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(ESPN)   Nationals announce that Stephen Stasburg will get the Opening Day start, blow out his arm five days later   (espn.go.com) divider line 27
    More: Cool, Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals, blow open the game, Davey Johnson, Chien-Ming Wang, Grapefruit League, hamstring strain, Gio Gonzalez  
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253 clicks; posted to Sports » on 21 Mar 2012 at 3:14 PM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-03-21 12:49:27 PM
I started saying about a year ago that it's going to be really weird to see the Nats switch places with the Phillies in the division over the next few years. I've seen nothing to change my mind on the Nats' side of the equation*, especially as recovery from Tommy John surgery is more certain.

*The Phillies have their issues with their offense. But hey, money.
 
2012-03-21 12:51:40 PM
4.bp.blogspot.com
 
2012-03-21 12:55:06 PM
Dammit, why not the HOME opener???
 
2012-03-21 01:57:02 PM

FreakinB: I started saying about a year ago that it's going to be really weird to see the Nats switch places with the Phillies in the division over the next few years. I've seen nothing to change my mind on the Nats' side of the equation*, especially as recovery from Tommy John surgery is more certain.

*The Phillies have their issues with their offense. But hey, money.


Ken Tremendous and Joe Posnanski talked about this during their recent podcast, and KT's conclusion on the Phillies was "Name a Philly. Now go look him up. He's 33 years old. I'm pretty sure every guy on their 40-man roster is 33 years old."

As far as money, Ryan Howard's 5-year, $125M contract extension starts this year. They're next choice is whether to pay him $23M to play in 2017, or buy him out for $10M. Anyone unclear on how that will play out?

/In related news, Chewbacca is still a dick for betting on hockey unders. Who wants to cheer for no one to score?
 
2012-03-21 02:16:40 PM
why is there a zombiebusters fake movie poster for sale in the fark store? how does a ghost become a zombie? what about that movie would possibly change by making the ghosts also zombies?

also, should i even consider drafting strasburg?
 
2012-03-21 03:14:10 PM

thomps: also, should i even consider drafting strasburg?


PECOTA projects only 138 IP, but fantastic fantasy numbers (10 W, 153 K, 2.39 ERA, 1.01 WHIP). Washington's implied a 160 IP cap, so I guess they're hedging against the possibility of re-injury.

As a warning, his three best comps: Mark Prior, Yovani Gallardo, Doc Gooden.
 
2012-03-21 03:20:16 PM

chimp_ninja: thomps: also, should i even consider drafting strasburg?

PECOTA projects only 138 IP, but fantastic fantasy numbers (10 W, 153 K, 2.39 ERA, 1.01 WHIP). Washington's implied a 160 IP cap, so I guess they're hedging against the possibility of re-injury.

As a warning, his three best comps: Mark Prior, Yovani Gallardo, Doc Gooden.


According to Chris O'Leary, his mechanics are really, really, really bad for the shoulders and arm. Like, worse than Chris Carpenter.
 
2012-03-21 03:23:27 PM
I'll be watching the Nats closely this year, they could be interesting. Either from the "Strasburg, Gonzalez, Zimmermans, Werth and Harper put together solid years and challenge for the NL East" perspective, or the "Bryce Harper comes up and acts like a dumbass and Strasburg's arm falls off a la the Black Knight" one.
 
2012-03-21 03:32:34 PM

chimp_ninja: As far as money, Ryan Howard's 5-year, $125M contract extension starts this year. They're next choice is whether to pay him $23M to play in 2017, or buy him out for $10M. Anyone unclear on how that will play out?


I love how someone asked Amaro about that this offseason, and his answer was something like "Well, it's a good thing we signed that extension. Look at the contracts Pujols & Fielder got!"

Because, clearly, Howard is as good as Pujols & Fielder.
 
2012-03-21 03:36:57 PM
aeryssports.com

Approves
 
2012-03-21 03:37:42 PM

DeWayne Mann: chimp_ninja: As far as money, Ryan Howard's 5-year, $125M contract extension starts this year. They're next choice is whether to pay him $23M to play in 2017, or buy him out for $10M. Anyone unclear on how that will play out?

I love how someone asked Amaro about that this offseason, and his answer was something like "Well, it's a good thing we signed that extension. Look at the contracts Pujols & Fielder got!"

Because, clearly, Howard is as good as Pujols & Fielder.


