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(Grantland)   Have trouble telling which draft picks are busts? Here is a guide based on points   (grantland.com) divider line 2
    More: Interesting, draft pick, Jason Witten, LaMarr Woodley, David Diehl, Brandon Meriweather, Pro Bowls, Akili Smith, Tim Couch  
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2493 clicks; posted to Sports » on 25 Apr 2012 at 1:38 PM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-04-25 04:45:19 PM
1 votes:

bahamasorbust: matthew_tray: Is the author Bill Barnwell?

Yes, yes it is. So suffice to say, you can pretty safely dismiss his piece of overwrought crap. Anyone that could possibly write, with a straight face, that Mike Smith and the Falcons made the right move by going for it on 4th down in OT inside their own 30 against Drew Brees when he was on pace for a record-setting TD throwing season lost all credibility to speak intelligently about football.

Doesn't the fact that Drew Brees was on pace for a record setting TD throwing season bolster the argument for not giving the ball back to the Saints? Mike Smith's poor decision that game was the play call on fourth down which lacked any sort of misdirection.


Yes. Two of the stats du jour are:
1. Their likelihood of success in the given down and distance against that particular opponent's defense
and
2. a matrix of likelihood of the opponent scoring given the different outcomes of the previous situation.

With decision-making process automated, it's a matter of playcall and execution.

You can almost assume that whether the ball was on their one yard line or their opponent's one yard line, New Orleans was going to score. Yes, because of Brees and that offense, but also because at the time there were no stats accounting for bounty incentives and eavesdropping. Zing.
2012-04-25 03:53:58 PM
1 votes:

matthew_tray: Is the author Bill Barnwell?

Yes, yes it is. So suffice to say, you can pretty safely dismiss his piece of overwrought crap. Anyone that could possibly write, with a straight face, that Mike Smith and the Falcons made the right move by going for it on 4th down in OT inside their own 30 against Drew Brees when he was on pace for a record-setting TD throwing season lost all credibility to speak intelligently about football.


Doesn't the fact that Drew Brees was on pace for a record setting TD throwing season bolster the argument for not giving the ball back to the Saints? Mike Smith's poor decision that game was the play call on fourth down which lacked any sort of misdirection.
 
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