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(NewsMax) Obvious Economist who created the Laffer curve says Gingrich's tax plan is better than Romney's, in much the same way being hit by a Kenworth is preferable to being hit by a Peterbilt   (newsmax.com) divider line 178
More: Obvious, Arthur Laffer, Newt Gingrich, Emerald Isle, Balanced Budget Amendment, economists, personal incomes, Mitt Romney  
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1263 clicks; posted to Politics » on 31 Jan 2012 at 6:03 PM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»   |    Get this fabulous T-Shirt and impress the methane out of your friends! shirt it!



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2012-01-31 03:31:05 PM
He isn't very funny for a Laffer.
 
2012-01-31 03:38:28 PM
i1212.photobucket.com

The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I've not gotten a satisfactory response yet.
 
2012-01-31 03:49:58 PM
I predict a lot of well thought out economic analysis in this thread

/runs out of thread screaming
 
vpb [TotalFark]
2012-01-31 04:05:59 PM
RexTalionis: [i1212.photobucket.com image 631x416]

The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I've not gotten a satisfactory response yet.


Doesn't that appear to show that about 50% is optimum?
 
2012-01-31 04:08:03 PM
I pick the Peterbilt. Odds are it won't make it to you.
 
2012-01-31 04:09:23 PM
FTFA: renowned economist Arthur Laffer

Now THAT is a laugher.

/I believe several economists not known for silliness or liberality determined the highest marginal tax bracket that didn't cause economic problems was 83%
 
2012-01-31 04:15:33 PM
Why exactly is he endorsing one of them? If one of them will create more revenue than the other, i'd like to see the "work."
 
2012-01-31 04:20:33 PM
"Mr. Gingrich's tax proposal is not revenue-neutral, nor should it be," Laffer writes. "If there's one truism in fiscal policy, it's this: Wasteful spending will always rise to the level of revenues. Whether you're in Greece, Washington, D.C., or California, overspending is a prosperity killer of the first order. Mr. Gingrich's flat tax proposals - along with his proposed balanced budget amendment - would put a quick stop to overspending and return America to fiscal soundness.

Yeah, because look how having revenue less than expenditures has caused us to decrease our expenditures.

Open your eyes, idiot.
 
2012-01-31 04:22:53 PM
RexTalionis: The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

Because fark you libtard, that's why.
 
2012-01-31 04:33:01 PM
I'd prefer to be hit by a Mack truck. I just like that bulldog hood ornament.
 
2012-01-31 04:34:48 PM
Being hit by a Kenworth or being hit by a Peterbilt?

/neither one is the grill of my dreams
 
2012-01-31 04:34:55 PM
TheOnion: Open your eyes, idiot.

Couldn't be a Republican economist then, could he?
 
2012-01-31 04:38:08 PM
I was hit by a Peterbilt last October on I95.
 
2012-01-31 04:52:13 PM
RexTalionis: I was hit by a Peterbilt last October on I95.

And you are here to tell the tale so it couldn't be too bad.


/glad you are okay
 
2012-01-31 05:02:44 PM
GAT_00: TheOnion: Open your eyes, idiot.

Couldn't be a Republican economist then, could he?


Hmmm? I don't think one's political leanings have any bearings on his statement
 
2012-01-31 05:23:24 PM
TheOnion: GAT_00: TheOnion: Open your eyes, idiot.

Couldn't be a Republican economist then, could he?

Hmmm? I don't think one's political leanings have any bearings on his statement


WOOOOOSH
 
2012-01-31 05:36:11 PM
And yet, magically, they both benefit the rich more than anyone else.

www.washingtonpost.com (new window)

motherjones.com (new window)

media.mcclatchydc.com (new window)

I'm sure Obama won't mention this fact at all during the debates.
 
2012-01-31 05:59:09 PM

Here's something I heard one morning that I found kind of interesting/maddening. It was on NPR just ahead of the SC primaries.
S.C. Voters Have 2 Days To Make Up Their Minds (new window)

LIASSON: But Romney hasn't won everyone here. Over at the community table, Bill Bailey is having breakfast with a group of old friends - all working-class conservative Republicans.
BILL BAILEY: I've made up my mind, I think. I'm going with Newt. I'll be honest with you. I don't trust Romney. I'm just having a bad feeling about him.
LIASSON: Bailey has a problem with Romney's background.
BAILEY: We need someone to look out for the small people.
LIASSON: Why don't you think Romney would look out for the small people?
BAILEY: I just don't.
AL MOESSNER: He's not one of them.
BAILEY: He is not one of the small people.
LIASSON: When you heard that he only pays 15 percent on his taxes, what did you think of that?
BAILEY: I didn't like it.

