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(Google)   Israel's political leaders are greatly exaggerating the potential effectiveness of a military strike against Iran, according to the former head of some apparently liberal peacenik organization called "Shin Bet"   (google.com) divider line 128
    More: Interesting, Israel's Shin Bet, Iran, Israelis, security agency, saber-rattling, Meir Dagan, Defense Minister Ehud Barak, international economics  
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3812 clicks; posted to Main » on 30 Apr 2012 at 9:49 AM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-04-30 11:01:49 AM
Giltric: By way of deception thou shalt do war.

How is this relevant, exactly?

/Because that was never the Mossad's motto
 
2012-04-30 11:08:05 AM
CrispFlows: Any relation to Sacha Cohen?

.... Cohen is a really common name.

Magorn: Egypt? They've had a peace treaty for 40+ years with Israel, are economically interdependant, and just a little pre-occupied with their own social upheaval just right now

Actually the peace treaty seems to be on its way to disappear, and with last week's gas kerfuffle, economically interdependent is certainly not the case anymore.

Things are looking grim now that the MB will be taking power.

Magorn: Syria? Again. The army is more than a mite busy with domestic problems right just now.

The bigger problem is if Bashar falls. At this point, the Israeli army will absolutely be obligated to invade Syria in order to get its hand on the chemical and biological stockpiles before Hamas or Hizbullah do it first.

There is no way the IDF would ever allow that.

MeinRS6: If an Israeli strike would be effective, then they probably would have done it already.

You're wrong there. There is still time, but not much.
 
2012-04-30 11:08:33 AM
HotWingConspiracy: I said Bibi, not Barry.

My bad.
There are so many nicknames, I lose track of them all.
 
2012-04-30 11:11:07 AM
Tatsuma: Yuval Diskin hates Netanyahu, because he was passed over when it came time to choose someone to replace Meir Dagan.

So a Jew who used to be in charge of helping provide for the defense of every Jew in Israel would be willing to actively try and undermine the security of Israel because he didn't get a job he wanted??

That's the way you're trying to spin this??
 
2012-04-30 11:12:14 AM
SchlingFocker: So a Jew who used to be in charge of helping provide for the defense of every Jew in Israel would be willing to actively try and undermine the security of Israel because he didn't get a job he wanted??

You seriously think that someone who was loyal to Bush and hates Obama wouldn't pull something like that in the name of political capital and getting elected?
 
2012-04-30 11:19:00 AM
PS both Dagan and Diskin declared that now is not the time to attack Iran because the sanctions should be given a chance to work so more, but that if they don't work, THEN Iran should be attacked, and America needs to be brought in the picture.

They are saying that because both are pissed at Netanyahu and at Barak, and I wouldn't be surprised if soon former chief of staff of the IDF Ashkenazi joined the chorus. He really really hates Barak.

Incidentally, all three were basically fired under bad circumstances, and at least two of them will most likely be joining either Kadima or Labor for the next election.


Again, politics, which is why most people in Israel are ignoring this.
 
2012-04-30 11:19:08 AM
Tatsuma: SchlingFocker: So a Jew who used to be in charge of helping provide for the defense of every Jew in Israel would be willing to actively try and undermine the security of Israel because he didn't get a job he wanted??

You seriously think that someone who was loyal to Bush and hates Obama wouldn't pull something like that in the name of political capital and getting elected?


It appears that he is indeed, the way he wants to spin this.

This is the Israeli equivalent of "he's just trying to sell books!" it seems.
 
2012-04-30 11:20:05 AM
Tatsuma: The bigger problem is if Bashar falls. At this point, the Israeli army will absolutely be obligated to invade Syria in order to get its hand on the chemical and biological stockpiles before Hamas or Hizbullah do it first.


Holy shiat, I didn't think about that.
 
2012-04-30 11:22:47 AM
BigNumber12: Holy shiat, I didn't think about that.

Yeah, that is really worrying and could prove to be an even worse threat than Iran in the short term, depending on how long Assad stays in power.

But yeah there is no way I can see the IDF not entering Syria the second Assad's done. Even maybe sooner than that, to prevent him to try and fire as many of them as he can to be remembered as a hero by at least some people.

