That will teach teach them for Iowa...

Well, shiat.
Got friends traveling though there. Hope they take it off satellite radio enough to hear the forecast or just floor it to Florida.

Apologies.

Weather can be dangerous.

It might be God talking to you, amirite?

;)

Well dammit, it's not nearly close enough. With some luck, I won't have to worry about this week's furnace installation... but not likely.

/so long as my dogs are okay, though

New Farkin User Name: That will teach teach them for Iowa...

Someone didn't read the article.

Apos: That reminds me....SyFy's showing Mega Earthquake tomorrow....

Someone did read the article. That map looks a lot the like the New Madrid fault damage estimate maps.

Last night was freezing drizzle and now a tornado watch. Mother nature is having mood swings again.

Oh, and then there's that mass coronal ejection due tonight or tomorrow so your radio, computer and car will cease working all at once.

MutinousDoug: Oh, and then there's that mass coronal ejection due tonight or tomorrow so your radio, computer and car will cease working all at once.

Is that that M class one they were talking about a few days back or an entirely different one I haven't read about?

That's happening in the western middle east.

Can't find that it's a PDS, but it'll be interesting to watch from afar.

Guess I picked the wrong night to live blog from the city of New Orleans.

/tornado in Memphis still better than sunny day in Kankakee

12349876: New Farkin User Name: That will teach teach them for Iowa...

Someone didn't read the article.
My mistake, just wanted to be top comment and not seem like trolling by saying 'First!'

That's not the Midwest! Virtually all of that red area is in the South.

/looks at map in link.

So east of the middle of the country is "eastern midwest"?

How about just "mideast"?

Let me help out the coastal dwellers.
The far right is the Eastern US, to the left of that is the Mid-eastern US, then we have the Central US, THEN comes the Mid-West, and then the Western US. I know its hard to imagine, but seriously, not everything between the Eastern coast and California is "The Midwest".

s2s2s2: /looks at map in link.

So east of the middle of the country is "eastern midwest"?

How about just "mideast"?

Thank you. I was feeling dumb cause I was sitting there thinking "Oh, hmmm. I didn't know that. We're East AND West at the same time".

Geography challenged: Just click the little box that says "cities/towns".

Lee Bruns: Let me help out the coastal dwellers.
The far right is the Eastern US, to the left of that is the Mid-eastern US, then we have the Central US, THEN comes the Mid-West, and then the Western US. I know its hard to imagine, but seriously, not everything between the Eastern coast and California is "The Midwest".

Nope, you're plain wrong. The Midwest is to the East of the "Central" US. Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, all those places. The name goes way back early in American history, when anything west of Illinois up until you hit California was mostly unsettled by whites. It was all just "The West"

MutinousDoug: Oh, and then there's that mass coronal ejection due tonight or tomorrow so your radio, computer and car will cease working all at once.

Heh!

Lee Bruns: Let me help out the coastal dwellers.
The far right is the Eastern US, to the left of that is the Mid-eastern US, then we have the Central US, THEN comes the Mid-West, and then the Western US. I know its hard to imagine, but seriously, not everything between the Eastern coast and California is "The Midwest".

Those of us on either coast refer to everywhere in between as "The vast red flyover desert"

Thanks, subby. I live on the border of this mess and hadn't seen the warnings. I live not far from last year's massive outbreak in April. February is also a bad time for us. I'm heading to the basement now to check my supplies of Cheetos and Diet Coke.

Convective? Sounds like my spiffy new oven that cooks food in 25% less time, and without all that nasty radiation (although I do miss getting food hot in seconds):



Batten down the hatches, Midwestern/Southern Farkers, and good luck!

Civil_War2_Time: Can't find that it's a PDS, but it'll be interesting to watch from afar.

PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) is enhanced wording for watches. As of now, no watches have been issued. Latest mesoscale discussion does indicate a watch is likely. And, the day 1 convective outlook does mention "widepread severe weather" and a special public statement was issued. I'll bet Memphis southward through AR, wrn MS and nrn LA end up in a PDS watch before too long. 70 dewpoints along the coast this morning with a strong low level jet is very juicy and dynamic for January.

Two good resources for understanding the scope and timelines of the different SPC products.

http://spc.noaa.gov/misc/aboutus.html (new window)

&

http://spc.noaa.gov/misc/about.html (new window)

damn wind here in sw Oklahoma is carrying all the topsoil picked up in the Texas panhandle and it looks like a major fire. right now it is almost 70 degrees here and that front is supposed to hit so the west/southwest winds are going to turn west/northwest and the temps are going to drop like romney's numbers in South Carolina.

We'll be fine here in central Illinois, they are just saying we'll get some thunderstorms here.

Nerd time: The CAPE and lifted indices from the Arkansas soundings (and surrounding states) weren't showing great values last I checked (recently). Any FARK weathermen wanna tell me what I'm doing wrong?

s2s2s2: /looks at map in link.

So east of the middle of the country is "eastern midwest"?


I've always thought it was dumb, but places like Michigan and Iowa are generally called the "midwest" despite the fact that they're in the north north-eastern part of the country.

RagnarD: Civil_War2_Time: Can't find that it's a PDS, but it'll be interesting to watch from afar.

PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) is enhanced wording for watches. As of now, no watches have been issued. Latest mesoscale discussion does indicate a watch is likely. And, the day 1 convective outlook does mention "widepread severe weather" and a special public statement was issued. I'll bet Memphis southward through AR, wrn MS and nrn LA end up in a PDS watch before too long. 70 dewpoints along the coast this morning with a strong low level jet is very juicy and dynamic for January.

