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(The New York Times) Amusing The latest economic prediction model, based on one rack-solid indicator: nail polish   (nytimes.com) divider line 24
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3483 clicks; posted to Main » on 14 Dec 2011 at 11:58 AM   |  Favorite    |   share:  Share on Twitter share via Email Share on Facebook   more»   |    Get this fabulous T-Shirt and impress the methane out of your friends! shirt it!



24 Comments   (+0 »)
   
 
2011-12-14 12:00:44 PM
Wouldn't the rack-solid indicator be boobies?
 
2011-12-14 12:04:07 PM
abhorrent1: Wouldn't the rack-solid indicator be boobies?

*Rimshot
 
2011-12-14 12:05:16 PM
nice 'rack'.
 
2011-12-14 12:05:29 PM
Did someone say rack?
 
2011-12-14 12:06:53 PM
is this article related to the earlier one about 'co-eds' working their way through school by stripping?
 
2011-12-14 12:10:14 PM
I prefer the Vixen indicator...
 
2011-12-14 12:12:26 PM
Not a bookmark.
 
2011-12-14 12:16:22 PM
TFA: "For reasons nobody quite understands, the lipstick indicator doesn't hold up anymore,"

It's pretty easy to understand. It was a weak, temporary and ultimately irrelevant correlation, even at the time. It was no more scientific --and thereby no more useful in understanding our world or making useful predictions-- than a win streak by the monkey stock broker. (i.e. A win streak by a stock picking monkey is no indication of that monkey's instinctual or intellectual grasp on financial markets. It should not lead you to put all your money in monkey-managed mutual funds. This largely applies to human stock brokers.)

And this nail polish shiat is the same thing. You could hold up any set of data next to the economy and find a trend if you look hard enough. Hell, you could put the results of a roulette wheel next to the economy and draw some short-reference-frame correlations. But that sure as shiat doesn't prove the predictive power of the roulette wheel in determining where the economy is or is going.

Morans.
 
2011-12-14 12:17:59 PM
Economy's still sagging.

/needs more gelatin
 
2011-12-14 12:18:58 PM
28.media.tumblr.com

/fresh out of nail polish
//plenty of racks left, though
 
2011-12-14 12:37:22 PM
"Women's underwear sales are down, which historically suggests intense frugality and more rough times ahead it's the most wonderful time of the year."

TFA/FTFY
 
2011-12-14 12:45:43 PM
KrispyKritter: "Women's underwear sales are down, which historically suggests intense frugality and more rough times ahead it's the most wonderful time of the year."

TFA/FTFY


images.icanhascheezburger.com
 
2011-12-14 01:02:32 PM
Rack? Is that supposed to be rock, but spelled in the way some stupid people spell 'stomp' as 'stamp'?

/or is there a joke currently flying overhead?
 
2011-12-14 01:19:10 PM
FTFA
"Sales of cardboard boxes, because everything from electronics to clothing is packaged in them, should also be a strong indicator of economic rejuvenation. (Current production - enough to paper over the entire state of Maryland - portends recovery.) "

Not such a positive sign if people are using them as housing....


germ78: Rack? Is that supposed to be rock, but spelled in the way some stupid people spell 'stomp' as 'stamp'?

/or is there a joke currently flying overhead?


You act like you've never seen a typo.

/not subby
 
2011-12-14 01:21:46 PM
Ha ha oh wow.

/solid racks absent in this thread
 
2011-12-14 01:23:29 PM
quickdraw: FTFA
"Sales of cardboard boxes, because everything from electronics to clothing is packaged in them, should also be a strong indicator of economic rejuvenation. (Current production - enough to paper over the entire state of Maryland - portends recovery.) "

Not such a positive sign if people are using them as housing....


Or heat for that matter. I'm getting tons more cardboard than I used to. Because I've moved a lot of 'random small stuff' purchases to Amazon Prime. Buying less in total, just because I'm not tempted by in-store marketing. The excess cardboard gets rolled up tightly and fed to the woodstove.
 