It's a really shiatty situation.
 
2012-04-30 11:22:57 AM
Tatsuma: The only people who latched on this are the foreign media neonazis who pretend their Jew-hate is really Israel-hate, basically.
 
2012-04-30 11:25:33 AM
Tatsuma: Again, politics, which is why most people in Israel are ignoring this.

You know the internet exists, right?
 
2012-04-30 11:28:17 AM
Iran's a big country, where dreams stay with you like a lover's voice fires the mountainside.
 
2012-04-30 11:29:29 AM
SchlingFocker: Tatsuma: Yuval Diskin hates Netanyahu, because he was passed over when it came time to choose someone to replace Meir Dagan.

So a Jew who used to be in charge of helping provide for the defense of every Jew in Israel would be willing to actively try and undermine the security of Israel because he didn't get a job he wanted??

That's the way you're trying to spin this??


He's one of them there "anti-Semitic" Jews, defined as "A Jew who doesn't support Israel 100% in everything it does, regardless whether it's harmful to the Israeli state as a whole"
 
2012-04-30 11:30:34 AM
I'm glad you came, Tats. Now I understand that Israel's only option is to defensively attack all its neighbors.
 
2012-04-30 11:30:34 AM
Tatsuma: MeinRS6: If an Israeli strike would be effective, then they probably would have done it already.

You're wrong there. There is still time, but not much.


One would have to believe that the Iranian program could be seriously set back years(otherwise why risk an attack?) by the destruction that conventional arms can accomplish on a small number of targets. I'm not convinced that's the case.

I'll happily admit I'm wrong if we find out later that a bomb can be dropped down an exhaust port and blow up the entire Iranian nuke program.
 
2012-04-30 11:31:47 AM
doyner: I'm glad you came, Tats. Now I understand that Israel's only option is to defensively attack all its neighbors.

At once. With nukes if possible.
 
2012-04-30 11:34:33 AM
MeinRS6: One would have to believe that the Iranian program could be seriously set back years(otherwise why risk an attack?) by the destruction that conventional arms can accomplish on a small number of targets. I'm not convinced that's the case.

Well, Israel is apparently convinced its the case, but also convinced that the window is closing

Look, I don't have access to that kind of classified material, but I don't believe Israel would attempt something if there was no chance of it actually working.

Truth is, the best scenario for Israel is of course if America decides to get involved, either from the start or thereafter when Iranians inevitably decides to drag America in, because the American Air Force is obviously superior in terms of equipment and manpower, and could do much more damage.

If the USAF gets involved, the whole program could be eradicated. And 60% of Americans are fine with that. And F22s are parked 200 miles from Iran right now.

And Obama wants to be re-elected and sway independents on his side.
 
2012-04-30 11:35:08 AM
Just remember on a network news intervies Netanyahu covered all of tiny little Israel with his thumb on a map, surrounded by a sea of Arab lands.

His thumb did manage cover tiny little Israel's tiny little thermo-nuclear missiles. Which is nice.
 
2012-04-30 11:38:40 AM
Tatsuma: Look, I don't have access to that kind of classified material, but I don't believe Israel would attempt something if there was no chance of it actually working.

You ever stop to think that maybe that's why they haven't done it, especially if you yourself believe the "window is closing"?
 
2012-04-30 11:39:01 AM
TheShavingofOccam123: Just remember on a network news intervies Netanyahu covered all of tiny little Israel with his thumb on a map, surrounded by a sea of Arab lands.

Are you saying he wiped israel off the face of the map?

/repeat ad naseum
 
2012-04-30 11:49:19 AM
bodangly: I doubt anyone ever asks him that seeing as Cohen is one of the most popular Jewish names.

Tatsuma: CrispFlows: Any relation to Sacha Cohen?

.... Cohen is a really common name.



That's the joke. Hence, the facepalm.

Here, Allow me to do an American equivalent -
I wonder if people ask Will Smith if he's related to Kevin Smith.

/ I bet he facepalms when people ask him that.
 
2012-04-30 11:50:39 AM
Subtle_Canary: Andrew Wiggin: [lparchive.org image 640x384]

biatch

At least you get to shoot her.