It's juicy for sure. I'm in hill country tx and it's 80 here. They have the moisture for it to work, and I bet it will.

ds_4815: Nerd time: The CAPE and lifted indices from the Arkansas soundings (and surrounding states) weren't showing great values last I checked (recently). Any FARK weathermen wanna tell me what I'm doing wrong?

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) is typically lower during winter severe weather outbreaks than spring. The jet dynamics make up for the lack of CAPE. 100+ KT jet will be swinging through the risk area soon making for some impressive helicities(amount of rotation/spin that a upward moving parcel undergoes)

Case in point, last year at this time in Alabama (new window)

RagnarD: ds_4815: Nerd time: The CAPE and lifted indices from the Arkansas soundings (and surrounding states) weren't showing great values last I checked (recently). Any FARK weathermen wanna tell me what I'm doing wrong?

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) is typically lower during winter severe weather outbreaks than spring. The jet dynamics make up for the lack of CAPE. 100+ KT jet will be swinging through the risk area soon making for some impressive helicities(amount of rotation/spin that a upward moving parcel undergoes)

Case in point, last year at this time in Alabama (new window)

...Well, shiat. Much obliged.

Civil_War2_Time: RagnarD: Civil_War2_Time: Can't find that it's a PDS, but it'll be interesting to watch from afar.

PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) is enhanced wording for watches. As of now, no watches have been issued. Latest mesoscale discussion does indicate a watch is likely. And, the day 1 convective outlook does mention "widepread severe weather" and a special public statement was issued. I'll bet Memphis southward through AR, wrn MS and nrn LA end up in a PDS watch before too long. 70 dewpoints along the coast this morning with a strong low level jet is very juicy and dynamic for January.

It's juicy for sure. I'm in hill country tx and it's 80 here. They have the moisture for it to work, and I bet it will.

I'm jealous. Weather in Arizona is monumentally boring. Maybe two or three fun storms a year during the monsoon season. And that's about it. I'm embarrassed to say I got a little giddy last night because it got a little windy!

ds_4815: RagnarD: ds_4815: Nerd time: The CAPE and lifted indices from the Arkansas soundings (and surrounding states) weren't showing great values last I checked (recently). Any FARK weathermen wanna tell me what I'm doing wrong?

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) is typically lower during winter severe weather outbreaks than spring. The jet dynamics make up for the lack of CAPE. 100+ KT jet will be swinging through the risk area soon making for some impressive helicities(amount of rotation/spin that a upward moving parcel undergoes)

Case in point, last year at this time in Alabama (new window)

...Well, shiat. Much obliged.

This little graph depicts cape vs shear well:

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS
ERN AR...SERN MO...SRN PARTS OF IL/IND...WRN PARTS OF KY/TN...NRN
MS...NWRN AL AND FAR NERN LA......

EXPECT MLCAPE TO INCREASE TO 500-1000 J/KG


¿En inglés, por favor?

Words cannot express how much I hate jargony codes. You're not sending these reports out using a telegraph key, there's no reason for this shiat. Knock it off.

Not again! We had Tornadoes earlier this week!

I try and watch outbreaks on the Accuweather forums cause I am a weather nerd... last years outbreaks were even worse than 2003 .. I hope there's nothing too severe here, I also have a friend in mid TN..will be watching this carefully

Well damn...

I'm right smack in the middle of the red zone.

Civil_War2_Time: RagnarD: Civil_War2_Time: Can't find that it's a PDS, but it'll be interesting to watch from afar.

PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) is enhanced wording for watches. As of now, no watches have been issued. Latest mesoscale discussion does indicate a watch is likely. And, the day 1 convective outlook does mention "widepread severe weather" and a special public statement was issued. I'll bet Memphis southward through AR, wrn MS and nrn LA end up in a PDS watch before too long. 70 dewpoints along the coast this morning with a strong low level jet is very juicy and dynamic for January.

It's juicy for sure. I'm in hill country tx and it's 80 here. They have the moisture for it to work, and I bet it will.

PDS! Right on time:




URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 5
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN AR AS THE LOW LEVELS DESTABILIZE
AND ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE AREA FROM W TO E...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER ERN OK. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE WILL
INCREASES THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS NE AR/WRN TN...AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A BROKEN BAND WITH BOTH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
AND EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS. VERTICAL SHEAR...MOISTURE...AND THE
MIXED STORM MODES WILL FAVOR A RISK OF A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THROUGH
TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...THOMPSON

puppypants: subaudio: Lee Bruns: Let me help out the coastal dwellers.
The far right is the Eastern US, to the left of that is the Mid-eastern US, then we have the Central US, THEN comes the Mid-West, and then the Western US. I know its hard to imagine, but seriously, not everything between the Eastern coast and California is "The Midwest".

Nope, you're plain wrong. The Midwest is to the East of the "Central" US. Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, all those places. The name goes way back early in American history, when anything west of Illinois up until you hit California was mostly unsettled by whites. It was all just "The West"


yeah, no

Yeah, yeah.

Interesting.

When I Weenersed earlier, Little Rock had a little cell far away, but they (WU) said between 5-8 for explosive development in that area. SE of there looks like it might get pounded.

Oh, dear. I work remotely for a company in AR.

I hope they'll be okay... O_o