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(BBC)   Twenty top predictions for life 100 years from now - strange... no mention of anyone assuming control   (bbc.co.uk) divider line 152
    More: Asinine, Langley Research Center, industrial agriculture, developed country, shale gas, materials science, singularity, electrical signals  
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19010 clicks; posted to Main » on 16 Jan 2012 at 10:29 AM (2 years ago)   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»



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2012-01-16 11:17:01 AM
Attention all planets of The Solar Federation: We Have Assumed Control.
 
2012-01-16 11:19:11 AM
"#12 California will lead the break-up of the US (Dev 2)

IP: Likelihood 8/10. There are some indications already that California wants to split off and such pressures tend to build over time. It is hard to see this waiting until the end of the century. Maybe an East Coast cluster will want to break off too. Pressures come from the enormous differences in wealth generation capability, and people not wanting to fund others if they can avoid it."

Pressures come from the enormous differences in wealth generation capability, and people not wanting to fund others if they can avoid it."

FYI to the who came up with these predictions fail for #12 as this has already happen in California BUT within the state.
Those who create, produce and work have and are leaving because they are sick of having more and more of their income stolen to pay for those who don't.
California has been begging for more Federal funding for years now and is no longer the Golden State as it has been plundered beyond easy repair.
 
2012-01-16 11:19:43 AM

Cooper420: As long as everything is taken care of, the books I read, the songs I sing, the pictures that give pleasure my eyes.
I want it to me all for one and one for all, working together without need to wonder how or why

Oh, and some giant computers filling hallowed halls.

Maybe then the Meek shall inherit the earth.


The meek always have and always will inherit the earth:
www.tate.org.uk
 
2012-01-16 11:22:18 AM

Harry Freakstorm: 3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)


Ahh, I see we've learned QA's alt.
 
2012-01-16 11:23:24 AM
I see no mention of the wars fought by the divisions of the Shipstone company
 
2012-01-16 11:26:27 AM

theorellior: Harry Freakstorm: 3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

Ahh, I see we've learned QA's alt.


Then we can send him to the stars aboard a ramship with the seed packages for terraforming worlds so the state may live on.
 
2012-01-16 11:26:49 AM
Predictions of the Year 2000
from The Ladies Home Journal of December 1900
(new window)

Considerably shortened from the original:

John Elfreth Watkins, Jr. "What May Happen in the Next Hundred Years".

Mr. Watkins wrote: "These prophecies will seem strange, almost impossible. Yet, they have come from the most learned and conservative minds in America. To the wisest and most careful men in our greatest institutions of science and learning I have gone, asking each in his turn to forecast for me what, in his opinion, will have been wrought in his own field of investigation before the dawn of 2001 - a century from now. These opinions I have carefully transcribed."

Prediction #1: There will probably be from 350,000,000 to 500,000,000 people in America and its possessions by the lapse of another century. Nicaragua will ask for admission to our Union after the completion of the great canal. Mexico will be next. Europe, seeking more territory to the south of us, will cause many of the South and Central American republics to be voted into the Union by their own people."

Prediction #2: The American will be taller by from one to two inches. His increase of stature will result from better health, due to vast reforms in medicine, sanitation, food and athletics. He will live fifty years instead of thirty-five as at present - for he will reside in the suburbs. The city house will practically be no more. Building in blocks will be illegal. The trip from suburban home to office will require a few minutes only. A penny will pay the fare.

Prediction #3: Gymnastics will begin in the nursery, where toys and games will be designed to strengthen the muscles. Exercise will be compulsory in the schools. Every school, college and community will have a complete gymnasium. All cities will have public gymnasiums. A man or woman unable to walk ten miles at a stretch will be regarded as a weakling.

Prediction #4: There Will Be No Street Cars in Our Large Cities. All hurry traffic will be below or high above ground when brought within city limits. In most cities it will be confined to broad subways or tunnels, well lighted and well ventilated, or to high trestles with "moving-sidewalk" stairways leading to the top.