/you DID shoot her didnt you?


I played it both ways.
 
2012-04-30 11:54:08 AM
CrispFlows: That's the joke. Hence, the facepalm.

Well, that could be a question if people are not familiar with Jewish last names, and let's be frank here, most people aren't.
 
2012-04-30 11:54:17 AM
I am very slowly writing a letter objecting to the possibility of war with Iran. I started with reading because I want my letter to be a little sensible if I can manage it. I found that a lot of Israelis' oppose war with Iran and, apparently, a significant number of American Jews oppose a U.S.-Iran war. Personally, I think this perspective is under reported in the American media.

Two things are preventing me from finishing that letter in a more timely manner:
1) spending an excessive amount of time of FARK
2) my own laziness.

On that note, I'll force myself off of here for a while.
Ya'll should start a betting pool on how long I'll last before I'm back.
 
2012-04-30 11:57:17 AM
Tatsuma: If the USAF gets involved, the whole program could be eradicated. And 60% of Americans are fine with that. And F22s are parked 200 miles from Iran right now.

And Obama wants to be re-elected and sway independents on his side.


Nice tard math.
 
2012-04-30 12:00:37 PM
Tatsuma:

It's a really shiatty situation.


yeah...good luck with that. let us know how it turns out, ok? because the US is gonna sit this one out.
 
2012-04-30 12:01:41 PM
Concerning Israelis support of an attack on Iran:

When asked whether they supported Israel taking action if the US declined, support was much lower. Only 45% said they would back an Israeli strike, 40% opposed this, and 15% had no opinion.
 
2012-04-30 12:04:37 PM
TheShavingofOccam123: Concerning Israelis support of an attack on Iran:

When asked whether they supported Israel taking action if the US declined, support was much lower. Only 45% said they would back an Israeli strike, 40% opposed this, and 15% had no opinion.


Gee, they don't want to go to war without Daddy?

Shocking.
 
2012-04-30 12:04:38 PM
Tatsuma: Look, I don't have access to that kind of classified material, but I don't believe Israel would attempt something if there was no chance of it actually working.

Which is basically another way of saying what I posted earlier, hence the reason for no attack so far.


If the USAF gets involved, the whole program could be eradicated. And 60% of Americans are fine with that. And F22s are parked 200 miles from Iran right now.

And Obama wants to be re-elected and sway independents on his side.


I doubt the same percentage of Americans would be fine with the blowback that would occur as a result of a bombing campaign over Iran. There's no winning in this for the US. It's just another mess that cannot be cleaned up by use of explosives - unless you use the ones measured in megatons.
 
2012-04-30 12:07:34 PM
Tatsuma: CrispFlows: That's the joke. Hence, the facepalm.

Well, that could be a question if people are not familiar with Jewish last names, and let's be frank here, most people aren't.


I see what you did there.
 
2012-04-30 12:07:38 PM
MeinRS6: Which is basically another way of saying what I posted earlier, hence the reason for no attack so far.

Touche

MeinRS6: I doubt the same percentage of Americans would be fine with the blowback that would occur as a result of a bombing campaign over Iran. There's no winning in this for the US. It's just another mess that cannot be cleaned up by use of explosives - unless you use the ones measured in megatons.

Well 60% say they want the US to use force to stop Iran if necessary, so I am guessing that its part of their thinking.
 
2012-04-30 12:08:54 PM
cameroncrazy1984: TheShavingofOccam123: Concerning Israelis support of an attack on Iran:

When asked whether they supported Israel taking action if the US declined, support was much lower. Only 45% said they would back an Israeli strike, 40% opposed this, and 15% had no opinion.

Gee, they don't want to go to war without Daddy?

Shocking.


thats good, because support for yet another war in the middle east isn't exactly what people in this country want right now.
 
2012-04-30 12:12:29 PM
Weaver95: thats good, because support for yet another war in the middle east isn't exactly what people in this country want right now.

60% of Americans believe it will be necessary for the US to stop Iran and back this decision

Only 30% disagree.
 