DeWayne Mann: chimp_ninja: As far as money, Ryan Howard's 5-year, $125M contract extension starts this year. They're next choice is whether to pay him $23M to play in 2017, or buy him out for $10M. Anyone unclear on how that will play out?

I love how someone asked Amaro about that this offseason, and his answer was something like "Well, it's a good thing we signed that extension. Look at the contracts Pujols & Fielder got!"

Because, clearly, Howard is as good as Pujols & Fielder.


Could be worse, could be the Wells deal.
 
2012-03-21 03:39:23 PM

chimp_ninja: /In related news, Chewbacca is still a dick for betting on hockey unders. Who wants to cheer for no one to score?


Best. Podcast. Ever

/hanshotonly
 
2012-03-21 03:45:00 PM

You're the jerk... jerk: Could be worse, could be the Wells deal.


At least the guy who did that isn't a GM anymore.
 
2012-03-21 03:58:04 PM

Rex_Banner: Best. Podcast. Ever


The little touches made it work, like KT knowing the names of every minor character from the only Star Wars trilogy ever made. The praise for the only competent Admiral in the entire Empire. The linguistic analysis of "Arr-too-dee-toe-ah". (What? There's a special word for "The second two in a sentence?") Realizing that by the third movie, everyone in the Rebellion was a general. The General McClellan analogy.
 
2012-03-21 04:36:36 PM

DeWayne Mann: You're the jerk... jerk: Could be worse, could be the Wells deal.

At least the guy who did that isn't a GM anymore.


Living in I have found Philadelphia fans among the least knowledgeable in sports. It will catch up to them. Hopefully the pitching will propel them to a WS where they can lose to the Verlanders.
 
2012-03-21 05:01:40 PM

chimp_ninja: FreakinB: I started saying about a year ago that it's going to be really weird to see the Nats switch places with the Phillies in the division over the next few years. I've seen nothing to change my mind on the Nats' side of the equation*, especially as recovery from Tommy John surgery is more certain.

*The Phillies have their issues with their offense. But hey, money.

Ken Tremendous and Joe Posnanski talked about this during their recent podcast, and KT's conclusion on the Phillies was "Name a Philly. Now go look him up. He's 33 years old. I'm pretty sure every guy on their 40-man roster is 33 years old."

As far as money, Ryan Howard's 5-year, $125M contract extension starts this year. They're next choice is whether to pay him $23M to play in 2017, or buy him out for $10M. Anyone unclear on how that will play out?

/In related news, Chewbacca is still a dick for betting on hockey unders. Who wants to cheer for no one to score?


It depends on how Howard recovers from this achilles injury. If he can play and people get on base in front of him he hits well. Or if he can learn to hit the ball the opposite way on the ground instead of always pulling the ball. Howard still hit alright last year considering his batting average on balls in play was ~.020 lower than his career average.

/Howard with the shift on BA~.240
//Howard with no shift BA~.300
 
2012-03-21 05:03:45 PM

You're the jerk... jerk: Living in I have found Philadelphia fans among the least knowledgeable in sports. It will catch up to them. Hopefully the pitching will propel them to a WS where they can lose to the Verlanders.


But Jonathan Papelbon assured me that the Philly fans are much, much smarter than the Boston fans, and he's a noted genius!

I don't know what to believe anymore....
 
2012-03-21 05:14:04 PM

machoprogrammer: chimp_ninja: thomps: also, should i even consider drafting strasburg?

PECOTA projects only 138 IP, but fantastic fantasy numbers (10 W, 153 K, 2.39 ERA, 1.01 WHIP). Washington's implied a 160 IP cap, so I guess they're hedging against the possibility of re-injury.

As a warning, his three best comps: Mark Prior, Yovani Gallardo, Doc Gooden.

According to Chris O'Leary, his mechanics are really, really, really bad for the shoulders and arm. Like, worse than Chris Carpenter.


I read about that last year. Something about power pitchers throwing motion either being a "W" or an "inverted W". With the "inverted W" motion, the ball is below the elbow at release, the opposite is true for the "W".

Strasburg is an "inverted W", and that is not good for a power pitcher.

Nolan Ryan, and Roger Clemens are both "W"

www.chrisoleary.com
Note the position of the right elbow in relation to the ball.

images.wikia.com

Ryan's delivery has a much less stressful elbow position.

It also has something to do with the timing of the front foot landing. Ryan's foot has just landed, and his right arm is almost vertical to the ground. On the other hand, Strausburg's arm is horizontal to the ground as his front foot lands.