Prediction #5: Trains will run two miles a minute, normally; express trains one hundred and fifty miles an hour. To go from New York to San Francisco will take a day and a night by fast express. There will be cigar-shaped electric locomotives hauling long trains of cars.

Prediction #6: Automobiles will be cheaper than horses are today. Farmers will own automobile hay-wagons, automobile truck-wagons, plows, harrows and hay-rakes. A one-pound motor in one of these vehicles will do the work of a pair of horses or more. Children will ride in automobile sleighs in winter. Automobiles will have been substituted for every horse vehicle now known.

Prediction #7: There will be air-ships, but they will not successfully compete with surface cars and water vessels for passenger or freight traffic. They will be maintained as deadly war-vessels by all military nations. Some will transport men and goods. Others will be used by scientists making observations at great heights above the earth.

Prediction #8: Aerial War-Ships and Forts on Wheels. Giant guns will shoot twenty-five miles or more, and will hurl anywhere within such a radius shells exploding and destroying whole cities. Such guns will be armed by aid of compasses when used on land or sea, and telescopes when directed from great heights. Fleets of air-ships, hiding themselves with dense, smoky mists, thrown off by themselves as they move, will float over cities, fortifications, camps or fleets. They will surprise foes below by hurling upon them deadly thunderbolts.

Prediction #9: Photographs will be telegraphed from any distance. If there be a battle in China a hundred years hence snapshots of its most striking events will be published in the newspapers an hour later.

Prediction #10: Man will See Around the World. Persons and things of all kinds will be brought within focus of cameras connected electrically with screens at opposite ends of circuits, thousands of miles at a span. American audiences in their theatres will view upon huge curtains before them the coronations of kings in Europe or the progress of battles in the Orient.

Prediction #11: No Mosquitoes nor Flies. Insect screens will be unnecessary. Mosquitoes, house-flies and roaches will have been practically exterminated.

Prediction #12: Peas as Large as Beets. Peas and beans will be as large as beets are to-day. Sugar cane will produce twice as much sugar as the sugar beet now does. Cane will once more be the chief source of our sugar supply.

Prediction #13: Strawberries as Large as Apples will be eaten by our great-great-grandchildren for their Christmas dinners a hundred years hence.

Prediction #14: Black, Blue and Green Roses. Roses will be as large as cabbage heads. Violets will grow to the size of orchids. A pansy will be as large in diameter as a sunflower.

Prediction #15: No Foods will be Exposed. Storekeepers who expose food to air breathed out by patrons or to the atmosphere of the busy streets will be arrested with those who sell stale or adulterated produce. Liquid-air refrigerators will keep great quantities of food fresh for long intervals.

Prediction #16: There will be No C, X or Q in our every-day alphabet.

Prediction #17: How Children will be Taught. A university education will be free to every man and woman. Several great national universities will have been established. Children will study a simple English grammar adapted to simplified English, and not copied after the Latin. Time will be saved by grouping like studies. Poor students will be given free board, free clothing and free books if ambitious and actually unable to meet their school and college expenses.

Prediction #18: Telephones Around the World. Wireless telephone and telegraph circuits will span the world. A husband in the middle of the Atlantic will be able to converse with his wife sitting in her boudoir in Chicago.

Prediction #19: Grand Opera will be telephoned to private homes, and will sound as harmonious as though enjoyed from a theatre box. Automatic instruments reproducing original airs exactly will bring the best music to the families of the untalented.

Prediction #20: Coal will not be used for heating or cooking. It will be scarce, but not entirely exhausted. The earth's hard coal will last until the year 2050 or 2100; its soft-coal mines until 2200 or 2300. Meanwhile both kinds of coal will have become more and more expensive. Man will have found electricity manufactured by waterpower to be much cheaper.

Prediction #21: Hot and Cold Air from Spigots. Hot or cold air will be turned on from spigots to regulate the temperature of a house as we now turn on hot or cold water from spigots to regulate the temperature of the bath.