2012-04-30 12:18:22 PM
Tatsuma: Imagine if a headline said:
'Former Homeland Security director under Bush says that Obama is greatly exaggerating the potential effectiveness of measures to counter-terrorism in this country', would you give this guy credibility?
Yuval Diskin hates Netanyahu, because he was passed over when it came time to choose someone to replace Meir Dagan.
No one in Israel made a big deal of that story, even Haaretz cast questions regarding Diskin's credibility on this matter.

The only people who latched on this are the foreign media, basically. This is just a political attack against Netanyahu on the eve of him declaring new elections by, surprise surprise, a man who will most likely be entering politics in a left-wing party opposite to Netanyahu.


Still, it is encouraging to see that there is at least one righteous Jew who is willing to publicly speak truth to power, especially since here in America we are inundated with propaganda promoting war, both from the Jews and the military industrial complex owned think tanks. I understand that war is more profitable than peace for either group, but war is like a forest fire---once it starts it might not be controllable.
 
2012-04-30 12:18:35 PM
Andrew Wiggin: TheShavingofOccam123: It's okay. When you have Nazi-colored glasses, everyone you look at is a Nazi.

how could anyone not-see that?


You know, I just now saw what you did there.

If only I'd had some white phosphorus illumination rounds. That I never fired. Well, that I did fire but only at military targets and only for illumination. Well, that I did fire at civilian targets including the UN main post.
 
2012-04-30 12:23:24 PM
Tatsuma: Weaver95: thats good, because support for yet another war in the middle east isn't exactly what people in this country want right now.

60% of Americans believe it will be necessary for the US to stop Iran and back this decision

Only 30% disagree.


Fox news polls being quoted by an Israeli news site? um...no offense, but Fox news polls aren't exactly reliable.
 
2012-04-30 12:24:25 PM
Tatsuma: Weaver95: thats good, because support for yet another war in the middle east isn't exactly what people in this country want right now.

60% of Americans believe it will be necessary for the US to stop Iran and back this decision

Only 30% disagree.


also, that article didn't link to the fox news poll either, so...WTF dude?
 
2012-04-30 12:25:59 PM
Tatsuma: Giltric: By way of deception thou shalt do war.

How is this relevant, exactly?

/Because that was never the Mossad's motto


I looked it up because I thought "intel orgs have mottos?" It just seemed weird.

Mossad's motto

Mossad's former motto, be-tachbūlōt ta`aseh lekhā milchāmāh (Hebrew: בתחבולות תעשה לך מלחמה) is a quote from the Bible (Proverbs 24:6):

By Way of Deception

By Way of Deception: The Making and Unmaking of a Mossad Officer is a book written by Victor Ostrovsky
 
2012-04-30 12:31:26 PM
So, just checking the news, I can see that

Olmert (left in disgrace, kicked out of office and under investigation for fraud)
Gabi Ashkenazi (left in disgrace, was kicked out of office by Barak)
Meir Dagan (left in disgrace, was kicked out of office by Netanyahu instead of extending his mandate as he wanted)
and
Yuval Diskin (was passed over for promotion, forced to leave his position in the Shin Bet and replaced by his former deputy, hates both Netanyahu and Barak)

all came out within 2 days, right after the announcement that most likely that there would be election in August, all in a concerted effort to attack Netanyahu and Barak.

Both Dagan and Diskin are likely to be trying to get elected, there is a good chance that Ashkenazi will too.

As I said earlier, purely political drivel.
 
2012-04-30 12:33:06 PM
Tatsuma: As I said earlier, purely political drivel.

Much like you posting a Fox News poll that no one can seem to find.
 
2012-04-30 12:42:00 PM
varmitydog: especially since here in America we are inundated with propaganda promoting war, both from the Jews and the military industrial complex owned think tanks.

I guess I'm not seeing this propaganda.

Could you link me to said propaganda? preferably in a way that leads me to feel inundated by it.

thx
 
2012-04-30 12:42:06 PM
Weaver95: also, that article didn't link to the fox news poll either, so...WTF dude?

Just the first link I googled, there are much better polls around, and those numbers have been constant for like 6 months now

neversubmit: I looked it up because I thought "intel orgs have mottos?" It just seemed weird.