(SOUNDBITE OF LAUGHTER)
LIASSON: Why?
BAILEY: Because I have to pay - what little bit I make - I have to pay probably up to 28 to 30 percent.
First, no way "working class" Bill Bailey actually pays an effective rate of 28 or 30 percent in Federal income tax. Marginal rate, maybe, but his effective rate is most likely comfortably less than 15%.
Now, if you asked Bill Bailey what he thought of the capital gains tax - if he could tell you what it is - what are the odds he'd say, much as his favorite conservative radio host says, that it should be cut or repealed entirely? Honestly if you asked about the policies that lead to Romney paying that rate, most working class Bill Baileys would have it so Romney payed much closer to 0% than 15% in Federal income taxes.

As for Gingrich, the "looking out for the small people" candidate, he's happy to tell you that he doesn't want to raise Romney's taxes above 15% - he'd like to make YOURS 15%. Which, of course, would be a significant tax increase for poor, working class (Bill Bailey Republicans included) and most middle class wage earners. Conveniently, it would be a huge tax savings for Mr. Gingrich.

As for Romney, he's not dodging taxes, he's paying a rate he calls "legal and fair". "Legal", I agree - he's following the rules under the current system. "Fair" is another question and of course, debatable. The idea of a flat tax makes a lot less sense to me than a progressive tax where you pay higher percentages the more you make. Yes it sucks when your taxes go up, but you do make more money. I guess I appreciated paying much lower taxes when I was right out of HS/in college, where my current tax rate would have had a much more damaging and significant impact on my overall finances, so paying a higher rate as my income goes up doesn't make me all red in the face from anger. Adam Smith wasn't referring to income taxes but I think it applies, "It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion". Not that I'm rich, mind you.

What's somewhat maddening isn't that *I* think tax rates should be progressive and *Republicans* think they should be flat, it's that some working class Republicans seem to think they should be progressive but would vote for them to be flat.

tl:dr lower rates/less deductions, fine, but keep a progressive/marginal rate structure

//and the "poor people don't pay taxes" crapola is d/t benefits for poor people that were shifted to be refundable tax credits, at the behest of (mostly) "Conservatives", that affect people who have little in the way of income, and only includes federal income tax, not most payroll tax, local tax, etc
 
2012-01-31 06:10:33 PM
renowned economist Arthur Laffer

Republicans are aware that economics is a type of science, right?
 
2012-01-31 06:11:35 PM
I_C_Weener: He isn't very funny for a Laffer.

static.zoovy.com
 
2012-01-31 06:11:55 PM
vpb: RexTalionis: [i1212.photobucket.com image 631x416]

The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I've not gotten a satisfactory response yet.

Doesn't that appear to show that about 50% is optimum?


That is another question they never seem to answer.

/Had to explain the Laffable Curve to the office teahadist once.
 
2012-01-31 06:16:16 PM
FTFA ;Hong Kong, where there has been a 15 percent flat income tax on individuals since 1947, is truly a shining city on the hill and one of the most prosperous cities in history.

2.bp.blogspot.com

A shining city on the hill???????
 
2012-01-31 06:17:23 PM
As opposed to the Obama plan, which is to spend money and spend more money and pretend that this can all be paid for if we simply raise taxes.

If you tax all the people who make 10 million a year or more for 100% of their income, that's 250 billion a year.

You can run the government for 17 whole days on that under the current administration.

But noooo, we're not spending too much money, just because you could have this ridiculous "Buffet Rule" and it would do precisely jack squat to fix the deficit. Anything but cut entitlement spending, I mean after all, if you did the responsible thing that would actually save the country in the long run then liberals might not be able to stay in power by buying votes.
 
2012-01-31 06:18:00 PM
RexTalionis: The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I remember seeing an interview with Laffer once where he described his optimal position as not being on the peak of the curve, but on the rising side of the left end.

I assumed it had to do with not necessarily valuing optimal government income as being the goal plus some buffer room if the conditions that make the curve shift. But they don't necessarily think we're to the right of the peak, they think we're to the right of nominal, which is not necessarily the peak.
 
2012-01-31 06:18:20 PM
Anybody got that graph from the AEI and their amazingly awful best fit Laffer Curve line on a graph comparing corporate taxes vs revenues in different countries?