Prediction #22: Store Purchases by Tube. Pneumatic tubes, instead of store wagons, will deliver packages and bundles. These tubes will collect, deliver and transport mail over certain distances, perhaps for hundreds of miles.

Prediction #23: Ready-cooked meals will be bought from establishments similar to our bakeries of today. They will purchase materials in tremendous wholesale quantities and sell the cooked foods at a price much lower than the cost of individual cooking. Food will be served hot or cold to private houses in pneumatic tubes or automobile wagons.

Prediction #24: Vegetables Grown by Electricity. Winter will be turned into summer and night into day by the farmer.

Prediction #25: Oranges will grow in Philadelphia. Fast-flying refrigerators on land and sea will bring delicious fruits from the tropics and southern temperate zone within a few days.

Prediction #26: Strawberries as large as apples will be eaten by our great great grandchildren for their Christmas dinners a hundred years hence.

Prediction #27: Few drugs will be swallowed or taken into the stomach unless needed for the direct treatment of that organ itself. Drugs needed by the lungs, for instance, will be applied directly to those organs through the skin and flesh.

Prediction #28: There will be no wild animals except in menageries. Rats and mice will have been exterminated. The horse will have become practically extinct.

Prediction #29: To England in Two Days. Fat electric ships, crossing the ocean at more than a mile a minute, will go from New York to Liverpool in two days.
 
2012-01-16 11:26:55 AM

Bacontastesgood: madgonad: And since we don't MAKE ANYTHING here anymore, there will be no recovery.

[clipartist.net image 555x703]


While you facepalm, he faps.
 
2012-01-16 11:28:03 AM

Cooper420: As long as everything is taken care of, the books I read, the songs I sing, the pictures that give pleasure my eyes.
I want it to me all for one and one for all, working together without need to wonder how or why

Oh, and some giant computers filling hallowed halls.

Maybe then the Meek shall inherit the earth.


By the way, you have that song stuck in my head now -I hope you're happy.
 
2012-01-16 11:28:04 AM
21. 95.2% of all 100 year predictions will fail.
 
2012-01-16 11:28:11 AM
1. Yes, assuming the oceans haven't being ruined by toxins or CO2. Might not be habitable by anything but jellyfish and slime by 2112.
2. Maybe, if they find a way of implanting cell phones in our heads / bodies. donotwant.jpg
3. In just a hundred years? Nah. Five hundred years from now? We may well have engineered ourself into something that can no longer be called "human."
4. No.
5. Yes.
6. I doubt it. Also, notsureifwant.jpg
7. I doubt it.
8. I'm not sure we'll be able to pack the necessary power sources and computing power in a nanobot for it to be able to do more than the most basic things.
9. Nuclear fusion will always be twenty years away. Besides, we may well discover that the energy required to maintain fusion is so large that it really isn't worth it.
10. In daily use? Maybe.
11. 100% of the secular states with have legalized gay marriage (assuming there still is such a thing as marriage). 0% of the theocracies.
13. Doubtful. This requires major advances WTR materials and engineering, plus politicians willing to start something like this, plus people willing to foot the bill, and, IIRC I read something about space elevators not really being possible because of something about orbital instabilities ... I cant remember.
17. Quite possible. Annual, though?
18. Nope.
19. Nope.
20. About as likely as with every country.
21. Something disruptive that nobody could have foreseen will happen in the next 100 years. Technology, nature, politics, whatever.
22. A hundred years from now, somebody will read this list and smirk.
 
2012-01-16 11:33:38 AM

sgleason818: Prediction #16: There will be No C, X or Q in our every-day alphabet.


Some of those predictions were surprisingly accurate; yet some, like this one, just make no sense.
 
2012-01-16 11:34:10 AM
AM will laugh at the last 5 "humans" it has to torture
 
2012-01-16 11:37:11 AM
Thanks, subby.

