 of 141 comments


Oldest | « | 1 | 2 | 3 | » | Newest | Show all


View Voting Results: Smartest and Funniest

This thread is archived, and closed to new comments.

Continue Farking
Submit a Link »
On Twitter






In Other Media


  1. Links are submitted by members of the Fark community.

  2. When community members submit a link, they also write a custom headline for the story.

  3. Other Farkers comment on the links. This is the number of comments. Click here to read them.

  4. Click here to submit a link.

Report