/on phone
//in a bathroom
///at barnes and noble
 
2012-01-31 06:19:13 PM
Ugh.

SURELY this information is available from somewhere other than Newsmax?

This sounds interesting, but I refuse to give Newsmax any clicks.
 
2012-01-31 06:19:25 PM
Philip Francis Queeg: FTFA ;Hong Kong, where there has been a 15 percent flat income tax on individuals since 1947, is truly a shining city on the hill and one of the most prosperous cities in history.

[2.bp.blogspot.com image 306x227]

A shining city on the hill???????


All that neon does make it look pretty shiny.

I wonder if he knows that they have Universal Health Care there?
 
2012-01-31 06:19:35 PM
randomjsa: If you tax all the people who make 10 million a year or more for 100% of their income, that's 250 billion a year.

That's a good start.
 
2012-01-31 06:20:54 PM
randomjsa: derp

FTFY

/Anytime anyone says entitlements = buying votes...this is the thought that pops in my head
 
2012-01-31 06:21:00 PM
MFAWG: vpb: RexTalionis: [i1212.photobucket.com image 631x416]

The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I've not gotten a satisfactory response yet.

Doesn't that appear to show that about 50% is optimum?

That is another question they never seem to answer.

/Had to explain the Laffable Curve to the office teahadist once.


Not only that, but most empirical attempts to fit the curve to real data put the revenue maximizing rate in the 65%-70% range. But, you know, socialism, kenyan, history's greatest monster, etc...
 
2012-01-31 06:24:29 PM
Philip Francis Queeg: FTFA ;Hong Kong, where there has been a 15 percent flat income tax on individuals since 1947, is truly a shining city on the hill and one of the most prosperous cities in history.



A shining city on the hill???????


Sure, NYC by itself could have a 15% flat tax rate and be totally fine, but we have to subsidize all those freeloading white southern welfare kings with our federal income taxes by hiring them to build tanks and buy pickups from each other.
 
2012-01-31 06:24:58 PM
Dusk-You-n-Me: randomjsa: If you tax all the people who make 10 million a year or more for 100% of their income, that's 250 billion a year.

That's a good start.


I'm waiting for someone to explain rationally why it would be ok for the government to take every dime someone owns for no other reason than they want to.
 
2012-01-31 06:26:15 PM
OgreMagi: I'm waiting for someone to explain rationally why it would be ok for the government to take every dime someone owns for no other reason than they want to.

He was being hyperbolic, so I responded in kind. But yes, we need to raise rates on the upper brackets. And create some new brackets at the very top as well.
 
2012-01-31 06:26:24 PM
Mrtraveler01: Philip Francis Queeg: FTFA ;Hong Kong, where there has been a 15 percent flat income tax on individuals since 1947, is truly a shining city on the hill and one of the most prosperous cities in history.

[2.bp.blogspot.com image 306x227]

A shining city on the hill???????

All that neon does make it look pretty shiny.

I wonder if he knows that they have Universal Health Care there?


Or that the government has strict control over the property market.
 
2012-01-31 06:26:35 PM
OgreMagi: Dusk-You-n-Me: randomjsa: If you tax all the people who make 10 million a year or more for 100% of their income, that's 250 billion a year.

That's a good start.

I'm waiting for someone to explain rationally why it would be ok for the government to take every dime someone owns for no other reason than they want to.


OgreMagi: Dusk-You-n-Me: randomjsa: If you tax all the people who make 10 million a year or more for 100% of their income, that's 250 billion a year.

That's a good start.

I'm waiting for someone to explain rationally why it would be ok for the government to take every dime someone owns for no other reason than they want to.


No one rational thinks that someone should be taxed 100%. We just think it's downright and cheesy that people who are being taxed at the lowest rates in over 50 years are being "Taxed enough already" and how we should feel bad for them.

Sorry but I don't.
 
2012-01-31 06:27:05 PM
RexTalionis: [i1212.photobucket.com image 631x416]

The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I've not gotten a satisfactory response yet.


Conservative = right. If we were on the left, we'd be liberals, and we can't have that.

(makes as much sense as anything else on the Curve)
 
2012-01-31 06:28:54 PM
vpb: RexTalionis: [i1212.photobucket.com image 631x416]

The thing I always wanted to ask Laffer and other conservatives is this: Why do they always assume that we're on the right (shaded in the picture) side of the curve? Why do they never assume that we're in the left side?

