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(International Liberty)
The more a government spends the worse off the economy. Part 2
(
danieljmitchell.wordpress.com
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56
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Organization for Economic Cooperation
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developing nations
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St_Francis_P
2012-02-10 09:49:15 AM
Is this where we cut NPR's funding and then congratulate ourselves?
Wendy's Chili
2012-02-10 10:00:36 AM
Your blog sucks.
cynispasm
2012-02-10 10:01:43 AM
Except for war, of course.
dragonchild
2012-02-10 10:02:49 AM
A trollerific thread, two actually, in the Business tab? What's the idea, Fark? If you're hungry for clicks, this isn't a particularly efficient method.
tnpir
2012-02-10 10:03:53 AM
Wendy's Chili
:
Your blog sucks.
MyRandomName
2012-02-10 10:04:58 AM
Wendy's Chili
:
Your blog sucks.
Which part, the cited material or the report from the Europe Central Bank? I can never tell if you liberals can actually read or not.
What part of his information was sucky?
kxs401
2012-02-10 10:05:06 AM
I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
MyRandomName
2012-02-10 10:06:24 AM
kxs401
:
I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
Dubya's_Coke_Dealer
2012-02-10 10:11:55 AM
MyRandomName
:
kxs401: I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
Well, I'm glad to see not all the trolls/retards were purged. Carry on, common man!
/Why is it that the only liberty Republicans seem to be for these days is the liberty to starve to death?
//I know, the law forbids the rich and poor alike from sleeping under bridges
Wyrdbrthr
2012-02-10 10:16:08 AM
MyRandomName
:
kxs401: I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
I'm going with: "your blog sucks because you named it international liberty." Seriously, do these people have a buzzword dartboard that they use while blindfolded and drunk? Also, cutting and pasting a huge chunk from an scholarly article doesn't actually actually make your own two-sentence blog the same as an academic journal.
Blues_X
2012-02-10 10:20:11 AM
MyRandomName
:
kxs401: I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
Ah, yes.... the "if you disagree, you are simply too stupid to understand."
The fallback of arrogant ignoramuses.
kxs401
2012-02-10 10:20:38 AM
Wyrdbrthr
:
MyRandomName: kxs401: I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
I'm going with: "your blog sucks because you named it international liberty." Seriously, do these people have a buzzword dartboard that they use while blindfolded and drunk? Also, cutting and pasting a huge chunk from an scholarly article doesn't actually actually make your own two-sentence blog the same as an academic journal.
I love that this moron thinks he can goad me into reading his rambling by implying I'm unwilling to put forth effort. Yeah, I have a limited amount of time in my life, and I'm unwilling to waste any of it listening to idiots insist that the sky is green, or evolution isn't real, or that gay marriage will destroyed the country. That makes me smart, not stupid.
GAT_00
2012-02-10 10:23:33 AM
Yes, all government spending is bad, and doesn't create jobs. But don't cut military funding, because you'll put people out of work.
Aarontology
2012-02-10 10:26:17 AM
Like I'm going to trust information from European socialist banks and pointy headed liberals in their ivory Harvard towers.
Wendy's Chili
2012-02-10 10:28:26 AM
MyRandomName
:
Wendy's Chili: Your blog sucks.
Which part, the cited material or the report from the Europe Central Bank? I can never tell if you liberals can actually read or not.
What part of his information was sucky?
The whole thing. The first half of the cited portion contains absolutely zero facts, following that was a mention of the meaningless criteria they used to get whatever findings they were looking for (funny that they only included countries with vast infrastructure paid for by the government and only looked at the time period after most of that infrastucture was built [in the US anyhow]), then they go straight to vague "conclusions", and end with sociopsychological assumptions to explain the cause.
MyRandomName
:
kxs401: I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
Then you should have linked to the study instead of your sucky blog.
Rapmaster2000
2012-02-10 10:32:15 AM
It's called Austerity. Ask Japan and Greece how well that goes.
There's a reason the greatest libertarian book was a work of fiction.
James!
2012-02-10 10:34:23 AM
The report dude-bro is citing is talking about government consumption which makes sense, resources bought and used by the government aren't altered or resold in any way. It can consume, but it does not produce or at the very least it does not produce for a profit. The report is treating the physical government (employees, offices what have you) as a sort of black hole of resources, which is a dubious supposition to begin with, but if you allow it their conclusions make sense.
This blogger is trying to hammer that round peg into the square hole of his anti-government spending message. But it has nothing to do with government spending in terms of stimulus during recession.