Sigh*
I love Fark
 
2012-01-16 11:38:52 AM
One thing we can count on - the Powers That Be will continue to view dystopian novels as how-to manuals.
 
2012-01-16 11:41:44 AM

miss diminutive: sgleason818: Prediction #16: There will be No C, X or Q in our every-day alphabet.

Some of those predictions were surprisingly accurate; yet some, like this one, just make no sense.


Plus, the dude who wrote that article called him out on this one. This guy was pretty close to what it's like texting with a teenager...
 
2012-01-16 11:43:33 AM
I need some priests.
 
2012-01-16 11:51:51 AM
I like the rhyming version of this better:

In the year 2525.....
 
2012-01-16 11:54:42 AM

Sticky Hands: I like the rhyming version of this better:

In the year 2525.....


......25 the backwards time machine still has not arrived.
images.wikia.com
 
2012-01-16 11:55:01 AM
80% of the world will be gay married via annual contract and selectively inseminating each other artificially?

Man, the future is going to be soooooo gay.
 
2012-01-16 11:56:07 AM
OMG HOW DID FARK GREENLIGHT A RUSH REFERENCE ithoughteveryoneonfarkhatedrushandgeddysshrieking
 
2012-01-16 11:59:44 AM

fireclown: MAYORBOB: I predict one of the questions most frequently asked in 2112 will be "what was fark?"

No. It will be "what can this strange device be?"


Hmm, when you touch it, does it give forth a sound?
 
2012-01-16 12:00:24 PM

DanZero: OMG HOW DID FARK GREENLIGHT A RUSH REFERENCE ithoughteveryoneonfarkhatedrushandgeddysshrieking


Fark is just a bunch of Stevos, don't take us serious.
 
2012-01-16 12:08:36 PM

Tyrosine: miss diminutive: 3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

Those same robots better make us infertile or things are going to get crowded very quickly.

They forgot to mention that such advancements will only be available to the wealthy. The plebeians still get to die.


If you think the ruling elite of rich people with too much power is bad now, you might have to rethink........

Rebels? release the neurotoxin bacteria that only we are augmented to resist and start off the next batch of clone-slaves...
 
2012-01-16 12:09:37 PM
Attention planets of the Solar Federation. Attention planets of the Solar Federation.

We have assumed control.

We have assumed control.

/But WHO has assumed control?
 
2012-01-16 12:10:21 PM
 
2012-01-16 12:29:39 PM

miss diminutive: 3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

Those same robots better make us infertile or things are going to get crowded very quickly.


Taking your pic out of your profile is a crime against humanity.
 
2012-01-16 12:29:44 PM

DrKwang: For comparison....

Predictions Of What 2011 Would Be Like From A 1911 Newspaper (new window)


Not bad. Most of them were spot on. Some I wish were true (Free education for all!?). A few were ridiculous.
 
2012-01-16 12:30:56 PM

verbaltoxin: Attention planets of the Solar Federation. Attention planets of the Solar Federation.

We have assumed control.

We have assumed control.

/But WHO has assumed control?


Some say it was the Elder Race, some others believe it was a power greater than the Solar Federation themselves. They were wise to leave it as open-ended as they did. I still ponder, what would have happened if our intrepid young hero was alive to see this historic event?
 
2012-01-16 12:31:35 PM

DanZero: ithoughteveryoneonfarkhatedrushandgeddysshrieking


Cry moar emo boy.
 
2012-01-16 12:32:04 PM

verbaltoxin: /But WHO has assumed control?


The Elder Race, return to claim the home where they belong. Home to tear the temples down, home to change.
 
2012-01-16 12:32:11 PM

jeanwearinfool: miss diminutive: 3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

Those same robots better make us infertile or things are going to get crowded very quickly.

Taking your pic out of your profile is a crime against humanity.


I would also now like to see these pics.
 
2012-01-16 12:38:06 PM

DanZero: verbaltoxin: Attention planets of the Solar Federation. Attention planets of the Solar Federation.