I've not gotten a satisfactory response yet.

Doesn't that appear to show that about 50% is optimum?


Their whole argument is that the only two known points are at 0% tax rate and 100% tax rate. The shape of the curve is unknown. It is drawn as a parabola for convenience. I don't think too many people, liberals included argue for a 50% top tax rate, but RexTalionis still has a valid point. The optimal rate is not known yet conservatives or supply-side zealots always believe that we are on the non-optimal side closer to the 100% rate.
 
2012-01-31 06:29:48 PM
gtp123: Philip Francis Queeg: FTFA ;Hong Kong, where there has been a 15 percent flat income tax on individuals since 1947, is truly a shining city on the hill and one of the most prosperous cities in history.



A shining city on the hill???????

Sure, NYC by itself could have a 15% flat tax rate and be totally fine, but we have to subsidize all those freeloading white southern welfare kings with our federal income taxes by hiring them to build tanks and buy pickups from each other.

Hong Kong is far from fine.

From the radical, tax loving, class warriors at the Financial Times:



These are extreme examples of Hong Kong poverty to be sure. Yet a territory better known for its breathtaking harbour-front skyline and its money-making possibilities has plenty of misery to go round. In a city of 7m people with an average per capita income of nearly US$30,000, 1.23m live below the poverty line, earning less than half of a desperately low median wage. The city's Gini coefficient, which measures income inequality, is the worst in Asia (worse even than India and mainland China) before the limited effects of the city's half-hearted income redistribution are counted.

...


Third, Hong Kong has a tradition of small government and a credo of "positive non-interventionism". A free-market philosophy lauded as key to Hong Kong's success as a financial centre, positive non-interventionism has little to offer if you are living in a cage. The upshot is no public pension and very small unemployment benefits or disability allowances. As yet, there is no minimum wage. Government expenditure is around 16 per cent of gross domestic product. Now you know what Sweden spends the other 34 per cent on.
(new window)
 
2012-01-31 06:32:00 PM
Laffer didn't invent the "Laffer Curve."

He himself admits to borrowing it from John Maynard Keynes, who admits to borrowing it from Ibn Khaldun.

Either way we spent all of 3 minutes on it in my macroeconomics class, because no one knows where the peak is and if someone claims they do I suggest they come forward and claim their Nobel Prize in economics.
 
2012-01-31 06:32:42 PM
Dusk-You-n-Me: But yes, we need to raise rates on the upper brackets. And create some new brackets at the very top as well.

WHY?

Seriously. Why?

It would have a negligable impact on tax revenue. and do nothing to help the economy.

Explain to me why taxing the rich a little or a lot more will increase anyone's salary or produce more jobs.
 
2012-01-31 06:34:04 PM
theknuckler_33: The optimal rate is not known yet conservatives or supply-side zealots always believe that we are on the non-optimal side closer to the 100% rate.

In exactly the same way that liberals and big-government zealots always believe that we are on the non-optimal side closer to the 0% rate?
 
2012-01-31 06:34:30 PM
Norv Turner: I predict a lot of well thought out economic analysis in this thread

/runs out of thread screaming


Here is some well thought out economic analysis by Art Laffer himself in August 2006 (new window)

Oopsie. Looks like he lost that bet about the recession. I wonder if he ever made good on it?
 
2012-01-31 06:37:03 PM
People still pay attention to the joker that invented the Laffer curve ?
 
2012-01-31 06:38:38 PM
Philip Francis Queeg: gtp123: Philip Francis Queeg: FTFA ;Hong Kong, where there has been a 15 percent flat income tax on individuals since 1947, is truly a shining city on the hill and one of the most prosperous cities in history.



A shining city on the hill???????

Sure, NYC by itself could have a 15% flat tax rate and be totally fine, but we have to subsidize all those freeloading white southern welfare kings with our federal income taxes by hiring them to build tanks and buy pickups from each other.
Hong Kong is far from fine.

From the radical, tax loving, class warriors at the Financial Times:



These are extreme examples of Hong Kong poverty to be sure. Yet a territory better known for its breathtaking harbour-front skyline and its money-making possibilities has plenty of misery to go round. In a city of 7m people with an average per capita income of nearly US$30,000, 1.23m live below the poverty line, earning less than half of a desperately low median wage. The city's Gini coefficient, which measures income inequality, is the worst in Asia (worse even than India and mainland China) before the limited effects of the city's half-hearted income redistribution are counted.