The whole article is HERE (new window)
 
2012-03-21 05:28:36 PM

satanorsanta: It depends on how Howard recovers from this achilles injury. If he can play and people get on base in front of him he hits well. Or if he can learn to hit the ball the opposite way on the ground instead of always pulling the ball. Howard still hit alright last year considering his batting average on balls in play was ~.020 lower than his career average.

/Howard with the shift on BA~.240 //Howard with no shift BA~.300


If healthy, Howard will probably be quite good in 2013, just like he's been every year he's played. His defense is only a little below average, and he can obviously get on base and slug. He'll be overpaid for what he's likely to do, but not grossly.

It's when you start to look at the five year contract that the deal really looks awful. His best comps include sluggers with long careers like Willie Stargell, Willie McCovey, Fred McGriff, etc., but they also include Richie Sexson, Mo Vaughan, Cecil Fielder, and other guys who fell apart quickly. And very few sluggers have amazing years in their mid-30s-- most of the better names above merely continued their excellence at best. (Mark McGwire being another comp who has his best years after age 31, but there's obvious reason to be suspicious of that.)

Problem is, Howard hasn't been great lately. His 2010 and 2011 season were very good, but you can name a dozen guys with better numbers, some of whom have defensive value.

Re: the shift: I keep waiting for fat lefties to learn how to bunt, because it would be hilarious to watch, successful or not.
 
2012-03-21 05:44:45 PM
Can anyone tell me which are seats are the ones you want to watch the game at national's park?

Thanks.
 
2012-03-21 06:33:48 PM
Subby cant even spell the kids name right and still gets the green.

its like the 3 ball walks we keep having the past few years.
 
2012-03-21 09:47:50 PM

chimp_ninja:
Re: the shift: I keep waiting for fat lefties to learn how to bunt, because it would be hilarious to watch, successful or not.


I keep waiting for Chase Utley to learn how to bunt, because they overshift him sometimes but he's not fat or slow.

Well, he might actually be now that he doesn't have any knees.

/sad news for a Phillies fan.
 
2012-03-22 09:19:55 AM
bacongood: Can anyone tell me which are seats are the ones you want to watch the game at national's park?

The cheap answer is "any of them". The park has a really cozy feel, so even if you're up in the nosebleeds, you have a great view. My suggestion is to sit either on the Mezzanine level, the first row in the upper decks, or about halfway up on the field level along either baseline. I've sat all over the park and I haven't been upset with any seat I've had.
 
2012-03-22 09:33:10 AM

poisonedpawn78: Subby cant even spell the kids name right and still gets the green.

its like the 3 ball walks we keep having the past few years.


Ya know, I was going to mention something similar, then I remembered that spelling accurately isn't exactly high on the Natinals priority list, so I'll say it fits.
 
2012-03-22 09:46:46 AM

Morlith: bacongood: Can anyone tell me which are seats are the ones you want to watch the game at national's park?

The cheap answer is "any of them". The park has a really cozy feel, so even if you're up in the nosebleeds, you have a great view. My suggestion is to sit either on the Mezzanine level, the first row in the upper decks, or about halfway up on the field level along either baseline. I've sat all over the park and I haven't been upset with any seat I've had.


I second this comment, I haven't found a bad seat yet either.

My personal preference is to try and go to the "Miller Lite Party Zone" games that they have (usually on or near weekends) where you can get a ticket for about $25 but it includes a voucher for a beer and I think a hot dog or something. When you factor that in it is more like a $15 ticket, and they are always over the right field fence, which is also prime HR territory for slugging lefties. And as mentioned before, the view from right field is still good.
 
2012-03-22 12:55:27 PM

Morlith: bacongood: Can anyone tell me which are seats are the ones you want to watch the game at national's park?

The cheap answer is "any of them". The park has a really cozy feel, so even if you're up in the nosebleeds, you have a great view. My suggestion is to sit either on the Mezzanine level, the first row in the upper decks, or about halfway up on the field level along either baseline. I've sat all over the park and I haven't been upset with any seat I've had.


Thanks, sounds good. I will experiment.
 
2012-03-22 02:01:01 PM

bacongood: Can anyone tell me which are seats are the ones you want to watch the game at national's park?


I like the first base and third base club seats. Also standing room tickets at the red porch bar are pretty fun.
 
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