We have assumed control.

We have assumed control.

/But WHO has assumed control?

Some say it was the Elder Race, some others believe it was a power greater than the Solar Federation themselves. They were wise to leave it as open-ended as they did. I still ponder, what would have happened if our intrepid young hero was alive to see this historic event?


I'm not sure, but I hope the rumors about Rush doing 2112 in its entirety on tour are true. I would love to see that whole album played in full, and maybe a statement from the band on just who it was that took over at the end of the suite.
 
2012-01-16 12:46:31 PM

verbaltoxin: DanZero: verbaltoxin: Attention planets of the Solar Federation. Attention planets of the Solar Federation.

We have assumed control.

We have assumed control.

/But WHO has assumed control?

Some say it was the Elder Race, some others believe it was a power greater than the Solar Federation themselves. They were wise to leave it as open-ended as they did. I still ponder, what would have happened if our intrepid young hero was alive to see this historic event?

I'm not sure, but I hope the rumors about Rush doing 2112 in its entirety on tour are true. I would love to see that whole album played in full, and maybe a statement from the band on just who it was that took over at the end of the suite.


I have read reports on that too. After they did The Camera Eye for the Time Machine Tour, Geddy said they wouldn't put it past them that they'd do the full 2112 again. The live version found on Different Stages is nice, but there's that and so many more long tracks they could do (Cygnus X1 Book II!)
 
2012-01-16 01:01:07 PM

miss diminutive: Tyrosine: miss diminutive: 3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

Those same robots better make us infertile or things are going to get crowded very quickly.

They forgot to mention that such advancements will only be available to the wealthy. The plebeians still get to die.

Well crap. Since we're both on Fark I guess that means we'll both be fertilizing the soil together at some point in the future.

To mortality! *clink*


Should have gone to Ivy (new window). Then we could afford to live forever.
 
2012-01-16 01:02:04 PM
12. California will lead the break-up of the US (Dev 2)

IP: Likelihood 8/10. There are some indications already that California wants to split off and such pressures tend to build over time. It is hard to see this waiting until the end of the century. Maybe an East Coast cluster will want to break off too. Pressures come from the enormous differences in wealth generation capability, and people not wanting to fund others if they can avoid it.


Yeah...California will be the first to secede...sure.

/rolls eyes at whole list
 
2012-01-16 01:11:38 PM
21. The Singularity will still be 30 years away.
 
2012-01-16 01:16:34 PM

genner: cig-mkr: My prediction is this:
Not one of you reading this will be around to see if they come true.
99.999 % certain of that.

3. Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal (game_over)

Always that 0.001% chance of error.


HAHAHAHAHAHA! Jokes on you, hasn't anyone considered the Mayan calendar?
It's all over in December !
Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal

Well they better get going on that one, if it's not completed within, say the next 20 years, it won't be much use for most of us, will it? How old are you now?
 
2012-01-16 01:20:56 PM

LDM90: 21. The Singularity will still be 30 years away.


Kurzweil will still be proclaiming this from his cybernetic chassis
 
2012-01-16 01:24:23 PM

DrKwang: For comparison....

Predictions Of What 2011 Would Be Like From A 1911 Newspaper (new window)


A lot of those are pretty accurate if you get a little creative.
 
2012-01-16 01:26:05 PM
A hundred years from now, translation software will be ubiquitous and very accurate and people will be friends or acquaintances with folks of many nationalities without even thinking about what language is being spoken, except when deliberately speaking or say, singing, together in a mutually agreed tongue. This will have profound effects on media as trans-national multicultures infuse film and TV and theatre experience. We all become a little more cosmopolitan in outlook, and a little more interested in worldwide politics, because it affects people we know and like. Business becomes more international.

Interracial marriage continues to grow in the US and the "typical" American will look more and more like a "typical" Hawaiian resident of today. Your aryan-looking caucasian will be a minority, but the distinction itself will not be something most people think much about, outside of fringe racist groups.