...


Third, Hong Kong has a tradition of small government and a credo of "positive non-interventionism". A free-market philosophy lauded as key to Hong Kong's success as a financial centre, positive non-interventionism has little to offer if you are living in a cage. The upshot is no public pension and very small unemployment benefits or disability allowances. As yet, there is no minimum wage. Government expenditure is around 16 per cent of gross domestic product. Now you know what Sweden spends the other 34 per cent on. (new window)


Yeah, I didn't meant to imply that I support a flat tax or think hong kong has a good model. In fact I support a massively more progressive tax system than we already have.

I was taking issue with another part of their logic where they are implying that what "works" in a single, highly urban area would work when applied to a giant heterogeneous country with much bigger and more diverse (maybe desirable or maybe not) fiscal obligations.

But yes, I agree with you, Hong Kong is an awful model to emulate, and it's not applicable to our situation even if we wanted to emulate them.
 
2012-01-31 06:39:43 PM
CBS News just reported that Mittens' favorability among independents has dropped from the 40's, to 23%.

Romney now has Newt's main weakness, but not Newt's strengths.
 
2012-01-31 06:41:40 PM
BojanglesPaladin: theknuckler_33: The optimal rate is not known yet conservatives or supply-side zealots always believe that we are on the non-optimal side closer to the 100% rate.

In exactly the same way that liberals and big-government zealots always believe that we are on the non-optimal side closer to the 0% rate?


But there is actually a lot of empirical evidence that supports the contention that increasing the rate would increase revenues. There are like a zillion links right in the wikipedia article if you bothered looking.
 
2012-01-31 06:43:11 PM
BojanglesPaladin: Dusk-You-n-Me: But yes, we need to raise rates on the upper brackets. And create some new brackets at the very top as well.

WHY?

Seriously. Why?

It would have a negligable impact on tax revenue. and do nothing to help the economy.

Explain to me why taxing the rich a little or a lot more will increase anyone's salary or produce more jobs.


Maybe we all want to try something different.

Maybe, just maybe, money spent on infrastructure and research and development creates new business opportunities ripe for exploitation?

Perhaps addressing the worst of the inequity in education as it varies from rich to poor districts returns high dividends for the country.

And perhaps because tax rates are near all time lows, those that can afford more should pay more.

They'll get it all back when the money cycles back to the top.
When those at the top keep most of their money out of the normal business cycle by keeping wages low, investing in paper instead of production, it's up to the government to make sure that money keeps flowing back down to the bottom.
 
2012-01-31 06:46:07 PM
bugontherug: CBS News just reported that Mittens' favorability among independents has dropped from the 40's, to 23%.

Romney now has Newt's main weakness, but not Newt's strengths.


What are Newt's strengths again?
 
2012-01-31 06:47:20 PM
randomjsa: As opposed to the Obama plan, which is to spend money and spend more money and pretend that this can all be paid for if we simply raise taxes.

If you tax all the people who make 10 million a year or more for 100% of their income, that's 250 billion a year.

You can run the government for 17 whole days on that under the current administration.

But noooo, we're not spending too much money, just because you could have this ridiculous "Buffet Rule" and it would do precisely jack squat to fix the deficit. Anything but cut entitlement spending, I mean after all, if you did the responsible thing that would actually save the country in the long run then liberals might not be able to stay in power by buying votes.


You do know that "jack squat", means none? If all Obama proposed was raising taxes on the top .01 percent, like you propose, you'd have a point but that isn't his proposal.

Even if his proposal was to tax all income over 10mil at 100%, 250 billion more in revenue a year would be a huge dent in our yearly federal budget, roughly cutting down by a fourth.

But making up stuff and spouting it off as fact sure does feeeeel good.
 
2012-01-31 06:47:23 PM
theknuckler_33: Their whole argument is that the only two known points are at 0% tax rate and 100% tax rate. The shape of the curve is unknown. It is drawn as a parabola for convenience. I don't think too many people, liberals included argue for a 50% top tax rate, but RexTalionis still has a valid point. The optimal rate is not known yet conservatives or supply-side zealots always believe that we are on the non-optimal side closer to the 100% rate.

Yes, exactly, that was my issue with the proponents of increasing government revenue purely by instituting tax cuts.

Obviously, the chart I drew in 5 minutes in GIMP wasn't meant to be to scale, but meant to be used in abstract only. Not sure why people got caught up by the chart itself.
 
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