JerseyTim
2012-02-10 10:35:46 AM
Did this really need to be in two parts? Which part do we hold the discussion in? Why even have comments in the first one? This is chaos. CHAOS!!!
Wendy's Chili
2012-02-10 10:36:38 AM
MyRandomName
:
kxs401: I think you've mixed up the cause and effect.
The report mentions your supposed cause/effect. You should probably read it, but that requires effort.
Also, the whole exercise was retarded.
Even if they establish which is the cause and which is the effect (which is not even touched upon in your sucky blog), the study (as described in your sucky blog) doesn't seem to discriminate between different types of spending. I guess taking a nuanced look at policy requires effort.
LemonYellowSun
2012-02-10 10:37:09 AM
In before something something Somalia something something...
dragonchild
2012-02-10 10:37:31 AM
James!
:
The report dude-bro is citing is talking about government consumption which makes sense, resources bought and used by the government aren't altered or resold in any way. It can consume, but it does not produce or at the very least it does not produce for a profit.
Except, you know, the exact same thing could be said about
consumers
.
So the best thing for an economy is for everyone to stop consuming altogether? I didn't know libertarians were minimalists.
SilentStrider
2012-02-10 10:39:50 AM
tnpir
:
Wendy's Chili: Your blog sucks.
James!
2012-02-10 10:47:03 AM
dragonchild
:
James!: The report dude-bro is citing is talking about government consumption which makes sense, resources bought and used by the government aren't altered or resold in any way. It can consume, but it does not produce or at the very least it does not produce for a profit.
Except, you know, the exact same thing could be said about consumers.
So the best thing for an economy is for everyone to stop consuming altogether? I didn't know libertarians were minimalists.
Yeah, but as a consumer I also produce. I come to work and create fark posts and spreadsheets in exchange for a paycheck part of which goes to keeping me housed and fed, but the rest goes back into the economy. The government is paid through taxes and it uses what it needs to house itself and pay it's employees. In a Keynsian model it would save the rest in times of prosperity and then put that saved money (LOCKED BOX) into the economy if there were a huge housing collapse. Under Austerity it would do the same with the possible added step of taking in only what it needs to keep itself running, under that model the government wouldn't have that saved money (I'MMA SEND EVERYBODY A CHECK FOR $300 YE-HAW) and wouldn't be able to help in times of collapse.
Arkanaut
2012-02-10 10:58:39 AM
I love the report's "Non-technical summary":
we make use of recent panel data techniques that allow for the possibility of heterogeneous dynamic
adjustment around the long-run equilibrium relationship as well as heterogeneous
unobserved parameters and cross-sectional dependence; vi) we also deal with potentially
relevant endogeneity issues;
Beautiful writing. Hemingway would weep at its simplicity.
Dinki
2012-02-10 11:04:21 AM
ALBERTO ALESINA, the Harvard Proff responsible for the study, has become a darling of the tax cut right. Of course, his methodology is pretty simple- create a formula that picks and chooses what criteria to measure, apply that formula to those countries that might give you the results you want, and ignore all the other scenarios where your ideological preconception has been shown to fail.
His basic premise is that government spending is bad, and that tax cuts are good. All other factors seem to be irrelevant to him.
James!
2012-02-10 11:09:08 AM
Dinki
:
ALBERTO ALESINA, the Harvard Proff responsible for the study, has become a darling of the tax cut right. Of course, his methodology is pretty simple- create a formula that picks and chooses what criteria to measure, apply that formula to those countries that might give you the results you want, and ignore all the other scenarios where your ideological preconception has been shown to fail.
His basic premise is that government spending is bad, and that tax cuts are good. All other factors seem to be irrelevant to him.
That's interesting. The ECB study the author cites begins it's abstract thusly:
We construct a growth model with an explicit government role, where more government resources reduce the optimal level of private consumption and of output per worker.
Seems like a pattern.
MugzyBrown
2012-02-10 11:16:43 AM
This article conflicts with the view of my favorite political party, thus I will ignore it.
RussianPooper
2012-02-10 11:27:00 AM
The evidence is overwhelming
(new window)
James!
2012-02-10 11:27:33 AM
MugzyBrown
:
This article conflicts with the view of my favorite political party, thus I will ignore it.
So far it's just people who've read it driving buses through the holes in it's argument.
RickyWilliams'sBong
2012-02-10 11:32:29 AM
James!
:
That's interesting. The ECB study the author cites begins it's abstract thusly: We construct a growth model with an explicit government role, where more government resources reduce the optimal level of private consumption and of output per worker.
Seems like a pattern.