China seems bent on reliving every phase of the Western hemisphere's industrial-age mistakes, instead of leapfrogging them. I anticipate things coming to a head with another, very bloody, Chinese Revolution, where the pretenses of their Communist Past AND their business-driven Authoritarian present give way to some more mature system. It won't look like Western democracy. But it likely will work more efficiently. And enforcement will still be brutal in comparison.

Africa will begin to get it's shiat together in a confederation, driven by mineral wealth in rare earths and metals needed for the future green economy, brushfire wars will continue as old tribalisms and ethnic feuds are stamped out by force. The US will stay away, except for humanitarian aid, to concentrate foreign relations activities on getting friendly with South American nations that have the same kinds of minerals, closer to home. We will add one or more states to the Union, from Puerto Rico becoming a full state, or the protectorates opting for statehood, or both. But fewer people will care as the nation's population tends to think in more disassociated, decentralized terms about national identity. Mexico will undergo paroxisms and be unstable for decades, forcing a more US military presence at the border. Canada becomes even more important to us and relations reflect that new relationship. At the same time, Florida will finally get over Castro, Cuba will get over Kennedy, and American trade and travel to and from Cuba will be in full swing, as Cuba becomes a better version of Vegas plus Hawaii.

America will still be using petroleum fuels, but no longer importing them. Enough is being produced thru drilling as well as bio-refining, to cover needs, and prices will become relatively stable. Electric and hybrid cars and trucks will have better than 50 percent market penetration, and Detroit will be back at work, building these vehicles, though never as big as before, since plants will be more widely distributed across the nation.
The battery/supercapacitor storage problem will have been solved to make the electric car truly practical, and a spin-off from that tech is that individual homes can finally take themselves off the grid with practical wind and solar systems, maintaining only a trickle of grid-based power, which now mostly feeds industry. Instead of large powerplants, smaller, unnoticed, clean-running neighborhood fuel cell stacks feed sub-grids across a city. Terra-power type TWT nuclear plants work out, and major cities buy them and become their own utility companies. America gets "over" nuclear-phobia once safer designs are proven, and atomic power becomes about a third of the base grid in the US.

Along with neighborhood power plants, you will see occasional urban farm operations, typically a combined fish farm/hydroponic vegetable greenhouse operation running in a closed-lop or semi-closed loop system. The "farm" looks like any other industrial building from the outside, only with maybe more glass on top and sides for the hydroponics.

Global warming will have gotten worse, and deniers from our era will be cursed by those generations as they try to manage the effects of climate change. Weather patterns mutate, croplands shift North and East, major floods in the interior match misery on the coasts from super storms. Animals and insects migrate into new ranges, and new pests and insect-borne illnesses appear where they never did before. Canada gets warmer longer, they become a huge source of corn, wheat, and soybeans, as well as cattle and pork, competing with a troubled US Midwest. Coastal fisheries will be mostly enclosed factory fish farming operations. Coast Guard cutters with loaded guns will chase off foreign trawlers after depleted wild stocks in our territorial waters.

There will be a supersonic passenger plane service like Concorde, but limited to a few trans-continental corridors and to international business and elite recreational travel. High-speed rail will still lag other countries, but you will have it all working on at least one run east - west and up and down both coasts at 150 mph at least. Flying cars work, but only as military, police, fire, and ambulance vehicles, and as charter vehicles, replacing helicopters, but will be no more common than helos are today. Flying limos will land movie stars at the Oscar ceremonies, but only as a stunt. They will remain highly regulated. Personal cars give way to upgraded public transport, you use your own car less during the week and more on weekends. It has active sensors and AI far beyond today's GPS nav systems, and will reliably self-drive with excellent safety. You earn a discount for letting the car drive for you in daily commutes, and it "valets" itself to remote parking and recharging when you go to your work or whatever, returning when you summon it. Many people dispense with car ownership and use a taxi-like micro-rental service as needed for personal transport, where public systems don't serve well. The car self-delivers to you at the curb. Personal air travel will rely much more on direct routes to smaller regional airports, and less on hub-and-spoke systems, which are now mostly for cargo.