Wow, I have rarely seen someone literally cutting the relevant part of a sentence and just outright lying about it like that.

here is the full quote

Mossad's former motto, be-tachbūlōt ta`aseh lekhā milchāmāh (Hebrew: בתחבולות תעשה לך מלחמה) is a quote from the Bible (Proverbs 24:6): "For by wise guidance you can wage your war" (NRSV). Ostrovsky claims this translates, "By Way Of Deception, Thou Shalt Do War."

and anyone who can read Hebrew (like, you know, I do, knows that Ostrovsky is just full of it, much like his book.

But don't trust lying Jews on the Mossad's payroll, just read how it was translated by non-Jews

http://www.biblestudytools.com/proverbs/24-6-compare.html


Oh and its not even the motto of the Mossad anymore

And apparently the CIA quotes John.
 
2012-04-30 12:47:59 PM
Here, Weaver. Took me an extra 15 seconds.

On Foreign Policy, sourced by Pew.
 
2012-04-30 12:54:21 PM
Tatsuma: Here, Weaver. Took me an extra 15 seconds.

On Foreign Policy, sourced by Pew.


and yet...I cannot seem to find anything from the more neutral polling sites that support your view that the US voters want a war with Iran. granted, for some strange reason voters seem to want to support Israel...but that could change easily enough if Israel kicks off WWIII.
 
2012-04-30 12:56:13 PM
Weaver95: and yet...I cannot seem to find anything from the more neutral polling sites that support your view that the US voters want a war with Iran. granted, for some strange reason voters seem to want to support Israel...but that could change easily enough if Israel kicks off WWIII.

How can you say that Pew is biased? Or that FP is right-wing?
 
2012-04-30 12:57:59 PM
Tatsuma: Imagine if a headline said:

'Former Homeland Security director under Bush says that Obama is greatly exaggerating the potential effectiveness of measures to counter-terrorism in this country', would you give this guy credibility?

Yuval Diskin hates Netanyahu, because he was passed over when it came time to choose someone to replace Meir Dagan.

No one in Israel made a big deal of that story, even Haaretz cast questions regarding Diskin's credibility on this matter.

The only people who latched on this are the foreign media, basically. This is just a political attack against Netanyahu on the eve of him declaring new elections by, surprise surprise, a man who will most likely be entering politics in a left-wing party opposite to Netanyahu.

Tempest in a teapot.
/i> Overzealous Jew, nothing to see to see here.

FTFY
 
2012-04-30 01:06:46 PM
Tatsuma: Weaver95: and yet...I cannot seem to find anything from the more neutral polling sites that support your view that the US voters want a war with Iran. granted, for some strange reason voters seem to want to support Israel...but that could change easily enough if Israel kicks off WWIII.

How can you say that Pew is biased? Or that FP is right-wing?


i'm saying that I'm poking around various polling sites and I can't find anything that supports your allegation OTHER than this mytical fox news poll mentioned in by your original link.

I can find polls that say voters support israel. I can find polls that say voters believe Iran is a threat. I can find no polls that say US voters support air strikes by the US or Israel. I can find no polls in support of another war.
 
2012-04-30 01:11:48 PM
So it looks like the security apparatus (at least the recently-retired faces of it) doesn't want the first strike to come from Jerusalem.

Israelis don't want the first strike to come from Jerusalem.

And yet, it looks like the leadership wants the first strike to come from Jerusalem.

// I feel like I've seen this movie before
// never mind how the leadership (Israel, America, Iran - pick one) wants to look strong before elections
 
2012-04-30 01:14:36 PM
Tatsuma: neversubmit: I looked it up because I thought "intel orgs have mottos?" It just seemed weird.

And apparently the CIA quotes John.


Yeah i looked up a few, it just struck me as odd. Seems to be some sort of team building thing.

/not a neuro norm
 
2012-04-30 01:17:23 PM
Tatsuma: Weaver95: and yet...I cannot seem to find anything from the more neutral polling sites that support your view that the US voters want a war with Iran. granted, for some strange reason voters seem to want to support Israel...but that could change easily enough if Israel kicks off WWIII.

How can you say that Pew is biased? Or that FP is right-wing?


It disagrees with his narrative, therefore it's farther right than Glenn Beck.
 
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