Pffft. If there's one institution you can trust to know how growth is generated, it's the ECB. Just ask the Greeks, Spaniards, Portugese, Irish, Italians, French, Lithuanians....
RussianPooper
2012-02-10 11:34:45 AM
This, of course, contrasts with the lack of evidence for the Keynesian notion that growth is stimulated by a bigger burden of government spending
This is the extent of what these people know about Keynesian economics. It's a straw man argument.
dragonchild
2012-02-10 11:39:17 AM
James!
:
Yeah, but as a consumer I also produce.
Except your production isn't considered part of your
consumption
side of GDP. No economist could give a rat's ass what you do with your microwave oven once you've bought it UNLESS you're running, say, an Applebee's in which case the accountants will consider that microwave a business asset. The buck has to stop somewhere or the argument becomes disingenuously circular and the data goes to shiat.
James!
:
The government is paid through taxes
Actually it isn't. The taxes exist (ideally) to influence behavior and sustain demand for currency, although it also is used to drive inequality. Anyway, the government is a currency
issuer
. It really makes no sense that the government would ever be
hungry
for dollars when it's the entity that
creates
them. A corn farmer might want dollars, but it would make no sense that a corn farmer would want to
buy
ears of corn. The farmer will, however, take back a
portion
of its own corn for various reasons. The trick is to not under-produce or over-produce corn to keep supply and demand at equilibrium. The government makes money at will, so the trick there is the same. It's complete nonsense to talk about a corn farmer buying corn or a government collecting money for revenue.
For starters, money has to be printed BEFORE it can be issued. It can be no other way. You can't collect taxes if there isn't already money out there. And who issues the money? Where did it come from? The government! To them, your dollars are just pieces of paper with dead white men on them. As a currency issuer the government never really has or doesn't have money. Trying to "conserve" something it can make at will when the market overall is starved for cash is downright stupid. And for what? To balance its books? Control inflation? The government improving its own finances at the expense of the people when the economy is hurting and demand is down? Is that what you'd call good government? Good for whom?
If you start your argument with "The government is paid through taxes", the first step to understanding the government is to admit that everything you think you know about the money supply is wrong, and thus any conclusions you make about it as well. The government isn't paid through taxes any more than a corn farmer would buy corn at a supermarket.
James!
2012-02-10 11:49:58 AM
dragonchild
:
James!: Yeah, but as a consumer I also produce.
Except your production isn't considered part of your consumption side of GDP. No economist could give a rat's ass what you do with your microwave oven once you've bought it UNLESS you're running, say, an Applebee's in which case the accountants will consider that microwave a business asset. The buck has to stop somewhere or the argument becomes disingenuously circular and the data goes to shiat.
James!: The government is paid through taxes
Actually it isn't. The taxes exist (ideally) to influence behavior and sustain demand for currency, although it also is used to drive inequality. Anyway, the government is a currency issuer. It really makes no sense that the government would ever be hungry for dollars when it's the entity that creates them. A corn farmer might want dollars, but it would make no sense that a corn farmer would want to buy ears of corn. The farmer will, however, take back a portion of its own corn for various reasons. The trick is to not under-produce or over-produce corn to keep supply and demand at equilibrium. The government makes money at will, so the trick there is the same. It's complete nonsense to talk about a corn farmer buying corn or a government collecting money for revenue.
For starters, money has to be printed BEFORE it can be issued. It can be no other way. You can't collect taxes if there isn't already money out there. And who issues the money? Where did it come from? The government! To them, your dollars are just pieces of paper with dead white men on them. As a currency issuer the government never really has or doesn't have money. Trying to "conserve" something it can make at will when the market overall is starved for cash is downright stupid. And for what? To balance its books? Control inflation? The government improving its own finances at the expense of the people when the economy is hurting and demand is down? Is that what you'd call good government? Go ...
Your supposition is awful.
"The taxes exist (ideally) to influence behavior and sustain demand for currency"
That shiat is dumb.
Snort
2012-02-10 12:00:50 PM
James!
:
Your supposition is awful.
"The taxes exist (ideally) to influence behavior and sustain demand for currency"
That shiat is dumb.
That's it? That's all you've got?
What a waste of bits.
James!
2012-02-10 12:03:44 PM
Snort
:
James!: Your supposition is awful.
"The taxes exist (ideally) to influence behavior and sustain demand for currency"
That shiat is dumb.
That's it? That's all you've got?
What a waste of bits.
I made my intelligent arguments and got that silliness back. Why should I waste my time?
asmodeus224
2012-02-10 12:08:02 PM
The title of the blog sounds like some retarded libertarian...i don' tdo libertarian wharragarrbl...but the premise is amusing, since gov't spending increases during recessions due to payouts in benefits and social welfare increases...correlation does not equal causation, libertardian.