An international Mars expedition will land a team on the Red Planet, they will stay six months before returning. They will find fossilized life evidence and perhaps a very simple, highly specialized extremophile brine-loving bacteria in some niche layer of Martian soil. At least one person will be lost on the expedition and there will be a huge debate on where they will be interred: on Mars, in space, or on Earth. Follow-up missions will be hard to finance, compared to outer-planet explorations, moon-mining or asteroid-mining projects. People in general will feel we are "done" with Mars, once we put footprints on it, until practical terraforming tech is invented. There will be as many as four, substantial, permanent low-earth-orbit space stations, though ISS will have been abandoned and de-orbited or kicked into a high "museum" orbit. The new stations will be mostly commercial and tourism-related affairs, reached thru private rockets and rocket-planes. One of them, the largest and most advanced, will have spin-based gravity. A tether or beanstalk space elevator system will be in active development, but far from active construction yet. More sea-based construction and habitation will be happening, following seabed mining and fish farming. Taiwan, Japan, and Korea will build real mega-structure arcologies. One will be proposed for New Orleans but not built. A modest one will go up in Gary, Indiana, as an answer to high real estate costs in Chicago. Manhattan Island will have huge protective seawalls built around it as sea levels rise and coastal storms worsen. The New Madrid fault will cut loose with a bad quake in the middle of a hard winter, more lives will be lost in the aftermath than the actual quake, mostly in Kentucky and Tennessee. Nashville will be a disaster area.


Medicine will be exciting over the next 100 years, in positive and negative ways. Nanotech and genetic engineering mean a lot of things that kill us today, like heart attacks, diabetes, obesity-related illness, and cancers, are much more preventable and treatable. Organ transplantation and regeneration/repair has been improved and expanded. Life span for people that can afford top level care will be consistently around the century mark, with much higher quality of life at that age: 100 will feel like only 75. Outliers might live to 120 until their bodies finally give out. Body modification will go far beyond tattooing (which is then easily reversible as hair color is today) and piercings, to more outlandish decorations and more and more integration of personal electronics. Your "phone" and it's functions will be implanted in your body, you can tap the net anywhere at any time, you don't need to carry a wallet except for cash for the underground economy. All ID is biometric, and most transactions are simple as putting your hand on the counter for a second or making a gesture. Passwords are rare. Thanks to vaccines and vaccine-like nano-mechanical and gene-based treatments, as well as more predictive and diagnostic tools, and helpful substances incorporated into daily foods, even people on low-level medical care will live better and have lifespans into their 80's and 90's. Obesity will be easily treatable and controlled much like allergies are today. Though 100 years from now, allergies will be relatively rare. On the down-side, some new diseases and pandemics will emerge, some as biowar effects. Fighting them drives additional progress in medical tech. New addictive and non-addictive drugs will make crack and meth look very primitive by comparison. Recreational drugs will be more widespread, and new rules will evolve to integrate their use into society. Drugs will become largely separated from crime, forcing organized crime into other pursuits like vice and finance. Street crime will drop because you won't need to steal to afford recreational drugs, even if unemployed.

Office jobs are not often in "offices" any more, and are mostly done by telepresence, which is a two-edged sword since thanks to ubiquitous translation and communication you now compete for a job on a world-wide labor market, not just in your city of residence, and your office mates may be on the other side of the world. Blue collar work now requires a college degree at minimum. Guilds come back strong to train and regulate specific jobs. Unions don't look the same as today: they exist, but form and re-form in constant flux, they become short-term niche-based bargaining groups for specific goals, combining characteristics of LLC's and facebook friends lists. Your salary, pension funds and benefits, insurance and medical care and investment portfolio are practically their own secondary form of currency, hyper-portable and constantly traveling, looking for the best deal. Credit card companies evolve to run off this ebb and flow. Every person is also their own corporation.