2011-12-14 03:10:55 PM
"the lipstick indicator doesn't hold up anymore" - not that hard to understand. Fewer people wear lipstick now. It used to be an everyday thing for just about all women, everywhere, now not so much. It's more common among my group of friends to only wear lipstick to a formal occasion, and clear gloss or chapstick at other times. Same as hosiery - it's an older age group thing.
 
2011-12-14 03:44:26 PM
I am convinced that the hot waitress theory is accurate. If you notice that your barista is way to hot to be working in a coffee shop, you know things are bad.
 
2011-12-14 04:12:29 PM
badhatharry: I am convinced that the hot waitress theory is accurate. If you notice that your barista is way to hot to be working in a coffee shop, you know things are bad.

Only applies to major metropolitan areas. In out of the way rural places, you get to see a lot of hotties working as baristas and servers. That's because there just aren't that many jobs available. But in a big place like SF or NY, if you're hot enough and smart enough, you should definitely be able to land a cool gig doing something more than waitressing.
 
2011-12-14 05:29:48 PM
dericwater: if you're hot enough and smart enough, you should definitely be able to land a cool gig doing something more than waitressing.


Smart has never had anything to do with jobs. Least of all for attractive women.

After about ~120 it becomes self defeating. Consider an interview and the question of salary. High IQ guy: "Well with the current cost of living, federal poverty line and cost of education 35k a year seems about right to afford independence without living on credit" Average IQ guy: "I don't know? 25k maybe?" Average IQ girl with nice rack:"25k I guess." All have the same degree from the same school. Who gets the job?
 
2011-12-14 05:45:05 PM
badhatharry 2011-12-14 03:44:26 PM
I am convinced that the hot waitress theory is accurate. If you notice that your barista is way to hot to be working in a coffee shop, you know things are bad.


It's called the Vixen indicator.


Only applies to major metropolitan areas. In out of the way rural places, you get to see a lot of hotties working as baristas and servers. That's because there just aren't that many jobs available. But in a big place like SF or NY, if you're hot enough and smart enough, you should definitely be able to land a cool gig doing something more than waitressing

Only applies to major metropolitan areas. In out of the way rural places, you get to see a lot of hotties working as baristas and servers. That's because there just aren't that many jobs available. But in a big place like SF or NY, if you're hot enough and smart enough, you should definitely be able to land a cool gig doing something more than waitressing.

Thus indicating that the economy in out of the way rural places isn't so hot? Hmmm. Maybe that economy in out of the way rural palces ins't so hot....all the time.
 
2011-12-14 05:47:43 PM
oh, I have to get a preview button installed on this damn thing.

*note to executive assistant- remove the repeat, correct the spelling errors, cut your pay, and start wearing that sexy skirt*
 
2011-12-14 07:03:53 PM
RINGERSOL

It's pretty easy to understand. It was a weak, temporary and ultimately irrelevant correlation, even at the time. It was no more scientific --and thereby no more useful in understanding our world or making useful predictions-- than a win streak by the monkey stock broker. (i.e. A win streak by a stock picking monkey is no indication of that monkey's instinctual or intellectual grasp on financial markets. It should not lead you to put all your money in monkey-managed mutual funds. This largely applies to human stock brokers.)

And this nail polish shiat is the same thing. You could hold up any set of data next to the economy and find a trend if you look hard enough. Hell, you could put the results of a roulette wheel next to the economy and draw some short-reference-frame correlations. But that sure as shiat doesn't prove the predictive power of the roulette wheel in determining where the economy is or is going.

Morans.

Wrong. There are several analysts who provide very insightful views based on some variation of the lipstick factor (usually a basket of goods and not just lipstick). Also the author of this story seems to have not read any equity research this year. The HK wine auctions have been heavily analyzed as an indicator for Chinese demand for luxury goods, luxury autos, etc. Very insightful research out there. Author should maybe consider covering sports or something.

 
2011-12-14 11:43:03 PM
So they've looked at a couple dozen random "indicators" and found at least one that "accurately predicts" the future with p = 0.05?

I'm shocked.
 
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