Marcus Aurelius
2012-02-10 12:24:00 PM
That explains the terrible economy of the 1990's.
RminusQ
2012-02-10 12:36:26 PM
JerseyTim
:
Did this really need to be in two parts? Which part do we hold the discussion in? Why even have comments in the first one? This is chaos. CHAOS!!!
Because "part one" is a sucky blog entry from December 2011 and "part two" is a sucky blog entry from September 2010. Obviously.
lomnoir
2012-02-10 12:38:35 PM
Wendy's Chili
:
Your blog sucks.
dragonchild
2012-02-10 12:40:28 PM
James!
:
Why should I waste my time?
You're asking this on Fark?
James!
2012-02-10 12:42:59 PM
dragonchild
:
James!: Why should I waste my time?
You're asking this on Fark?
Touché.
Tingle007
2012-02-10 12:51:43 PM
The greeks spent more for 50 years and ended up destroying any hope of prosperity. The key is WHAT you spend on and IS it profitable.
Scythed
2012-02-10 01:00:59 PM
The article doesn't really say anything that isn't already known. Spending a lot all of the time is bad for the economy. Even Keynesians know that. In fact, it's a central part of Keynesian theory.
struct
2012-02-10 01:10:48 PM
"This, of course, contrasts with the lack of evidence for the Keynesian notion that growth is stimulated by a bigger burden of government spending."
No idiot, Keynesian theory says that growth should be stimulated by spending and tax cuts
during a downturn
when aggregate demand has collapsed and savings skyrocket to avert skyrocketing unemployment and a deflationary spiral. Your blog sucks.
Arkanaut
2012-02-10 01:12:02 PM
By the way, why 1970? Both the ECB study and the Alesina study used that as the starting point. Why exclude the 50's and 60's, when there was massive peacetime fiscal expansion?
/Probably because it doesn't help their case.
mod3072
2012-02-10 02:37:14 PM
Does subby have a time machine? Part one was written in December of last year, part 2 was written in September, 2010.
HeadLever
2012-02-10 03:34:01 PM
struct
:
Keynesian theory says that growth should be stimulated by spending and tax cuts during a downturn when aggregate demand has collapsed and savings skyrocket to avert skyrocketing unemployment and a deflationary spiral.
It is kind of funny, since it is lost in much of the discussion on Keynesian theory is that it acually supports austerity during the good times.
More to the point of the article, there is little doubt that an ever-growing federal goverment is a problem when discussing a sustainable economic model. We are starting to see some issues with this now as our debt is beginning to grow at levels that will, if left unchecked, become our downfall. Government needs to know when to pull back the spending while maintaining adequate levels of taxation in order to balance the debt load. Currently, we have been shown to be unable to grasp this issue.
jigger
2012-02-10 04:04:18 PM
Marcus Aurelius
:
That explains the terrible economy of the 1990's.
When government spending as a percentage of GDP declined.
And as for the war/defense people, click "Home" and look at the top post about how Republican war hawks need to be convinced that the world won't end if we cut military spending.
imashark
2012-02-10 04:18:18 PM
Arkanaut
:
I love the report's "Non-technical summary":
we make use of recent panel data techniques that allow for the possibility of heterogeneous dynamic
adjustment around the long-run equilibrium relationship as well as heterogeneous
unobserved parameters and cross-sectional dependence;
vi) we also deal with potentially
relevant endogeneity issues;
Beautiful writing. Hemingway would weep at its simplicity.
Read: Well, once you harmonize the various statistical quirks, government spending sucks.
Arkanaut
2012-02-10 04:41:29 PM
imashark
:
Arkanaut: I love the report's "Non-technical summary":
we make use of recent panel data techniques that allow for the possibility of heterogeneous dynamic
adjustment around the long-run equilibrium relationship as well as heterogeneous
unobserved parameters and cross-sectional dependence; vi) we also deal with potentially
relevant endogeneity issues;
Beautiful writing. Hemingway would weep at its simplicity.
Read: Well, once you harmonize the various statistical quirks, government spending sucks
beyond a certain point and if the government itself is highly corrupt and/or otherwise shiatty
.
Also, although the report concluded that there was significant negative correlation between increased government spending and GDP growth, I couldn't find whether it says what the factor was. If a 1% increase in A causes a 0.01% decrease in B 70% of the time, that's still significant, but if A and B are of equal value I'd still rather have A.
/I apologize for being bad at stats.
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