Interpersonally-speaking, marriage as we know it still exists a century from now, but it's just one option in a marketplace of alternative arrangements that all carry equal legal and financial obligations, but some are less permanent and restrictive than others. Often young people will try one or another of these other arrangements first, until they meet "the one" they want to spend 80 years with. The kids that are raised in this kind of world tend to reflect the personalities of kids raised communally in modern kibbutzem or communes. They may have problems with single-person intimacy and prefer a small group dynamic. They could be more "tribal" in a sense. They may have trouble forming attachments and stay single longer. They will tend to be more rootless, more willing to relocate and not stay in one place too long, following wherever work or personal interests take them. In turn, institutions that rely on rooted people will suffer and will need to transform to survive.
 
2012-01-16 01:28:05 PM

madgonad: My prediction:

World population less than 1 billion. Nothing close to an operating government, society mostly resembles what we had in the dark ages (feudalism). Women are chattel again. Slavery exists as it did in Roman times. Average life expectancy in the 30s.

When it crashes, it will crash hard. Think Fallout, but without the radioactive wasteland. Millions of desperate people would lay waste to the infrastructure far more effectively than nuclear bombs....

Hell, we have an economic downturn and the looters of society immediately start stripping the copper out of expensive air conditioning units and the catalytic converters out of functioning cars. And since we don't MAKE ANYTHING here anymore, there will be no recovery.


"I don't want to set the world on fire..."
 
2012-01-16 01:30:05 PM
What about abundant resources and unlimited energy because of new technologies, so no need for money, war or separate countries?

I guess we can't predict peace on earth or we look like a bunch of commies.
 
2012-01-16 01:34:33 PM
SUBBY: That's because the galaxy-wide war that sets up the solar federation happens in 2062. George Jetson unavailable for comment.
 
Esn
2012-01-16 01:34:36 PM
"10. There will only be three languages in the world - English, Spanish and Mandarin (Bill Walker)

IP: Likelihood 8/10. This does look like a powerful trend, other languages don't stand a lot of chance."

Hahah! Yeah, right! Sorry, there's no chance of this at all. Countries that are doing fairly well now (i.e. Russia, Japan, India) or that are sufficiently isolated from 1st world trends (rural parts of the 3rd world) will not want to give up their entire history just to make communication with the global-leader-of-the-decade a little easier. This prediction is absolutely ridiculous. If anything, things are moving in the other direction - the internet can now have domain names that are not written in Latin scripts.
 
2012-01-16 01:36:31 PM
Yes, we know, it's nothing new; it's just a waste of time.
 
2012-01-16 01:36:37 PM
But will I be able to get a skull gun?
 
2012-01-16 01:40:05 PM
Hollywood has given un 2 diametrically opposing theories around the time of 2151:
Star Trek - A unified eutopic world with devices to improve our lives in a symbiotic relationship with Earth while seeking new info.
Avatar/Terra Nova - We have destroyed our planet with wars, pollution, and gluttony, so in seeking salvation, we start destroying others.

I tend to side with the Avatar/Terra Nova outcome, given our current outlook on life. Not only that, it seems as though the US is using ancient Rome as a template for its future existence.
 
2012-01-16 01:41:32 PM
My god these are retarded.

/No, you cannot predict something that far in the future based on current trends, because you cannot account for unknown variables.
 
2012-01-16 01:50:22 PM

AaronB1138: I've never really heard any desire on the part of California though, they're pretty dependent on federal funding at the moment, not to mention they lack the appropriate population mixture to maintain a suitable military.


i26.tinypic.com

California has paid more into Federal coffers than they've taken out since 1986, and the trend has been that they've increased that role in more recent years (new window, page 5).

Also: "appropriate polulation mixture" for the military? WTF? There's a warrior caste now?
 
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